• 제목/요약/키워드: biased estimator

검색결과 46건 처리시간 0.018초

The restricted maximum likelihood estimation of a censored regression model

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.291-301
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    • 2017
  • It is well known in a small sample that the maximum likelihood (ML) approach for variance components in the general linear model yields estimates that are biased downward. The ML estimate of residual variance tends to be downwardly biased. The underestimation of residual variance, which has implications for the estimation of marginal effects and asymptotic standard error of estimates, seems to be more serious in some limited dependent variable models, as shown by some researchers. An alternative frequentist's approach may be restricted or residual maximum likelihood (REML), which accounts for the loss in degrees of freedom and gives an unbiased estimate of residual variance. In this situation, the REML estimator is derived in a censored regression model. A small sample the REML is shown to provide proper inference on regression coefficients.

Bias-reduced ℓ1-trend filtering

  • Donghyeon Yu;Johan Lim;Won Son
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.149-162
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    • 2023
  • The ℓ1-trend filtering method is one of the most widely used methods for extracting underlying trends from noisy observations. Contrary to the Hodrick-Prescott filtering, the ℓ1-trend filtering gives piecewise linear trends. One of the advantages of the ℓ1-trend filtering is that it can be used for identifying change points in piecewise linear trends. However, since the ℓ1-trend filtering employs total variation as a penalty term, estimated piecewise linear trends tend to be biased. In this study, we demonstrate the biasedness of the ℓ1-trend filtering in trend level estimation and propose a two-stage bias-reduction procedure. The newly suggested estimator is based on the estimated change points of the ℓ1-trend filtering. Numerical examples illustrate that the proposed method yields less biased estimates for piecewise linear trends.

경북지역 친환경딸기 농가의 인증유형에 따른 효율성 분석 (An Analysis on Efficiency for the Environmental Friendly Agricultural Product of Strawberry in GyeongBuk Province)

  • 이상호;송경환
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.487-500
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate efficiency of environmental-friendly agricultural product by using Data Envelopment Analysis. A proposed method employs a bootstrapping approach to generating efficiency estimates through Monte Carlo simulation resampling process. The technical efficiency, pure technical efficiency, and scale efficiency measure of strawberry by pesticide-free certification is 0.967, 0.995, 0.968 respectively. However those of bias-corrected estimates are 0.918, 0.983, 0.934. We know that the DEA estimator is an upward biased estimator. In technical efficiency, average lower and upper confidence bounds of 0.807 and 0.960. According to these results, the DEA bootstrapping model used here provides bias-corrected and confidence intervals for the point estimates, it is more preferable.

편스플라인 추정량의 편의에 대한 점근 정규성 (Asymptotics Normality for Bias fo Partial Spline Estimator)

  • 추인선;최재룡
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.371-381
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    • 2000
  • 비모수 회귀모형에 있어서 평활스플라인에 대하여 언급하고, 그 간단한 성질을 다룬다. 선형회귀나 다항식회귀에서는 적합하기 나쁜 데이터가 많이 존재한다. 설명변수가 여러 개인 경우에 준모수 회귀모형은 하나 혹은 그 이상의 변수에 대해서는 비모수 함수를 다른 변수에 대하서는 선형함수를 적합시켜 그들의 가법성을 가정한 것이다. 준모수 회귀모형에 있어서 선형부분의 회귀계수의 추정량에 편의가 발생하고, 여기서는 그 편의에 대한 점근 정규성을 다룬다

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Unscented Kalman Filter를 이용한 비선형 동적 구조계의 시간영역 규명기법 (Time Domain Identification of nonlinear Structural Dynamic Systems Using Unscented Kalman Filter)

  • 윤정방
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지진공학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.180-189
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    • 2001
  • In this study, recently developed unscented Kalman filter (UKF) technique is studied for identification of nonlinear structural dynamic systems as an alternative to the extended Kalman filter (EKF). The EKF, which was originally developed as a state estimator for nonlinear systems, has been frequently employed for parameter identification by introducing the state vector augmented with the unknown parameters to be identified. However, the EKF has several drawbacks such as biased estimations and erroneous estimations especially for highly nonlinear dynamic systems due to its crude linearization scheme. To overcome the weak points of the EKF, the UKF was recently developed as a state estimator. Numerical simulation studies have been carried out on nonlinear SDOF system and nonlinear MDOF system. The results from a series of numerical simulations indicate that the UKF is superior to the EKF in the system identification of nonlinear dynamic systems especially highly nonlinear systems.

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Target State Estimator Design Using FIR filter and Smoother

  • Kim, Jae-Hun;Joon Lyou
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.305-310
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    • 2002
  • The measured rate of the tracking sensor becomes biased under some operational situation. For a highly maneuverable aircraft in 3D space, the target dynamics changes from time to time, and the Kalman filter using position measurement only can not be used effectively to reject the rate measurement bias error. To cope with this problem, we present a new algorithm which incorporate FIR-type filter and FIR-type fixed-lag smoother, and demonstrate that it has the optimal performance in terms of both estimation accuracy and response time through an application example to the anti-aircraft gun fire control system(AAGFCS).

Unscented Kalman Filter를 이용한 비선형 동적 구조계의 시간영역 규명기법 (Time Domain Identification of Nonlinear Structural Dynamic Systems Using Unscented Kalman Filter)

  • Yun, Chung-Bang;Koo, Ki-Young
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2001년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.117-126
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    • 2001
  • In this study, the recently developed unscented Kalman filter (UKF) technique is studied for identification of nonlinear structural dynamic systems as an alternative to the extended Kalman filter (EKF). The EKF, which was originally developed as a state estimator for nonlinear systems, has been frequently employed for parameter identification by introducing the state vector augmented with the unknown parameters to be identified. However, the EKF has several drawbacks such as biased estimations and erroneous estimations especially for highly nonlinear dynamic systems due to its crude linearization scheme. To overcome the weak points of the EKF, the UKF was recently developed as a state estimator. Numerical simulation studies have been carried out on nonlinear SDOF system and nonlinear MDOF system. The results from a series of numerical simulations indicate that the UKF is superior to the EKF in the system identification of nonlinear dynamic systems especially highly nonlinear systems.

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시설수박의 출하시기별 효율성 분석 (An Analysis of the Efficiency of Watermelon Using the Bootstrapping DEA Model)

  • 이상호
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2018
  • The paper aims to estimate efficiency of watermelon by using a bootstrapping approach to generating efficiency estimates through Monte Carlo simulation resampling process. We use the input-output data for watermelon 107 farmers. The main results are as follows. The estimates of efficiency depends on the methodology. The estimates of general DEA is greater than the bootstrapping method. The technical efficiency and pure technical efficiency measure of watermelon is 0.72, 0.82 respectively. However the bias-corrected estimates are less than those of DEA. We know that the DEA estimator is an upward biased estimator. According to these results, the DEA bootstrapping model used here provides bias-corrected and confidence intervals for the point estimates, it is more preferable.

Association measure of doubly interval censored data using a Kendall's 𝜏 estimator

  • Kang, Seo-Hyun;Kim, Yang-Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.151-159
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    • 2021
  • In this article, our interest is to estimate the association between consecutive gap times which are subject to interval censoring. Such data are referred as doubly interval censored data (Sun, 2006). In a context of serial event, an induced dependent censoring frequently occurs, resulting in biased estimates. In this study, our goal is to propose a Kendall's 𝜏 based association measure for doubly interval censored data. For adjusting the impact of induced dependent censoring, the inverse probability censoring weighting (IPCW) technique is implemented. Furthermore, a multiple imputation technique is applied to recover unknown failure times owing to interval censoring. Simulation studies demonstrate that the suggested association estimator performs well with moderate sample sizes. The proposed method is applied to a dataset of children's dental records.

상관관계가 강한 독립변수들을 포함한 데이터 시스템 분석을 위한 편차 - 복구 알고리듬 (Biased-Recovering Algorithm to Solve a Highly Correlated Data System)

  • 이미영
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2003
  • In many multiple regression analyses, the “multi-collinearity” problem arises since some independent variables are highly correlated with each other. Practically, the Ridge regression method is often adopted to deal with the problems resulting from multi-collinearity. We propose a better alternative method using iteration to obtain an exact least squares estimator. We prove the solvability of the proposed algorithm mathematically and then compare our method with the traditional one.