• Title/Summary/Keyword: dynamic prediction method

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Evaluation of the Dynamic Modulus by using the Impact Resonance Testing Method (비파괴충격파 시험법을 이용한 동탄성계수 평가)

  • Kim, Dowan;Jang, ByungKwan;Mun, Sungho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : The dynamic modulus for a specimen can be determined by using either the non-destructed or destructed testing method. The Impact Resonance Testing (IRT) is the one of the non-destructed testing methods. The MTS has proved the source credibility and has the disadvantages which indicate the expensive equipment to operate and need a lot of manpower to manufacture the specimens because of the low repeatability with an experiment. To overcome these shortcomings from MTS, the objective of this paper is to compare the dynamic modulus obtained from IRT with MTS result and prove the source credibility. METHODS : The dynamic modulus obtained from IRT could be determined by using the Resonance Frequency (RF) from the Frequency Response Function (FRF) that derived from the Fourier Transform based on the Frequency Analysis of the Digital Signal Processing (DSP)(S. O. Oyadigi; 1985). The RF values are verified from the Coherence Function (CF). To estimate the error, the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) method could be used. RESULTS : The dynamic modulus data obtained from IRT have the maximum error of 8%, and RMSE of 2,000MPa compared to the dynamic modulus measured by the Dynamic Modulus Testing (DMT) of MTS testing machine. CONCLUSIONS : The IRT testing method needs the prediction model of the dynamic modulus for a Linear Visco-Elastic (LVE) specimen to improve the suitability.

Bayesian forecasting approach for structure response prediction and load effect separation of a revolving auditorium

  • Ma, Zhi;Yun, Chung-Bang;Shen, Yan-Bin;Yu, Feng;Wan, Hua-Ping;Luo, Yao-Zhi
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.507-524
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    • 2019
  • A Bayesian dynamic linear model (BDLM) is presented for a data-driven analysis for response prediction and load effect separation of a revolving auditorium structure, where the main loads are self-weight and dead loads, temperature load, and audience load. Analyses are carried out based on the long-term monitoring data for static strains on several key members of the structure. Three improvements are introduced to the ordinary regression BDLM, which are a classificatory regression term to address the temporary audience load effect, improved inference for the variance of observation noise to be updated continuously, and component discount factors for effective load effect separation. The effects of those improvements are evaluated regarding the root mean square errors, standard deviations, and 95% confidence intervals of the predictions. Bayes factors are used for evaluating the probability distributions of the predictions, which are essential to structural condition assessments, such as outlier identification and reliability analysis. The performance of the present BDLM has been successfully verified based on the simulated data and the real data obtained from the structural health monitoring system installed on the revolving structure.

Performance Improvement of an Energy Efficient Cluster Management Based on Autonomous Learning (자율학습기반의 에너지 효율적인 클러스터 관리에서의 성능 개선)

  • Cho, Sungchul;Chung, Kyusik
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.4 no.11
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    • pp.369-382
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    • 2015
  • Energy aware server clusters aim to reduce power consumption at maximum while keeping QoS(quality of service) compared to energy non-aware server clusters. They adjust the power mode of each server in a fixed or variable time interval to activate only the minimum number of servers needed to handle current user requests. Previous studies on energy aware server cluster put efforts to reduce power consumption or heat dissipation, but they do not consider energy efficiency well. In this paper, we propose an energy efficient cluster management method to improve not only performance per watt but also QoS of the existing server power mode control method based on autonomous learning. Our proposed method is to adjust server power mode based on a hybrid approach of autonomous learning method with multi level thresholds and power consumption prediction method. Autonomous learning method with multi level thresholds is applied under normal load situation whereas power consumption prediction method is applied under abnormal load situation. The decision on whether current load is normal or abnormal depends on the ratio of the number of current user requests over the average number of user requests during recent past few minutes. Also, a dynamic shutdown method is additionally applied to shorten the time delay to make servers off. We performed experiments with a cluster of 16 servers using three different kinds of load patterns. The multi-threshold based learning method with prediction and dynamic shutdown shows the best result in terms of normalized QoS and performance per watt (valid responses). For banking load pattern, real load pattern, and virtual load pattern, the numbers of good response per watt in the proposed method increase by 1.66%, 2.9% and 3.84%, respectively, whereas QoS in the proposed method increase by 0.45%, 1.33% and 8.82%, respectively, compared to those in the existing autonomous learning method with single level threshold.

Estimation of Strain at Elastic System Using Acceleration Response (가속도 데이터를 활용한 선형 시스템의 변형률 예측)

  • Kim, Chan-Jung;Lee, Bong-Hyun;Jeon, Hyun-Cheol;Jo, Hyeon-Ho;Kang, Yeon-June
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2012
  • This paper investigates the prediction of the dynamic strain response using acceleration response only. Two methods are proposed for the strain prediction; one is based on beam theory and the other is calculated by the frequency response function between acceleration and strain. First, it is estimated the dynamics of the simple notched beam, including the non-linearity, through the uni-axial vibration testing. Then, the dynamic strain response is predicted under two different methods using acceleration response. The validation of proposed methods is conducted by the comparison between measured strain and predicted values. The comparison reveals that the proposed method based on the FRF between acceleration and strain is more reliable one than that stemmed from beam theory and the maximum relative error is less than 8 %.

Equivalent Dynamic Modeling of Coil Bundle for Prediction of Dynamic Properties of Stator in Small Motors (소형 전동기의 고정자 동특성 예측을 위한 코일 다발의 등가 동적 모형화)

  • 은희광;고홍석;김광준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.540-545
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    • 2001
  • In case of small motors, coil bundle occupies a large portion of stator in view of mass and volume as well as dynamics. It is observed through modal test on the stator of an IPM BLDC (interior permanent magnet brushless direct current) motor that coil bundle wound on the stator core causes the first and second natural frequencies to decrease by about 20-30% compared with those of bare stator. Especially the third natural frequency is newly observed below 3 KHz, which is not observed on the bare stator. It is found that at the third mode the end-coil and the core vibrate out of phase in radial direction. In this paper, the stator is dynamically modeled in terms of the core and the coil bundle consisting of the end-coil and the slot coil based on the above observations for the prediction of dynamic properties. The core can easily be modeled using finite element method with its actual material properties and geometric shape. The concept of equivalent bending stiffness is used for modeling of the end-coil so that predictions may match with the measured natural frequencies for the end-coil cut out of the stator. Although the same concept can be applied to the slot coil, separation of the slot coil from the stator is impractical. Therefore, equivalent bending stiffness of the slot coil is determined through iterative comparisons with the measurements of natural frequencies of the stator with the slot coil in it.

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Predicting Session Conversion on E-commerce: A Deep Learning-based Multimodal Fusion Approach

  • Minsu Kim;Woosik Shin;SeongBeom Kim;Hee-Woong Kim
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.737-767
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    • 2023
  • With the availability of big customer data and advances in machine learning techniques, the prediction of customer behavior at the session-level has attracted considerable attention from marketing practitioners and scholars. This study aims to predict customer purchase conversion at the session-level by employing customer profile, transaction, and clickstream data. For this purpose, we develop a multimodal deep learning fusion model with dynamic and static features (i.e., DS-fusion). Specifically, we base page views within focal visist and recency, frequency, monetary value, and clumpiness (RFMC) for dynamic and static features, respectively, to comprehensively capture customer characteristics for buying behaviors. Our model with deep learning architectures combines these features for conversion prediction. We validate the proposed model using real-world e-commerce data. The experimental results reveal that our model outperforms unimodal classifiers with each feature and the classical machine learning models with dynamic and static features, including random forest and logistic regression. In this regard, this study sheds light on the promise of the machine learning approach with the complementary method for different modalities in predicting customer behaviors.

Torque Ripple Reduction of Interior Permanent-Magnet Synchronous Motors Driven by Torque Predictive Control (토크예측제어를 이용한 매입형 영구자석 동기전동기의 토크리플저감기법)

  • Kim, Hyunseob;Han, Jungho;Song, Joong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, a new torque predictive control method of interior permanent magnet synchronous motor is developed based on an extended rotor flux. Also, a duty ratio prediction method is proposed and allows the duty ratio of the active stator voltage vector to be continuously calculated. The proposed method makes it possible to relatively reduce the torque ripple under the steady state as well as to remain the good dynamic response in the transient state. With the duty ratio prediction method, the magnitude and time interval of the active stator voltage vector applied can be continuously controlled against the varying operation conditions. This paper shows a comparative study among the switching table direct torque control(DTC), the SVM-DTC, conventional torque predictive control, and the proposed torque predictive control. Simulation results show validity and effectiveness of this work.

Development of Integrated HVAC Noise Analysis Program for Ships (선박용 통합 HVAC 소음해석 프로그램 개발)

  • Han, Ju-Bum;Hong, Suk-Yoon;Song, Jee-Hun;Kim, Nho-Seong;Chun, Seung-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.588-593
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    • 2011
  • The Main design parameters of ship HVAC systems are pressure drop and noise analysis of ducts. The Noise prediction for HVAC(Heating, Ventilating and Air Conditioning) systems are normally performed by empirical method suggested by NEBB(National Environmental Balancing Bureau, 1994), but NEBB's method is not suitable for the ship HVAC systems. In this paper, numerical analysis methods are used to develop a noise prediction method for the ship HVAC systems, especially for large ducts. To develop regression formula of attenuation of sound pressure level in large duct, Boundary Element Method(BEM) is used. Using dynamic loss coefficient which is suggested by ASHRAE fitting data base and numerical methods of HVAC noise analysis, integrated HVAC noise analysis of Program is developed. The developed program can present pressure drop and noise analysis of the ship HVAC systems. To verify the accuracy and convenience of the developed program, prediction of HVAC system for Semi-Submersible Drilling RIG is carried out and the results are compared with measurement of noise level during sea trial.

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A Video Sequence Coding Using Dynamic Selection of Unrestricted Motion Vector Mode in H.263 (H.263의 비제한 움직임 벡터 모드의 동적 선택을 이용한 영상 부호화)

  • 박성한;박성태
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
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    • v.2 no.8
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    • pp.1075-1088
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we propose a method for dynamic selection of unrestricted motion vector(UMV) or default prediction mode(DPM) in H.263 bit stream. For this, we use the error of compensated image and the magnitude of motion vector. In the proposed strategy, the UMV mode is dynamically applied in a frame according to average magnitude of motion vector and error of compensated image. This scheme has improved the quality of image compared to the fixed mode UMV or DPM only. Number of searching points are greatly reduced when comparing to UMV The proposed method is more profitable to long video sequences having camera movement locally.

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Experimental and Numerical Study on the Dynamic Stability of a Cantilevered Beam Subjected to a Rocket Thrust (로켓 추진력을 받는 외팔보의 동적 안정성에 관한 수치 및 실험적 연구)

  • ;;Sugiyama, Y.
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.2762-2772
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    • 1993
  • The paper deals with the flutter of a cantilevered beam subjected to a rocket thrust generated by a solid rocket motor. It is saaumed that the rocket thrust is to be a constant follower thrust, and produced by the installation of a solid rocket motor to the tip end of the cantilevered beam. The rocket motor is considered to be a rigid body having finite sizes, but not a mass point as it has been assumed so far. Governing equations are derived through the extended Hamilton's principle, and finite element method is applied to obtain the theoretical prediction for critical follower thrust. The maximum follower thrust is also calculated through the change of shear deformation parameter of the beam in the numerical simulation. The theoretical prediction for flutter or stability is verified by experiment. The experimental results show that critical follower thrust in theory agrees well with the experimental value taking account of the magnitude, rotary inertia of the rocket motor and the distance from the tip end of the beam to the center of gravity of the rocket motor.