• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제95권6호
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• pp.778-783
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• 2006

표고버섯의 재배와 출하 결정에서 단기 가격의 예측은 매우 중요하다. 표고버섯 가격의 형성에는 많은 요인들이 작용하고 있기 때문에 이를 구조모형으로 예측하는 것은 어려운 일이다. Box-Jenkins 방법을 이용한 표고버섯과 모형선정 과정에서 발생할 수 있는 오류를 줄이고 경우에 따라서는 더 높은 예측력을 가지기도 한다. 이 연구는 1992~2005년의 가락시장 표고버섯 중품 가격자료를 이용하여 시계열 분석 모형을 구축하고 단기 가격을 예측한 것이다. 그리고 분석에 포함되지 않은 2006년의 실제가격과 예측결과를 비교하였다. 분석 결과는 날씨 변화의 영향으로 시장에 교란이 발생하였던 시기를 제외하면 비교적 높은 정확도를 보여 주어 모형의 유용성을 시사한다.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.580-590
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• 2018

Active distribution system (ADS) considering distributed generation (DG) and electric vehicle (EV) is an effective way to cut carbon emission and improve system benefits. ADS is an evolving, complex and uncertain system, thus comprehensive model and effective optimization algorithms are needed. Battery swapping station (BSS) for EV service is an essential type of flexible load (FL). This paper establishes ADS planning model considering BSS firstly for the minimization of total cost including feeder investment, operation and maintenance, net loss and carbon tax. Meanwhile, immune binary firefly algorithm (IBFA) is proposed to optimize ADS planning. Firefly algorithm (FA) is a novel intelligent algorithm with simple structure and good convergence. By involving biological immune system into FA, IBFA adjusts antibody population scale to increase diversity and global search capability. To validate proposed algorithm, IBFA is compared with particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm on IEEE 39-bus system. The results prove that IBFA performs better than PSO in global search and convergence in ADS planning.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.331-343
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• 2019

Dynamic thermal rating of the overhead transmission lines is affected by many uncertain factors. The ambient temperature, wind speed and wind direction are the main sources of uncertainty. Measurement uncertainty is an important parameter to evaluate the reliability of measurement results. This paper presents the uncertainty analysis based on Monte Carlo. On the basis of establishing the mathematical model and setting the probability density function of the input parameter value, the probability density function of the output value is determined by probability distribution random sampling. Through the calculation and analysis of the transient thermal balance equation and the steady- state thermal balance equation, the steady-state current carrying capacity, the transient current carrying capacity, the standard uncertainty and the probability distribution of the minimum and maximum values of the conductor under 95% confidence interval are obtained. The simulation results indicate that Monte Carlo method can decrease the computational complexity, speed up the calculation, and increase the validity and reliability of the uncertainty evaluation.

• 대한치과기공학회지
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.25-34
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• 2010

This study was the study verifying dental technicians' motivation and job satisfaction in Seoul through the positive method as well as its purposes were to investigated the effect of dental technicians manpower supply/demand prospect on motivation, job satisfaction and the effect of other job satisfaction factors on dental technicians motivation and job satisfaction. For then, general characteristics of study objects were classified by sex, married/unmarried, age, career, salary, highest level of education, working place, position and job as well as job satisfaction factors were classified with future supply/demand prospect, future prospect, working hours, working environment and salary. We conducted a frequency analysis, crossing analysis and multi-linear regression analysis about the effect of the classified articles on motivation and job satisfaction. Also, for verifying the relationship of motivation and job satisfaction, we conducted correlation analysis and its result is as followed. First, it showed that the job related with making orthodontic appliance influenced on motivation, among the age, career and job of the general characteristics, and other jobs between working place and job influenced on job satisfaction. Second, the dark future prospect was showed to influence on motivation and job satisfaction highly so we could grasp that negative opinions are included in that. And low-paying was showed to highly influence on job satisfaction s fall so we could grasp the subjective low-salary standard at the present. But we expected that the manpower supply/demand prospect would influence on motivation and job satisfaction but there was little influence. Third, the correlation between motivation and job satisfaction was showed to be somewhat high, motivation had the standard which is above average and job satisfaction had the standard which is below the average. So with a little improving of job satisfaction, it s possible that motivation can be very high. Therefore, in rapidly changing generation, we think that the dental technicians are actively coping with the reality of low-paying and high-working. But it's implying that anxiety for uncertain future was reflected. Furthermore, because institutional strategies for dental technicians' efficient management are insufficient in relation with policies so it's necessary the policy consideration for solve the job-unsatisfying factors actively.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제17권5호
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• pp.137-146
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• 2012

공급사슬망(Supply Chain Management: SCM)은 비용을 최소화시키고, 불확실성을 줄이며 전체적인 최적화 과정을 통해 고객만족을 달성하려는 일종의 경영 패러다임이다. 이는 모든 거래 파트너들 사이의 원료, 부품뿐만 아니라 정보, 자금, 지식의 흐름을 통합적으로 관리운영하기 때문에 SCM의 RFID 도입은 전체 SCM의 효율성을 증가시킬 수 있을 것으로 기대되고 있다. 하지만 불확실한 환경 하에서 객관적인 분석 없이 RFID 시스템 도입여부를 판단하는 의사결정과정에는 한계가 있고 리스크도 크다. 따라서 본 연구는 RFID 시스템의 유효성을 바코드와 비교하고자 할 때 사용될 수 있는 통계적인 분석 모형들을 제시하고 있으며, 비전문 통계인도 이를 쉽게 사용하여 자료를 입력 및 분석할 수 있는 RUSAT(RFID Utility Statistical Analysis Tool)라는 분석 도구를 개발하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 RUSAT는 향후 RFID 시스템을 도입하고자 하는 기업들에게 효과적인 의사결정 도구로써 널리 활용되기를 기대한다.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.25-40
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• 2001

This paper describes the forecast of power plant construction in a competitive korean electricity market. In Korea, KEPCO (Korea Electric Power Corporation, fully controlled by government) was responsible for from the production of the electricity to the sale of electricity to customer. However, the generation part is separated from KEPCO and six generation companies were established for whole sale competition from April 1st, 2001. The generation companies consist of five fossil power companies and one nuclear power company in Korea at present time. Fossil power companies are scheduled to be sold to private companies including foreign investors. Nuclear power company is owned and controlled by government. The competition in generation market will start from 2003. ISO (Independence System Operator will purchase the electricity from the power exchange market. The market price is determined by the SMP(System Marginal Price) which is decided by the balance between demand and supply of electricity in power exchange market. Under this uncertain circumstance, the energy policy planners such as government are interested to the construction of the power plant in the future. These interests are accelerated due to the recent shortage of electricity supply in California. In the competitive market, investors are no longer interested in the investment for the capital intensive, long lead time generating technologies such as nuclear and coal plants. Large unclear and coal plants were no longer the top choices. Instead, investors in the competitive market are interested in smaller, more efficient, cheaper, cleaner technologies such as CCGT(Combined Cycle Gas Turbine). Electricity is treated as commodity in the competitive market. The investors behavior in the commodity market shows that the new investment decision is made when the market price exceeds the sum of capital cost and variable cost of the new facility and the existing facility utilization depends on the marginal cost of the facility. This investors behavior can be applied to the new investments for the power plant. Under these postulations, there is the potential for power plant construction to appear in waves causing alternating periods of over and under supply of electricity like commodity production or real estate production. A computer model was developed to sturdy the possibility that construction will appear in waves of boom and bust in Korean electricity market. This model was constructed using System Dynamics method pioneered by Forrester(MIT, 1961) and explained in recent text by Sternman (Business Dynamics, MIT, 2000) and the recent work by Andrew Ford(Energy Policy, 1999). This model was designed based on the Energy Policy results(Ford, 1999) with parameters for loads and resources in Korea. This Korea Market Model was developed and tested in a small scale project to demonstrate the usefulness of the System Dynamics approach. Korea electricity market is isolated and not allowed to import electricity from outsides. In this model, the base load such as unclear and large coal power plant are assumed to be user specified investment and only CCGT is selected for new investment by investors in the market. This model may be used to learn if government investment in new unclear plants could compensate for the unstable actions of private developers. This model can be used to test the policy focused on the role of unclear investments over time. This model also can be used to test whether the future power plant construction can meet the government targets for the mix of generating resources and to test whether to maintain stable price in the spot market.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.131-138
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• 2010

다양화되는 물 수요와 기상 이변 등의 영향으로 극심해지는 가뭄에 대비하여 대체 수자원의 확보는 수자원 연구의 매우 중요한 부분이 되었다. 다양한 대체 수자원 중 하수처리장의 방류수는 양호한 수질과 비교적 예측이 가능한 방류량으로 인해 농업용수나 공업용수 혹은 공공용수를 대체할 안정적인 수원으로 관심의 대상이 되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 하수처리수 재이용을 위해 미래의 불확실한 용수 수요량을 고려한 최소의 공사비를 최적화하는 방법을 이진변수를 가지는 2단계 추계학적 선형계획법을 이용하여 제시하였다. 현재 설계하는 하수처리수 재이용 모형은 미래의 용수 수요량까지 고려하여 설계하여야 한다는 점을 고려하여, 미래에 용수수요가 증가할 경우, 기존의 관에 평행한 다른 관을 추가로 건설할 수 있다고 가정하여 2단계에 걸쳐 공사가 가능한 모형을 구축하였다. 그 결과 미래의 물 사용량까지를 모두 고려하여 현재 큰 직경의 관로를 건설하는 경우와 작은 직경의 관로를 두 번에 걸쳐 건설하는 대안 사이의 비용차이를 고려한 모형이 제안되었으며, 가상의 네트워크에 적용되어 그 적용성을 입증하였다. 제안된 모형은 하수 처리수 재이용 네트워크 계획 시 경제적인 관로 설계를 위한 기본 자료로 활용될 수 있으며, 장기적인 물 공급 계획을 수립할 시 여러 가지 설계 대안들에 대한 비교를 위해도 사용이 가능하다.

• KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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• 제2권3호
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• pp.391-395
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• 2016

최근 몇 년간, 전력 소비의 급격한 증가로 인하여 전력 수급의 불안이 전 세계적으로 발생하였다. 또한 전력 예측의 불확실성 및 전력 발전량이 급격히 증가하게 되었다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위한 방안으로 전력망과 IT 기술을 결합한 스마트 그리드기술은 각광을 받고 있다. 스마트 그리드는 전력 최대 부하율을 낮추며 효율적인 전력 사용을 유도한다. 이를 위하여 스마트 그리드 시스템은 다양한 요금 정책, 수요반응 기술, 스마트 전자 기기들을 활용한다. 특히 전력 사용을 효율적으로 스케줄링 해주는 수요반응 기술은 스마트 그리드의 핵심 기술이다. 본 논문에서는 수요 반응 기술을 위한 그리디 기법을 제안한다. 제안하는 그리디 기법은 전력 요금의 최소화뿐만 아니라, 사용자의 편의성을 고려하며 시스템 정전을 방지하는 것을 목표로 한다.

• 자원환경지질
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• 제34권3호
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• pp.307-313
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• 2001

$Fe^0$ 등의 0가 금속을 포함하는 반응재들은 오염운이 반응벽을 통과하는 동안 염소계 용매들을 분해시킨다. Fe$^{0}$ 를 이용한 투수성 반응벽은 특히 trichloroethene(TCE)이 주된 오염원인 경우 처리비용이 적다는 장점이 있는 반면, 반응속도가 느리고, 반응벽의 운영기간이 제한된다는 단점이 있다. 본 연구는 기존의 Fe$^{0}$ 를 이용한 반응벽에 직류전원을 걸어주는 향상된 처리기술 개발은 예비연구이다. $Fe^0$ 반응컬럼을 이용한 bench-scale의 실험을 통해 $Fe^0$ 반응재와 직류전원의 조합은 TCE의 탈염소화를 촉진하는 것으로 나타났다. 탈염소화의 반응기작은 철의 산화와 부가적인 전자의 공급원인 외부전원에 의한 환원에 기인한다.

• 한방안이비인후피부과학회지
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.253-266
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• 2000

In order to strengthen objectivity and availability of oriental herb medicine, the standard formula for herbs has been attempted to set up by experimenting and documentary testing original herbs which were recorded in authorized document. The object herb medicine is Codonopsis Pilosulae Radix. The internal and external morphological standard in this study is expected to supply the search for several physiochemical reaction, biological reaction, determination of indicator material and identification of gene with basic sources in the future. The result of study is as follows; In the external shape, it was possible that herbs were distinguished according to artificial classification and that same genus-degree of relatedness among herbs could be distinguished by more precise and active observation. In the shape of real herbs, I compared current herbs in market with original herbs which were just collected or were on the course of drying. In addition, it was possible that the internal shape could be identified by using microscope after butanol series. In powder herbs, it was possible to purify the shape by microscope through maceration of natural and powder herbs. Though it was impossible to make distinction of herbs which are not current in my search contents, this search contents will be a standard for alpplying herbs in the future. Despite such a useful character, it was difficult to deal with power herbs because it was uncertain to make a standard for them on account of the crush of these tissue. Since powders shape of herbs in a few documents were regard not as the powder shapes of natural herbs but as the maceration state of them. It is suggested that we should inspect the original herbs which are not crushed yet with a microscope in order to identify crushed shape of powder herbs from now on. An Additional standard establishment including physiochemical reaction and gene research is required in order to supplement the fault of this search. As for the supplement about this search, considering that many kinds of same genus-degree of relatedness are being current now, it is necessary that each herb should he collected only after identifying and that the succeeding search of each herb should be proceeded for the regular establishment of internal and external standard.