• Title/Summary/Keyword: hydrologic changes

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Sensitivity Analysis of the Runoff Model Parameter for the Optimal Design of Hydrologic Structures (수공구조물의 적정설계를 위한 유출모형 매개변수의 민감도 분석)

  • Lee, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Mun-Mo;Yeo, Woon-Kwang
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.755-758
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    • 2008
  • Currently, the increased run-off and the shortened arrival time are one of the causes of the city environmental disasters in urbanization. Therefore, it is necessary to properly design the hydrologic structures, but it is very difficult to forecast the values necessary to design from the planning stage. Moreover, as the parameter is changed due to the urban development, it is difficult not only to analyze the run-off influences but also to find the related studies and literatures. The purpose of this study is to utilize the results as the important basic data of the hydrologic structures, its proper design and run-off influences through the sensibility analysis of the model parameter variables. In this study, the absolute and relative sensibility analysis method were used to find out the correlation through the sensibility analysis of the topology and hydrology parameters. Especially, in this study, the changes in the run-off amount and volume were calculated according to increase/decrease in CN, the coefficient of discharge, and the empirical formula is prepared and proposed through the regressive analysis among the parameters. In the meantime, the parameter sensibility analysis was performed through the simulation HEC-HMS that is used and available in Korea. From the results of this study, it was found that the run-off amount is increased about by 10% when the CN value is increased by 5% before and after the development through the HEC-HMS simulation and data analysis. As long as there will be additional data collection analysis and result verification, and continuous further studies to find out the parameters proper to the domestic circumstances, it is expected to considerably contribute to the proper design of the hydrologic structures with respect to the ungauged basin.

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Assessment of Hydrologic Risk of Extreme Drought According to RCP Climate Change Scenarios Using Bivariate Frequency Analysis (이변량 빈도분석을 이용한 RCP 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 극한가뭄의 수문학적 위험도 평가)

  • Park, Ji Yeon;Kim, Ji Eun;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.561-568
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    • 2019
  • Recently, Korea has suffered from severe droughts due to climate change. Therefore, we need to pay attention to the change of drought risk to develop appropriate drought mitigation measures. In this study, we investigated the changes of hydrologic risk of extreme drought using the current observed data and the projected data according to the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 climate change scenarios. The bivariate frequency analysis was performed for the paired data of drought duration and severity extracted by the threshold level method and by eliminating pooling and minor droughts. Based on the hydrologic risk of extreme drought events Jeonbuk showed the highest risk and increased by 51 % than the past for the RCP 4.5 scenario, while Gangwon showed the highest risk and increased by 47 % than the past for the RCP 8.5 scenario.

Derivation of Design Flood Using Multisite Rainfall Simulation Technique and Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.540-544
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    • 2009
  • Hydrologic pattern under climate change has been paid attention to as one of the most important issues in hydrologic science group. Rainfall and runoff is a key element in the Earth's hydrological cycle, and associated with many different aspects such as water supply, flood prevention and river restoration. In this regard, a main objective of this study is to evaluate design flood using simulation techniques which can consider a full spectrum of uncertainty. Here we utilize a weather state based stochastic multivariate model as conditional probability model for simulating the rainfall field. A major premise of this study is that large scale climatic patterns are a major driver of such persistent year to year changes in rainfall probabilities. Uncertainty analysis in estimating design flood is inevitably needed to examine reliability for the estimated results. With regard to this point, this study applies a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme to the NWS-PC rainfall-runoff model that has been widely used, and a case study is performed in Soyang Dam watershed in Korea. A comprehensive discussion on design flood under climate change is provided.

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Assessment of the Impacts of the Impervious Surface Change in the Farm Region on Watershed Hydrology (농경지 불투수면 변화에 따른 유역 수문 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Hak-Kwan;Lee, Eun-Jeong;Park, Seung-Woo;Kang, Moon-Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.51 no.6
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2009
  • The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used in this study to evaluate the hydrologic impacts by the impervious surface change in the farm region. The model was calibrated and validated by using four years (1999-2002) of measured data for the Gyeongancheon watershed in Korea. The simulation results agreed well with observed values during the calibration and validation periods. Land use scenarios including various changes of the plastic film house area in the farm region were applied to assess their effects on watershed hydrology. The results indicated that the surface direct (5.6%~14.0%) and total runoff (0.8%~1.5%) increased, but the groundwater discharge (10.7%~27.7%) and evapotranspiration (1.5%~3.3%) decreased as the plastic film house area (5.7%~12.4%) increased.

The evaluation of wetland sustainability for constructing a washland and Its hydrologic effect to Upo wetland (천변저류지 조성에 따른 습지지속가능성 평가 및 우포늪에 미치는 수문학적 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Jae-Chul;Kim, Jin-Kwan;Kim, Sang-Dan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2008
  • There have been many cases of using wetlands as an alternative in controlling stormwater, treating mining leachate, and agricultural discharge, and so on, recently. The reality is, however, that the wetlands are not properly applicable because of the lack of enough longterm data for wetlands due to the difficulty of long-term monitoring. Therefore, this study tries to analyze the storage of Upo, Mokpo, Sajipo, and Jjokjibeul in Topyeong watershed using SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model, one of the long-term runoff hydrologic model, for the purpose of generating the long-term data and analyzing the hydrologic behavior of wetlands based on the generated data. Also, the changes in runoff at the outlet are analyzed after applying the simulation of constructing washland in Topyeong watershed and the storage in Upo is analyzed. The result shows that the runoff at the outlet of the watershed is decreased in rainy season from July to August and increased in dry season from December to February. In addition, the analysis of Upo storage concludes that Upo can be influenced by the construction of the washland. The duration curve of washland is then analyzed in order to evaluate the wetland's sustainability in terms of washland and it appears that the runoff of washland is simulated to be less than that of the existing wetland. Moreover, runoffs of some washlands are simulated to be less even in wet season. These results lead to the fact that there should be further hydrologic management for constructed washland. Then, the changes in loads (TN and TP) because of constructing washland are analyzed. The result shows that the loads are reduced because of the construction. Also, the changes in loads due to the construction of buffer strips are analyzed to compare the load reductions caused by a washland. Finally, REMM model, a riparian management model, is applied to overcome the hydrologic ambiguousness of SWAT model, and then, the SWAT model results are compared to those of REMM.

An Analysis of Hydrologic Changes due to Daechung Dam Construction using Water Balance Equation (물수지 방정식을 이용한 대청댐 건설에 따른 수문환경의 변화 분석)

  • An, Jae-Hyeon;Yu, Cheol-Sang;Yun, Yong-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.217-229
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the hydrologic changes and the effect of runoff characteristics of a large river basin due to construction of a dam. The changes of land use and vegetation are quantified from remote sensing film taken before and after dam construction. Evapotranspiration, runoff and soil moisture were calculated using water balance equation. It was found that the albedo of watershed upstream of the dam is decreasing due to the decreasing of vegetation and the increasing of water surface and forest, and the increasing of potential evpotranspiration and soil moisture led to increasing actual evpotranspiration and runoff ratio after dam construction.

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Statistical Tests for the Flow Change in Sumjin River (섬진강의 유량변화 통계 검정)

  • Lee, Gwang-Man;Yun, La-Young;Lee, Seung-Yoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.1067-1077
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    • 2008
  • An understanding of temporal trends of stream flows can help in the river management and the water resources planning for natural circumstances and human communities. Changes in temperature, precipitation, flow, and land use (agriculture, flood prevention activities, reservoir operation, interbasin diversion, etc.) are all eventually reflected in the flow pattern of the river. An assumption that the stationarity of the hydrologic series implying time-invariant characteristics of the time series accepted in water structure designs can no longer be valid if the flow changes as a result of the climate change or the stream flow use. Therefore, the identification and description of the characteristics of changes in hydrologic time series is a very important task in the river basin management. In this study, the statistical tests on the flow change forced by excess water diversions in the Sumjin River basin were performed by ways of single variable and time series variable comparisons. The tests showed that currently the Sumjin River basin statistically keeps its homogeneity in annual streamflow series, but the changed situation has been appeared in dry season streamflow series.

Climate Change and Groundwater Sustainability in Korea for Next Decade (기후변화와 국내 지하수자원의 지속가능성 - 다음 10년을 위해서)

  • Woo, Nam C.
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2013
  • Global climate changes affect the local hydrologic cycle, and subsequently, require changes in water resource management strategies of Korea. Variations in precipitation and urbanization have adverse effects on the reasonable and efficient utilization of groundwater resources. Groundwater management strategies of Korea have been implemented based on the evaluation of "sustainable yield", which is calculated from the amount of annual recharge. However, this sustainable yield has no consideration of natural discharge and dynamic equilibrium of the groundwater system. Therefore, for the effective groundwater management strategies of the following decades, we need representative and reliable observations, and have to develop methods for the systematic analysis and interpretations of the data to draw valid information in linkage of natural and societal environmental changes.

An Assessment of Environmental Changes in an Alluvial Low Land Using Multitemporal Landsat TM Data

  • M.A., Mohammed Aslam;Harada, I.;Kondoh, A.;;Y, Shen;Tj, Ferry L.
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.712-714
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    • 2003
  • The modifications taking place within the alluvial plains impart a larger extent of disturbances to hydrologic systems. The objective of the present investigation is to detect the sensitivity of multi-temporal image data from Landsat TM (Thematic Mapper) for finding out the land-cover/land-use changes associated with alluvial low land. The eastern coast of Chiba Prefecture, Japan, forms a very important geographic unit owing to the existence of a unique alluvial landform. The alluvial plain occupied in the study area is widely known as 'Kujukuri Plain'. The TM images have been classified by means of maximum likelihood supervised classifier and the extent of changes has been estimated.

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SIMULATION OF SOIL MOISTURE VARIABILITY DUE TO CLIMATE ORANGE IN NORTHEAST POND RIVER WATERSHED, NEWFOUNDLAND, CANADA

  • A. Ghosh Bobba;Vijay P. Singh
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.31-43
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    • 2003
  • The impacts of climate change on soil moisture in sub - Arctic watershed simulated by using the hydrologic model. A range of arbitrary changes in temperature and precipitation are applied to the runoff model to study the sensitivity of soil moisture due to potential changes in precipitation and temperature. The sensitivity analysis indicates that changes in precipitation are always amplified in soil moisture with the amplification factor for flow. The change in precipitation has effect on the soil moisture in the catchment. The percentage change in soil moisture levels can be greater than the percentage change in precipitation. Compared to precipitation, temperature increases or decreases alone have impacts on the soil moisture. These results show the potential for climate change to bring about soil moisture that may require a significant planning response. They are also indicative of the fact that hydrological impacts affecting water supply may be important in consider-ing the cost and benefits of potential climate change.

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