• Title/Summary/Keyword: autoregressive modeling

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Fault Detection in the Semiconductor Etch Process Using the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Modeling

  • Arshad, Muhammad Zeeshan;Nawaz, Javeria Muhammad;Hong, Sang Jeen
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.429-442
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we investigated the use of seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) time series models for fault detection in semiconductor etch equipment data. The derivative dynamic time warping algorithm was employed for the synchronization of data. The models were generated using a set of data from healthy runs, and the established models were compared with the experimental runs to find the faulty runs. It has been shown that the SARIMA modeling for this data can detect faults in the etch tool data from the semiconductor industry with an accuracy of 80% and 90% using the parameter-wise error computation and the step-wise error computation, respectively. We found that SARIMA is useful to detect incipient faults in semiconductor fabrication.

The Reciprocal Effects of Deviant Self-Concept and Delinquent Behaviors Revisited: A Latent State-Trait Autoregressive Modeling Approach (청소년 비행과 일탈적 자아개념의 상호적 인과관계: 잠재 상태-특성 자기회귀 모델을 통한 재검증)

  • Eunju Lee;Ick-Joong Chung
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.447-468
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study was to attain a clearer understanding of the reciprocal effects of deviant self-concept and delinquent behaviors by applying a latent state-trait autoregressive modeling approach. Although traditional autoregressive cross-lagged (ARCL) modeling has been widely applied to test the longitudinal reciprocal relationship between the two constructs, it could produce misspecified findings if there were trait-like processes involved in this relationship. The latent state-trait autoregressive(LST-AR) modeling was applied to control trait effects of deviant self-concept and to examine the reciprocal causal relations between the two constructs. Data were taken from a sample of 3,449 eighth graders who were followed annually for 5 years from the Korea Youth Panel Study. The combining LST-AR model with ARCL model substantiated the reciprocal effects of deviant self-concept and delinquent behaviors, even after the stable trait component of deviant self-concept was taken into account. The present findings shed lights on the reciprocal effects of behaviors (i.e., delinquency) and self concepts (i.e., deviant self-concept). Not only did behaviors change corresponding self-concept, but the ways adolescents perceived themselves influenced their behaviors.

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Longitudinal Relationships between Academic Achievement and Self-Esteem Using Cross-Lagged Autoregressive Modeling (Cross-lagged Autoregressive Model을 적용한 청소년의 학업성취와 자아존중감 간 종단관계연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Eun;Lee, Ju-Rhee
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.135-141
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    • 2008
  • This longitudinal study investigated the causal relationships between academic achievement and self-esteem using data from a 4-year investigation(2003-2006). Academic achievements and self-esteem were assessed for a sample of adolescents (male 187, female 201) in KYPS (Korea Youth Panel Survey). Cross-lagged autoregressive analyses indicated that for academic achievement and self-esteem, these two variables were reciprocally interrelated in middle school. However, thereafter, middle school 3rd grade students' self-esteem influenced high school 1st grade students' academic achievement, while high school 1st grade students' academic achievement influenced high school 2nd grade students' self-esteem.

The Longitudinal Relationship Between Self-Esteem and Peer Relationship in Adolescence: Using Autoregressive Cross-Lagged Modeling (청소년의 자아존중감과 또래관계의 자기회귀교차지연효과검증)

  • Lee, Boram;Park, Hye Jun
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.5-17
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    • 2016
  • Objective: This study focused on the longitudinal associations between self-esteem and peer relationships in Korean adolescents while considering gender and timing-early and late adolescence-differences. Methods: The study made use of data from the Korean Children and Youth Panel Survey. Three waves of data collected from 2,351 adolescents were analyzed by means of autoregressive cross-lagged modeling. Results: The results indicated that self-esteem predicted subsequent changes in peer relationship but not vice versa. Further, the results that longitudinal associations between self-esteem and peer relationships differed between male and female adolescents and between early and late adolescence. Conclusion: The findings revaluated the longitudinal relationship between self-esteem and peer relationships. Both gender and timing should be considered when planning interventions related issues about self-esteem and peer relationships in adolescence.

Modeling pediatric tumor risks in Florida with conditional autoregressive structures and identifying hot-spots

  • Kim, Bit;Lim, Chae Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1225-1239
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    • 2016
  • We investigate pediatric tumor incidence data collected by the Florida Association for Pediatric Tumor program using various models commonly used in disease mapping analysis. Particularly, we consider Poisson normal models with various conditional autoregressive structure for spatial dependence, a zero-in ated component to capture excess zero counts and a spatio-temporal model to capture spatial and temporal dependence, together. We found that intrinsic conditional autoregressive model provides the smallest Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) among the models when only spatial dependence is considered. On the other hand, adding an autoregressive structure over time decreases DIC over the model without time dependence component. We adopt weighted ranks squared error loss to identify high risk regions which provides similar results with other researchers who have worked on the same data set (e.g. Zhang et al., 2014; Wang and Rodriguez, 2014). Our results, thus, provide additional statistical support on those identied high risk regions discovered by the other researchers.

Autoregressive Modeling in Orthogonal Cutting of Glass Fiber Reinforced Composites (2차원 GFRC절삭에서 AR모델링에 관한 연구)

  • Gi Heung Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.88-93
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    • 2001
  • This study discusses frequency analysis based on autoregressive (AR) time series model, and process characterization in orthogonal cutting of a fiber-matrix composite materials. A sparsely distributed idealized composite material, namely a glass reinforced polyester (GFRP) was used as workpiece. Analysis method employs a force sensor and the signals from the sensor are processed using AR time series model. The resulting pattern vectors of AR coefficients are then passed to the feature extraction block. Inside the feature extraction block, only those features that are most sensitive to different types of cutting mechanisms are selected. The experimental correlations between the different chip formation mechanisms and AR model coefficients are established.

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The Reciprocal Relationship Between Young Children's Vocabulary Ability and Physical Aggression: A Longitudinal Study Using Autoregressive Cross-lagged Modeling (유아기의 어휘력과 신체적 공격성 간의 상호 영향: 자기회귀교차지연모형을 활용한 종단연구)

  • Han, Sae-Young;Joo, Ji-Yeong
    • Korean Journal of Childcare and Education
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.23-45
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    • 2019
  • Objective: The purpose of this study is to identify the longitudinal reciprocal relationship between young children's vocabulary ability and physical aggression in young children. Methods: Two waves of panel data(2013/2015) from the Panel Study of Korean Children were analyzed in this study by using an adapted version of Autoregressive cross-lagged modeling. A total of 306 five-year-old and seven-year-old preschoolers, and their mothers participated in the study. Autoregressive cross-lagged modeling for multiple groups was conducted by using AMOS 24.0. Results: First, vocabulary ability and physical aggression showed stability over time. Second, young children's vocabulary ability(t) had a statistically significant effect on physical aggression(t+1). Conclusion/Implications: This study confirmed the interrelationships of young children's vocabulary ability and physical aggression by examining longitudinal data using the longitudinal analysis method. This study highlights the importance of developing interventions to support language development with aggressive children. The results of the present study can be used as a source in developing policies for aggressive children and their parents.

Mediating Effects of Work-Family Balance on the Relationship of Role Recognition in the Family, Marital Intimacy and Job Satisfaction of Married Women: Using Latent Growth Curve Modeling and Autoregressive Cross-Lagged Modeling (기혼여성이 지각한 가족 내 역할 인식 및 부부친밀감과 직무만족도의 관계에서 일-가정양립 인식의 매개효과: 잠재성장모형 및 자기회귀교차지연모형 연구)

  • Han, Hye Rim;Lee, Ji Min
    • Human Ecology Research
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.263-274
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    • 2017
  • The purposes of this study were to verify the longitudinal mediating effects of work-family balance on the relationship of role recognition in the family, marital intimacy and job satisfaction of married women, and to introduce longitudinal mediating effects by using latent growth curve modeling and autoregressive cross-lagged modeling. The subjects were married women from the third year data of the Korean Longitudinal Survey of Women and Family. Structural equational models were conducted with Amos ver. 21.0. The major findings are as follows. First, the result of the longitudinal mediating effects of latent growth modeling is the rate of change of work-family balance mediated between the rate of change of role recognition in the family and the rate of change of job satisfaction, and the rate of change of work-family balance mediated between the rate of change of marital intimacy and the rate of change of job satisfaction. Second, when using the autoregressive cross-lagged modeling, the more role recognition and marital intimacy of third year were the more work-family balance of fourth year, job satisfaction of fifth year. In both models, work-family balance mediated between role recognition in the family, marital intimacy and job satisfaction. Therefore, through this study, mediating effects of work-family balance can be found that there was a longitudinal effects.

The Search of Causality between Life Satisfaction and Domain Satisfactions: Analysis through Autoregressive Crosslagged Model (전반적 삶의 만족도와 영역특정적 삶의 만족도 간 인과관계의 탐색)

  • Han, Jeong-Kyun;Lim, Sung-Moon
    • Korean Journal of Health Psychology
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.609-622
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the causality between life satisfaction and domain satisfactions. For this study, data were collected from 207 respondents. They completed World Health Organization Quality of Life Assessment Instrument - Brief (WHOQOL-BREF) which is self-report questionnaire asking about life satisfaction and domain satisfactions. For data analysis, the verification procedure by autoregressive crosslagged modeling of structural equation was used. The analysis results of measures showed the causal relation between the two variables, that is, domain satisfactions acted as cause of life satisfaction. There were discussions on the issues about the analysis method of the autoregressive crosslagged modeling, the implications of the results, and the limits of the research. This study ascertained the intervention direction between life satisfaction and domain satisfactions to promote life satisfaction.

The Reciprocal Relationship between Caregiver Relations and Peer Relations of Children in Out-of-home Care: Longitudinal Study Using Autoregressive Cross-lagged Modeling (가정외보호 아동의 양육자 관계와 교우관계의 상호 영향: 자기회귀교차지연모형을 활용한 종단연구)

  • Kim, Dami;Kang, Hyunah
    • Journal of Child Welfare and Development
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.109-135
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the longitudinal causal relationship between caregiver relations and peer relations of children in out-of-home care. We analyzed the three years(2011-2013) of longitudinal data from the Panel Study on Korean Children in Out-of-Home Care. The autoregressive cross-lagged model (ARCL) was used to measure the longitudinal causal relationship between caregiver relations and peer relations. As a result, first, caregiver relations and peer relations showed stability over time. In other words, the results of the measurement at three time points showed that the caregiver relations and peer relations at the previous time had a significant effect on the caregiver relations and peer relations at the later time point. Second, the previous caregiver relations had a significant effect on the subsequent peer relations over time. Third, the previous peer relations had a significant effect on the subsequent caregiver relations over time. This study confirmed the interrelationships of caregiver relations and peer relations of children in care by examining the longitudinal data using the longitudinal analysis method.