• 한국초지조사료학회지
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• 제38권4호
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• pp.337-342
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• 2018

This study was conducted to perform the suitability analysis of whole-crop rye (Secale cereale L.) based on the climatic information in the Republic of Korea to present useful information for producers and policy makers to determine the site-selection for the cultivation of the whole-crop rye. The criteria to analyze the climatic suitability of whole-crop rye was developed firstly. Then, the climatic suitability map for spatial analysis was developed through weighted overlaying the raster layers of climatic items in the evaluation criteria. Meanwhile, 16 geographically representative weather stations were selected to show examples of the calculation process of the climatic suitability score of a specific cultivation area. The results of the climatic suitability mapping indicated that the climatic conditions in most arable lands of the Republic of Korea such as the coastal, southern, western areas in the southern region of the Korean Peninsula and central areas in Jeju Island are suitable for the cultivation of whole-crop rye. The climatic suitability scores of the 16 weather stations were all in line with the results of the climatic suitability map.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• 제43권4호
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• pp.410-419
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• 2018

Purpose: CLIMEX, a species distribution modeling tool, includes various types of parameters representing climatic conditions; the estimation of these parameters directly determines the model accuracy. In this study, we investigated the sensitivity of parameters for the climatic suitability calculated by CLIMEX for Metcalfa pruinosa in South Korea. Methods: We first changed 12 parameters and identified the three significant parameters that considerably affected the CLIMEX simulation response. Results: The result indicated that the simulation was highly sensitive to changes in lower optimal temperatures, lower soil moisture thresholds, and cold stress accumulation rate based on the sensitivity index, suggesting that these were the fundamental parameters to be used for fitting the simulation into the actual distribution. Conclusion: Sensitivity analysis is effective for estimating parameter values, and selecting the most important parameters for improving model accuracy.

• 한국환경복원기술학회지
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.103-118
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• 2018

Ecosystems in subalpine regions are recognized as areas vulnerable to climatic changes because rainfall and the possibility of flora migration are very low due to the characteristics of topography in the regions. In this context, habitat niche was formulated for representative species of arbors in subalpine regions in order to understand the effects of climatic changes on alpine arbor ecosystems. The current potential habitats were modeled as future change areas according to the climatic change scenarios. Based on the growth conditions and environmental characteristics of the habitats, the study was conducted to identify direct and indirect causes affecting the habitat reduction of Abies nephrolepis. Diverse model algorithms for explanation of the relationship between the emergence of biological species and habitat environments were reviewed to construct the environmental data suitable for the six models(GLM, GAM, RF, MaxEnt, ANN, and SVM). Weights determined through TSS were applied to the six models for ensemble in an attempt to minimize the uncertainty of the models. Based on the current climate determined by averaging the climates over the past 30years(1981~2010) and the HadGEM-RA model was applied to fabricate bioclimatic variables for scenarios RCP 4.5 and 8.5 on the near and far future. The results of models of the alpine region tree species studied were put together and evaluated and the results indicated that a total of eight national parks such as Mt. Seorak, Odaesan, and Hallasan would be mainly affected by climatic changes. Changes in the Baekdudaegan reserves were analyzed and in the results, A. nephrolepis was predicted to be affected the most in the RCP8.5. The results of analysis as such are expected to be finally utilizable in the survey of biological species in the Korean peninsula, restoration and conservation strategies considering climatic changes as the analysis identified the degrees of impacts of climatic changes on subalpine region trees in Korean peninsula with very high conservation values.

• 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한원격탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of ACRS 2003 ISRS
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• pp.970-972
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• 2003

Due to rapid increase in the demand of Natural Rubber (NR) few years ago, NR price sore very higher. The rubber plantation in Thailand expanded very fast to non traditional areas with the result Thai become the biggest NR exporting country in the world. However, the average yield is still lower compared to experimental yield of RRIT (Rubber Research Institute of Thailand) or just 60 % (RRIT, 1998). This is due to many of new rubber planting areas, which are not suitable. The Thai Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives thus has set 'The complete cycle development strategies for natural rubber' in the medium-term measures by reducing the rubber planting areas by 300,000 rai (1 rai = 0.16ha) through replanting with oil palm. The aim of this study is to find out land having lowest potential for rubber production (R3) but highest for oil palm production (P1). Find areas which are unsuitable for rubber and can be replaced by oil palm in order to get a better agricultural production. The study was applied upon Krabi province, Thailand. Crops requirement, degree of limitation to crops growth, climatic data, crops yield, soil map, topographic map etc., were used to evaluate land potential for both rubber and oil palm production according to FAO framework (Sys, 1992). An Agro-ecological suitability map for rubber and oil palm were produced. This was done by mean of GIS. The database was generated and guide map for the decision makers in view of suitable crop substitution was prepared.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국농공학회 2002년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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• pp.61-64
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• 2002

We constructed climagraphs for 16 regions of Korea by using the average monthly minimum air temperature, maximum air temperature and global radiation. We characterized the outside climate requirements corresponding to the climate requirements of crops in greenhouses. The climagraphs allow to decide the appropriate climate periods for greenhouse cultivation without heating and cooling equipment. These graphs may be used for analyzing climatic characteristic of a given area, selecting the suitable region and greenhouse and making a rational plan for greenhouse cropping in Korea. We found difficulty in deciding the beginning and end of greenhouse heating and cooling period due to insufficient references.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제48권1호
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• pp.96-109
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• 2024

Background: Khyber Pakhtunkhwa government initiated the Billion Tree Tsunami Afforestation Project including regeneration and afforestation approaches. An effort was made to assess the distribution characteristics of afforested species under present and future climatic scenarios using ecological niche modelling. For sustainable forest management, landscape ecology can play a significant role. A significant change in the potential distribution of tree species is expected globally with changing climate. Ecological niche modeling provides the valuable information about the current and future distribution of species that can play crucial role in deciding the potential sites for afforestation which can be used by government institutes for afforestation programs. In this context, the potential distribution of 8 tree species, Cedrus deodara, Dalbergia sissoo, Juglans regia, Pinus wallichiana, Eucalyptus camaldulensis, Senegalia modesta, Populus ciliata, and Vachellia nilotica was modeled. Results: Maxent species distribution model was used to predict current and future distribution of tree species using bioclimatic variables along with soil type and elevation. Future climate scenarios, shared socio-economic pathways (SSP)2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 were considered for the years 2041-2060 and 2081-2100. The model predicted high risk of decreasing potential distribution under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 climate change scenarios for years 2041-2060 and 2081-2100, respectively. Recent afforestation conservation sites of these 8 tree species do not fall within their predicted potential habitat for SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios. Conclusions: Each tree species responded independently in terms of its potential habitat to future climatic conditions. Cedrus deodara and P. ciliata are predicted to migrate to higher altitude towards north in present and future climate scenarios. Habitat of D. sissoo, P. wallichiana, J. regia, and V. nilotica is practiced to be declined in future climate scenarios. Eucalyptus camaldulensis is expected to be expanded its suitability area in future with eastward shift. Senegalia modesta habitat increased in the middle of the century but decreased afterwards in later half of the century. The changing and shifting forests create challenges for sustainable landscapes. Therefore, the study is an attempt to provide management tools for monitoring the climate change-driven shifting of forest landscapes.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제43권3호
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• pp.381-395
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• 2023

본 연구에서는 강원도 지역 스마트 수소 에너지 발전소의 위치 적합성 분석을 GIS 기반 다중기준 의사결정 분석(MCDA)을 활용하여 수행하였다. 적합지 분석을 위하여, 수소 활용 잠재력과 기후 조건, 환경 및 지형 조건, 자연 재해 발생 가능성 등의 사회지리학적 조건과 더불어 관련 공간데이터 레이어를 활용하여 수소 에너지 발전소의 잠재적 위치에 대한 적합성 평가를 수행하였다. 이후 공간 데이터 레이어를 기반으로 위치의 적합성에 따라 순위를 매기고 AHP 결과에 따라 우선순위를 선정하였다. 연구 결과, 강원도 지역 전체면적의 약 4.26%인 712.14 km²가 스마트 수소 에너지 발전소 건설에 적합한 지역으로 파악되었으며, 철원군, 춘천시, 원주시, 양구군, 강릉시, 횡성군 및 동해안 연안 지역의 일부 지역은 태양 및 풍력 에너지 이용에 적합한 지역으로 확인되었다. 본 연구 결과를 활용하여 의사 결정자 및 이해관계자들이 스마트 수소 에너지 발전소의 위치 선정에 관해 적합한 결정을 내릴 수 있는 가이드라인으로 활용될 수 있다고 판단된다.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• 제42권3호
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• pp.217-226
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• 2017

Purpose: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus are notorious disease vectors that spread various viruses including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya, and Zika. Recent Zika virus outbreaks were carried by Ae. aegypti, raising awareness about the perils of its global distribution. Because Ae. albopictus is spread throughout South Korea and can carry the same viruses as Ae. aegypti, monitoring potential distributions of Ae. albopictus and Ae. aegypti is necessary. Methods: In this study, the potential distributions of Ae. albopictus and Ae. aegypti in South Korea were modeled using CLIMEX software, and changes in response to climate change were predicted. Results: The results indicated that the climatic suitability for Ae. albopictus was consistently high, while occurrence of Ae. aegypti was only predicted for Jeju Island in 2080. Conclusions: The results provide basic information for preventing the invasion of Ae. aegypti, and consequent interactions between Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus, which may cause severe outbreaks of dangerous diseases.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제111권1호
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• pp.50-60
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• 2022

본 연구는 백두대간에 자생하는 주요 밀원수종 3종(음나무, 피나무, 쪽동백나무)을 대상으로 서식지 적합성 분석을 수행하였다. 백두대간 내 밀원수종 서식지 적합도 분석을 MaxEnt를 이용하여 수행한 결과, 모형의 예측정확도 AUC값은 음나무 0.747, 피나무 0.790, 쪽동백나무 0.755로 나타났다. 밀원수종의 서식지 적합도에 가장 영향을 많이 미치는 변수로 음나무와 피나무는 고도, 연평균 기온, 경사도 순으로 나타났으며, 쪽동백나무는 연평균 기온, 고도, 연평균 강수량 순으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 분석된 대상수종 모두 지형인자인 고도와 기후인자인 연평균 기온이 가장 중요한 인자로 나타났으며, 이는 고도와 기온이 대상 수종의 분포 패턴을 설명하는데 매우 핵심적인 인자임을 나타낸다. 본 연구는 임업소득 향상을 위한 고부가가치 아이템인 산림양봉의 필수자원인 주요 밀원수종들의 서식지 적합성 분석을 통해, 백두대간 내 주요 밀원수종의 관리와 밀원림을 조성할 수 있는 잠재력이 높은 중요 적합지들에 대한 자료를 제공한다. 향후 밀원수종 분포에 영향을 미치는 토양, 건조도 등의 무생물적 인자와 종간경쟁 등의 생물적 인자를 종합적으로 고려하여 모형의 정확도를 높이는 연구가 추가로 진행되어야 할 필요가 있다.

• 한국초지조사료학회지
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.75-87
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• 2023

이 연구는 경기도 수원과 대구지역에서 11년 동안 수행된 호밀 재배 시험 성적과 기상자료를 분석하여 생육특성과 수량성을 비교하고, 그것에 관여하는 요인을 분석하여 국내에서 육성된 호밀품종 "곡우"의 재배적지를 설정하는데 활용하기 위해 실시되었다. 연구 결과, 대구와 수원지역은 호밀 재배에 적합한 기후를 가지고 있으며, 수원지역은 대구지역에 비해 수분 공급력이 우수하였다. 또한, 기후적합도를 분석한 결과, 수분 공급력과 깊은 관계가 있는 호밀의 재배기간 중 강우일수와 강수량이 호밀의 생육과 수량에 영향을 미치는 요소로 확인되었다. 이 연구는 상관 및 주성분 분석을 통해 기후와 호밀의 생육 및 수량 요소 간의 관계를 평가하였고, 재배지역 간의 차이를 확인하였다. 이 연구는 국내에서 육성된 호밀 품종의 재배에 유용한 정보를 제공하고, 재배적지를 결정하는데 도움을 줄 수 있다.