• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation methods

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인구 역 추정에 의한 시조의 연대를 추정하는 수리적 방법

  • 유동선;구자흥;이성철
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2004
  • There are so many methods in population estimation such as logistic estimation and compound interest estimation. If we have some pieces of information about population of one tribe, we can estimate progenitor chronology of that tribe used by inverse estimation. In this paper, we describe several theory of population estimation, and develop mathematical method for estimation progenitor chronology from prior general data and statistical estimation theory. Several examples are illustrated.

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Evaluation of Reference Evapotranspiration in South Korea according to CMIP5 GCMs and Estimation Methods (CMIP5 GCMs과 추정 방법에 따른 우리나라 기준증발산량 평가)

  • Park, Jihoon;Cho, Jaepil;Lee, Eun-Jeong;Jung, Imgook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.153-168
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    • 2017
  • The main objective of this study was to assess reference evapotranspiration based on multiple GCMs (General Circulation Models) and estimation methods. In this study, 10 GCMs based on the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 scenario were used to estimate reference evapotranspiration. 54 ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) data were constructed by statistical downscaling techniques. The meteorological variables of precipitation, maximum temperature and minimum temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation were produced using GCMs. For the past and future periods, we estimated reference evapotranspiration by GCMs and analyzed the statistical characteristics and analyzed its uncertainty. Five methods (BC: Blaney-Criddle, HS: Hargreaves-Samani, MK: Makkink, MS: Matt-Shuttleworth, and PM: Penman-Monteith) were selected to analyze the uncertainty by reference evapotranspiration estimation methods. We compared the uncertainty of reference evapotranspiration method by the variable expansion and analyzed which variables greatly influence reference evapotranspiration estimation. The posterior probabilities of five methods were estimated as BC: 0.1792, HS: 0.1775, MK: 0.2361, MS: 0.2054, and PM: 0.2018. The posterior probability indicated how well reference evapotranspiration estimated with 10 GCMs for five methods reflected the estimated reference evapotranspiration using the observed data. Through this study, we analyzed the overall characteristics of reference evapotranspiration according to GCMs and reference evapotranspiration estimation methods The results of this study might be used as a basic data for preparing the standard method of reference evapotranspiration to derive the water management method under climate change.

Power System State Estimation Using Parallel PSO Algorithm based on PC cluster (PC 클러스터 기반 병렬 PSO 알고리즘을 이용한 전력계통의 상태추정)

  • Jeong, Hee-Myung;Park, June-Ho;Lee, Hwa-Seok
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.07a
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    • pp.303-304
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    • 2008
  • For the state estimation problem, the weighted least squares (WLS) method and the fast decoupled method are widely used at present. However, these algorithms can converge to local optimal solutions. Recently, modern heuristic optimization methods such as Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) have been introduced to overcome the disadvantage of the classical optimization problem. However, heuristic optimization methods based on populations require a lengthy computing time to find an optimal solution. In this paper, we used PSO to search for the optimal solution of state estimation in power systems. To overcome the shortcoming of heuristic optimization methods, we proposed parallel processing of the PSO algorithm based on the PC cluster system. the proposed approach was tested with the IEEE-118 bus systems. From the simulation results, we found that the parallel PSO based on the PC cluster system can be applicable for power system state estimation.

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Estimates of the Economic Value of Housework by Fulltime Housewives in Korea (한국주부의 가사노동의 경제적 가치추정)

  • 이정우
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.99-111
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    • 1987
  • The purpose of this study is to survey alternative methods of valuation of housework, and then to estimate the economic value of housework done by fulltime housewives in Korea. Four different methods-Self Estimation by Housewives, Opportunity Cost, Individual Function Cost and Housekeeper Replacement cost-are tried for the estimation of economic value of housework. The results of this study can be summarized as follows: (1) The economic value of housework varies substantially by the methods of estimation. The average are: *Estimates of Economic values of Housework by Each Method of Estimation (2) The economic value of housework varies with the level of education, ages, household income, the size of family, the number of children, the number of preschool children.

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An Integrated Sequential Inference Approach for the Normal Mean

  • Almahmeed, M.A.;Hamdy, H.I.;Alzalzalah, Y.H.;Son, M.S.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.415-431
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    • 2002
  • A unified framework for statistical inference for the mean of the normal distribution to derive point estimates, confidence intervals and statistical tests is proposed. This optimal design is justified after investigating the basic information and requirements that are possible and impossible to control when specifying practical and statistical requirements. Point estimation is only credible when viewed in the larger context of interval estimation, since the information required for optimal point estimation is unspecifiable. Triple sampling is proposed and justified as a reasonable sampling vehicle to achieve the specifiable requirements within the unified framework.

Evolutionary Algorithm-based Space Diversity for Imperfect Channel Estimation

  • Ghadiri, Zienab Pouladmast;El-Saleh, Ayman A.;Vetharatnam, Gobi
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.1588-1603
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    • 2014
  • In space diversity combining, conventional methods such as maximal ratio combining (MRC), equal gain combining (EGC) and selection combining (SC) are commonly used to improve the output signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) provided that the channel is perfectly estimated at the receiver. However, in practice, channel estimation is often imperfect and this indeed deteriorates the system performance. In this paper, diversity combining techniques based on two evolutionary algorithms, namely genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) are proposed and compared. Numerical results indicate that the proposed methods outperform the conventional MRC, EGC and SC methods when the channel estimation is imperfect while it shows similar performance as that of MRC when the channel is perfectly estimated.

Estimation and Application of Binomial Confidence Interval for Nonconforming Proportions (부적합품률의 이항 신뢰구간 추정 및 응용)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon;Lee, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.143-147
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents various interval estimation methods of binomial proportion for small n in multi-product small volume production and extremely small ^P like PPM or PPB fraction of defectives. This study classifies interval estimation of binomial proportion into three categories such as exact, approximate, Bayesian methods. These confidence intervals proposed in this paper can be applied to attribute process capability and attribute acceptance sampling plan for PPM or PPB.

Review on State of Charge Estimation Methods for Li-Ion Batteries

  • Zhang, Xiaoqiang;Zhang, Weiping;Li, Hongyu;Zhang, Mao
    • Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Materials
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.136-140
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    • 2017
  • The state of charge (SOC) is an important parameter in a battery-management system (BMS), and is very significant for accurately estimating the SOC of a battery. Li-ion batteries boast of excellent performance, and can only remain at their best working state by means of accurate SOC estimation that gives full play to their performances and raises their economic benefits. This paper summarizes some measures taken in SOC estimation, including the discharge experiment method, the ampere-hour integral method, the open circuit voltage method, the Kalman filter method, the neural network method, and electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS. The principles of the various SOC estimation methods are introduced, and their advantages and disadvantages, as well as the working conditions adopted during these methods, are discussed and analyzed.

A Bhattacharyya Analogue for Median-unbiased Estimation

  • Sung, Nae-Kyung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2004
  • A more general version of diffusivity based on total variation of density is defined and an information inequality for median-unbiased estimation is presented. The resulting information inequality can be interpreted as an analogue of the Bhattacharyya system of lower bounds for mean-unbiased estimation. A condition on which the information bound is achieved is also given.

Data-Driven Smooth Goodness of Fit Test by Nonparametric Function Estimation

  • Kim, Jongtae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.811-816
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this paper is to study of data-driven smoothing goodness of it test, when the hypothesis is complete. The smoothing goodness of fit test statistic by nonparametric function estimation techniques is proposed in this paper. The results of simulation studies for he powers of show that the proposed test statistic compared well to other.

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