• Title/Summary/Keyword: failure rate under PM

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An Optimum Maintenance Policy : A bayesian approach to periodic incomplete preventive maintenance with minimal repair at failure

  • Park, Kwang-Su;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.193-196
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    • 1997
  • In this paper we consider a Bayesian theoretic approach to periodic incomplete preventive maintenance with minimal repair at failure. We assume that the system failure rate is increasing as the frequency of PM increases and that the system is replaced at the K-th PM under this maintenance strategy. The optimal policies which minimize the expected cost rates are discussed. We seek the optimal periodic PM interval x and replacement time K under a Weibull failure intensity. Assuming suitable prior distribution for the Weibull parameters, we derive the posterior distribution incorporating failure data and obtain the updated optimal replacement strategies.

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Estimating the Probability of Perfect PM in the Brown-Proschan Imperfect PM Model (Brown-Proschan 불완전 PM 모형에서 완전 PM 확률의 추정)

  • 임태진
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.151-165
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    • 1997
  • We propose a method for estimating the probability of perfect PM from successive failure times of a repairable system. The system under study is maintained preventively at periodic times, and it undergoes minimal repair at failure. We consider Brown-Proschan imperfect PM model in which the system is restored to a condition as good as new with probability P and is otherwise restored to its condition just prior to failure. We discuss the identifiability problem when the PM modes are not recorded. The expectation-maximization principle is employed to handle the incomplete data problem. We assume that the lifetime distribution belongs to a parametric family with increasing failure rate. For the two parameter Weibull lifetime distribution, we propose a specific algorithm for finding the maximum lifelihood estimates of the reliability parameters : the probability of perfect PM (P), as well as the distribution parameters. The estimation method will provide useful results for maintaining real systems.

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Modified Wu and Clements-Croome's PM model (수정된 Wu와 Clements-Croome의 예방보전 모형)

  • Jung, Ki Mun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.791-798
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    • 2014
  • Wu and Clements-Croome (2005) suggest the preventive maintenance (PM) model with random maintenance quality. They assume that each PM resets the failure rate to zero and the rate of increases of the failure rate gets higher after each additional PM. However a system may not be restored to as good as new immediately after the completion of PM. Thus, this paper modifies the Wu and Clements-Croome's PM model and then the optimal PM policy is suggested. To determine the optimal PM policy, we utilize the expected cost rate per unit time for our model. That is, we obtain the optimal number and the optimal period by minimizing the expected cost rate per unit time. The numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

Pharmacokinetics of Paclitaxel in Rabbits with Carbon Tetrachloride-Induced Hepatic Failure

  • Choi, Jun-Shik
    • Archives of Pharmacal Research
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.973-977
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    • 2002
  • The pharmacokinetic of paclitaxel (1 mg/kg, i.v.) was investigated in rabbits with carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure. The area under the plasma concentration-time curve (AUC) of paclitaxel was significantly (p<0.01) increased in severe carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure rabbits ($1364.54{\pm}382.07$ ng/ml$\cdot$hr) compared to that of normal rabbits ($567.52{\pm}141.88$ ng/ml$\cdot$hr), but not significantly in moderate carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure rabbits ($803.1{\pm}208.81$ ng/ml$\cdot$hr). The volume of distribution (Vd) (6.25$\pm$1.56 L) and the elimination rate constant($\beta$) ($0.09{\pm}0.025{\;}hr^{-1}$) of paclitaxel in severe carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure rabbits were significantly (p<0.05) decreased compared to those of normal rabbits ($11.65<{\pm}2.91$L, $0.12{\pm}0.030{\;}hr^{-1}$), but not significantly in moderate carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure rabbits ($9.46{\pm}2.37$ L, $0.10{\pm}0.026{\;}hr^{-1}$). Total body clearance ($CL_t$) of paclitaxel in severe carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure rabbits ($0.733{\pm}0.183$ L/hr/kg) was significantly (p<0.01) decreased compared to that of normal rabbits ($1.762{\pm}0.440$ L/hr/kg), but not significantly in moderate carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure rabbits ($1.245{\pm}0.311$ L/hr/kg). The half-life(t1/2) of paclitaxel in severe carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure rabbits ($7.71{\pm}2.16$ hr) was significantly (p<0.05) increased compared to that of normal rabbits ($5.75{\pm}1.44$hr), but not significantly in moderate carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure rabbits ($6.77{\pm}1.76$hr). This results could be due to inhibition of paclitaxel metabolism in liver disorder rabbits since paclitaxel is essentially metabolized in liver. The findings suggest that the dosage regimen of paclitaxel should be adjusted when the drug would be administered in patients with liver disorder in a clinical situation.

Optimal Periodic PM Schedules Under $ARI_1$ Model with Different Pattern of Wear-Out Speed

  • Lim Jae-Hak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we consider a periodic preventive maintenance(PM) policy in which each PM reduces the hazard rate of amount proportional to the failure intensity, which increases since the last PM and slows down the wear-out speed to that of new one. And the proportion of reduction in hazard rate decreases with the number of PMs. Our model is similar to $ARI_1$ proposed by Doyen and Gaudoin(2004) in the sense of reduction of hazard rate. Our model has totally different wear-out pattern of hazard rate after PM's, however, and the proportion of reduction depends on the number of PM's. Assuming that the system undergoes only minimal repairs at failures between PM's, the expected cost rate per unit time is obtained. The optimal number N of PM and the optimal period x, which minimize the expected cost rate per unit time are discussed. Explicit solutions for the optimal periodic PM are given for the Weibull distribution case.

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The Success Rate of Caudal Block Under Ultrasound Guidance and the Direction of the Needle in the Sacral Canal (초음파 영상의 유도를 이용한 미추경막외블록의 성공률과 천골관 내에서의 바늘의 방향)

  • Roh, Jang Ho;Kim, Won Oak;Yoon, Kyung Bong;Yoon, Duck Mi
    • The Korean Journal of Pain
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.40-45
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    • 2007
  • Background: Caudal block is useful when anesthesia for surgery or treatment for chronic pain is needed, but this procedure has a failure rate of up to 25% even when it performed byan experienced physician. This high failure rate is usually due to improper needle placement. Methods: After gaining approval of the ethics committee, 46 patients received caudal blocks under ultrasound guidance; these were performed after the anatomical structures in the sacral hiatus had been measured with ultrasound. All these procedures were performed by the same anesthesiologist. The position and direction of the needle were identified using fluoroscopy by injecting a radio-opaque contrast through the needle. The time taken from thelidocaine injection to verification of the needle was measured and the planned nerve block was then carried out. Results: All cases of needle insertion into the sacral canal under ultrasound guidance were successful. The average duration of the procedure and the trial count were $134.1{\pm}10.1seconds$ and $1.2{\pm}0.1$, respectively. In 12 of the 46 cases (26%), the needle deviated either left or right in the sacral canal, so the direction of the needle had to be adjusted. The distance between two cornua, the depth of the sacral hiatus and the thickness and length of the sacrococcygeal ligament were $17.1{\pm}0.4$, $3.9{\pm}0.3$, $2.3{\pm}0.1$ and $24.9{\pm}0.9mm$, respectively. Conclusions: Ultrasound guidance can increase the success rate of inserting a needle into the sacral canal. However, even when ultrasound is used, the needle can deviate either left or right in the sacral canal.

The Pharmacokinetics of Nimodipine After Oral Administration in Rabbits with Hepatic Failure

  • Choi, Jun-Shik;Choi, In;Burm, Jin-Pil
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.19-22
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    • 2006
  • The pharmacokinetics of nimodipine, following a single 16 mg/kg oral dose, was investigated in rabbits with hepatic failure induced by 0.5 mL/kg (mild), 1.0 mL/kg (moderate) and 2.0 mL/kg (severe) of carbon tetrachloride $(CCl_{4}$ : olive oil = 20 : 80, v/v). The plasma concentrations of nimodipine were determined by a high performance liquid chromatographic assay. The levels of sGOT and sGPT in rabbits with mild $(86.2{\pm}29.0\;and\;98.5{\pm}33.1\;unit/dL)$, moderate $(168.1{\pm}61.2\;and\;196.2{\pm}66.0\;unit/dL)$ and severe $(292.7{\pm}82.2\;and\;314.2{\pm}99.8\;unit/dL)$ hepatic failure were significantly increased compared to the control $(38.0{\pm}10.1\;and\;32.4{\pm}10.2\;unit/dL)$. The area under the plasma concentration-time curve (AUC) of nimodipine was significantly increased in mild $(131.7{\pm}28.1%)$, moderate $(168.8{\pm}32.8%)$ and severe $(204.6{\pm}58.3%)$ carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure rabbits compared to the control (100%) rabbits. The volume of distribution $(V_{d})$ and the total body clearance $(CL_{t})$ of nimodipine were significantly decreased in all hepatic failure groups. The elimination rate constant $(K_{el})$ of nimodipine was significantly decreased in moderate and severe carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure rabbits. There was a correlation between sGOT (y= 1.01x+241, r=0.993) or sGPT (y=0.92x +243, r=0.997) value and the AUC of nimodipine in the rabbits with hepatic failure. These findings suggest that the hepatic metabolism of nimodipine was inhibited by carbon tetrachloride-induced hepatic failure rabbits, resulting in the decrese in $V_{d}$ and $CL_{t}$ of nimodipine in the rabbits with mild, moderate and severe hepatic failure.

Study on the Short-Term Hemodynamic Effects of Experimental Cardiomyoplasty in Heart Failure Model (심부전 모델에서 실험적 심근성형술의 단기 혈역학적 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Yoon-Seop;Youm, Wook;Lee, Chang-Ha;Kim, Wook-Seong;Lee, Young-Tak;Kim, Won-Gon
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.224-236
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    • 1999
  • Background: To evaluate the short-term effect of dynamic cardiomyoplasty on circulatory function and detect the related factors that can affect it, experimental cardiomyoplasties were performed under the state of normal cardiac function and heart failure. Material and Method: A total of 10 mongrel dogs weighing 20 to 30kg were divided arbitrarily into two groups. Five dogs of group A underwent cardiomyoplasty with latissimus dorsi(LD) muscle mobilization followed by a 2-week vascular delay and 6-week muscle training. Then, hemodynamic studies were conducted. In group B, doxorubicin was given to 5 dogs in an IV dose of 1 mg/kg once a week for 8 weeks to induce chronic heart failure, and simultaneous muscle training was given for preconditioning during this period. Then, cardiomyoplasties were performed and hemodynamic studies were conducted immediately after these cardiomyoplasties in group B. Result: In group A, under the state of normal cardiac function, only mean right atrial pressure significantly increased with the pacer-on(p<0.05) and the left ventricular hemodynamic parameters did not change significantly. However, with pacer-on in group B, cardiac output(CO), rate of left ventricular pressure development(dp/dt), stroke volume(SV), and left ventricular stroke work(SW) increased by 16.7${\pm}$7.2%, 9.3${\pm}$3.2%, 16.8${\pm}$8.6%, and 23.1${\pm}$9.7%, respectively, whereas left ventricular end-diastole pressure(LVEDP) and mean pulmonary capillary wedge pressure(mPCWP) decreased by 32.1${\pm}$4.6% and 17.7${\pm}$9.1%, respectively(p<0.05). In group A, imipramine was infused at the rate of 7.5mg/kg/hour for 34${\pm}$2.6 minutes to induce acute heart failure, which resulted in the reduction of cardiac output by 17.5${\pm}$2.7%, systolic left ventricular pressure by 15.8${\pm}$2.5% and the elevation of left ventricular end-diastole pressure by 54.3${\pm}$15.2%(p<0.05). With pacer-on under this state of acute heart failu e, CO, dp/dt, SV, and SW increased by 4.5${\pm}$1.8% and 3.1${\pm}$1.1%, 5.7${\pm}$3.6%, and 6.9${\pm}$4.4%, respectively, whereas LVEDP decreased by 11.7${\pm}$4.7%(p<0.05). Comparing CO, dp/dt, SV, SW and LVEDP that changed significantly with pacer-on, both under the state of acute and chronic heart failure, augmentation widths of these left ventricular hemodynamic parameters were significantly larger under the state of chronic heart failure(group B) than acute heart failure(group A)(p<0.05). On gross inspection, variable degrees of adhesion and inflammation were present in all 5 dogs of group A, including 2 dogs that showed no muscle contraction. No adhesion and inflammation were, however, present in all 5 dogs of group B, which showed vivid muscle contractions. Considering these differences in gross findings along with the following premise that the acute heart failure state was not statistically different from the chronic one in terms of left ventricular parameters(p>0.05), the larger augmentation effect seen in group B is presumed to be mainly attributed to the viability and contractility of the LD muscle. Conclusion: These results indicate that the positive circulatory augmentation effect of cardiomyoplasty is apparent only under the state of heart failure and the preservation of muscle contractility is important to maximize this effect.

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Pharmacokinetics of Paclitaxel in Rabbits with Renal Failure Induced by Folic Acid (신장장애 가토에서 파크리탁셀의 약물동태)

  • Jung, Eun Jung;Gwak, Hye Sun;Choi, Jun Shik;Lee, Jin Hwan;Li, Xiuguo
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Pharmacy
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.91-95
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    • 2002
  • The pharmacokinetics of intravenous paclitaxel (1 mg/kg) were investigated in rabbits with renal failure induced by folic acid. The area under the plasma concentration-time curve from time zero to time infinity (AUC) of paclitaxel was significantly (p<0.05) greater in rabbits with severe renal failure induced by folic acid $(1030\pm382)$ compared to that in rabbits with in moderate renal failure induced by folic acid $(780\pm209\;ng/ml{\cdot}hr)$. The apparent volume of distribution (Vd) $(0.008\pm0.002\;L/kg)$ and the elimination rate constant $(\beta)\;(0.09\pm0.025\;hr^{-1})$ of paclitaxel in rabbits with severe renal failure were significantly (p<0.05) smaller and slower respectively than those of control rabbits $(0.016\pm0.004\;L/kg,\;0.12\pm0.03\;hr^{-1})$, but not significantly different compared with that in rabbits with moderate renal failure $(0.010\pm0.003\;L/kg,\;0.10\pm0.026\;hr^{-1})$. total body clearance (CL) of paclitaxel in rabbits with severe renal failure $(0.97\pm0.183\;L/hr/kg)$ was significantly (p<0.05) slower than that in control rabbits $(1.68\pm0.440\;L/hr/kg)$, but not significantly different compared with that in rabbits with in moderate renal failure $(1.28\pm0.311\;L/hr/kg)$. The terminal half-life ($t_{1/2}$) of paclitaxel in rabbits with severe renal failure $(7.46\pm2.16\;hr)$ was significantly (p<0.05) longer than that in control rabbits $(5.75\pm1.44\;hr)$, but not significantly different compared to that in rabbits with moderate renal failure rabbits $(6.67\pm1.76\;hr)$. The above data could be at least partly decrease in due to paclitaxel excretion in rabbits with renal failure, since $7-15\%$ of interavenous paclitaxel was excreted via kidney as unchanged forms plus its metablites.

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Bayesian Method on Sequential Preventive Maintenance Problem

  • Kim Hee-Soo;Kwon Young-Sub;Park Dong-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.191-204
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    • 2006
  • This paper develops a Bayesian method to derive the optimal sequential preventive maintenance(PM) policy by determining the PM schedules which minimize the mean cost rate. Such PM schedules are derived based on a general sequential imperfect PM model proposed by Lin, Zuo and Yam(2000) and may have unequal length of PM intervals. To apply the Bayesian approach in this problem, we assume that the failure times follow a Weibull distribution and consider some appropriate prior distributions for the scale and shape parameters of the Weibull model. The solution is proved to be finite and unique under some mild conditions. Numerical examples for the proposed optimal sequential PM policy are presented for illustrative purposes.