• International Area Studies Review
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.215-237
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• 2011

The paper is basically designed to reveal substitutability or complementary nature of export and import among Korea, China, and Japan by employing unit root test, cointegration technique, and vector error correction model(VECM). Empirical evidences are shown that the trading among these countries has been dominated by a complementary nature in the short run which enables it to promote trading in those countries. In the long run, however, the substitutability nature effects strongly to the trading among Korea, China, and Japan. To this end, it could be tentatively concluded that market-oriented trading policies are more effective to stimulate the export and import in those countries in the short run, while a trading policy has to be selectively implemented by the substitutability nature in the long run basis. For instance, a stability policy for exchange rates and various commercial policies could be set for a short term target. Whereas, the substitutability nature should be counted in building up a new industrial structure or in implementing FTA agreement among Korea, China, and Japan.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.90 no.2
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• pp.217-226
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• 2001

This study estimated the impacts of the building permit area change on the forest products import quantities in Korea. The first objective of this dissertation is to analyze whether there is any causal relationship between change in the building permit area and changes in the import quantities of forest products in Korea. Assuming that there is any causal relationship, the second objective is to evaluate the dynamics of the impacts of the building permit area change on the forest products import quantities in Korea. The relationship between the building permit area and the import quantity was represented by bivariate vector autoregressive or vector error correction model. Whether there is any causal relationship between change in the building permit area and changes in the import quantities of forest products was analyzed by the causality test of Granger. And the dynamics of the impacts of the building permit area change on the forest products import quantities were evaluated by variance decomposition analysis and impulse response analysis. The import quantity of forest products can be explained by the lagged building permit area variables and the lagged import quantity variables in Korea. Change in the building permit area causes change in the high-density fiberboard import quantity in Korea. In the bivariate model of the high-density fiberboard import quantity, after six months, the building permit area change accounts for about ten percent of variation in the import quantity, and its own change accounts for about ninety percent of variation in the import quantity. On the other hand, the impact of a shock to the building permit area is significant for about six months on the import quantity of high-density fiberboard in Korea. That is, if the building permit area change indeed had an impact on the import quantity of high-density fiberboard in Korea, it was only of a short-term nature.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.115-130
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• 2015

This paper investigates how ODA FDI Trade affect economic growth in 4 South America countries over the last 50 years and ODA, FDI, Trade have a impact on the 4 South America countries economic growth using the Vector Error Correction Model. The results of empirical analysis based on data from 1960 to 2014 confirmed that FDI and trade than ODA has had a significant impact on Brazil and FDI, Trade had affected on Argentina economic growth. On the other hand, ODA had a more major impact on Venezuela, Peru economic growth than FDI and trade. Based on the results of these empirical analysis, when it comes to support for economic growth of underdeveloping countries, developed countries have to supply enough ODA for least developing countries to start economic growth, in case of economic take off stage, they should consider FDI, and international trade volume increase.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.307-322
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• 2012

The purpose of this paper is to examine determinants of export to the East Asia region, using panel unit root, panel cointegration framework, panel VECM (vector error correction model), panel FMOLS (fully modified OLS). Different panel unit root tests confirm that the data series are integrated processes with unit roots. When applying cointegration tests to long-run effect for aggregate panel data, a primary concern is to construct the estimators in a way that does not constrain the transitional dynamics to be similar among different countries of the panel. The regression equations are estimated by various panel cointegration estimators. The panel data causality results reveal that exchange rates has unidirectional effects on export and GDP, and there exists bidirectional causality between export and GDP. Also, the results from the panel FMOLS tests overwhelmingly reject the null hypothesis of zero coefficient. The panel cointegrating vectors show that the export has positive relationship with the GDP and ODI (overseas direct investment).

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.377-386
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• 2014

This study analyzed how alternative investment goods would affect a market in a neighboring shopping area in order to provide parties involved in the investment market of this neighboring shopping area with standards which would help them when they try to make a reasonable determination. The study estimated forms and explanation power of the effects of a bid rate of a neighboring shopping area, and came up with those results as follows. Increases in the representative macro economic indicators, the composite stock price index and the fluctuation rate of land price, including the real estate business would have a positive influence on the market of the neighboring shopping area as playing a circumstantial evidence of market recovery and yet, the increase in interest rate, the alternative investment goods, would reduce the relative price-earnings ratio which would, eventually, negatively affect the charm of the investment in the market of the neighboring shopping area. The study, now, understands that housing with a feature of consumers' goods and neighboring shopping area with a feature of investment goods would not have great concern with each other as they are observed to be two different markets from an aspect of interactionism.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.37-56
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• 2017

This study analyzed the mutual causal relationship between energy consumption, production, and export for manufacturing industry in Korea. The Korean manufacturing industry was divided into nine industries and panel data was constructed from 1991 to 2013. The panel Granger causality test method developed by Demitrescu and Hurlin (2012) was used along with the Vector Error Correction Model. This analysis showed that there was Granger Causality from production to energy consumption, from exports to energy consumption. However, Granger Causality was not established in the opposite direction. Therefore, this result supports the conservation hypothesis of Qzturk (2010) that energy-saving policies in the manufacturing sector can be implemented without adverse effects on production or exports in short-run. There is a long-run cointegrating relationship between production, energy consumption, exports, labor, and capital in the Korean manufacturing sector. Furthermore, the energy consumption contributes to the increasing of production in long-run equilibrium relationship.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.65-84
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• 2017

This paper attempts to investigate FDI Trade have been viewed a power affecting economic growth in Mongolia and five Central Asian countries(Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan) directly and indirectly using the Vector Error Correction Model. The results of empirical analysis based on data from 1995 to 2015 confirmed that FDI had a significant impact on economic growth in the rest of countries expect Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, and Trade was not statistically significant for all countries. Accordingly we've come to below conclusion in consideration of the results of the statistics survey. It is urgently required to implement the policies on promoting foreign investment at first in order to recover economic decline though the international trading is considered important in developing the economics of developing countries. Especially, the landlocked countries, namely the countries having same border should focus on promoting the development of transport and freight forwarding systems between the countries, implementing the policies on trade relationships and foreign direct investments throughout the nation in consideration of the low- level of market economic conditions.

• Management & Information Systems Review
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• v.33 no.3
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• pp.93-104
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• 2014

This study investigates price discovery between BlueNext spot and futures in EU ETS carbon emission markets using vector error correction model, GG and Hasbruck information ratio. Especially EUA is European Union Allowances traded on the Emissions Trading Scheme. This emission asset attracts and increasing attention among operators, investors and brokers on emission markets. In this study, we found BlueNext spot and EUA futures market are cointegrated. Following the preceding studies, we judged that EUA futures market contribute to the price discovery process than BlueNext spot market when this GG and Hasbrouck information ratio for BlueNext market are larger than 0.5. In other words, the futures market of EUA plays a more dominant role in price discovery than the spot market.

• Management & Information Systems Review
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.1-12
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• 2016

In this study, price discovery between the KOSPI200 spot, and leveraged ETFs(Leveraged KODEX, Leveraged TIGER, Leveraged KStar) is investigated using the vector error correction model(VECM). The main findings are as follows. Leveraged KODEX(Leveraged TIGER, Leveraged KStar) and KOSPI200 spot are cointegrated in most cases. There is no interrelations between the movement of Leveraged KODEX(Leveraged TIGER, Leveraged KStar) and KOSPI200 spot markets in case of daily data. Namely, in daily data, Leveraged KODEX(Leveraged TIGER, Leveraged KStar) doesn't plays more dominant role in price discovery than the KOSPI200 spot.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.107-127
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• 2016

This paper attempts to investigate determinants of foreign direct investment in transition countries of Mongolia and Central Asia five countries of Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan. FDI inflows in this transition economies have been far increasing due to their rapid growth, GDP, gross capital formation, wage, labor force, open trading, infrastructure and natural resources as well as the factors demonstrating the economic variables and political variables of these countries by Vector Error Correction Model. The results of empirical analysis based on data from 1993 to 2013 confirmed that FDI and open trade and gross capital formation and political than GDP, wage, labor force, infrastructure and natural resources had a significant impact on Central Asia and Mongolia. In addition, if Mongolia and Central Asian five countries can maintain the country's economic growth, reduce unemployment level, achieve certain improvements in domesticating new technologies and improving skills and knowledge sphere as well as promoting stable domestic price increase, attracting and improving the FDI by paying more attention to the indicators focusing on country's GDP, wage, labor force, infrastructure and natural resource.