• Title/Summary/Keyword: gas accident model

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Data Mining of Gas Accident and Meteorological Data in Korea for a Prediction Model of Gas Accidents (국내 가스사고와 기상자료의 데이터마이닝을 이용한 가스사고 예측모델 연구)

  • Hur, Young-Taeg;Shin, Dong-Il;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.33-38
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    • 2012
  • Analysis on gas accidents by types occurred has been made to prevent the recurrence of accidents, through analysis of past history of gas accident occurring environment. The number of gas accidents has been decreasing, but still accidents are occurring steadily. Gas-using environment and gas accidents are estimated to be closely connected since gas-using types are changing by time period, weather, etc. in terms of accident contents. As a result of analysing gas accidents by 7 meteorological elements, such as the mean temperature, the highest temperature, the lowest temperature, relative humidity, the amount of clouds, precipitation and wind velocity, it has been found out that gas accidents are influenced by temperature or relative humidity, and accident occurs more frequently when the sky is clean and wind velocity is slow. Possibility of gas accidents can be provided in real time, using the proposed model made to predict gas accidents in connection with the weather forecast service. Possibility and number of gas accidents will be checked real time by connecting to the business system of Korea Gas Safety Corp., and it is considered that it would be positively used for preventing gas accidents.

Investigation of the Gas Accident Models through the Analysis Gas Accident Occurring Environment (가스사고 발생 환경분석을 통한 사고발생 모형 고찰)

  • Hur, Young-Taeg;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2010
  • Analysis of gas accidents for 11.5 years, from 1998 to June, 2009, by types has been made in this study to prevent the recurrence of accidents through the analysis of gas accident occurring environment. Gas using environment and gas accidents are forced to be closely connected since the number of gas accidents has not only been decreased but occurred steadily and gas using types are changing by time period, weather, etc. in terms of accident contents. Gas accidents have been occurred more in capital areas with larger gas usage and specific local governments. The possibility of the gas accidents hit the highest when the weather is clear, the wind speed is low and the humidity is in the middle. In addition, leakage of gas, fire or explosion are also considered to be closely related with the weather as a result of model observance of gas accidents types. All the gas related possible accidents are also considered to be predictable if this result is to be analysed in association with the weather.

Development of the Fire Prevention Method related to Gas in the Area of Dense Energy Consumption (에너지 사용 밀집지역에서의 가스 관련 화재예방 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Young-Gu;Jo, Young-Do
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.29-33
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    • 2018
  • Accident likelihood is growing due to a correlation for gas and electricity installed in the area of dense energy consumption like traditional market and underground shopping center. In order to prevent and respond accident risks related to gas and electricity in this area, it should be monitored and predicted for factors of gas leak or electricity by developing safety management system. This study is about accident prediction model development considering fire risk factor related to gas accident. The temperature variation characteristic near a gas burner was analyzed. Also, accident prediction algorithm and related module were developed to prevent fire in the area of dense energy consumption.

Consequence Analysis of Energy Facility(City Gas Pipeline) (에너지시설(도시가스배관)의 사고시 영향 평가)

  • Park Kyo-Shik;Lee Jin-Han;Jo Young-Do;Park Jin-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.7 no.1 s.18
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 2003
  • Consequence model has been suggested to evaluate consequence of city gas accident considering actual situation. Through event tree analysis(ETA), probable accidents were summarized and listed. Then release rate was calculated both sonic and subsonic conditions. Among city gas accidents, fire damage is the dominant one and mainly discussed; fatality, burning injury, and damage to building were estimated using the consequence model suggested. With an appropriate conditions, calculating total cost by accident was suggested.

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A Study on Forecasting Risk of Gas Accident using Weather Data (기상 데이터를 활용한 가스사고위험 예보에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jeong Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2018
  • While accident data are used to show alertness to accidents or to review similar cases, the analysis of nature of accident data its association with surrounding environment is very insufficient. Therefore, it is very necessary to demonstrate the possibility of an accident for a particular region by developing analysis techniques with the related accident data. The purpose of this study is to develop an analysis model and implement a system that produces regional accident probability based on historical weather information data and accident and reporting data. In other words, the system is designed and developed to create models by k-NN and decision tree algorithms with optional user-environment variables based on the probability between weather and accidents about many particular region of Korea. In the future, the models developed in this study are intended to be used to analyze and calculate the risk of a more narrow area.

The Method of Consequence Analysis of the Unconfined Vapor Cloud Explosion Accident by the Continuous Release of Gas-Liquid Flow for the Small and Medium Size Enterprises(SMS) (기-액흐름 연속누출에 의한 개방공간 증기운 폭발사고를 중심으로 중.소규모 사업장을 위한 사고 영향평가 방법)

  • 장서일;이헌창;조지훈;김태옥
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.64-70
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    • 2003
  • For the unconfined vapor cloud explosion(UVCE) accident by the continuous release of gas-liquid flow of various saturated liquids in a vessel at ground level, overpressures were estimated by TNT equivalency model with two estimation methods, such as UVCE I model based on a constant release time and UVCEII model based on a real travel time of vapor by dispersion and analyzed with various release conditions. As a simulation result the simple, easy, and correct method of evaluation of consequences of the UVCE accident was proposed by using consequences of UVCE I model and correlation equations for differences of overpressures between UVCE models, so that this evaluation method could be used easily in the small and medium size enterprises without using the dispersion model.

A Study on Improvement in Gas Safety Management System for Decreasing Gas Accident (가스사고 감소를 위한 가스아전관리체계 개선에 관한 연구)

  • 정원익;양광모;강경식
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2004
  • Safety management was divided by the competent authorities supplier, and customer with responsibility and authority. Gas accident were caused by treatment problem on the supplier and user, on technical and use management mater, on facilities and goods, and included problem with gas safety connection system. Especially, the big accident of the inside and outside of the country occurred during recent year was newly recognized with the whole society about safety. This study is present standard application plan of each department to use planning gas technical standard and gas utilization standard of introduction model than statute for change of self-regulation management system and complicated regulation of examination center and order.

The Study of Prediction Model of Gas Accidents Using Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석을 이용한 가스사고 발생 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Su-Kyung;Hur, Young-Taeg;Shin, Dong-Il;Song, Dong-Woo;Kim, Ki-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.8-16
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the number of gas accidents prediction model was suggested by analyzing the gas accidents occurred in Korea. In order to predict the number of gas accidents, simple moving average method (3, 4, 5 period), weighted average method and exponential smoothing method were applied. Study results of the sum of mean-square error acquired by the models of moving average method for 4 periods and weighted moving average method showed the highest value of 44.4 and 43 respectively. By developing the number of gas accidents prediction model, it could be actively utilized for gas accident prevention activities.

A Study on Development of Fire Accident Analysis System Using Classification Model and Database (화재사고 분류모델 및 데이터베이스를 이용한 화재사고 분석시스템 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Kim In-Tae;Heo Jaeseok;Song Hee-Oeul;Ko Jae-Wook;Kim In-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.90-98
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    • 1998
  • In order to establish detailed plans for fire protection and reduce the possible fire accidents in the future, collection of domestic and foreign fire accident cases and fundamental analysis are very important. In this study the classification model for fire accidents was developed and the direction to a new model was suggested by comparison ours with the accidents classification model of NFPA of United States of America and Japan. A new developed PC-based database program for fire accidents (FADBS) was used to analyse fire accidents easily and efficiently.

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Estimate Minimum Amount of Methane for Explosion in a Confined Space (밀폐공간에서 메탄 폭발사고의 최소 가스누출량 예측)

  • Jo, Young-Do
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2017
  • Leaking of natural gas, which is mostly methane, in a confined living space creates flammable atmosphere and gives rise to explosion accident. The minimum amount of leaked methane for explosion is highly dependent on the degree of mixing in the confined space. This paper proposes a method for estimating minimum amount of flammable gas for explosion by using Gaussian distribution explosion model(GDEM) and experimental explosion data. The explosion pressure in the confined space can be estimated by assuming the Gaussian distribution of flammable gas along the height of an enclosure and estimating the maximum amount of gas within flammable limits, combustion of the estimated gas with constant volume and adiabatic or isothermal mixing in the confined space. The predicted minimum gas amount for an explosion is tied to explosion pressure that results in a given building damage level. The result shows that very small amount of methane leaking in the confined space may results in a serious gas explosion accident. This result could be applied not only to setting the leak criteria for developing a gas safety appliance but also to accident investigating of explosion.