• Title/Summary/Keyword: construction risk

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Evaluating Schedule Uncertainty in Unit-Based Repetitive Building Projects

  • Okmen, Onder
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2013
  • Various risk factors affect construction projects. Due to the uncertainties created by risk factors, actual activity durations frequently deviate from the estimated durations in either favorable or adverse direction. For this reason, evaluation of schedule uncertainty is required to make decisions accurately when managing construction projects. In this regard, this paper presents a new computer simulation model - the Repetitive Schedule Risk Analysis Model (RSRAM) - to evaluate unit-based repetitive building project schedules under uncertainty when activity durations and risk factors are correlated. The proposed model utilizes Monte Carlo Simulation and a Critical Path Method based repetitive scheduling procedure. This new procedure concurrently provides the utilization of resources without interruption and the maintenance of network logic through successive units. Furthermore, it enables assigning variable production rates to the activities from one unit to another and any kind of relationship type with or without lag time. Details of the model are described and an example application is presented. The findings show that the model produces realistic results regarding the extent of uncertainty inherent in the schedule.

The Assessment of the Risk Index in the Bridge Construction by the AHP Method (AHP기법을 이용한 교량공사 위험지수 평가)

  • Lee, Myeong-Gu;Jeong, Myeong-Jin;Kim, Kyu-Dong;Choi, Soon-Ju;Park, Seung-Kook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.119-123
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to verify the assessment of the risk index by the AHP method effective in the bridge construction. We compared that by the AHP method with the risk index by the accident analysis in the bridge construction. This method results in the useful tool deciding the assessment of the risk index according to work type in the bridge construction.

Extraction and Analysis of Construction Phase Risk Factors in High-rise Construction Project (초고층 건설공사 시공단계 리스크 요인 도출 및 분석)

  • Kim, Sooyong;Kim, Sunghyun;Yang, Jinkook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.90-98
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    • 2016
  • High-rise buildings construction project have various risk factors. Major risk factors are negative results such as time delay and increase of costs. Therefore, this study was analyzed risk factors in construction stages of high-rise buildings using by PROMETHEE technique. For this, this research were identified risk factors through experts Focus Group Interview(FGI). And, PROMETHEE was used to setup evaluation standard for analysis of high-rise building construction risks. Next, the standard of evaluation index calculation was composed by using the definition level in PDRI. Preference function and evaluation index were identified through questionnaires. Through these processes, this study has calculated the importance of high-rise building construction risks using by PROMETHEE technique. As a result, high degree risk factors were as following. These are 'Operation plan of material lifting', 'Outrigger & Belt Truss Construction', 'Foundation work plan of high-rise building' and 'Considering a Structure concept of high-rise building'.

Estimation of Key Risk Management Factors for Construction Projects Based on Kano Model (Kano 모델 기반 건설프로젝트 핵심 리스크관리 요인 도출)

  • Cho, Jin-ho;Kim, Byung-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.239-248
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    • 2022
  • Risks in construction projects are increasing remarkably due to recent changes in the construction environment. Active risk management is required to recognize risks as opportunities. The purpose of this study is to propose a risk management model of the importance determination method through comparative analysis using Kano model, Timko CSC (Customer Satisfaction Coefficient), and ASC (Average Satisfaction Coefficient). Based on previous studies, the validity of risk management factor determination is reviewed through a questionnaire modified Kano model through interviews with working-level workers using the Delphi technique. Through this, a suitable risk management model is presented by selecting key risk management factors recognized by domestic construction project practitioners. As a result of the study, the Kano model developed to verify risk management of construction projects was evaluated to be effective in verifying the risk management of practitioners. It is expected that the Kano model presented in this study will be actively used to verify the importance of risk management for construction projects.

A decision support system (DSS) for construction risk efficiency in Taiwan

  • Tsai, Tsung-Chieh;Li, Hsiang-Wen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.249-255
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    • 2018
  • Many studies in risk management have been focused on management process, contract relation, and risk analysis in the past decade, but very few studies have addressed project risks from the perspective of risk efficiency. This study started with using Fault Tree Analysis to develop a framework for the decision-making support system of risk management from the perspective of risk efficiency, in order for the support system to find risk strategies of optimal combination for the project manager by the trade-off between project risk and cost of project strategies. Comprehensive and realistic risk strategies must strive for optimal decisions that minimize project risks and risk strategies cost while addressing important data such as risk causes, risk probability, risk impact and risk strategies cost. The risk management in the construction phase of building projects in Taiwan upon important data has been analyzed, that provided the data for support system to include 247 risk causes. Then, 17 risk causes were extracted to demonstrates the decision-making support system of risk management from the perspective of risk efficiency in building project of Taiwan which could reach better combination type of risk strategies for the project manager by the trade-off between risk cost and project risk.

Schedule Risk Management of Reinforced Concrete Construction at the Preconstruction Phase (착공전 단계에서의 철근콘크리트 공사 공정리스크 관리 방안)

  • Ryu, Han-Guk;Kim, Sun-Kuk;Lee, Hyun-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.6 no.5 s.27
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2005
  • According to the recent systemic changes such as construction market reduction, five days per week system, introduction of construction duration reduction bidding system and post-construction sale system, the bidding competition have been enhanced. However, there are many construction schedule risks which could delay construction completion. Without the proper identification of construction schedule risks and the structured construction schedule risk management, the competitive advantages of construction project could not be made. Previous researches to solve the problem have been focused on the construction schedule categorization, construction schedule management, and the system development to manage the construction schedule risk. Therefore, this study selected the reinforeced concrete construction as the studied work due to the major impact characteristics on the total construction duration and the quite accident rate, and then proposed the real construction schedule risks of reinforced concrete construction and the construction risk management method based on the previous studies, many times of expert interviews and brainstorming.

A Study on the Cost Risk Analysis Method for Construction Projects (건설 프로젝트의 코스트 리스크 분석방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Dong-Un;Kim Yeong-Su
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.4 no.4 s.16
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    • pp.201-211
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    • 2003
  • Considering about construction projects characteristics, there Is an existing uncertainty which causes inaccuracy or invalidity under decision making situation. Therefore, cost risk analysis of numerous construction projects are Inclined to depend on expert's experiences and subjective judgements. In Korean domestic construction works, however, there is no reasonable method or process for applying subjective elements. Only probabilistic analysis using objective calculation are being used now. This research suggests a cost risk analysis method to analyze quantitatively Cost Impact by risk, and it appraises expert's subjective elements for the purpose of enhancing validity of cost estimation. Moreover, a new cost risk analysis method is introduced for providing convenient user interface in practical business.

A Study on The Risk Level of Work Types in Urban Railway Construction (도시철도 건설공사의 공종별 위험도에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Bin;Han, In-Kuk;Chang, Seong Rok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.98-103
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    • 2016
  • The goals of this study were to investigate some significant factors to judge level of safety at urban railway construction field and to analyze degree of risk by work classification. Currently, there are lots of construction fields for the urban railway for national transportation, and our government also planned constructing more urban railway in near future. However, most of the researches on safety neglected the degree of risk factors on the urban railway construction field. Safety managers participated in the brainstorming session for deriving decision criteria of the degree of risk (i.e., significant factors). Then, they were asked to answer a structured questionnaire which was developed for deriving most important factors. Finally, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was used to analyze level of risk by work classification. The following results were obtained. First, total twelve factors judging degree of risk were found in the brainstorming session. Second, the questionnaire showed four significant factors, including adjacency of obstacle, intensity of work, unsafe condition and work space. Third, the results of AHP showed civil work is the most dangerous work among 6 work types. The results could be used to give the safety management priority on accident prevention efforts among several hazards and to reduce degree of risk in construction field of the urban railway.

Analysis and Reduction for Risk factors of Construction Projects (건설공사의 리스크인자 분석 및 경감에 관한 연구)

  • Chung Byoung-Hwa;Chung Young-Shik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.2 no.4 s.8
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    • pp.62-68
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study was to Identification the Risk of construction method to protect and reduce of construction period. Risk management is one of the key project management process. Numerous tools are available to support the various phases of the risk management process. We present the results of a study designed to identify the tools that are most widely used and those that are associated with successful project management in general, and with effective project risk management in particular. The study is based on a questionnaire administered to a sample of project managers from construction enterprises. The response data was analyzed in order to find which tools are more likely to be used in the those organizations that report better project management performance and in those that value the contribution of risk management processes.

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A Study on the Risk Level of Work Types in Nuclear Power Plant Construction (원자력발전소 건설공사의 공종별 위험도에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Bin;Lee, Jun Kyung;Chang, Seong Rok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.95-99
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    • 2013
  • The goal of this study was to investigate some significant factors to influence level of safety at plant construction field and analyze degree of risk by work classification. Currently, there are lots of construction fields for the nuclear power plant for electricity generation, and our government also planned constructing more nuclear power plant in near future. However, much of the safety literature neglected the degree of risk factors on the plant construction field. Safety managers participated in the brainstorming session for drawing decision criteria of the degree of risk (i.e., significant factors). Then, they were asked to answer a structured questionnaire which was developed for drawing most important factors. Finally, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was used to analyze level of risk by work classification. The following results were obtained. First, total twelve factors judging degree of risk were found in the brainstorming session. Second, the questionnaire showed four significant factors, including number of workers, working environments, skill of craft and accident experience. Third, the results of AHP showed Architecture work is the most dangerous work among 6 work types. The results could be used to reduce degree of risk in construction field of the nuclear power plant.