• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.261-270
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• 2009

Current financial crisis triggered by shaky U.S. banking system adds to the emphasis on the importance of the volatility in controlling and understanding financial time series data. The ARCH and GARCH models have been useful in analyzing economic time series volatilities. In particular, multivariate GARCH(MGARCH, for short) provides both volatilities and conditional correlations between several time series and these are in turn applied to computations of hedge-ratio and VaR. In this short article, we try to assess various MGARCH models with respect to the back-testing performances in VaR study. To this end, 14 korean stock prices are analyzed and it is found that MGARCH outperforms rolling window, and BEKK and CCC are relatively conservative in back-testing performance.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.139-158
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• 2009

With the sample of Middle East crude oil imported to South Korea, this study empirically analyzes the effectiveness of the risk management strategies using derivatives such as futures and options. Assuming the hedging period of one to twelve months, it considers a spot purchasing strategy, 1 : 1 futures hedge strategy, OLS-based minimum-variance futures hedge strategy, buying call option strategy, and collar transaction strategy. According to the ex-ante result, using the derivatives of futures or options makes lower the procurement costs when the crude oil prices is increasing. With the hedging period less than or equal to six months, the hedging strategy using futures turns out to be superior in terms of procurement cost reduction and hedging effectiveness improvement. In contrast, the hedging strategies of buying call option and collar transaction would generate better results when the hedging program last over six months.

• Management & Information Systems Review
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.21-46
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• 2012

This paper attempts to offer an effective strategy of hedge fund based on trade probability control in the futures market. By using various technical indicators, we create an association rule and transforms it into a trading rule to be used as an investment strategy. Association rules are made by the combination of various technical indicators and the range of individual indicator value. Adjustments of trade probabilities are performed by depending on the rule combinations and it can be utilized to establish an effective investment strategy onto the risk management. In order to demonstrate the superiority of the investment strategy proposed, we analyzed a profitability using the futures index based on KOSPI200. Experiments results show that our proposed strategy could effectively manage and response the dynamics investment risks.

• Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.272-279
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• 2009

The purpose of this study is to examine noise attenuation according to hedge species and thickness of their leaves. The order of their decrease effects was as follows from the highest to the lowest: Osmanthus asiaticus, Camellia japonica, Pyacantha angustifolia, Photinia glabra, Pittosporum tobira, Nandina domestica, Euonymus japonica, Chaenomeles lagenaria, Aucuba japonica for. Variegatar. The result of the experiment for noise atteunation has shown that woody plant with thicker leaves were better than those with thinner leaves. Multiple Regression Analysis showed Y = 7.653 + 26.530 X ($R^2$= 0.385). The order for the subjects according to their effects on noise attenuation is as follows from the highest to the lowest: Camellia japonica, Nandina domestica, Pittosporum tobira, Taxus cuspidata, Chaenomeles lagenaria. The noise attenuation level of Camellia japonica was the highest (14.70[dB]), while that of Chaenomeles lagenaria was the lowest (6.80[dB]), and its difference between them was 7.9[dB].

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.22 no.5
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• pp.17-28
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• 2021

The construction industry has challenges and opportunities for Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The task of the construction industry is to improve the quality of construction, which is particularly necessary for the Fragile State. The construction industry's primary role is to provide jobs and maintain and improve the construction environment that affects the quality of life. Using the Delphi method and EFA in this study, [Pre-Execution] and [Execution] were derived as risk areas that require intensive hedge when penetrating the construction market in fragile states. It was concluded that the risk hedge to the master plan for the business conditions and infrastructure is the most important.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.23-41
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• 2001

본 연구에서는 여러 계량 모형을 이용하여 계산한 헤지 비율의 성과를 비교하였다. 특히 헤지 비율을 추정하기 위하여 분수 공적분 오차 수정 모형을 이용하였다. KOSPI200 현물과 선물 지수를 이용하여 검증한 결과 현물, 선물 지수는 1차 적분된 시계열이며 베이시스는 분수 적분된 시계열이었다. 따라서 현물과 선물 지수는 분수 공적분된 시계열이었다. 최소 분산 헤지 비율을 최적 헤지 비율로 하여 성과를 측정한 결과 다음과 같은 결과를 얻었다. 헤지 성과는 GARCH 항이 있는 모형이 없는 모형에 비해 크게 나타나며 각 모형에서 고려하고 있는 정보 집합의 크기가 큰 순서인 FIEC, EC, VAR, OLS 순으로 헤지 성과는 크게 나타나고 있다. 그러나 OLS 방법에 의한 헤지에 의해서도 수익률 변동의 많은 부분이 사라져, 다른 모형들은 OLS 모형과 비교하여 추가적인 분산 감소 효과는 크지 않았다.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.771-785
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• 2002

Many industries like energy, utilities, ice cream and leisure sports are closely related to the weather. In order to hedge weather related risks, they invest their assets with portfolios like option, coupons, future, and other weather derivatives. Among weather related derivatives, CDD and HDD index options are mainly transacted between companies. In this paper, the autocorrelation system of temperature will be checked for several cities in Korea and the parameter estimation will be carried based on the maximum likelihood estimation. Since the log likelihood increase as the number of parameters increases, we adopt the Schwarz information criterion .

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 1997.10a
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• pp.97-101
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• 1997

In recent years, there have been a number of applications of fuzzy logic in fuzzy reasoning system. The main objective of these applications is to approximate a decision making using the fuzzy reasoning system. This paper designs a fuzzy reasoning model for the decision making of registration fee at a private school, implements it applying for linguistic variables and fuzzy rules, and evaluates the practical availability of the model. The system accepts fuzzy rules, the type of membership functions, the domain of fuzzy sets and hedge, and fuzzifies the linguistic variables to generates fuzzy sets. The fuzzy sets generated are combined to constructs a solution fuzzy set. Finally, the system defuzzifies the solution fuzzy set to calculate a scalar value which is used for decision making.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• summer
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• pp.701-703
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• 2004

Although the electricity market structure worldwide may be different in kinds, there generally exists long-term forward market and short-term spot market. Particularly, the bilateral contract in long-term forward market fixes the price between a genco and a customer so that the customer can avoid risks due to price-spike in spot market. The genco also can make an efficient risk-hedge strategy through this bilateral contract. In this paper, we propose a new mechanism for evaluating the optimal bilateral contract price using game theory. This mechanism makes a customer reveal his/her own willingness to purchase electricity so that a fair bilateral contract price can be derived.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• v.29 no.3_4
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• pp.987-1000
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• 2011

We show how the dynamic optimization problem with the capital constraint can be reduced to the problem to find an optimal modified claim $\tilde{\psi}H$ where $\tilde{\psi}$ is a randomized test in the static problem. Coherent risk measure is used as risk measure in the $L^{\infty}$ random variable spaces. The paper is written in expository style to some degree. We use an average risk of measure(AVaR), which is a special coherent risk measure, to see how to hedge the modified claim in a complete market model.