Browse > Article

A Study on the Cost Risk Analysis Method for Construction Projects  

Lee Dong-Un (부산대 건축공학과)
Kim Yeong-Su (부산대 건축공학과)
Publication Information
Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management / v.4, no.4, 2003 , pp. 201-211 More about this Journal
Abstract
Considering about construction projects characteristics, there Is an existing uncertainty which causes inaccuracy or invalidity under decision making situation. Therefore, cost risk analysis of numerous construction projects are Inclined to depend on expert's experiences and subjective judgements. In Korean domestic construction works, however, there is no reasonable method or process for applying subjective elements. Only probabilistic analysis using objective calculation are being used now. This research suggests a cost risk analysis method to analyze quantitatively Cost Impact by risk, and it appraises expert's subjective elements for the purpose of enhancing validity of cost estimation. Moreover, a new cost risk analysis method is introduced for providing convenient user interface in practical business.
Keywords
Fuzzy Set Theory; AHP; Cost Risk; Risk Management; Fuzzy AHP; Fuzzy Delphi;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 1  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 김인호, ‘건설계획과 의사결정’, 기문당, 1998
2 Graham D.R.,, Cost Risk and CAlV, SCEA CAIV conference,
3 이동운, 김영수, 'Fuzzy-AHP와 Fuzzy-Delphi기법을 이용한 건설 프로젝트의 의사결정모델에 관한 연구', 한국건설관리학회 논문집, 제4권, 제1호, pp. 81-89, 2003
4 정병호, 조권익, ‘대형공사의 최적입찰자 선정을 위한 계층 분석과정(AHP) 모형의 개발’, 경영과학지, 제16권 제1호, pp.75-88, 1999
5 Graham D.R., Cost Risk Tools for Risk Management: CRIMS, SCEA CAIV conference, 1998
6 강인석, ‘퍼지이론을 이용한 건설공사의 리스크수준 평가 모형’, 대한토목학회 학술발표 논문집, 2001
7 Chang D. Y., Applications of the extent analysis method of fuzzy AHP, European Journal of Operational Research, 95, pp. 649-655 1996. 1
8 김창학 외 2인, ‘건설공사의 리스크분석을 통한 예비비산 정모형구축에 관한 연구’, 대한토목학회논문집, 대한토목학회, 1999