• Title/Summary/Keyword: contingency analysis

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The Study on the Different Moderation Effect of Contingency Variable (Focused on SPSS statistics and AOMS program) (상황변수의 조절효과 차이에 관한 연구 (SPSS와 AMOS프로그램을 중심으로))

  • Choi, Chang-Ho;You, Yen-Yoo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzed empirically the same data through SPSS statistics(regression analysis) and AMOS program(structural equation model) used for cause and effect analysis. The result of empirical analysis of moderation effect was as follows. Meanwhile, SPSS statistics(regression analysis) did not pictured moderation effect in the categorical data(sex) and continous data(satisfaction of consunting), AMOS program(structural equation model) pictured partial moderation effect about the effecting of consultant's capability and attitude on the consulting repurchase within 10% level of significant. Eventually, This study showed that AMOS program and SPSS statistics used different methology in moderation effect, thus the different outcomes appeared although using the same data.

Analysis on Response System in US for Chemicals Driven Marine Pollution Accidents and Korean Response Policy Plan (화학물질 해양오염사고에 대한 미국의 방제체제 분석과 국내의 방제정책 방안)

  • Choi, Jong-Wook;Lee, Seung-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.205-212
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    • 2009
  • With an entry into force of OPRC-HNS on June 14th 2007, response system against any large scale accidents related to HNS is required to respond rapidly and effectively in a national scale, US national response system and national contingency plan for any chemicals in operation were analyzed to understand the characteristics of management system and response system for any HNS driven accidents in the Us. Main characteristics of the US system were well described as an unified information window and an integrated incident command system supported by response facilities, manpower and technical support from other response organizations through good cooperation. In general, response activities are conducted by private sectors, however, the government will take over response activities in case large scale accidents occur in the Us. Expected expenses for response activities are covered by a type of Superfund in the Us. Several applicable ways are proposed to enable NGO to participate in and reorganize response system in ROK, and are feasible in collaboration with other response organizations and private sectors in the aspects of equipment, technology and manpower, Based upon the above activities, it is desirable to reorganize domestic rules and/or regulations related to response measures in ROK.

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A Study on the Quantified Criteria in Determining the Geostructural Domain of Fractured Rock Mass (절리암반내 지구조구 설정을 위한 정량적 기준에 대한 연구)

  • Um Jeong-Gi;Cho Taechin;Kwon Soon Jin
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.16 no.1 s.60
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    • pp.26-37
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    • 2006
  • This study addresses the applicability of box fractal dimension, $D_B$, as an index of statistical homogeneity of fractured rock mass. The box-count method's capability in quantifying the combined effect of fracture density and size distribution is examined systematically. Total of 129 two-dimensional fracture configurations were generated based on different combinations of fracture size distribution and fracture density. $D_B$was calculated for the generated fracture network systems using the box-counting method. It was found that was standard deviation of trace length and fracture orientation have no effect on calculated $D_B$. The estimated $D_B$ was found to increase with increasing total density and/or mean trace length. To explore the field applicability of this study, the statistical homogeneity of fractured rock mass was investigated at the rock slope and the underground facility using the box-counting method as well as conventional contingency table analysis. The results obtained in this study clearly show that the methodologies given in this paper have the capability of determining the statistical homogeneity of fractured rock mass.

Cause Analysis of Cost Overruns in International Infrastructure Project Conducted by Korean Contractors (해외토목 원도급사업의 원가상승 원인에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Wooyong;Han, Seungheon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.105-116
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    • 2017
  • In recent years, large Korean construction companies have suffered serious losses in their overseas business. Many practitioners and researchers have analyzed causes of cost overrun in these projects. However, these arguments have not been empirically verified based on acutal project cases. This study investigated cost overrun rate, contingency, allowance, predicted risk before bidding, and actual and residual risk after award in the 67 international infrastructure projects conducted by 13 large construction companies. The causes of cost overruns are derived as follows. First, they identified the possibility of cost overrun to some extent before the bidding, but did not reflect the enough risk money to bid price. In particular, this behavior was more severe in badly cost-overrun projects. Second, the causes of cost overrun were more influenced by external environmental risk than internal capability risk. However, the internal risk in badly cost-overrun projects was relatively high compared to cost-underrun projects. Third, badly cost-overrun projects failed to mitigate risk. However, cost underrun projects were affected more by low exterior risk conditions than by well mitigated risk. This study provides more informed knowledge in controlling project costs in international infrastructure projects.

A Study on the Service Reliability and Power Quality Improvement Using Hybrid Type Capacitor Bank (하이브리드 타입 커패시터 뱅크를 이용한 공급신뢰도 및 전력품질 개선 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Hansang;Yoon, Dong-Hee
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.313-319
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    • 2014
  • The objectives of power system operations are to preserve system stability and reliability as well as to supply proper electric power. For an activation of these objectives, voltage and reactive power should be considered. There are a number of types about reactive power sources, and an insertion of shunt capacitor banks are one of the method to support bus voltage adjacent. This paper includes the design procedure to determine the hybrid type capacitor bank configurations on power system to improve stability and reliability. This procedure includes the capacitor bank capacity calculation, reactor type selection, and reactor capacity calculation. The total capacity calculation of capacitor bank is based on the reactive power margin which is calculated through system studies such as, contingency analysis and Q-V analysis. In the second step, the reactor type and its capacity can be determined through the harmonic analysis. This paper shows that the harmonics are decreased by the proposed hybrid type capacitor bank, especially 5th and 7th harmonics.

A Study about the Characteristics of Teachers' Viewpoint in Analysis of an Instruction : Focused on a Centroid Teaching-Learning Case (교사들의 수업 분석 관점에 대한 연구 - 삼각형의 무게중심에 대한 수업 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Shin, Bomi
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.421-442
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed characteristics which emerged while 38 secondary school teachers observed a video clip about a centroid of triangles instruction. The aim of this study based on the analysis was to deduce implications in terms of the various means which would enhance teachers' knowledge in teaching mathematics and assist in designing mathematics education programs for teachers and professional development initiatives. To achieve this goal, this research firstly reviewed previous studies relevant to the 'Knowledge Quartet' as a framework of analyzing teachers' knowledge in mathematics instructions. Secondly, this study probed the observation results from the teachers in the light of the KQ. Therefore, some issues in the teacher education program for teaching mathematics were thirdly identified in the categories of 'Foundation', 'Transformation', 'Connection', and 'Contingency' based on the analysis. This research inspires the elaboration of what features have with regard to effective teachers' knowledge in teaching mathematics through the analyzing process and additionally the elucidation of essential matters related to mathematics education on the basis of the analyzed results.

An Analysis of Teachers' Knowledge about Correlation - Focused on Two-Way Tables - (상관관계에 대한 교사 지식 분석 - 2×2 분할표를 중심으로 -)

  • Shin, Bomi
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.461-480
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    • 2017
  • The aim of this study was to analyze characteristics of teachers' knowledge about correlation with data presented in $2{\times}2$ tables. In order to achieve the aim, this study conducted didactical analysis about two-way tables through examining previous researches and developed a questionnaire with reference to the results of the analysis. The questionnaire was given to 53 middle and high school teachers and qualitative methods were used to analyze the data obtained from the written responses by the participants. This study also elaborated the framework descriptors for interpreting the teachers' responses in the light of the didactical analysis and the data was elucidated in terms of this framework. The specific features of teachers' knowledge about correlation with data presented in $2{\times}2$ tables were categorized into three types as a result. This study raised several implications for teachers' professional development for effective mathematics instruction about correlation and related concepts dealt with in probability and statistics.

The study on spatial analysis using the expressional characteristics of surrealism and semiotic approach - Focusing on Greimas' semiotic square - (Surrealism 표현특성과 기호학적 적용방법을 통한 공간분석 연구 - 그레마스의 기호사변형을 중심으로 -)

  • Ham, Bo-A;Lee, Chan
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.44-51
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    • 2009
  • Various and complex cultural phenomena have led to many changes in the space. The concept of unconsciousness, among others, and experimental expression technique and the concepts from surrealism that rather attaches great importance to contingency than intentional attempt have been employed in the space. The abstract expression as expressional characteristics of surrealism makes the space ambiguous through the concept of automatism using the approach of indeterminism and double image expression, and represents the space providing diversity through the dualism. In contrast, objective expression, which was based on depaysement, generates the tension and expresses the dramatic situation in such a way and manner which are intentional, distorted transformed, together with heterogenous meanings aligned through the reversal appeared in the techniques of collage and paranoiac-critical method. However if such space accommodating the expressional characteristics of surrealism is approached as superficial concept in analyzing the human's inner consciousness and imaginary society, expression of the ultimate concept contained in the expressional characteristics of surrealism can hardly be achieved. Hence, the spatial analysis from the semiotic approach, instead of unilateral method aimed to convey the meaning only, which creates the signification, was adopted. The study, as effective approach to the space accommodating the expressional characteristics of surrealism, was intended systematically evaluate the concreteness of understanding and generation of meaning through the semiotic method. Greimas' semiotic square analysis to the space plays the important role in generating the spatial meaning, as well as is needed for objective analysis of the importance of various characteristics and methodology which the space contains through the expressional characteristics of surrealism.

Eigenvalue Analysis and Detection of Low Frequency Oscillation using PMU Data in KEPCO System (위상동기신호를 이용한 한전계통의 저주파진동 검출과 고유치해석)

  • Shim, Kwan-Shik;Kim, Sang-Tae;Kim, Tae-Kyun;Ahn, Seon-Ju;Choi, Joon-Ho
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.2
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    • pp.261-284
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    • 2017
  • This paper describes the results of a low-frequency oscillation analysis using data measured in PMU installed in the KEPCO system, and the comparison with eigenvalues computed from the linear model. The dominant oscillation modes are estimated by applying various algorithms. The algorithms are: the extended Prony method; multiple time interval parameter estimation method; subspace system identification method; and spectral analysis. From the measurement data, modes of frequency 0.68[Hz] and 0.92[Hz] were estimated, and modes of frequency 0.63[Hz] and 0.80[Hz] were computed from the eigenvalue calculation. There was a difference between the mode estimated from measurement data and that from the linear model. This is possibly because of an error in the dynamic data of the KEPCO system used in eigenvalue calculation. Because wide area modes exist in the KEPCO system, these modes should be monitored continuously for the reliable operation of the system. In order to prevent total blackouts caused by wide area oscillation, moreover, contingency analysis should be performed in relation to this mode and appropriate measures should be established.

Development of Network Application Softwares for Prototype Korean Energy Management Systems (한국형 EMS NA Prototype 어플리케이션 개발)

  • Yun, S.Y.;Lee, U.W.;Cho, Y.S.;Shin, C.H.;Lee, J.;Shin, M.C.;Kim, M.E.;Yang, H.S.;Lee, B.H.;Hur, S.I.;Kim, S.K.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.217_218
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문에서는 한국형 에너지관리 시스템(energy management system, EMS)의 프로토타입(prototype) 네트웍 해석 프로그램의 개발에 대해 요약하였다. 2005년부터 수행되어온 한국형 EMS 개발은 2008년 베이스라인(baseline) 개발을 완료한 상태이며 올해부터 프로토타입 개발 및 실증시험을 수행중에 있다. 한국형 EMS 프로토타입 네트웍 해석 소프트웨어는 베이스라인 개발 프로그램의 기능 보강과 더불어 상정사고 해석(contingency analysis), 전압 계획(voltage scheduler) 및 송전가능용량계산(transmission transfer capability)등으로 구성되어 있다. 본 논문에서는 각 개발 프로그램의 개략적 기능을 소개하고 전체적인 프로토타입 시스템의 구성에 대해 요약하였다.

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