• Title/Summary/Keyword: Travel Distance

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Travel Behavior Analysis for Short-Term KTX Passenger Demand Forecasting (KTX 단기수요 예측을 위한 통행행태 분석)

  • Kim, Han-Soo;Yun, Dong-Hee;Lee, Sung-Duk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzes the travel behavior for short-term demand forecasting model of KTX. This research suggests the following. First, the outlier criteria is considered to appropriate twice the standard deviation of the traffic. Second, the result of a homogeneity test using ANOVA analysis has been divided into weekdays(Mon Thu and weekends(Fri Sun). Third, a cluster analysis for O/D pairs using trip frequency, traffic averages and th distance between stations was performed.

Development of Inference Algorithm for Bead Geometry in GMAW (GMA 용접의 비드형상 추론 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kim, Myun-Hee;Bae, Joon-Young;Lee, Sang-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.132-139
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    • 2002
  • In GMAW(Gas Metal Arc Welding) processes, bead geometry (penetration, bead width and height) is a criterion to estimate welding quality. Bead geometry is affected by welding current, arc voltage and travel speed, shielding gas, CTWD (contact-tip to workpiece distance) and so on. In this paper, welding process variables were selected as welding current, arc voltage and travel speed. And bead geometry was reasoned from the chosen welding process variables using neuro-fuzzy algorithm. Neural networks was applied to design FL(fuzzy logic). The parameters of input membership functions and those of consequence functions in FL were tuned through the method of learning by backpropagation algorithm. Bead geometry could be reasoned from welding current, arc voltage, travel speed on FL using the results learned by neural networks. On the developed inference system of bead geometry using neuro-furzy algorithm, the inference error percent of bead width was within $\pm$4%, that of bead height was within $\pm$3%, and that of penetration was within $\pm$8%. Neural networks came into effect to find the parameters of input membership functions and those of consequence in FL. Therefore the inference system of welding quality expects to be developed through proposed algorithm.

Transoceanic Propagation of 2011 East Japan Earthquake Tsunami

  • Choi, Byung Ho;Kim, Kyeong Ok;Min, Byung Il;Pelinovsky, Efim
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2014
  • The 2011 Tohoku earthquake triggered extremely destructive tsunami waves which propagated over the Pacific Ocean, Atlantic Ocean through Drake Passage and Indian Ocean respectively. A total of 10 tide-gauge records collected from the UNESCO/IOC site were analyzed through a band-pass digital filtering device to examine the observed tsunami characteristics. The ray tracing method and finite-difference model with GEBCO 30 arc second bathymetry were also applied to compare the travel times of the Tohoku-originated tsunami, particularly at Rodrigues in the Indian Ocean and King Edward Point in the Atlantic Ocean with observation-based estimates. At both locations the finite-difference model produced the shortest arrival times, while the ray method produced the longest arrival times. Values of the travel time difference however appear to be within tolerable ranges, considering the propagation distance of the tsunami waves. The observed tsunami at Rodrigues, Mauritius in the west of the Madagascar was found to take a clockwise travel path around Australia and New Zealand, while the observed tsunami at King Edward Point in the southern Atlantic Ocean was found to traverse the Pacific Ocean and then passed into the Atlantic Ocean through the Drake Strait. The formation of icebergs captured by satellite images in Sulzberger in the Antarctica also supports the long-range propagation of the Tohoku-originated tsunami.

Reallocation of Force in the Lanchester (3,3) Combat Model (란체스터 (3,3) 전투모형의 전투력 재할당 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jong-Hyeon Hwang;Dong-Hyung Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.263-271
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    • 2023
  • In the (3,3) close combat model based on the Lanchester Square Law, this study proposes a plan to optimally allocate residual combat power after the battle to other battlefields. As soon as the two camps of three units can grasp each other's information and predict the battle pattern immediately after the battle began, the Time Zero Allocation of Force (TZAF) scenario was used to initially allocate combat power to readjust the combat model. It reflects travel time, which is a "field friction" in which physical distance exists from battlefields that support combat power to battlefields that are supported. By developing existing studies that try to examine the effect of travel time on the battlefield through the combat model, this study forms a (3,3) combat model, which is a large number of minimum units. In order to achieve the combat purpose, the principle of optimal combat force operation is presented by examining the aspect that support combat power is allocated to the two battlefields and the consequent battle results. Through this, various scenarios were set in consideration of the travel time and the situation of the units, and differentiated results were obtained. Although the most traditional, it can be used as the basic logic of the training or the commander's decision-making system using the actual war game model.

Development and Implementation of a 2-Phase Calibration Method for Gravity Model Considering Accessibility (접근성 지표를 도입한 중력모형의 2단계 정산기법 개발 및 적용)

  • CHOI, Sung Taek;RHO, Jeong Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.393-404
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    • 2015
  • Gravity model has had the major problem that the model explains the characteristics of travel behavior with only deterrence factors such as travel time or cost. In modern society, travel behavior can be affected not only deterrence factors but also zonal characteristics or transportation service. Therefore, those features have to be considered to estimate the future travel demand accurately. In this regard, there are two primary aims of this study: 1. to identify the characteristics of inter-zonal travel, 2. to develop the new type of calibration method. By employing accessibility variable which can explain the manifold pattern of trip, we define the zonal travel behavior newly. Furthermore, we suggest 2-phase calibration method, since existing calibration method cannot find the optimum solution when organizing the deterrence function with the new variables. The new method proceeds with 2 steps; step 1.estimating deterrence parameter, step 2. finding balancing factors. The validation results with RMSE, E-norm, C.R show that this study model explains the inter-zonal travel pattern adequately and estimate the O/D pairs precisely than existing gravity model. Especially, the problem with estimation of short distance trip is overcomed. In conclusion, it is possible to draw the conclusion that this study suggests the possibility of improvement for trip distribution model.

Analysis of Passenger Transfer Patterns Based on Transit Smart Card Data in Seoul (서울시 대중교통 통행자 환승패턴 분석)

  • Song, Ji-Young;Eom, Jin-Ki;Park, Jong-Hoon;Kim, Dae-Sung;Choi, Myoung-Hun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.563-570
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    • 2011
  • This study analyze the transfer patterns of passengers in Seoul based on transit smart card data that was observed in 2010. The smart card records maximum four times of transfer and reports that approximately 90% of trips were less than one transfer and the remains were more than 2 transfers. We focus on trips with more than 3 transfers to figure out the relationship between transit service and regional connectivities. The results show that the average travel time, distance, fare are 45 minutes, 18.3km, and 1,119(KW) respectively. We develope a map for investigating transfer patterns at a regional level(dong and gu). By doing this, three types of transfers are observed as: 1) trips of which origin and destination is either same or near, 2) trips with short distance, and 3) long distance trip with low transit connectivities.

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Development of Integrated Accessibility Measurement Algorithm for the Seoul Metropolitan Public Transportation System (서울 대도시권 대중교통체계의 통합 시간거리 접근성 산출 알고리즘 개발)

  • Park, Jong Soo;Lee, Keumsook
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2017
  • This study proposes an integrated accessibility measurement algorithm, which is applied to the Seoul Metropolitan public transportation system consisting of bus and subway networks, and analyzes the result. We construct a public transportation network graph linking bus-subway networks and take the time distance as the link weight in the graph. We develop a time-distance algorithm to measure the time distance between each pair of transit stations based on the T-card transaction database. The average travel time between nodes has been computed via the shortest-path algorithm applied to the time-distance matrix, which is obtained from the average speed of each transit route in the T-card transaction database. Here the walking time between nodes is also taken into account if walking is involved. The integrated time-distance accessibility of each node in the Seoul Metropolitan public transportation system has been computed from the T-card data of 2013. We make a comparison between the results and those of the bus system and of the subway system, and analyze the spatial patterns. This study is the first attempt to measure the integrated time-distance accessibility for the Seoul Metropolitan public transportation system consisting of 16,277 nodes with 600 bus routes and 16 subway lines.

No-Show Related Factors for Outpatients at a Hospital (병원 외래환자의 예약부도 요인)

  • Min, Daiki;Koo, Hoonyoung
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 2017
  • In order to maximize the efficiency and the quality of care in a hospital, hospitals in general operate by appointments. Patient no-shows or missed appointments waste the time of staffs who prepare for appointments, deprive patients of needed care, and increase burden on clinic capacity. The purpose of this study is to examine the importance and significance of factors that affect patient no-shows. The actual data of 50,000 outpatient appointments is compiled and analyzed from a VAMC in the United States with aims to identify the factors that contribute to outpatient no-shows and to draw meaningful implications. Random forest along with logistic regression analysis identify the factors affecting no-shows; appointment leadtime, show-up rate, travel distance, no-show rate in previous period, patient age, severity, complexity of disease, chronic pain, depression, drug dependence. The appointment leadtime, show-up rate, travel distance and previous no-show rate can be improved by enhancing SMS pre-notification and by improving afterwards telephone counseling. For other factors, it needs to study on the service differentiation with the characteristics of each patient group.

Analyzing Effects of the Ticket Release Time on Train Reservation Time: Focusing on KTX Gyeongbu-line (해제시간에 따른 열차예매시간의 영향 분석: 경부선 KTX를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Su jae;Choo, Sang ho;Sohn, Byung hee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.38-49
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    • 2017
  • In general, railroad operation companies sell tickets to maximize their profits by applying the ticketing release time (when selling any tickets regardless of trip distances). This study is to analyze the effect of the release time on KTX ticket reservation behavior. The reservation behavior in this study means the reservation time calculated by difference between ticketing time and departure time. The data come from KTX ticket sales data of Gyeongbu-line for a week including Saturday and Sunday. The results show that the factors to affect the reservation time are day of the week, trip distance and operation direction, in addition to the release time. Furthermore, most of tickets were reserved three hours before their departure time, and most of the up line weekend users reserved their tickets a day before the departure time. Before the release time, reservation time was affected by up line and long distance travel. On the other hand, after the release time, it was affected by long distance travel and Sunday.

A Study on Selection of Block Stockyard Applying Decision Tree Learning Algorithm (의사결정트리 학습을 적용한 조선소 블록 적치 위치 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Byeong-Wook;Lee, Kyung-Ho;Lee, Jae-Joon;Mun, Seung-Hwan
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.421-429
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    • 2017
  • It is very important to manage the position of the blocks in the shipyard where the work is completed, or the blocks need to be moved for the next process operation. The moving distance of the block increases according to the position of the block stockyard. As the travel distance increases, the number of trips and travel distance of the transporter increases, which causes a great deal of operation cost. Currently, the selection of the block position in the shipyard is based on the know-how of picking up a transporter worker by the production schedule of the block, and the location where the block is to be placed is determined according to the situation in the stockyard. The know-how to select the position of the block is the result of optimizing the position of the block in the shipyard for a long time. In this study, we used the accumulated data as a result of the operation of the yard in the shipyard and tried to select the location of blocks by learning it. Decision tree learning algorithm was used for learning, and a prototype was developed using it. Finally, we prove the possibility of selecting a block stockyard through this algorithm.