• Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
• /
• v.4 no.1
• /
• pp.170-176
• /
• 2001

An optimization problem to obtain the optimal replacement interval considering the salvage values is studied. The system is minimally repaired at failure and is replaced by new one at age T(periodic replacement policy with minimal repair of Barlow and Hunter〔2〕). Our model assumes that the time horizon associated with the number of replacements is random The total expected cost considering the salvage values with random time horizon is obtained and the optimal replacement interval minimizing the cost is found by numerical methods. Comparisons between non-considered salvage values and this case are made by a numerical example.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
• /
• 1999.05a
• /
• pp.57-61
• /
• 1999

Electrical stress makes insulating materials aged finally resulting in the dielectric failure. It becomes more and more important to recognize the degree of aging and the life time of the insulating materials since it is directly concerned with the reliability of the insulation system. In this paper, the life time of the Cross-linked Polyethylene(XLPE), the insulation layer in the 154kV-grade power cable, is expected and calculated using statistical and mathematical methods. The simulated results are compared with experimental ones and the life exponent of the material is obtained.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
• /
• v.28 no.9B
• /
• pp.793-805
• /
• 2003

In OBS (Optical Burst Switching) networks which decouple the burst from its header, the fault of a fiber link can lead to the failure of all the light-path that traverses the fiber. Because each light-path is expected to operate at a rate of a few Gbps by using WDM (Wavelength Division Multiplexing) technology, any failure may lead to large data loss. Therefore, an efficient recovery scheme must be provided. In this paper, we analyze network utilization and BCP (Burst Control Packet) loss rate according to each link failure by applying the conventional restoration schemes in OBS networks. And through these simulation results, an ASPR scheme is proposed improve the fault management scheme in terms of recovery time and throughput. Finally, We compare the performance of our proposed scheme with that of the conventional one with respect to burst loss rate, resource utilization and throughput by OPNET simulations.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
• /
• v.31 no.3
• /
• pp.158-169
• /
• 2019

A probabilistic model that can predict the residual useful lifetime of structure is formulated by using the gamma process which is one of the stochastic processes. The formulated stochastic model can take into account both the sampling uncertainty associated with damages measured up to now and the temporal uncertainty of cumulative damage over time. A method estimating several parameters of stochastic model is additionally proposed by introducing of the least square method and the method of moments, so that the age of a structure, the operational environment, and the evolution of damage with time can be considered. Some features related to the residual useful lifetime are firstly investigated into through the sensitivity analysis on parameters under a simple setting of single damage data measured at the current age. The stochastic model are then applied to the rubble-mound breakwater straightforwardly. The parameters of gamma process can be estimated for several experimental data on the damage processes of armor rocks of rubble-mound breakwater. The expected damage levels over time, which are numerically simulated with the estimated parameters, are in very good agreement with those from the flume testing. It has been found from various numerical calculations that the probabilities exceeding the failure limit are converged to the constraint that the model must be satisfied after lasting for a long time from now. Meanwhile, the expected residual useful lifetimes evaluated from the failure probabilities are seen to be different with respect to the behavior of damage history. As the coefficient of variation of cumulative damage is becoming large, in particular, it has been shown that the expected residual useful lifetimes have significant discrepancies from those of the deterministic regression model. This is mainly due to the effect of sampling and temporal uncertainties associated with damage, by which the first time to failure tends to be widely distributed. Therefore, the stochastic model presented in this paper for predicting the residual useful lifetime of structure can properly implement the probabilistic assessment on current damage state of structure as well as take account of the temporal uncertainty of future cumulative damage.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
• /
• 2002.05a
• /
• pp.470-473
• /
• 2002

Most networks for automation are tuned to an expected traffic at their design stage. During their actual operations, however, the networks experience considerable changes in traffic from time to time. These traffic changes caused by common events like machine failure and production schedule change may adversely affect the network performance and, in turn, the performance of the connected devices. This paper presents communication delay model for Profibus token passing protocol, and introduces TTR selection methods to maintain a uniform level of network performance at all stations under changing network traffic.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.9 no.1
• /
• pp.21-31
• /
• 2002

This paper considers a Bayesian approach to determine an optimal replacement policy for a repairable system with warranty period. The mathematical formula of the expected cost rate per unit time is obtained for two cases : RFRW(renewing free-replacement warranty) and RPRW(renewing pro-rata warranty). When the failure time is Weibull distribution with uncertain parameters, a Bayesian approach is established to formally express and update the uncertain parameters for determining an optimal replacement policy. Some numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
• /
• v.43 no.2
• /
• pp.147-153
• /
• 2017

In order to demonstrate a target reliability with a specified confidence level, a new two-stage Bayesian Reliability Demonstration Test (RDT) plans that is known to be more effective than a corresponding single-stage one is proposed and developed by Bayesian framework with beta prior distribution for Weibull life time distribution. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the proposed RDT plans and compared with other non-Bayesian and Bayesian plans. Comparative results show that the proposed Bayesian two-stage plans have some merits in terms of required and expected testing time and probability of acceptance.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
• /
• v.5 no.6
• /
• pp.1166-1191
• /
• 2011

This paper presents an adaptive active tracking system with sector based scanning for a single PTZ camera. Dividing sectors on an image reduces the search space to shorten selection time so that the system can cover many targets. Upon the selection of a target, the system estimates the target trajectory to predict the zooming location with a finite amount of time for camera movement. Advanced estimation techniques using probabilistic reason suffer from the unknown object dynamics and the inaccurate estimation compromises the zooming level to prevent tracking failure. The proposed system uses the simple piecewise estimation with a few frames to cope with fast moving objects and/or slow camera movements. The target is tracked in multiple steps and the zooming time for each step is determined by maximizing the zooming level within the expected variation of object velocity and detection. The number of zooming steps is adaptively determined according to target speed. In addition, the iterative estimation of a zooming location with camera movement time compensates for the target prediction error due to the difference between speeds of a target and a camera. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated by simulations and real time experiments.

• Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
• /
• v.4 no.4
• /
• pp.553-560
• /
• 2003

Can presume number of software failure or remaining fault that is expected with test data that is collected by decided time using SRGM that is studied until present. Therefore, can forecast software reliability achievement degree and software reliability use step. But, reliability evaluation according to if choose any model can change. Therefore, we present SRGM that consider test cost to error detection and error delete cost as SRGM that consider error delete cost in this research. Using this SRGM, can presume number of remaining fault in software, reliability and optimal release time.

• Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
• /
• v.18 no.2
• /
• pp.114-125
• /
• 1992

A policy of periodic replacement with minimal repair at failure is considered for a complex system. Under such a policy the system is replaced at periodic times. iT(i=1,2, $\ldots$), while minimal repair is performed at any intervening system failures. The cost of the j-th minimal repair to the component which fails at age t is g(C(t). $c_j$ (t)), where C(t) is the age-dependent random part, $c_j$(t) is the deterministic part which depends on the age and the number of the minimal repair to the component, and g is a positive nondecreasing continuous function. The cost of replacement is expensive when the number of failures occurring in (0. T) is greater than a threshold level. The problem of determining the optimal replacement period, $T^{\ast}$, which minimizes the total expected cost per unit time over an infinite time horizon is considered. Various special cases are considered.