• 제목/요약/키워드: Uncertainty Factor

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Cone 관입시험을 이용한 해양토질의 전단강도 산정에 대한 신뢰도 연구 (A Reliability Study on Estimating Shear Strength of Marine Soil using CPT)

  • 이인모;이명재
    • 한국지반공학회지:지반
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 1987
  • 본연구에서는 해양토질의 전단강도 산정에 대한 Cone관입시험의 신뇌도를 조사하였다. 사질토에 대하여는 내부마찰각의 불확정성을 조사하였으며, 불확정성에는 자료의 공간적 변화와 해석에 사용 되는 공식의 모텔오차 등이 있고, 그중 해석모텔의 오차가 가장 큰 불확정성이었다. 해석 방법마다 구한 내부마찰각이 서로 다르므로, 해석결과를 종합할 수 있는 주관적 견해개념(subjective opinion) 을 도입하였다. Cone관입시험을 이용하여 잡토지반에서 비배빙전단강도를 산정하기 위해서는 실훈시험이나 현장베인 시험으로 구한 전단강도와 Cone 저항력의 경험적인 관계를 이용하여야 한다. 비배수전단강도의 불확정성은 Cone 계수(Nk)의 자료 산포, Nk의 모델 오차, 이방성과 Cone 저항력의 공간적 변화 등에 기인하며, Nk의 자료산포가 가장 큰 불확정성이었다. Nk값의 산정에 이용되는 비교강도시험은 실내시험보다는 현장베인시험의 신뢰성이 더 큰 것으로 나타났다.

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팬아웃 웨이퍼 레벨 패키지 공정 중 재료 물성의 불확실성이 휨 현상에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Material Property Uncertainty on Warpage during Fan Out Wafer-Level Packaging Process)

  • 김금택;강기훈;권대일
    • 마이크로전자및패키징학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.29-33
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    • 2019
  • 전자패키지 크기의 소형화와 전자기기의 성능 향상이 함께 이루어지면서 높은 입출력 밀도 구현이 중요한 요소로서 평가받고 있다. 이를 구현하기 위해 팬아웃 웨이퍼 레벨 패키지(FO-WLP)가 큰 주목을 받고 있다. 하지만 FO-WLP는 휨(Warpage) 현상에 취약하다는 약점이 있다. 휨 현상은 생산 수율 감소와 더불어 패키지 신뢰성 하락에 큰 원인이므로 이를 최소화하는 것이 필수적이다. 유한요소해석을 이용한 재질의 물성 등 FO-WLP의 휨 현상과 연관된 요소에 대한 많은 연구가 진행되어 왔지만, 대부분의 연구는 이러한 요소들의 불확실성을 고려하지 않았다. 재질의 물성, 칩의 위치 등 패키지의 휨 현상과 연관된 요소들은 제조 측면에서 보았을 때 불확실성을 가지고 있기 때문에, 실제 결과와 더 가깝게 모사하기 위해서는 이러한 요소들의 불확실성이 고려되어야 한다. 이번 연구에서는 FO-WLP 과정 중 칩의 탄성 계수가 정규 분포를 따르는 불확실성을 가졌을 때 휨 현상에 미치는 영향을 유한요소해석을 통해 알아보았다. 그 결과 칩의 탄성 계수의 불확실성이 최대 von Mises 응력에 영향을 미치는 것을 확인하였다. Von Mises 응력은 전체 패키지 신뢰성과 관련된 인자이기 때문에 칩의 물성에 대한 불확실성 제어가 필요하다.

An Integrated Design Process for Manufacturing and Multidisciplinary Design Under System Uncertainty

  • Byeng Dong
    • International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2004
  • Necessity to address engineering system uncertainties in design processes has long been acknowledged. To obtain quality of product, a safety factor is traditionally used by many design engineers due to its easy of use and comprehension. However, the safety factor approach often yields either conservative or unreliable designs, since it ignores the type of probability distribution and the mechanism of uncertainty propagation from the input to the output. For a consistent reliability-based design, two fundamental issues must be investigated thoroughly. First, the design-decision process that clearly identifies a mechanism of uncertainty propagation under system uncertainties needs to be developed, which must be an efficient and accurate process. To identify the mechanism more effectively, an adaptive probability analysis is proposed by adaptively setting probability levels through a posteriori error estimation. The second is to develop the design process that not only yields a high quality design but also a cost-effective optimum design from manufacturing point of view. As a result, a response surface methodology is specially developed for RBDO, thus enhancing numerical challenges of efficiency and complicatedness. Side crashworthiness application is used to demonstrate the integrated design process for product and manufacturing process design.

보조생식술을 받는 여성의 불확실성과 배우자 지지가 난임 관련 삶의 질에 미치는 영향 (Effects of uncertainty and spousal support on infertility-related quality of life in women undergoing assisted reproductive technologies)

  • 이혜신;부선주;안정아;송주은
    • 여성건강간호학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.72-83
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of uncertainty and spousal support on infertility-related quality of life (QoL) in women undergoing assisted reproductive technologies. Methods: In this correlational survey study, 172 infertile women undergoing assisted reproductive technologies for infertility treatment at M hospital in Seoul participated. Data collection took place at the outpatient department of M hospital using a self-report questionnaire from July to August 2019. Data were analyzed using SPSS for Windows version 28.0. Results: The mean scores for uncertainty, spousal support, and infertility-related QoL were 28.35 (out of 50), 86.67 (out of 115), and 57.98 (out of 100), respectively. Infertility-related QoL was positively correlated with spousal support and negatively correlated with uncertainty. According to the regression analysis, infertility-related QoL was significantly affected by uncertainty, total number of assisted reproductive technology treatments, marriage duration, subjective health status, the financial burden of infertility testing, and the presence of a burdensome person. These variables had an explanatory power of 35.0% for infertility-related QoL. Conclusion: Uncertainty was an important factor influencing infertility-related QoL among women undergoing assisted reproductive technologies. It is necessary to develop and implement a nursing intervention program focused on reducing various forms of uncertainty during assisted reproductive procedures and to consider other factors affecting infertility-related QoL in the clinical setting.

정부출연연구기관에서의 자금조달환경의 불확실성이 관리통제시스템에 미치는 영향 - PBS 제도 도입을 중심으로 -

  • 이민형
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.177-193
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    • 2003
  • This paper examines empirically if the increase of funding uncertainty in government supported R&D institutes(GSRIs) in Korean cause managers to use more effective management control practices. Recently government introduced a new government R&D budget management system, based on competition, named PBS(Project Base System). Government requires GSRIs to be self-supporting and compete for funding from government. The introduction of new budget management system named PBS, has resulted in the increase of funding uncertainty in GSRIs. According to institutional theory, government organizations gain legitimacy by conforming to external expectations regarding management control practices, In contrast, contingency theory proposes that management control practices are driven by the fit between the technical features of the environment and the management control practices. The contingency literature provides that one external factor expected to motivate government managers to use more efficient control practices is the presence of competition and funding uncertainty. This paper use both theoretical perspective to develop hypotheses and examine the influence of funding environment on management control practices. Results show that the more institutionalized environment, the more managers in GSRIs rely on bureaucratic mode of control for conforming to external requirements, and the greater the funding uncertainty, the more managers use results and personal modes of control to improve research team performance.

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룸코너 시험기의 발열량 측정에 대한 불확도 산정 (Calculation of Uncertainty in Measuring Heat Release Rate in Room Corner Test)

  • 노광철;김치훈;이승철;이덕희
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 2012
  • 화재시험에 있어서 정확한 발열량의 측정은 시험체의 화재 안정성을 결정하기 위한 중요한 정보이다. 발열량 측정값은 측정 인자들의 오차에 기인하여 영향을 받는다. 본 연구에서는 한국철도기술연구원에 설치된 룸코너 시험기에 대한 불확도의 인자를 분석하였고 이를 이용하여 KTX 내장재 화재시험의 발열량 측정 불확도를 계산하였다. 화재 발열량 불확도 계산 결과, 화재시작단계에서 불확도가 매우 높은 값으로 나타났고 화재가 성장하면서 불확도는 점차적으로 감소하였다. 불확도 인자들 중 산소 농도가 발열량 측정 불확도에 가장 크게 기여하는 것으로 나타냈다.

확율유한요소법을 이용한 균질 사면의 신뢰성 해석 (The Reliability Analysis for Homogeneous Slope Stability Using Stochastic Finite Element Method)

  • 조래청;도덕현
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제38권5호
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    • pp.125-139
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    • 1996
  • This study was performed to provide the design method for soil structure which guarantees proper safety with uncertainty of soil parameters. For this purpose, the effect of uncertainty of soil parameters for slope stability was analyzed by Bishop's simplified method and Monte Carlo simulation(MC). And reliability analysis program, RESFEM, was developed by combining elastic theory, MC, FEM, SFEM, and reliability, which can consider uncertainty of soil parameters. For factor of safety(FS) 1.0 and 1.2 by Bishop's simplified method, the probability of failure(Pf) was analyzed with varying coefficient of variation(c.o.v.) of soil parameters. The Pf increased as c.o.v. of soil parameters increased. This implies that FS is not the absolute index of slope safety, and even if FS is same, it has different Pf according to c.o.v. of soil parameters. The RESFEM was able to express the Pf at each element in slope quantitatively according to uncertainty of soil parameters. The variation of Pf with uncertainty of soil parameters was analyzed by RESFEM, and it was shown that the Pf increased as the c.o.v. of soil parameters increased.

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UNCERTAINTY PROPAGATION ANALYSIS FOR YONGGWANG NUCLEAR UNIT 4 BY MCCARD/MASTER CORE ANALYSIS SYSTEM

  • Park, Ho Jin;Lee, Dong Hyuk;Shim, Hyung Jin;Kim, Chang Hyo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.291-298
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    • 2014
  • This paper concerns estimating uncertainties of the core neutronics design parameters of power reactors by direct sampling method (DSM) calculations based on the two-step McCARD/MASTER design system in which McCARD is used to generate the fuel assembly (FA) homogenized few group constants (FGCs) while MASTER is used to conduct the core neutronics design computation. It presents an extended application of the uncertainty propagation analysis method originally designed for uncertainty quantification of the FA FGCs as a way to produce the covariances between the FGCs of any pair of FAs comprising the core, or the covariance matrix of the FA FGCs required for random sampling of the FA FGCs input sets into direct sampling core calculations by MASTER. For illustrative purposes, the uncertainties of core design parameters such as the effective multiplication factor ($k_{eff}$), normalized FA power densities, power peaking factors, etc. for the beginning of life (BOL) core of Yonggwang nuclear unit 4 (YGN4) at the hot zero power and all rods out are estimated by the McCARD/MASTER-based DSM computations. The results are compared with those from the uncertainty propagation analysis method based on the McCARD-predicted sensitivity coefficients of nuclear design parameters and the cross section covariance data.

0.75[kW]급 삼상유도전동기 효율의 불확도 평가에 관한 연구 (Study on the Evaluation of Uncertainty for the Efficiency of 0.75[kW] Class Three Phase Induction Motor)

  • 전희득;박한석;김대경;우경일
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제64권4호
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    • pp.653-659
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    • 2015
  • In the last few years, the regulations for efficiency grade of the three phase induction motor are internationally being discussed and upgraded for the protection of environment and energy saving. So the efficiency improvement and the reliable test result are essential to determine the premium grade three phase induction motor. While a study on developing the efficiency motor is active, there is little research about the guarantee for efficiency. So in this paper, the dispersion characteristic of the efficiency is studied using uncertainty theory for the three phase induction motor to improve the reliability of efficiency. The values such as input voltage, current, speed, torque were obtained by loss separation method to evaluate the uncertainty. From the result, it was known that the important loss factor could affect the uncertainty is the stray loss.