• Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.544-548
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• 1998

A Monte Carlo simulation incorporated with the genetic algorithm is presented to describe the defect known as "transition from Y-to X-type deposition" of the cadmium arachidate Langmuir-Blodgett multilayer film. Simulation is performed based on the detachment models of XY-type deposition. The transition is simulated by introducing a probability of surface molecule detachment considering interaction between neighboring molecules. The genetic algorithm is incorporated into Monte Carlo simulation to get the optimum value of the probability factors. The distribution of layers having different thickness predicted by the simulation correlates well with the measured distribution of thickness using the small-angle X-ray reflectivity. The effect of chain length and subphase temperature on the detachment probability are investigated using the simulation. Simulation results show that an increase (or a decrease) of two hydrocarbon chain is roughly equivalent to the detachment probability to a temperature decrease (or increase) of 15 K.

• Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.61 no.3
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• pp.825-835
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• 2024

We describe the local transition probability of a singular diagonal action on the standard non-uniform quotient of PGL₃ associated to the type 1 geodesic flow. As a consequence, we deduce the property of strongly positive recurrence.

• Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.983-992
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• 1996

Let p(x, dy) be a transition probability function on $(S, \rho)$, where S is a complete separable metric space. Then a Markov process $X_n$ which has p(x, dy) as its transition probability may be generated by random iterations of the form $X_{n+1} = f(X_n, \varepsilon_{n+1})$, where $\varepsilon_n$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables (See, e.g., Kifer(1986), Bhattacharya and Waymire(1990)).

• IE interfaces
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.738-744
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• 2000

This Paper presents a method for unfinished work transition probability distribution of modulated $n^*D/D/l$ queue with overload period. The Modulated $n^*D/D/l$ queue is well known as a performance analysis model of ATM multiplexer with superposition of homogeneous periodic on-off traffic sources. Theory of probability by conditioning and results of $N^*D/D/l$ queue are used for analytic methodology. The results from this paper are expected to be applied to general modulated $n^*D/D/l$ queue.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.417-440
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• 2004

For the behavior of the wholesale spot price, a regime switching model with time-varying transition probabilities was estimated using the data from the PJM (Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland) market. By including the temperature as an explanatory variable in the transition probability equations, the threshold effect of changing regime is clearly enhanced. And hence the predictability of the price spikes was improved. This means that the model showed a very clear threshold effect, with a low probability of switching for low loads and low temperatures and a high probability for high loads and high temperatures. And temperature showed a clearer threshold effect than load does. This implies that weather-related contracts may help to hedge against the risk in the cost of buying electricity during a summer.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.1-10
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• 2009

Bus delay time is occurred as the result of traffic condition and important factor to predict bus arrival time. In this paper, transition probability matrixes between bus stops are made by using Markov Chain and it is predicted bus delay time with them. As the results of study, it is confirmed a possibility of adapting the assumption which it has same bus transition probability between stops through paired-samples T-test and overcame the limitation of exiting studies in case there is no scheduled bus arrival time for each stops with using bus interval time. Therefore it will be possible to predict bus arrival time with Markov Chain.

• Journal of Wind Energy
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.37-43
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• 2023

In this study, synthetic time series wind data was generated numerically using a second-order Markov chain. One year of wind data in 2020 measured by the AWS on Wido Island was used to investigate the statistics for measured wind data. Both the transition probability matrix and the cumulative transition probability matrix for annual hourly mean wind speed were obtained through statistical analysis. Probability density distribution along the wind speed and autocorrelation according to time were compared with the first- and the second-order Markov chains with various lengths of time series wind data. Probability density distributions for measured wind data and synthetic wind data using the first- and the second-order Markov chains were also compared to each other. For the case of the second-order Markov chain, some improvement of the autocorrelation was verified. It turns out that the autocorrelation converges to zero according to increasing the wind speed when the data size is sufficiently large. The generation of artificial wind data is expected to be useful as input data for virtual digital twin wind turbines.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.131-139
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• 1999

An easy and efficient method is proposed for a computation of reliability of preprocessing filters in the fire control system when the sensor data are frequently unreliable depending on the operation environment. It computes state transition probability matrix after modeling filter states as a Markov process, and computing false alarm and detection probability of each filter state under the given sensor failure probability. It shows that two important indices such as distributed state probability and error variance can be derived easily for a reliability assessment of the given sensor fusion system.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.25-34
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• 2011

The transition probability can be used for the estimation of subpopulation total in panel data analysis. In this paper a real data analysis is performed and the sensitivity of the sample size allocated in the subpopulation is examined by small simulation studies.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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• 2015.07a
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• pp.179-180
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• 2015

에이전트 기반 마이크로 시뮬레이션에서 많이 사용하는 단순 전이확률(transition probability) 행렬이나 추정된 전이확률함수는 단순화하는 과정에서 정보 손실이 발생하고 복잡한 모델에서 사용할 수 없고 전이확률이 시간에 따라 변화하면 시간 변화를 따르는 별도의 추정이 필요로 한다. 본 연구는 이런 기존 방법의 한계를 해결하기 위하여, 다차원 전이확률표들을 이용해서 이벤트 발생을 결정함으로써 정보 손실을 줄이고 단순 행렬이나 함수로 표현하기 어려운 경우에도 이벤트 발생을 재현하고, 시간 독립적인 전이확률표를 이용해서 이벤트 발생을 결정함으로써 시간 변화를 별도로 추정하지 않고 이벤트 발생을 예측할 수 있는 방법을 제안하는데 있다.