• Title/Summary/Keyword: consistency of estimator

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Reactor Neutron Noise Analysis using AR Spectral Estimation (AR 스펙트럼 추정법을 이용한 원자로 중성자 잡음 신호 해석)

  • Sim, Cheul-Muu;Hwang, Tae-Jin;Baik, Heung-Ki
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 1997
  • A reactor vibration monitoring has been performed using neutron noise obtained from excore detectors for the safety operation, Traditionally, the spectral estimator based on Fourier analysis has been widely used in the noise analysis of the reactor system. If the bias is too severe, the resolution would not be adequate for a given application. One major motivation for the current interests in the parametric approach to spectral estimation is the apparent higher resolution achievable with these modern techniques. In considering an unbias, a consistency, an efficency, and a minimum lower bound of the statictic estimation, an AR model is appropriate for noise spectral estimation with sharp peaks but not deep valley. In order to select an appropriate model order, the lag value of autocorrleaton function is applied. Burg method to trace the vibration mode of RPV internal is the most sucuessful.

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Bootstrapping Unified Process Capability Index

  • Cho, Joong-Jae;Han, Jeong-Hye;Jo, See-Heyon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.543-554
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    • 1997
  • A family of some capability indices { $C_{p}$(.alpha.,.beta.); .alpha..geq.0, .beta..geq.0}, containing the indices $C_{p}$, $C_{{pk}}$, $C_{{pm}}$, and $C_{{pmk}}$, has been defined by Vannman(1993) for the case of two-sided specification interval. By varying the parameters of the family various capability indices with suitable properties are obtained. We derive tha asymptotic distribution of the family { $C_{p}$(.alpha.,.beta.); .alpha..geq.0,.beta..geq.0} under general proper conditions. It is also shown that the bootstrap approximation to the distribution of the estimator $C_{p}$(.alpha., .beta.) is vaild for almost all sample sequences. These asymptotic distributions would be used in constructing some bootstrap confidence intervals.tervals.

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Asymptotic Properties of Variance Change-point in the Long-memory Process

  • Chu Minjeong;Cho Sinsup
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.23-26
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    • 2000
  • It is noted that many econometric time series have long-memory properties. A long-memory process, or strongly dependent process, is characterized by hyperbolic decaying autocorrelations and unbounded spectral density at the origin. Since the long-memory property can be observed by data obtained from rather a long period, there is some possibility of parameter change in the process. In this paper, we consider the estimation of change-point when there is a change in the variance of a long-memory process. The estimator is based on some reasonable statistic and the consistency is shown using Taqqu's strong reduction theorem

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Discriminant Analysis under a Patterned Missing Values

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 1989
  • This paper suggests a classification rule with unequal covariance matrices when a patterned incomplete data are involved in the discriminant analysis. This is an extension of Geisser's (1966) result to the case of missing observations. For the calssificaiton rule, we introduce an algorithm which contains data augmentation step and Monte Carlo integration step and show that the algorithm yields a consistant estimator of true classification probability. The proposed method is compared to the complete observation vector method through a Monte Carlo study. The results show that the suggested method, in general, performs better than the complete observation vector method which ignores those vectors of observation with one or more missing values from the analysis. The results also verify the consistency of the algorithm.

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Least absolute deviation estimator based consistent model selection in regression

  • Shende, K.S.;Kashid, D.N.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.273-293
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    • 2019
  • We consider the problem of model selection in multiple linear regression with outliers and non-normal error distributions. In this article, the robust model selection criterion is proposed based on the robust estimation method with the least absolute deviation (LAD). The proposed criterion is shown to be consistent. We suggest proposed criterion based algorithms that are suitable for a large number of predictors in the model. These algorithms select only relevant predictor variables with probability one for large sample sizes. An exhaustive simulation study shows that the criterion performs well. However, the proposed criterion is applied to a real data set to examine its applicability. The simulation results show the proficiency of algorithms in the presence of outliers, non-normal distribution, and multicollinearity.

Two-Stage Penalized Composite Quantile Regression with Grouped Variables

  • Bang, Sungwan;Jhun, Myoungshic
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.259-270
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    • 2013
  • This paper considers a penalized composite quantile regression (CQR) that performs a variable selection in the linear model with grouped variables. An adaptive sup-norm penalized CQR (ASCQR) is proposed to select variables in a grouped manner; in addition, the consistency and oracle property of the resulting estimator are also derived under some regularity conditions. To improve the efficiency of estimation and variable selection, this paper suggests the two-stage penalized CQR (TSCQR), which uses the ASCQR to select relevant groups in the first stage and the adaptive lasso penalized CQR to select important variables in the second stage. Simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performance of the proposed methods.

Bootstrap confidence interval for survival function in the Koziol-Green model (KOZIOL-GREEN 모형에서 생존함수에 대한 붓스트랩 구간추정)

  • 조길호;정성화;최달우;최현숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 1998
  • We study the bootstrap interval estimation for survival function in the Koziol-Green model. We construct the approximate bootstrap confidence intervals for survival function and prove the strong consistency for the bootstrap estimator of survival function. Finally we show that the approximate bootstrap confidence intervals are better in terms of coverage probability than confidence intervals based on asymptotic normal distribution and transformations of survival function via Monte Carlo simulation study.

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Statistical implications of extrapolating the overall result to the target region in multi-regional clinical trials

  • Kang, Seung-Ho;Kim, Saemina
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.341-354
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    • 2018
  • The one of the principles described in ICH E9 is that only results obtained from pre-specified statistical methods in a protocol are regarded as confirmatory evidence. However, in multi-regional clinical trials, even when results obtained from pre-specified statistical methods in protocol are significant, it does not guarantee that the test treatment is approved by regional regulatory agencies. In other words, there is no so-called global approval, and each regional regulatory agency makes its own decision in the face of the same set of data from a multi-regional clinical trial. Under this situation, there are two natural methods a regional regulatory agency can use to estimate the treatment effect in a particular region. The first method is to use the overall treatment estimate, which is to extrapolate the overall result to the region of interest. The second method is to use regional treatment estimate. If the treatment effect is completely identical across all regions, it is obvious that the overall treatment estimator is more efficient than the regional treatment estimator. However, it is not possible to confirm statistically that the treatment effect is completely identical in all regions. Furthermore, some magnitude of regional differences within the range of clinical relevance may naturally exist for various reasons due to, for instance, intrinsic and extrinsic factors. Nevertheless, if the magnitude of regional differences is relatively small, a conventional method to estimate the treatment effect in the region of interest is to extrapolate the overall result to that region. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects produced by this type of extrapolation via estimations, followed by hypothesis testing of the treatment effect in the region of interest. This paper is written from the viewpoint of regional regulatory agencies.

On Statistical Inference of Stratified Population Mean with Bootstrap (층화모집단 평균에 대한 붓스트랩 추론)

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Lee, Doo-Ri;Cho, Joong-Jae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2012
  • In a stratified sample, the sampling frame is divided into non-overlapping groups or strata (e.g. geographical areas, age-groups, and genders). A sample is taken from each stratum, if this sample is a simple random sample it is referred to as stratified random sampling. In this paper, we study the bootstrap inference (including confidence interval) and test for a stratified population mean. We also introduce the bootstrap consistency based on limiting distribution related to the plug-in estimator of the population mean. We suggest three bootstrap confidence intervals such as standard bootstrap method, percentile bootstrap method and studentized bootstrap method. We also suggest a bootstrap test method computing the $ASL_{boot}$(Achieved Significance Level). The results of estimation are verified using simulation.

Reliability Modeling and Analysis for a Unit with Multiple Causes of Failure (다수의 고장 원인을 갖는 기기의 신뢰성 모형화 및 분석)

  • Baek, Sang-Yeop;Lim, Tae-Jin;Lie, Chang-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.609-628
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    • 1995
  • This paper presents a reliability model and a data-analytic procedure for a repairable unit subject to failures due to multiple non-identifiable causes. We regard a failure cause as a state and assume the life distribution for each cause to be exponential. Then we represent the dependency among the causes by a Markov switching model(MSM) and estimate the transition probabilities and failure rates by maximum likelihood(ML) method. The failure data are incomplete due to masked causes of failures. We propose a specific version of EM(expectation and maximization) algorithm for finding maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) under this situation. We also develop statistical procedures for determining the number of significant states and for testing independency between state transitions. Our model requires only the successive failure times of a unit to perform the statistical analysis. It works well even when the causes of failures are fully masked, which overcomes the major deficiency of competing risk models. It does not require the assumption of stationarity or independency which is essential in mixture models. The stationary probabilities of states can be easily calculated from the transition probabilities estimated in our model, so it covers mixture models in general. The results of simulations show the consistency of estimation and accuracy gradually increasing according to the difference of failure rates and the frequency of transitions among the states.

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