• Title/Summary/Keyword: expected time to failure

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Optimal Periodic Preventive Maintenance Schedule When Preventive Maintenance is Imperfect (예방보전이 불완전할 때 최적 주기적 예방보전 계획)

  • Kim, Dae-Kyung;Shin, Sang-Wook;Lim, Jae-Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.140-146
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider a periodic imperfect preventive maintenance(PM) policy in which the system's failure rate after each PM remains unchanged. The system undergoes only minimal repairs at failures between PMs. Exact mathematical formula of the expected cost rate per unit time is derived. Optimal number of PMs and optimal maintenance period are derived by minimizing the expected cost rate per unit time. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the proposed approach under Weibull lifetime distribution.

Distribution System Reliability Evaluation Considering Protective System (보호시스템을 고려한 배전계통의 신뢰도 평가)

  • Kim, S.H.;Jwa, C.K.;Choi, B.Y.;Choi, S.H.;Kim, J.G.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1997.07c
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    • pp.1003-1005
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    • 1997
  • To evaluate the quality of a system or its ability to perform a required function, it is necessary to quantify the reliability of that system. The reliability techniques are based on the concept of expected failure rate and average-outage-duration method. For each load point, the expected failure rate, average outage duration and average annual outage time are evaluated. This paper deals with the reliability evaluation for distribution system including the protection relay system. In evaluating the reliability, it suggests a method for the analysis of protective system reliability, that provides a probabilistic measure of the success of the protective apparatus to perform its intended function. The analysis shows the dependency of success on the reliability of many components, and the way this reliability may be enhanced by redundancy.

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A Method for Reliability Analysis of Process Facilities under Changing Operating Conditions (운전조건이 변화하는 공정설비의 신뢰도 분석기법)

  • Choi Soo Hyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.7 no.4 s.21
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    • pp.20-23
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    • 2003
  • The analysis of reliabilities of process facilities often uses models based on the Weibull distribution. The parameters in these models are functions of operating conditions, and determined by experiments. Using these values, we calculate the reliability, mean time to failure, and standard deviation. The conventional method assumes that the operating condition is constant, and thus treats the model parameters as constants. In this paper, a reliability function is proposed which is applicable when the scale parameter is a function of time, and an analysis method based on this is also presented. A case study on a cooling fan resulted in a big difference from the conventional method to which the average operating conditions were applied. The proposed method is also applicable to other process facilities, and expected to effectively take into account the effects of changes in the operating conditions on the reliabilities of the facilities.

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Periodic Preventive Maintenance Policies when Minimal Repair Costs Vary at Failures

  • Joon Keun Yum;Gi Mun Jung;Dong Ho Park
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.86-95
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    • 1997
  • This paper considers a repairable system, which is maintained preventively at periodic times and is minimally repaired at each failure. Most preventive maintenance policies for such repairable systems assume that the cost of minimal repair is constant regardless of its age at failure. However, it is more practical to consider the situations where the cost of minimal repair is dependent not only on its age at failue, but also on the number of preventive maintenance carried out prior to its failure. We consider the preventive maintenance carried out prior to its failure. We consider the preventive maintenance policy with age-dependent minimal repair cost. The optimal policies which minimize the expected cost rate over an infinite time span are discussed. We obtain the optimal period and number of preventive maintenance prior to replacement of the system.

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An Economic Life Test Sampling Plan for Repairable Products with Exponential Interfailure Time Distribution

  • Kwon, Young Il
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.108-120
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    • 1993
  • In this article an economic life test sampling plan is considered for repairable products when the products in each lot have the same interfailure time distribution, but the mean time between failure (MTBF) of a lot varies from lot to lot according to a known prior distribution. A cost model is constructed which consists of test cost, accept cost, and reject cost. Determination of the optimal plan which minimizes the expected average cost per lot is discussed. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the use of the proposed sampling plans and sensitivity analyses for parameters of the prior distribution are performed.

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Reliability Prediction & Design Review for Core Units of Machine Tools (공작기계 핵심 Units의 신뢰성 예측 및 Design Review)

  • 이승우;송준엽;이현용;박화영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.06a
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    • pp.133-136
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    • 2003
  • In these days, the reliability analysis and prediction are applied for many industrial products and many products require guaranteeing the quality and efficiency of their products. In this study reliability prediction for core units of machine tools has been performed in order to improve and analyze its reliability. ATC(Automatic Tool Changer) and interface Card of PC-NC that are core component of the machine tools were chosen as the target of the reliability prediction. A reliability analysis tool was used to obtain the reliability data(failure rate database) for reliability prediction. It is expected that the results of reliability prediction be applied to improve and evaluate its reliability. Failure rate, MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) and reliability for core units of machine tools were evaluated and analyzed in this study.

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An Ensemble Model for Machine Failure Prediction (앙상블 모델 기반의 기계 고장 예측 방법)

  • Cheon, Kang Min;Yang, Jaekyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.123-131
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    • 2020
  • There have been a lot of studies in the past for the method of predicting the failure of a machine, and recently, a lot of researches and applications have been generated to diagnose the physical condition of the machine and the parts and to calculate the remaining life through various methods. Survival models are also used to predict plant failures based on past anomaly cycles. In particular, special machine that reflect the fluid flow and process characteristics of chemical plants are connected to hundreds or thousands of sensors, so there are not many factors that need to be considered, such as process and material data as well as application of derivative variables. In this paper, the data were preprocessed through time series anomaly detection based on unsupervised learning to predict the abnormalities of these special machine. Next, clustering results reflecting clustering-based data characteristics were applied to produce additional variables, and a learning data set was created based on the history of past facility abnormalities. Finally, the prediction methodology based on the supervised learning algorithm was applied, and the model update was confirmed to improve the accuracy of the prediction of facility failure. Through this, it is expected to improve the efficiency of facility operation by flexibly replacing the maintenance time and parts supply and demand by predicting abnormalities of machine and extracting key factors.

Comparison of normal and replantation digital blood flow using photo-plethysmography (Photo-Plethysmography를 이용한 정상과 재접합 수지 혈류량의 비교)

  • Nam, Ki-Chang;Kim, Sung-Woo;Rah, Dong-Kyun;Kim, Deok-Won
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11c
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    • pp.322-324
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    • 2004
  • Up to the present, digital replantation patients has appealed different symptoms due to blood circulatory failure. But, the level of blood circulatory failure has been evaluated only by clinical symptoms, or angiography. According to the cases of digit replantation is increasing, then objective evaluation methods of the level of blood circulation failure is needed other than patient's subjective symptoms and complaints. Although angiography, doppler, electromagnetic flowmeter, laser blood flowmeter, mechanical blood flowmeter has been used for the evaluation of the blood circulatory failure, the result was affected by time, place, surrounding temperature, patient's body temperature, and even emotion. Therefore, it is pointed out with lack of availability, feasibility and reproducibility. Thus, we compared digital blood flow of dominant hand to non dominant hand, and replanted fingers to opposite normal fingers from developed photo-plethysmography. The average digital blood flow showed no difference in normal digits each other, but, replanted digits showed average of 53% (9 - 100 %) compare to opposit normal digits. As it measure relative blood flow for circulatory failure of tissue such as fingers and toes more sensitively, reliably. In conclusion, it is expected that photo- plethysmography will be very useful for diagnosis, curative effect, prognosis of blood circulatory failure in digital replantation patient.

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Maintenance Policy Based on Cost and Downtime Following the Expiration of Combination Warranty (혼합보증이 종료된 이후의 비용과 비가동시간에 근거한 보전정책)

  • Jung, Ki-Mun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.909-923
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    • 2008
  • This paper considers the replacement model and the preventive maintenance model following the expiration of combination warranty for a repairable system. If the system fails after the combination warranty is expired, then it is minimally repaired at each failure. The criterion used to determine the optimal replacement policy and the optimal preventive maintenance policy is the overall value function based on the expected cost rate per unit time and the expected downtime per unit time. The numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose when the failure time follows a Weibull distribution.

A Bayesian Approach to Replacement Policy with Extended Warranty (연장된 보증이 있는 교체정책에 대한 베이지안 접근)

  • Jung, Ki Mun
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.229-239
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    • 2013
  • This paper reports a manner to use a Bayesian approach to derive the optimal replacement policy. In order to produce a system with minimal repair warranty, a replacement model with the extended warranty is considered. Within the warranty period, the failed system is minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the end-user. The failure time is assumed to follow a Weibull distribution with unknown parameters. The expected cost rate per unit time, from the end-user's viewpoints, is induced by the Bayesian approach, and the optimal replacement policy to minimize the cost rate is proposed. Finally, a numerical example illustrating to derive the optimal replacement policy based on the Bayesian approach is described.