• Title/Summary/Keyword: delphi survey

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Technology Forecasting in Food Processing Using Delphi (델파이 법에 의한 식품가공분야의 기술예측)

  • Cho, Keun-Tae;Kim, Cheol-Jin;Kim, Jae-Han;Lee, Jong-In
    • Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 2004
  • The study was designed to forecast and derive future core technologies using Delphi method in Korea. The technologies will make agriculture for core and strategic industry that. has high value-added in 21 century. The target of the survey for Delphi is confined specialists in the area of processing.

A Study on the Budget Allocation to Public Health Programs Using Matrix Delphi Technique (매트릭스 구성 델파이법을 이용한 공공보건사업 예산배분 연구)

  • 장원기;정경래
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.99-115
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    • 2000
  • This study was conducted to get a resonable set of budget allocation to public health programs. Matrix Delphi technique was used to obtain the logic of study results and eventually to form a human model which could predict opinion of professionals on budget allocation. Thirty-two professionals in academic and governmental area responded to Delphi survey. Questionnaire was developed using matrix formation, and the matrix was formed by 6 decision criteria on budget allocation and 26 public health programs. The decision criteria are as following: size of problem(morbidity), severity of problem, social equity, importance of prevention, technical feasibility and efficiency of programs. Severity of problem dropped out of the model because it had significant correlation with the size of problem. A total score of each program was obtained by weighting the relative importance of each criteria which also were given by survey respondents. These total scores indicate that the most important public health program is vaccination for infants and children in terms of budget allocation. Monitoring communicable diseases, mental health program, and anti-smoking program are the next. In addition, respondents were asked of the desirable budget size of each program. The result was rearranged by multiple regression model using the scores of each decision criteria. In this process, the current budget size of central government was provided to the respondents, and included in the model. h set of desirable budgets modified using tile model was obtained. Considering the current size of budget, tile results of the model is very different from that of the total score. Managing dementia is ranked the first. Health promotion program for the elderly, rehabilitation of the disabled and monitoring communicable diseases are the next. The need to increase the budget of vaccination for the infants and children was not found as so high. The matrix structure in Delphi survey gave us the precise basis to make optimal decision, and made it possible to develop an opinion predicting model. However the plentifulness and diversity of professional opinions were not fully obtained due to the limited number of decision criteria.

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A Study on the Improvement of Evaluation Items for Customized BF Certification in School Facilities -Focusing on the Delphi survey- (학교시설 맞춤형 BF인증을 위한 평가항목 개선방향에 관한 연구 -델파이조사를 중심으로-)

  • Maeng, Joon-Ho;Kim, Sung-Joong;Song, Byung-Joon;Kim, Jae-Young;Yun, Pyeong-Se
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2023
  • This paper reports on three Delphi surveys based on draft evaluation items with the aim of deriving evaluation items prior to developing a BF certification index for school facilities in order to make the index safe and convenient. To this end, problems were formulated using content analysis and follow-up evaluation of existing BF certification indicators. Draft BF certification evaluation items for school facilities were proposed. The adequacy of each evaluation item was verified using a Delphi survey. Experts and working-level groups, such as university professors, architects, public officials, certification agencies, and organizations for disabled persons, provided feedback for all evaluation items for school facility BF, which was incorporated in the final evaluation items. As a result of the Delphi surveys, in addition to the existing 8 evaluation items, a total of 75 evaluation items were proposed as maintenance items, 12 as improvement review items, and 15 as new evaluation items.

A Study on Influence Factors for Tunnel Collapse Risk Analysis using Delphi Method (델파이 기법을 활용한 터널 붕괴 위험도 분석을 위한 영향인자 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jeong Heum;Kim, Chang Yong;Lee, Seung Soo;Lee, Jun Hwan
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2017
  • This research aims to define influence factors to perform an optimized section design and evaluate tunnel collapse risk during construction using Delphi technique. A total of five upper classification systems were constructed through literature review, pervious research analysis, and brainstorming of expert group for establishing influence factors. The $1^{st}$, $2^{nd}$, and $3^{rd}$ Delphi survey process was proceeded by panel group which is consisted 21 experts to prevent errors and bias in the expert judgement process. In Delphi $1^{st}$ survey, a total of 22 influence factors candidates were derived through open-ended questionnaire. In Delphi $2^{nd}$ survey, questionnaire was proceeded based on 7-point Likert scale method. In order to verify the validity, CVR (Content Validity Ration) analysis was performed to exclude inappropriate candidates. In the $3^{rd}$ survey, verification of influence factors was proceeded once more with the result of $2^{nd}$ survey, and lastly, a total of 14 influence factors was derived by CVR and COV (Content Validity Ration) analysis for response of experts.

Deriving Questions on the Evaluation Tools of Leisure Values for Senior Citizens: Based on the Delphi Survey (노인 여가 가치관 평가도구 문항 도출: 델파이 조사를 바탕으로)

  • Park, Da Sol;Yoo, Eun Young;Park, Ji-Hyuk;Hong, Ickpyo;Kim, Jung-Ran;Park, Hae Yean
    • Therapeutic Science for Rehabilitation
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.49-68
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    • 2022
  • Objective : This study aimed to conduct a Delphi survey of occupational therapists with experience in elderly occupational therapy to derive items about the 'Elder Leisure Value Assessment Tool'. Methods : This study was conducted in two stages. The first stage was the collection of preliminary questions, and the second stage was the Delphi survey. In the first stage, a literature review and analysis of the 2019 National Leisure Activity Survey were conducted. The modified Delphi technique of the Delphi investigation was implemented in two rounds. Results : In the preliminary item collection phase, 39 items were selected for leisure value assessment and 45 were listed for the participating leisure activities. Subsequently, a Delphi survey of 25 professional groups resulted in 38 leisure value assessment items and 45 participating leisure activities. Conclusion : The questions drawn from this study are meaningful because they can identify specific leisure activities that the elderly participate in, as well as the various values that the elderly consider important when participating in such activities

Simulation Based Method for Mid-and-Long Term Technological Forecasting (중장기 기술예측을 위한 시뮬레이션 기반 방법론)

  • Yu, Sung-Yeol
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.372-380
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we consider a mid-and-long term technological forecasting method based on simulation technique. We, first, gather information about a point of appearance time of new technologies which will be developed in the future and influence relationship among those technologies by Delphi survey. And then we propose a simulation-based heuristic approach searching for the key technology among new technologies which will be developed to attain a normative objective using the Delphi data. We also provide the range of occurrence time for individual technology and define key technologies in this study in contrast that a expert's estimate to occurrence time is only one point in traditional Delphi survey. The information for key technologies which are detected by this procedure gives priorities of R&D planning and aids the R&D planner or project manager in resource allocation.

Application Evaluation of Best Management Practices for Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollution using Delphi Survey Method (전문가 델파이 방법을 이용한 농업 비점오염 저감 기술의 현장 적용성 조사)

  • Kim, Min-Kyeong;Jung, Goo-Bok;Kim, Min-Young;Kim, Myung-Hyun;Cho, Kwang-Jin;Choi, Soon-Kun;Hong, Seong-Chang;So, Kyu-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.144-147
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    • 2014
  • BACKGROUND: It is essential to prioritize the exact and clear understanding of agricultural nonpoint source pollution (NPS) controls. The realistic policies and systems should also be developed based on this understanding. Therefore, this study aimed to present agricultural Best Management Practices (BMPs) applicable for the fields based on the Delphi survey result. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study deduced the evaluation items to assess each BMP for agricultural NPS control and conducted the surveying using the Delphi method based on agricultural BMP experts. In addition, its on-the-spot application were evaluated. Considering its importance, technical, social and economic proprieties showed that political support was ranked first and followed by cost investment, labor investment, reduction effect and resident participation. The survey findings by agricultural BMP experts showed the good performance of on-the-spot application can be achieved from fertilization by soil testing, residue and green manure application and contour plowing which are applicable within a field. Agricultural BMPs, highly applicable for the fields, were the countermeasures that farmers who are the principal bodies of agricultural NPS control could be participated directly. CONCLUSION: The active participation of farmers is essential for effective control of agricultural NPS. It is necessary to establish various incentive systems.

Research on National Korean Medicine Policy Priorities using Delphi-AHP : Focusing on the 4th Comprehensive Plan for Korean Medicine Development (델파이-AHP 기법을 사용한 국가한의약정책 우선순위에 관한 연구 - 제4차 한의약육성발전종합계획을 중심으로 -)

  • Yi, Eunhee;Kim, Dongsu;Park, Soo-Kyung
    • Journal of Society of Preventive Korean Medicine
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2022
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study is to identify priorities for the 4th Comprehensive Plan for Korean Medicine Development using Delphi and AHP techniques. Methods : This study uses Delphi-AHP method to first, select the target priority policy based on the policy content of the 4th Comprehensive Plan. In addition, two surveys on the priorities were conducted to reach consensus between experts. The main results of the first survey were also provided to experts participating in the second survey to help form expert consensus. Finally, the final policy priority was chosen based on the second survey result. Results : Survey results showed that of the 39 policies in the 4th Comprehensive Plan, "improve the accessibility of Korean medicines," was the most important goal. This was followed by "support for Korean medicine R&D from clinical research to industrialization," "provide foundation for a pilot project that provides customized medical services" and "strengthen the public medicine function of Korean medicine by expanding the its infrastructure in national and public hospitals." Conclusion : The results showed that capacity building of Korean medicine in primary care, improvement of the health insurance system, and research centered on industrialization are relatively more important goals, while the need to enhance global competitiveness was much less important. These key points can serve as a reference when formulating the 5th Comprehensive Plan for Korean Medicine Development in the future.

Study of Contents Development of Information Literacy with Delphi Survey (델파이 조사를 이용한 정보활용능력 교육 항목 개발 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun-Sil
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.303-322
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    • 2004
  • In this study, I worked on necessary contents for Information Literacy of Korean universities by Delphi Method. The survey resulted in 100 necessary contents in five categories and each category presents average points and ranks of importance. Contents of high rank in each category should be valued highly when educational programs are to be designed. One remarkable difference in comparison with ACRL standards is that there are a lot of contents involved with basic understanding about Scientific Information System and Information Technology and knowledge application in this study, and another is that there is a lack of contents which require analytic judgements. The significance of this study lies in presenting directions and discussion points in designing of Information Literacy of Korean universities.

A Survey Research to Diagnose the Problems of Mathematics Education ID Korea (우리나라 수학교육의 문제점 진단을 위한 조사 연구)

  • Park, Kyung-Mee;Kim, Dong-Won
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.89-102
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to diagnose the problems of mathematics education in Korea by conducting an in-depth analysis of international comparative studies, a Delphi method, and a survey. Further analysis of TIMSS and PISA results also reveals several negative aspects of mathematics education practice in Korea. The mathematics education experts' opinions collected by Delphi method were classified into 12 categories: private education and test-driven education, curriculum and textbooks, lessons, evaluation, teacher, learner, teaching aid and facilities. affective aspects of mathematics, discrepancy between a theory and a practice, preservice/inservice teacher education and teacher employment test, education policy, and overall. Another survey was conducted to focus more on the development of curriculum which is a pending issue. Considering the fact that mathematics education should contribute to improve practical aspect as well as elaborate theoretical aspect, this study lays a foundation of improvement of mathematics education in Korea.