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Assessment of the Prediction Derived from Larger Ensemble Size and Different Initial Dates in GloSea6 Hindcast (기상청 기후예측시스템(GloSea6) 과거기후 예측장의 앙상블 확대와 초기시간 변화에 따른 예측 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Ji-Yeong;Park, Yeon-Hee;Ji, Heesook;Hyun, Yu-Kyung;Lee, Johan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.367-379
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, the evaluation of the performance of Korea Meteorological Administratio (KMA) Global Seasonal forecasting system version 6 (GloSea6) is presented by assessing the effects of larger ensemble size and carrying out the test using different initial conditions for hindcast in sub-seasonal to seasonal scales. The number of ensemble members increases from 3 to 7. The Ratio of Predictable Components (RPC) approaches the appropriate signal magnitude with increase of ensemble size. The improvement of annual variability is shown for all basic variables mainly in mid-high latitude. Over the East Asia region, there are enhancements especially in 500 hPa geopotential height and 850 hPa wind fields. It reveals possibility to improve the performance of East Asian monsoon. Also, the reliability tends to become better as the ensemble size increases in summer than winter. To assess the effects of using different initial conditions, the area-mean values of normalized bias and correlation coefficients are compared for each basic variable for hindcast according to the four initial dates. The results have better performance when the initial date closest to the forecasting time is used in summer. On the seasonal scale, it is better to use four initial dates, where the maximum size of the ensemble increases to 672, mainly in winter. As the use of larger ensemble size, therefore, it is most efficient to use two initial dates for 60-days prediction and four initial dates for 6-months prediction, similar to the current Time-Lagged ensemble method.

Evaluation and Analysis of Characteristics for Hazen-Williams C Based on Measured Data in Multi-Regional Water Supply Systems (광역상수도 실측자료를 활용한 유속계수 평가 및 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Bumjun;Choi, Myungwon;Kim, Gilho;Kim, Hungsoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.197-206
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    • 2016
  • Although the Hazen-Williams C factors are very important in the design, operation, and maintenance of water supply pipes, sufficient studies for them have been not reported in korea, which are based on experiments or measured data. Because of this, we have estimated C factors by measurement considering constraints in time precise safety diagnosis for multi-regional water supply system were performed. In this study, we confirmed constraints and variables characteristics of Hazen-Williams equation, and collected reliable C factors data of 174 by measurement, and analyzed their characteristics. According to collected data, the average value is 115.35, which is almost equal to the value of design standard or a little higher than it in korea. Also, among the equations suggested to determine C factor in the past, the C factors calculated by Sharp and Walski equation was closest to them in this study. In addition, to analyze collected C factors, use year and pipe diameter having high correlation with them were respectively divided into there categories. Analysis results showed that C factors evidently decreases depending on increases in use year, on the other hand, size of pipe diameter is proportional to value of them. In conclusion, this research showing evaluation and characteristics for C factors based on measured data will be used as practical reference in determining C factor in multi-regional water supply systems at a later date.

Improvement of Representative Value through Comparison of the Reliability of point detector : focusing on traffic volume (지점검지기 신뢰도 비교를 통한 대표치 생성 개선방안 : 구간 교통량을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Yoon-Hyuk;Lee, Yoon-Seok
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.22-35
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    • 2013
  • With the increase in image detectors, concerns about the reliability of traffic information are increasing. In this paper, we propose a method to generate reliable traffic volume using analysis of the point detector data as a representative value. Therefore, targeting expressway, we analyzed the difference in traffic volume collected by loop and image detector, and verified statistically using t-test, and finally analyzed the error rate compare to the real traffic volume. Analysis revealed that there was a statistically difference the traffic date collected by the loop detector and the image detector, in the same period, the same time, respectively. In addition, the difference between the actual traffic volume and traffic that have been collected in a loop detector was the lowest Therefore, creating a traffic volume of representative value, we proposed a method to use loop detector than the average traffic volume collected by each detector. It shows that it is more important to use one high-quality data rather than various low-quality data to produce a representative value.

A Study on the Change of Hire Payment Method to Reduce the FFA Basis Risk (FFA 베이시스위험 축소를 위한 용선료 지급기준 변경의 타당성 검토)

  • Lee, Seung-Cheol;Yun, Heesung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.359-366
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    • 2022
  • While the Forward Freight Agreement (FFA) has emerged as an effective hedging tool since early 1990, the basis risk and cash flow distortions have been addressed as obstacles to the active use of FFAs. This research analyses the basis risk of FFAs and provides a feasible suggestion to reduce it. Basis risk is divided into timing basis, route basis, size basis, and low liquidity basis. The timing basis is defined as the difference between the physical hire, fixed on the specific contract date and the FFA settlement price, calculated by averaging spot rates for a certain period. Timing basis is considered the worst in eroding the effectiveness of FFAs. This paper suggests a change of hire payment criterion from contract date to 15-day moving average, as a means of mitigating the basis risk, and analyzed the effectiveness through historical simulation. The result revealed that the change is effective in mitigating the timing basis. This study delivers a meaningful implication to shipping practice in that the change of hire payment criterion mitigates the basis risk and eventually activates the use of FFAs in the future.

A Study on Correction of True Solar Time in Eastern and Western Countries (동서양 각국의 진태양시 보정에 관한 연구)

  • Won-Ho Choi
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.137-152
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    • 2023
  • As the world progresses towards a global society as time goes by, it is a natural reality that interpreting the fortunes of people born in foreign countries will inevitably increase in the future. If the time of birth is different, a big problem arises in the theory of MyungLiollgy. Therefore, this researcher decides whether to use the local standard time of the country of birth or convert it to the Korean time zone when a foreign-born person writes four weeks, because the position of the sun determines the time and date, so the local standard time It was concluded that it was appropriate to use it, and to support the discussion on the correction of true solar time in Eastern and Western countries, we carefully selected major countries and major cities where the time difference between the currently used national standard time and the true solar time according to the actual longitude line was expected, and the results were presented. was calculated and derived. As a result of the study, it was confirmed that the time difference between the national standard time and the true solar time is much greater than the general idea. On the other hand, through the case of actual foreign-born people, it was possible to find out the great influence of summer time on the composition of the sandbar, in addition to the influence of the exact time difference on the birth date and cutting time. Through the results of this study, it is thought that we have laid the systematic foundation of the myo-logical theory on the correction of true solar time in Eastern and Western countries for the simplicity of the four weeks of foreign-born people, and this will serve as an opportunity to reduce confusion about the method of simplifying the four weeks of foreign-born people. It is assumed that it will be possible.

Real-Time Automated Cardiac Health Monitoring by Combination of Active Learning and Adaptive Feature Selection

  • Bashir, Mohamed Ezzeldin A.;Shon, Ho Sun;Lee, Dong Gyu;Kim, Hyeongsoo;Ryu, Keun Ho
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.99-118
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    • 2013
  • Electrocardiograms (ECGs) are widely used by clinicians to identify the functional status of the heart. Thus, there is considerable interest in automated systems for real-time monitoring of arrhythmia. However, intra- and inter-patient variability as well as the computational limits of real-time monitoring poses significant challenges for practical implementations. The former requires that the classification model be adjusted continuously, and the latter requires a reduction in the number and types of ECG features, and thus, the computational burden, necessary to classify different arrhythmias. We propose the use of adaptive learning to automatically train the classifier on up-to-date ECG data, and employ adaptive feature selection to define unique feature subsets pertinent to different types of arrhythmia. Experimental results show that this hybrid technique outperforms conventional approaches and is therefore a promising new intelligent diagnostic tool.

Update of minimally invasive surfactant therapy

  • Shim, Gyu-Hong
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.60 no.9
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    • pp.273-281
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    • 2017
  • To date, preterm infants with respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) after birth have been managed with a combination of endotracheal intubation, surfactant instillation, and mechanical ventilation. It is now recognized that noninvasive ventilation (NIV) such as nasal continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) in preterm infants is a reasonable alternative to elective intubation after birth. Recently, a meta-analysis of large controlled trials comparing conventional methods and nasal CPAP suggested that CPAP decreased the risk of the combined outcome of bronchopulmonary dysplasia or death. Since then, the use of NIV as primary therapy for preterm infants has increased, but when and how to give exogenous surfactant remains unclear. Overcoming this problem, minimally invasive surfactant therapy (MIST) allows spontaneously breathing neonates to remain on CPAP in the first week after birth. MIST has included administration of exogenous surfactant by intrapharyngeal instillation, nebulization, a laryngeal mask, and a thin catheter. In recent clinical trials, surfactant delivery via a thin catheter was found to reduce the need for subsequent endotracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation, and improves short-term respiratory outcomes. There is also growing evidence for MIST as an alternative to the INSURE (intubation-surfactant-extubation) procedure in spontaneously breathing preterm infants with RDS. In conclusion, MIST is gentle, safe, feasible, and effective in preterm infants, and is widely used for surfactant administration with noninvasive respiratory support by neonatologists. However, further studies are needed to resolve uncertainties in the MIST method, including infant selection, optimal surfactant dosage and administration method, and need for sedation.

Preference of Women Cosmetics Consumption Value on SNS Features of Cosmetics Brands (여성의 화장품 소비가치에 따른 화장품 브랜드의 SNS 특성 선호도)

  • Kim, Cho-Rong;Kwak, Tai-Gi
    • Journal of the Korea Fashion and Costume Design Association
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.99-111
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    • 2016
  • In order to use cosmetics brands SNS effectively and establish strategy, the purpose of this study is to provide consumer date. According to cosmetics consumption value groups, this study examined each cosmetics consumption value group's level of concern of three cosmetics brands SNS features, informativity, enjoyment and interactivity. For the data, questionnaire was collected by 198 women, and the data were measured by ANOVA, factor analysis, cluster analysis and Ducan test. According to cluster analysis cosmetics consumption value groups were divided into four groups, unconcern group, hedonic value pursuit group, function of brand value pursuit group, high concern group. The results of the study are as follows: First, high concern group thought highly of all cosmetics brands SNS features, including informativity, enjoyment and interactivity. In addition all consumer groups were concerned informativity rather then enjoyment and interactivity. Second, comparing with high concern group, other groups which include unconcern group, hedonic value pursuit group and function of brand value pursuit group were not concerned about cosmetics brands SNS features' enjoyment and interactivity. Except informativity, hedonic value pursuit group and unconcern group were more concerned interactivity than enjoyment. While, high concern group and function of brand value pursuit group were more concerned enjoyment than interactivity.

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A study on the send and receive of the message in the bolero and TEDI system (Bolero와 TEDI 시스템상의 메시지 송수신에 관한 고찰)

  • Jeon, Soon-Hwan
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.105-121
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this paper is to study the send and receive of the message in the both Bolero and TEDI System. Bolero System is the business processes and methods, together with the digital information system, which are provided by Bolero International for communicating Messages and Documents and facilitating business transactions, as well as the Bolero Rulebook and Operating Rules governing their use. On the other hand, The TEDI System replaces a series of trade documents with electronic date, and it realizes secure and reliable transactions of data among parties by means of open networks, such as the Internet. The TEDI system is composed of Web browsers, TC Servers, a RSP Server, and Certification Servers.

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Measurements of the rheological properties of standard reference material 2490 using an in-line micro-Fourier rheometer

  • Smith R. S.;Glasscock J. A.
    • Korea-Australia Rheology Journal
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.169-173
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    • 2004
  • The control of the rheological properties of a fluid during processing is important and can determine the efficiency of the production in addition to the performance of the final product. The vast majority of process fluids are viscoelastic, hence an instrument that measures both the viscous and elastic properties of the material during processing would be of great practical use. However, most in-line instruments commercially available to date are only capable of measuring viscosity at a single shear rate. An in-line rheometer that measures both the viscous and elastic properties of fluids over a wide range of shear rates simultaneously has been described in a previous publication (Glasscock et at., 2003) in which the results of measurements on flowing sunflower oil were presented. Before this instrument can be used in an industrial situation, it must be demonstrated that the generated results are the same as, or bear some fixed relationship to, the results obtained by conventional off-line rheometers. To this end, the present investigation describes the measurements of a standard reference fluid, polyisobutylene dissolved in 2,6,10,14-tetramethylpentadecane, labelled SRM2490 by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) in the USA. The results obtained using the in-line rheometer show remarkably good correlation for viscosity, using a modified Cox­Merz rule, with the results supplied with the reference material from NIST.