• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제30권8호
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• pp.941-948
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• 2006

In this study, the new method for reliability estimation is proposed using kriging metamodel. Kriging metamodel can be determined by appropriate sampling range and sampling numbers because there are no random errors in the Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments(DACE) model. The first kriging metamodel is made based on widely ranged sampling points. The Advanced First Order Reliability Method(AFORM) is applied to the first kriging metamodel to estimate the reliability approximately. Then, the second kriging metamodel is constructed using additional sampling points with updated sampling range. The Monte-Carlo Simulation(MCS) is applied to the second kriging metamodel to evaluate the reliability. The proposed method is applied to numerical examples and the results are almost equal to the reference reliability.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제30권9호
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• pp.1116-1123
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• 2006

In this study, the effective method for reliability estimation is proposed using tow-staged kriging metamodel and genetic algorithm. Kriging metamodel can be determined by appropriate sampling range and the number of sampling points. The first kriging metamodel is made based on the proposed sampling points. The advanced f'=rst order reliability method is applied to the first kriging metamodel to determine the reliability and most probable failure point(MPFP) approximately. Then, the second kriging metamodel is constructed using additional sampling points near the MPFP. These points are selected using genetic algorithm that have the maximum mean squared error. The Monte-Carlo simulation is applied to the second kriging metamodel to estimate the reliability. The proposed method is applied to numerical examples and the results are almost equal to the reference reliability.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제41권5호
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• pp.381-389
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• 2017

마르코프체인 시뮬레이션으로 추출한 점을 기반으로 커널 밀도함수를 구성하고 중요도 추출함수로 가정하였다. 크리깅 근사모델은 한계상태식 근방에서 상세히 구성되었다. 고장확률은 크리깅 근사모델에 대해 중요도 추출법을 수행하여 계산하였다. 커널 밀도함수가 한계상태식의 근방에서 더 많은 점을 추출할 수 있도록 기존의 방법을 개선하였다. 커널 밀도함수의 파라메터를 찾기 위한 안정적인 수치계산 방안이 제시된다. 크리깅 근사모델의 불확실성으로 인해 계산된 고장확률이 변경될 가능성을 계산하여, 크리깅 근사모델의 완성도를 평가하였다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제36권8호
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• pp.873-879
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• 2012

메타모델은 설계 프레임워크 안에서 높은 효율성과 우수한 예측 능력, 타 프로그램과 쉬운 연동성 때문에 공학분야에서 지난 10 년간 최적설계 기법들과 함께 발전해왔다. 메타모델을 구성하기 위해서는 실험계획법, 메타모델링 기법, 검증법과 같은 절차가 요구된다. 검증법은 메타모델의 정확성을 판단하기 때문에 순차적 크리깅 메타모델에서 정확한 크리깅 메타모델을 구성하기 위한 표본점의 개수를 결정한다. 크리깅 메타모델과 같은 보간모델은 표본점에서의 응답을 항상 지나기 때문에 기존 방법으로 메타모델의 정확성을 판단하기 위해서는 추가적인 해석이나 메타모델의 재구성이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 추가적인 해석과 메타모델의 재구성을 요구하지 않는 메타모델의 해석적 민감도를 이용하는 민감도 검증법을 제안한다. 14 개의 2 차원 수학예제와 공학예제를 이용하여 이 방법의 타당성을 검증한다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제33권11호
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• pp.1195-1201
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• 2009

In this study, effective methods for reliability estimation and reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) are proposed using kriging metamodel and genetic algorithm. In our previous study, we proposed the accurate method for reliability estimation using two-staged kriging metamodel and genetic algorithm. In this study, the possibility of applying the previously proposed method to RBDO is investigated. The efficiency and accuracy of that method were much improved than those of the first order reliability method(FORM). Finally, the effective method for RBDO is proposed and applied to numerical examples. The results are compared to the existing RBDO methods and shown to be very effective and accurate.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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• pp.678-683
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• 2008

Moment-based reliability analysis is the method to calculate reliability using Pearson System with first-four raw moments obtained from simulation model. But it is too expensive to calculate first four moments from complicate simulation model. To overcome this drawback the MD(multiplicative decomposition) method which approximates simulation model to kriging metamodel and calculates first four raw moments explicitly with multiplicative decomposition techniques. In general, kriging metamodel is an interpolation model that is decomposed of global model and local model. The global model, in general, can be used as the constant global model, the 1st order global model, or the 2nd order global model. In this paper, the influences of global models on the accuracy and robustness of raw moments are examined and compared. Finally, we suggest the best global model which can provide exact and robust raw moments using MD method.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제70권5호
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• pp.513-524
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• 2019

This study proposed an improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO) method ensemble with kriging model for model updating. By introducing genetic algorithm (GA) and grouping strategy together with elite selection into standard particle optimization (PSO), the IPSO is obtained. Kriging metamodel serves for predicting the structural responses to avoid complex computation via finite element model. The combination of IPSO and kriging model shall provide more accurate searching results and obtain global optimal solution for model updating compared with the PSO, Simulate Annealing PSO (SimuAPSO), BreedPSO and PSOGA. A plane truss structure and ASCE Benchmark frame structure are adopted to verify the proposed approach. The results indicated that the hybrid of kriging model and IPSO could serve for model updating effectively and efficiently. The updating results further illustrated that IPSO can provide superior convergent solutions compared with PSO, SimuAPSO, BreedPSO and PSOGA.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회논문집C
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• pp.537-542
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• 2001

In recent engineering, the designer has become more and more dependent on computer simulation. But defining exact model using computer simulation is too expensive and time consuming in the complicate systems. Thus, designers often use approximation models, which express the relation between design variables and response variables. These models are called metamodel. In this paper, we introduce one of the metamodel, named Kriging. This model employs an interpolation scheme and is developed in the fields of spatial statistics and geostatistics. This class of interpolating model has flexibility to model response data with multiple local extreme. By reason of this multi modality, we can't use any gradient-based optimization algorithm to find global extreme value of this model. Thus we have to introduce global optimization algorithm. To do this, we introduce DE(Differential Evolution). DE algorithm is developed by Ken Price and Rainer Storn, and it has recently proven to be an efficient method for optimizing real-valued multi-modal objective functions. This algorithm is similar to GA(Genetic Algorithm) in populating points, crossing over, and mutating. But it introduces vector concept in populating process. So it is very simple and easy to use. Finally, we show how we determine Kriging metamodel and find global extreme value through two mathematical examples.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.381-386
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• 2003

Gradually engineering designers are determined based on computer simulations. Modeling of the computer simulation however is too expensive and time consuming in a complicate system. Thus, designers often use approximation models called metamodels, which represent approximately the relations between design and response variables. There arc general metamodels such as response surface model and kriging metamodel. Response surface model is easy to obtain and provides explicit function. but it is not suitable for highly nonlinear and large scaled problems. For complicate case, we may use kriging model that employs an interpolation scheme developed in the fields of spatial statistics and geostatistics. This class of into interpolating model has flexibility to model response data with multiple local extreme. In this study. metamodeling techniques are adopted to carry out the shape optimization of a funnel of Cathode Ray Tube. which finds the shape minimizing the local maximum principal stress Optimum designs using two metamodels are compared and proper metamodel is recommended based on this research.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제33권8호
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• pp.813-818
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• 2009

Design analysis and computer experiments (DACE) model is widely used to express efficiently nonlinear responses in the field of engineering design. As a DACE model, kriging model can approximately replace a simulation model that is very expensive or highly nonlinear. The kriging model is composed of the summation of a global model and a local model representing deviation from the global model. The local model is determined by correlation coefficient with the pre-sampled points, where the accuracy and robustness of the kriging model depends on the selection of proper correlation coefficients. Therefore, to achieve the robust kriging model, the range of the correlation coefficients is explored with respect to the degrees of the global model. Based on this study we propose the proper orders of the global model and range of parameters to make accurate and robust kriging model.