• 에너지공학
• /
• 제22권3호
• /
• pp.245-249
• /
• 2013

본 논문에서는 1981년부터 2012년까지의 시계열 자료를 이용하여 등유수요함수를 추정하고자 한다. 등유수요함수는 수용가의 등유 수요행태에 대한 정보를 제공하여 가격과 같은 주요 정책변수의 효과를 사전적으로 진단하는 데, 그리고 수요예측을 하는 데 유용하게 활용된다. 수요함수의 모수에 대한 강건한 추정치를 얻기 위해 최소자승법 추정법 뿐만 아니라 최소절대편차법 및 LMS 추정법을 사용하였다. 단기 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성은 각각 -0.468 및 0.409로 추정되었으며 유의수준 1%에서 통계적으로 유의하였다. 단기 가격탄력성은 가격에 비탄력적인 등유수요의 특징을 보여주고 있으며, 단기 소득탄력성 역시 비탄력적으로 추정되어 소득 증감에 따라 등유의 수요가 크게 변화지 않음을 알 수 있다. 반면, 장기 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성은 각각 -4.560 및 3.990으로 나타나 탄력적임을 알 수 있다.

• 한국의류산업학회지
• /
• 제22권2호
• /
• pp.209-221
• /
• 2020

Recently, following the commercialization and market entry of smart clothes with diverse functions, smart clothes have been changing from technology-centered products to user-centered products. However, the analysis of consumer demand centered on actual commercialized products is lacking. Therefore, this study classified commercialized smart clothes by function and analyzed the demand and requirements of smart clothes according to sports/outdoor clothes consumption behaviors. As a result, consumers were classified according to their sports/outdoor clothes consumption behaviors into an outdoor leading group with high consumption propensity, an outdoor pursuit group with medium consumption propensity, and an outdoor following group with low consumption propensity. Among the commercialized smart clothes, those with a heartbeat measuring function, those with a heating function, and those with a light-emitting function were presented and demand analysis was conducted. According to the results, the outdoor leading group and the outdoor pursuit group had higher levels of awareness, preference, and purchase intentions than the outdoor following group. In addition, the outdoor leading group showed the highest level of purchase price acceptance while the outdoor following group showed the lowest level of purchase price acceptance. However, this study has a limitation that the acceptance for smart clothes were analyzed with consumers who had experience in sports outdoor clothes consumption. Therefore, in future, studies will be conducted with a wide range of consumers.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
• /
• 제54권2호
• /
• pp.79-87
• /
• 2005

At present Cournot model is one of the most commonly used theories to analyze the gaming situation in oligopoly market. But there exist several problems to apply this model to electricity market. The representative one is to obtain the inverse demand curve able to be induced from the relationship between market price and demand response. In Cournot model, each player offers their generation quantity to accomplish maximum profit, which is accomplished by reducing their quantity compared with available total capacity. As stated above, to obtain the probable Cournot equilibrium to reflect real market situation, we have to induce the correct demand function first of all. Usually the correlation between price and demand appears on the long-term basis through the statistical data analysis (for example, regression analysis) or by investigating consumer utility functions of several consumer groups classified as residential, industrial, and commercial. However, the elasticity has a tendency to change continuously according to the total market demand size or the level of market price. Therefore it should be updated as trading period passes by. In this paper we propose a method for inducing and updating this price elasticity of demand function for more realistic market equilibrium.

• KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
• /
• 제5A권4호
• /
• pp.403-411
• /
• 2005

At present, the Cournot model is one of the most commonly used theories to analyze the gaming situation in an oligopoly type market. However, several problems exist in the successful application of this model to the electricity market. The representative one is obtaining the inverse demand curve able to be induced from the relationship between market price and demand response. In the Cournot model, each player offers their generation quantity to obtain maximum profit, which is accomplished by reducing their quantity compared with available total capacity. As stated above, to obtain the probable Cournot equilibrium to reflect the real market situation, we have to induce the correct demand function first of all. Usually the correlation between price and demand appears over the long-term through statistical data analysis (for example, regression analysis) or by investigating consumer utility functions of several consumer groups classified as residential, industrial, and commercial. However, the elasticity has a tendency to change continuously according to the total market demand size or the level of market price. Therefore it should be updated as the trading period passes by. In this paper we propose a method for inducing and updating this price elasticity of demand function for more realistic market equilibrium.

• 지식경영연구
• /
• 제6권2호
• /
• pp.23-47
• /
• 2005

This study is performed the multinomial logistic regression with the officials needs level about a component of knowledge administration for drawing a demand estimation model in the knowledge administration activities. This study is not that an activity and domain of knowledge administration is to apply and to operate uniformly it in public sector, one is suggested an application with a demand diagnose of knowledge administration in order to saw a course of the knowledge administration programs to suit a function and role of public administration. A result of this study is that an activity and domain of the knowledge administration is different from a component of it namely, knowledge creating, knowledge organizing, knowledge sharing and distribution, knowledge utility, and knowledge store. And the officials individual characteristics, administration agency, a kind of business, and a function and role of work are different from demand of knowledge administration. Also, the practical use of KMS (knowledge management system) is not so high in public sector. Accordingly, the tools of knowledge administration will deliberate on a consolidation with the existing system in the device.

• 한국산림과학회지
• /
• 제103권3호
• /
• pp.462-472
• /
• 2014

이 연구는 목제품의 수급모형을 개발하고, 제품별로 중장기적인 수요와 공급을 전망하는 데 목적이 있다. 목제품 시장 수급모형은 주요 제품인 제재목, 합판, 파티클보드, 섬유판, 펄프 등으로 한정하였다. 각각의 제품에 대해 공급함수, 수입수요함수, 수요함수 등을 추정하여 부분균형 모형을 구축하였다. 주어진 외생변수를 이용하여 2050년까지 전망한 결과 제재목, 합판, 섬유판 등의 국내공급 및 수입은 감소할 것으로 예상된다. 이는 환경보호와 자원의 무기화 등으로 인해 국내외 원목가격이 인상될 것이라고 예상하였기 때문이다. 반면 폐재를 재활용하는 파티클보드와 목재칩을 원료로 이용하는 펄프의 경우 전체적인 공급은 늘어날 것으로 전망된다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
• /
• 제27권2호
• /
• pp.287-313
• /
• 2018

본 연구는 전력수요의 냉방 및 난방 수요를 측정하고 분석한다. 이를 위해 냉난방기온효과를 추정하고 이를 Chang et al. (2014)의 전력수요함수 모형에 적용하여 전력수요를 기본수요, 냉방수요 그리고 난방수요로 분해하였다. 1999년 1월부터 2016년 12월의 한국의 일반용과 주택용 전력수요를 분석한 결과, 난방수요의 증가율이 기본수요와 냉방수요의 증가율을 월등히 상회하였으며 특히 일반용에서 난방수요 증가가 두드러졌다. 평년기온으로 통제한 기온보정된 난방수요는 실현된 난방수요보다 상대적으로 '더' 증가하였고, 냉방수요는 반대로 기온보정된 수요가 실현된 수요에 비해서 '덜' 증가하였다. 본 논문은 전력수요 내의 냉방 및 난방수요를 측정할 뿐 아니라 경제주체들의 전력수요 변화 패턴을 확인했다는 점에 의의가 있으며, 추정 결과들은 향후 전력수요예측과 에너지수요관리 정책 수립에 도움을 줄 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제8권3호
• /
• pp.436-445
• /
• 2013

The use of a demand response controller is necessary for electric devices to effectively respond to time varying price signals and to achieve the benefits of cost reduction. This paper describes a new formulation with the form of constrained optimization for designing an optimal demand response controller. It is demonstrated that constrained optimization is a better approach for the demand response controller, in terms of the ambiguity of device operation and the practicality of implementation of the optimal control law. This paper also proposes a design scheme to construct a demand response controller that is useful when a system controller is already adapted or optimized for the system. The design separates the demand response function from the original system control function while leaving the system control law unchanged. The proposed formulation is simulated and compared to the system with simple dynamics. The effects of the constraints, the system characteristics and the electricity price are examined further.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
• /
• 제31권3호
• /
• pp.194-202
• /
• 2006

Using a multi-variable linear regression technique and SUR(seemingly unrelated regression) model, the demand functions of tractor, combine and rice transplanter were estimated. The demand was regarded as an annual supply of each machine and modeled as a function of 11 independent variables which reflect the actual farmer's income, actual prices of farm machines, previous supply, previous stock, actual amount of available subsidy, actual amount of available loan, arable land, import of farm machines and rice price. The actual amount of available loan affects most significantly the demand functions. The actual farmer's income, actual farmer's asset, loan coverage, and rice price affect the demand positively while prices of farm machines and import negatively. The annual demands of tractor, combine and rice transplanter estimated using the demand functions were also presented over the next 4 years.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
• /
• 제14권2호
• /
• pp.475-491
• /
• 2005

공업용수 수요량 예측방법으로 현재 사용되고 있는 부지면적원단위법의 문제점을 분석하고 이에 대한 대안으로 수요함수를 이용하는 방법을 분석한다. 실제 조사 자료인 산업 총조사보고서의 자료와 비교하면 최근의 공업용수 수요량은 부지면적 원단법의 수요량 예측치보다는 본 연구에서 사용한 수요함수를 이용하여 추정한 수요량 예측치가 훨씬 더 정확하게 추정되었음을 보여준다. 그리고 가격 변화에 따른 수요량 변화 효과가 상당함을 보이고 있으므로 공업용수 수요량 관리를 위한 가격정책의 유효성을 보여준다. 따라서 향후 공업용수 수요량 추정에서는 부지면적원단위법보다는 용수 가격 및 산출량 등 경제적인 변수를 고려한 수요함수를 이용하는 것이 바람직하다.