• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic estimation

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Artificial Intelligence Estimation of Network Flows for Seismic Risk Analysis (지진 위험도 분석에서 인공지능모형을 이용한 네트워크 교통량의 예측)

  • Kim, Geun-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.117-130
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    • 1999
  • Earthquakes damage roadway bridges and structures, resulting in significant impacts on transportation system Performance and regional economy. Seismic risk analysis (SRA) procedures establish retrofit priorities for vulnerable highway bridges. SRA procedures use average daily traffic volumes to determine the relative importance of a bridge. This research develops a cost-effective transportation network analysis (TAN) procedure for evaluating numerous traffic flow analyses in terms of the additional system cost due to failure. An important feature of the TNA Procedure is the use of an associative memory (AM) approach in the artificial intelligence held. A simple seven-zone network is developed and used to evaluate the TNA procedure. A subset of link failure system states is randomly selected to simulate synthetic post-earthquake network flows. The performance of different AM model is evaluated. Results from numerous link-failure scenarios demonstrate the applicability of the AM models to traffic flow estimation.

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Demolition and Maintenance/Repair Cost Estimation of Road Drop Obstacle for Safety Risk Removal of Anti-tank Defense Facility (대전차 방어시설의 안전위해요소 제거를 위한 낙석 장애물 철거 및 유지보수 비용 산정 연구)

  • Yoo, Yang-Soo;Park, Young Jun;Eun, Hee-Chang;Baek, Jang-Woon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.375-382
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    • 2020
  • Rock drop obstacles on major roads in the border area in South Korea has been installed and operated to prevent and block the movement of enemy units. However, the increase in traffic volume due to the development of the border region causes many problems such as road traffic congestion due to rock drop, traffic safety, and impaired urban aesthetics. Therefore, this study aimed to provide guidelines for demolition and replacement facility installation for rock drop obstacles, which are differently applied to each unit, and to suggest the direction of the Ministry of National Defense's policy regarding maintenance cost for necessary rock drop obstacles required for operation. In this study, as part of a guideline study on the removal of rock drop obstacles and the installation of alternative facilities, a standard unit price was suggested for essential rock drop obstacles, so as to be used as judgment data when deciding whether to remove rock drop obstacles.

Traffic characteistics and effective bandwidth estimation for MPEG sources (MPEG 입력 신호원의 트래픽 특성과 효과적 대역폭 추정)

  • 유흥균
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1490-1500
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    • 1996
  • One of the important issues for multimedia communications over ATM netowrks is efficient use of net-work resources since transmitting video at low cost requires high utilization of channel bandwidth. In this paper, we propose an effective bandwidth estimation scheme for MPEG sources in ATM networks. It has been known difficult to allocate effective transmission bandwidth to MPEG sources due to its bursty charactersitics. The MPEG traffic stream can bemodeled using five traffic parameters:service rate, burst load ratio, interburst load ratio, burst period, and interburst period. Using these parameters, a transmission bandwidth for each source can be estimated, and the estimated bandwidth is applied synchronously to reduce the queue size in a buffer. For a simple network modelof a high speed link that multiplexes a number of virtual-circuit connections, simulations on adaptive bandwidth allocation were performed, and the results show that the queueing delay is significantly reduced, when compared to a fixed bandwidth allocation.

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Estimation of the VKT(vehicle kilometers traveled) in Urban Areas using Regression Kriging (회귀크리깅 기법을 이용한 도시부 차량주행거리 산정)

  • Kim, Hyunseung;Park, Dongjoo;Hong, Dahee;Heo, Taeyoung;Lee, Chulgee;Seo, Tae-Gyo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.132-152
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    • 2017
  • Network performance measure has been more and more important in transportation sector because traffic congestion has been steadily increasing in urban area. VKT is defined a sum of traveled distances of whole vehicles on the road network and one of the most important measure of effectiveness (MOE) for network performance measure. This paper aims to propose a methodology for estimating VKT and to apply it to calculate VKT in 6 major cities in Korea. We calculate VKT in 6 major cities by estimating traffic volumes on the uncollected road sections using regression kriging. It is expected that the proposed methodology can be applied various cities.

High Performance QoS Multicast Routing Scheme for Real-Time Mobile Multimedia Applications in Wireless Mesh Networks (무선메쉬네트워크에서 실시간 이동 멀티미디어 응용을 위한 고성능 QoS 멀티캐스트 라우팅 기법)

  • Kang, Moonsik
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, an enhanced QoS multicast routing scheduling scheme is proposed to adapt to a dynamic mobile traffic condition for wireless mesh networks (WMNs). It handles the network QoS by controlling the delay constraints for multimedia applications. The group size will be controlled according to both the current network state and QoS requirements. The dynamic reconstruction of QoS multicast tree can be obtained from preprocessing with both the partial multicast routing scheme and the traffic estimation. Performance evaluation of the proposed scheme is carried out on randomly generated graph derived from the wireless mesh network, by choosing the optimal value related to the appropriate delay bounds. Simulation results show that the proposed scheme can improve the performance of QoS multicast routing for WMNs.

The AADT estimation through time series analysis using irregular factor decomposition method (불규칙변동 분해 시계열분석 기법을 사용한 AADT 추정)

  • 이승재;백남철;권희정;최대순;도명식
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2001
  • Until recently, we use only weekly and monthly adjustment factors in order to estimate the AADT. By the way. we can suppose that the traffic is time series data related to flow of time. So we tried to analyse traffic patterns using time series analysis and apply them to estimate the AADT. We could divide traffic patterns into trend, cyclic variation, seasonal variation and irregular variation like as time series data. Also, in order to reduce random error components, we have looked for the weather conditions as an influential factor. There are many weather conditions such as rainfalls, but, temperatures, and sunshine hours among others but we selected rainfalls and lowest temperatures. And then, we have estimated the AADT using time series factors. To compare the results of, we have applied both irregular variation joined to weather factors and that not joined to. RMSE and U-test were opted at methods to appreciate results of AADT estimation.

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Expansion of Sample OD Based on Probe Vehicle Data in a Ubiquitous Environment (유비쿼터스 환경의 프로브 차량 정보를 활용한 표본 OD 전수화 (제주시 시범사업지역을 대상으로))

  • Jeong, So-Young;Baek, Seung-Kirl;Kang, Jeong-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.123-133
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    • 2008
  • Information collection systems and applications in a ubiquitous environment has emerged as a leading issue in transportation and logistics. A productive application example is a traffic information collection system based on probe vehicles and wireless communication technology. Estimation of hourly OD pairs using probe OD data is a possible target. Since probe OD data consists of sample OD pairs, which vary over time and space, computation of sample rates of OD pairs and expansion of sample OD pairs into static OD pairs is required. In this paper, the authors proposed a method to estimate sample OD data with probe data in Jeju City and expand those into static OD data. Mean absolute percentage difference (MAPD) error between observed traffic volume and assigned traffic volume was about 22.9%. After removing abnormal data, MAPD error improved to 17.6%. Development of static OD estimation methods using probe vehicle data in a real environment is considered the main contribution of this paper.

A Study on the Traffic Accident Estimation Model using Empirical Bayes Method (Empirical Bayes Method를 이용한 교통사고 예측모형)

  • Gang, Hyeon-Geon;Gang, Seung-Gyu;Jang, Yong-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2009
  • This study estimates the expected number of accidents in Kyungbuk Province to capitalize on experience gained from four years of accident history using the Empirical Bayes (EB) Method. The number of accidents of each site in Kyungbuk Province is recalculated using the Equivalent Property Damage Only (EPDO) method to reflect the severities of the accidents. A cluster analysis is performed to determine similar sites and a unique Safety Performance Function (SPF) is established for each site. The overdispersion parameter is built to correct the difference between the actual number of accidents and the underlying probability distribution. To adjust for varying traffic characteristics of each site, a relative weight is applied and eventually estimates the expected number of accidents. The results show that the highest accident sites are Kimcheon, Youngcheon, and Chilgok, but on the other hand the lowest is Gunwi.

An Estimation Methodology of Empirical Flow-density Diagram Using Vision Sensor-based Probe Vehicles' Time Headway Data (개별 차량의 비전 센서 기반 차두 시간 데이터를 활용한 경험적 교통류 모형 추정 방법론)

  • Kim, Dong Min;Shim, Jisup
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.17-32
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    • 2022
  • This study explored an approach to estimate a flow-density diagram(FD) on a link in highway traffic environment by utilizing probe vehicles' time headway records. To study empirical flow-density diagram(EFD), the probe vehicles with vision sensors were recruited for collecting driving records for nine months and the vision sensor data pre-processing and GIS-based map matching were implemented. Then, we examined the new EFDs to evaluate validity with reference diagrams which is derived from loop detection traffic data. The probability distributions of time headway and distance headway as well as standard deviation of flow and density were utilized in examination. As a result, it turned out that the main factors for estimation errors are the limited number of probe vehicles and bias of flow status. We finally suggest a method to improve the accuracy of EFD model.

A Flow Rate Estimation Model Development and Its Application in the Ubiquitous Environment (유비쿼터스 환경에서의 교통류율 산정모형 개발 및 활용)

  • Choi, Kee Choo;Kim, In Su;Lee, Jung Woo;Shim, Sang Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.4D
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    • pp.459-465
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    • 2009
  • u-T (ubiquitous transportation) environment can be envisioned as an advanced version of ITS environment and be expected to provide more advanced transportation service in a ubiquitous manner. As a basic necessity to measure traffic flow in both environments, a flow estimation method was proposed. Flows have been measured in existing ITS and in a new u-T environments and some differences were investigated using simulation technique. In the interrupted traffic situation, the flow rate of u-T is 3.58% higher than that in ITS environment. Both MARE and MAE, which were used as measure of effectiveness, in u-T were better since the results are 31.4% and 31.1% lower than in ITS, respectively. Besides the equality coefficient in u-T was 1.9% higher than that in ITS. Such being the case, the flow rate measured in u-T using U-TSN is more reliable and can be expected to be successfully used for transportation system design or traffic operation areas.