• Title/Summary/Keyword: Urban Growth Model

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공간 연관규칙을 이용한 도시성장 확률모형의 구현

  • 조성휘;박수홍
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2003
  • GIS는 공간과 관련된 문제를 해결하는데 있어 좋은 도구가 되며 도시성장 예측과 같은 문제에 사용될 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 수도권 내에 위치한 수원지역을 대상으로 1960년대부터 1990년대까지의 도시성장에 관한 데이터베이스를 구축하고 도시의 물리적인 확산에 초점을 맞추어 모형의 핵심이 되는 공간 연관규칙을 추출하였다. 공간 연관규칙의 추출을 위해 GIS 공간 분석 기능과 데이터마이닝 기법을 이용하였으며, 규칙을 기반으로 모형을 작성하여 도시성장을 분석 및 예측하고 UGM(Urban Growth Model)과 비교하였다.

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A Study on Improving Ubiquitous Strategy Planning for Local Governments (지자체 U-도시계획 수립방법 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Myong-Dong;Park, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 2013
  • Korean local governments have been planning for u-City construction with great efforts. Such efforts are needed in order to reflect the urban characteristics of each city, to promote local economic growth, and to have a sustainable operation model. Thus it is critical at an earlier stage to set a strategic direction based on urban environment analysis, which will lead to a feasible implementation of u-City. This paper derives issues and suggests improvement methods based on a case study on the USPs (u-City Strategy Planning's) of ten local governments. It is expected that the improvement methods will greatly reduce risks involved in u-City construction and contribute to better provided local-specific u-services.

Analysis of Flood Reduction in Downstream Urban Areas for the Storage in Apartment Complex (하류 도심지 침수저감 분석을 통한 공동주택 단지의 우수저류조 계획)

  • Jae-Do Choi;Hyoung-Chul Lim
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.698-709
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: In this paper, we would like to analyze the growth rate of existing urban immersion in the downstream during large-scale urban development and the degree of reduction in existing urban immersion in the downstream when small excellent storage facilities are planned in apartment complexes. Method: A large-scale sewage model was built using the SWMM model of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, and the impact of flooding in existing downtown areas downstream was analyzed through simulation. The built model included the development zone, the existing downtown area downstream, and the entire river basin that discharges rainwater. Result: As a result of calculating and simulating the minimum excellent reservoir capacity for each apartment block in the study target area, it was found that the immersion of 4,893㎥ based on one hour, 25,815㎥ based on two hours, and 55,528㎥ based on three hours in the downstream urban area. Conclusion: As in this study, large-scale flooding simulation considering the existing downtown area in the downstream shows a significant increase in flooding in the downstream, and if excellent reservoir capacity is planned for each apartment block before development and the construction of excellent reservoirs is recommended.

The Impacts of Financial Expenditures on Employment under the China New Normal (중국 "신창타이" 시대의 재정지출이 취업에 미치는 영향)

  • Shen, Quan-Ping;Kim, Jong-Sup
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.21-44
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    • 2017
  • Under the new normal, the China's economy growth has changed rapid growth to moderate growth since 2007. With new paradigm, China is facing an abnormally severe employment situation. Also the financial expenditure is an important macro adjustment method. The research analyzes both implications of financial expenditures to employment in China, and the trend of implication in different regions. The research was conducted by 2SLS method using the panel data of 31 Chinese local governments(provinces, cities, and autonomous districts) during 1998 to 2015. The main findings are as follows. In the new normal model(2008-2015), the financial expenditure to urban employment have higher effect than total employment. Also, higher income region have more positive effect than lower income region. Medical, technology expenditure have positive effect to total employment, social security, education expenditure have positive effect to urban employment. In the total model(1998-2015) have similar results with new normal model, but the elasticity is more higher than total model. Ultimately, it can be seen that the efficiency of financial expenditure is lower than new normal model. The government should increase the proportion of expenditure in fields of social security, education, medical, technology, and improve the expenditure structure. So as to promote the effect of financial expenditure to employment in new normal economy.

Monitoring Survey of Natural Recovery Method at Oncheon Stream (온천천 시범구간의 자연형 복원공법의 Monitoring 조사)

  • Seo, Kyu-Woo;Song, Il-Jun;Kim, Gwang-Seob
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2001
  • Growth of cities and an increase in population result in the development-oriented policy, urban streams to lose their natural characteristics and functions by channelization, parking lot construction, and so forth. The streams fall into urban drains, which is the current status of urban streams. Recently, the interest in the stream environment and the ecosystem has been increased, and the efforts have been made to improve the traditional maintenance program for small streams. These efforts lead to the application of the natural recovery systems. This study applied the 240-meter model reach along the Oncheon stream, which locates in Dongrae-gu, Busan city. to analyze the natural recovery system. The efficiency of each system has been analyzed and the future improvements for the systems are presented. The results show that the stream maintenance program should consider the ecological environment. thereby minimizing the environmental effects. When the changes are inevitable, the maintenance program should adopt the methods. which closely simulate the original environmental elements. or are more favorable to the ecosystem.

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Study on Transport Policy Assessment Using the Integrated Land Use Transport Model (통합 토지이용 교통모형을 이용한 교통정책평가에 관한 연구 I: 기존사례연구를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Seung-Jae;Sohn, Jhi-Eon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2010
  • The policy which encourages people to use cars on the road has been based on the growth of economy in Korea. It has also caused the concentration and overcrowding in Seoul. That's because the increasing number of people possessing cars interconnects with the urban development. The transportation is a derived demand; so many scholars have recognized the importance of understanding the relationship between urban land use and transport. Considering such importance, this study theoretically compared the developed urban land use-transportation models each other and outlined the particular models briefly. Models were categorized by 2 types; optimizing model and predictive mode. Predictive model is also defined by static model, entropy based model, spatial-economic model, and activity model. After studying models, we investigated other major cities in America. This process is the pre-step for transport policy assessment. Through careful literature review, we can finally develop the integrated land-use transportation model in Seoul metropolitan area. In addition, we will be able to deal the changes of traffic demand pattern under U-Society. Consequently, the results of this study can be applied to ITS projects in the future.

Evaluation and Direction of the New Town Development in Korea (우리나라 신도시 개발의 평가 및 발전방향)

  • Kim, Dong-Yoon
    • Journal of The Korean Digital Architecture Interior Association
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.5-16
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    • 2013
  • With regard to the new town developments which have supplied lots of houses in a short period of time in Korea this study aims to evaluation and finding out problems of the developments finally to suggest the direction. A new town's competitiveness model set in the previous paper takes a role of research frame to recognize the problems and to show the direction. The model explains that new town's competitiveness is composed of 4 factors; Self-sufficiency, Innovativenss, Identity and Sustainability. Problems of the developments are as follows; incongruity of spatial structure especially in the capital region, deficiency of self-sufficiency resulted from single-use development, restriction on mixed development by a number of regulations in capital region, low business value, grand scale of land compensation, house oriented planning guidance, unfair share of infrastructure fee, and physical structure depending mainly on fossil energy. Based on this recognition this study conclusively suggests corresponding direction such as role performance as a means of urban growth management, promotion of quality of life by accumulating social capital, introduction of socially sustainable management program for the new towns, discovery and creation of town's value, reexamination of self-sufficiency's meaning or target, selective deregulation of metropolitan development, institutional strategy for cost reduction, changeover from house index to urban function oriented index, and pursuit of low-carbon green town.

Carbon Reduction Services of Evergreen Broadleaved Landscape Trees for Ilex rotunda and Machilus thunbergii in Southern Korea

  • Jo, Hyun-Kil;Kim, Jin-Young;Park, Hye-Mi
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.240-247
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    • 2019
  • This study quantified carbon reduction services through direct harvesting of Ilex rotunda and Machilus thunbergii, which are the typical urban landscape tree species in southern Korea. A total of 20 open-grown tree specimens (10 specimens for each species) were selected reflecting various sizes of stem diameter at breast height of 1.2 m (DBH) at a regular interval. The study measured biomass for each part of the tree specimens including roots to compute total carbon storage per tree. Annual carbon uptake per tree was also calculated analyzing the DBH growth rate of stem disk specimens. Quantitative models were developed using DBH as an independent variable to easily estimate storage and annual uptake of carbon by tree growth for each species. All the models had a high goodness-of-fit with R2=0.95-0.99. The difference in carbon reduction services between DBH sizes increased with increasing DBH. The storage and annual uptake of carbon from a tree with DBH of 10 cm were 13.5 kg and 2.4 kg/yr for I. rotunda, and 19.1 kg and 3.6 kg/yr for M. thunbergii, respectively. The tree of this size stored the amount of carbon equivalent to that emitted from a gasoline use of approximately 24 L for I. rotunda and 34 L for M. thunbergii, respectively. The study provides actual measurement data to quantify carbon reduction services of urban open-grown landscape trees for the warm-temperate species that have been little known until now.

Income Trajectories of Working Poor and Working Non-poor: A Latent Growth Model (근로빈곤층과 근로비빈곤층의 차별적 소득 궤적 - 잠재성장모형의 응용 -)

  • Lee, Sohyeon;Lim, Up
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.15-27
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates the difference in income trajectories of the working poor and the non-working poor and explains the effects of socio-demographic (marriage, education) and regional (living in large cities) factors on intergroup differences. We use Seoul Survey data collected between 2009-2018 and the latent growth modeling approach. It was found that the trajectory difference between groups was statistically significant. Since 2016, the income gap widened as the income of the working poor stagnated. The three variables included in this model better explained the income trajectory of the working poor compared to the working non-poor. In particular, the change in income growth rate was positively related to whether they live in large cities. This suggests the possibility that living in a large city would act as an economic premium for the working poor. It is necessary to conduct follow-up studies on urban premiums for the working poor.

A Spatial Projection of Demand for Green Infrastructure and Its Application to GeoDesign - Evidence-Based Design for Urban Resilience - (융합도시모델링을 통한 그린인프라 수요 예측 및 지오디자인 적용 - 도시 레질리언스를 위한 근거 기반 디자인 -)

  • Kwak, Yoonshin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.30-43
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    • 2023
  • Green infrastructure(GI) is considered a key strategy in establishing sustainable communities. However, research on GI from the perspective of urban system dynamics and resilience lacks depth, as does its integration with physical design. This research addresses two primary causes. First, there is a gap in methods between existing GI planning, which considers static variables, and urban modeling research, which addresses dynamic variables. Second, there is a gap in information between landscape design and urban modeling research. To address these issues, this study proposes an integrated modeling approach in consideration of design decision-making. By combining the LEAM model and MCDA model, this study evaluates the relationship between GI services and socioeconomic growth, while spatially forecasting the geographies of GI demand in 2050. The resulting information reveals a potential degradation in ecosystem services over the region due to Chicago's sub-urbanization. This indicates that there would be a spatial shift in GI demand, emphasizing the need for comprehensive, dynamic GI strategies. This study further discusses the applications of evidence-based design in a studio environment. This study aims to contribute to the GeoDesign literature in terms of the creation of a more resilient urban environment by facilitating efficient evidence-based decision-making.