• 제목/요약/키워드: Stochastic variable

검색결과 181건 처리시간 0.025초

NUMERICAL SOLUTION OF STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATION CORRESPONDING TO CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTIONS

  • Amini, Mohammad;Soheili, Ali Reza;Allahdadi, Mahdi
    • 대한수학회논문집
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.709-720
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    • 2011
  • We obtain special type of differential equations which their solution are random variable with known continuous density function. Stochastic differential equations (SDE) of continuous distributions are determined by the Fokker-Planck theorem. We approximate solution of differential equation with numerical methods such as: the Euler-Maruyama and ten stages explicit Runge-Kutta method, and analysis error prediction statistically. Numerical results, show the performance of the Rung-Kutta method with respect to the Euler-Maruyama. The exponential two parameters, exponential, normal, uniform, beta, gamma and Parreto distributions are considered in this paper.

확률 유한요소법을 사용한 구조물 최적설계 (Structural Optimization Using Stochastic Finite Element Method)

  • 임오강;이병우
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제18권8호
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    • pp.1920-1929
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    • 1994
  • The stochastic finite element method(SFEM) based structural optimal design is presented. Random system response including uncertainties for the design variable is calculated with first order perturbation method. A method for calculating the sensitivity coefficients is developed using the equilibrium equation and first-order perturbed equation. Numerical results are presented for a truss, frame and plate structures with displacement and stress constraints. The sensitivity calculation proposed here is compared with finite difference method. A nonlinear programming technique is used to solve the problem. The procedure is easily incorporated with existing deterministic structural optimization.

확률변수의 상관성을 고려한 사장교의 신뢰성해석 (The Reliability Analysis of the Cable Stayed Bridge Considered to Correlation of the Random Variable)

  • 한성호;권의성;정인수;신재철
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2004년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.210-217
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    • 2004
  • Developed is the new program that the reliability analysis can be performed more effectively considering the correlation of structural members about the cable stayed bridge. This program is formulated the stochastic finite element method suitable for the reliability analysis and the new safety evaluation method is proposed which is different from the existing one by the deterministic method or MCS response analysis. After conducting the initial equilibrium analysis of cable stayed bridges, the stochastic finite element is formulated through the perturbation method and the reliability analysis considering the correlation of stochastic variables is conducted. The results in various types of cable stayed bridge show that the probability of failure considering the correlation is larger than the non-correlation. The fan system is more stable than other systems at the structural response and the probability failure.

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SFA를 이용한 전복 양식업의 지역별 효율성분석에 관한 연구 - 완도지역을 중심으로 - (A Study on the Efficiency Analysis of Abalone Aquaculture in Wando Region Using Stochastic Frontier Approach)

  • 김혜성;송정헌
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2012
  • Based on the survey on aquaculture management status in Nohwa-eup, Bogil-myeon, Wando-eup in Wando region, this study aimed to estimate productive efficiencies of abalone aquaculture production using a stochastic frontier approach (SFA) and to find out their determinants. In the analysis, a Cobb-Douglas production function with an inefficiency term that follows an halfnormal distribution was assumed for the estimation of productive efficiencies. Then, based on the outcomes of productive efficiencies, determinants of productive efficiency were investigated using a tobit regression model. Results showed that the average inefficiency was estimated to be 10% and the production size would be a statistically significant variable for the production. In addition, it was shown that the cage installing method would be an important factor affecting to the level of productive efficiency.

STOCHASTIC SINGLE MACHINE SCHEDULING WITH WEIGHTED QUADRATIC EARLY-TARDY PENALTIES

  • Zhao, Chuan-Li;Tang, Heng-Yong
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제26권5_6호
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    • pp.889-900
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    • 2008
  • The problem of scheduling n jobs on a single machine is considered when the machine is subject to stochastic breakdowns. The objective is to minimize the weighted squared deviation of job completion times from a common due date. Two versions of the problem are addressed. In the first one the common due date is a given constant, whereas in the second one the common due date is a decision variable. In each case, a general form of deterministic equivalent of the stochastic scheduling problem is obtained when the counting process N(t) related to the machine uptimes is a Poisson process. It is proved that an optimal schedule must be V-shaped in terms of weighted processing time when the agreeable weight condition is satisfied. Based on the V-shape property, two dynamic programming algorithms are proposed to solve both versions of the problem.

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풍력자원의 불확실성을 고려한 사업자측면에서의 투자타당성 (A Stochastic Analysis of a Wind Power Investment)

  • 이재걸;박민혁;이윤경;김정주
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.357-360
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    • 2007
  • Any investment analysis has to deal with the uncertainty that arises over the course of operating the invested project. When it comes to an wind power, such analysis gets even more complicated, as the wind resource or the current is inherently unstable and unpredictable. Different from predecessors in the field of analyzing wind power economics, this paper proposes a stochastic methodology of analyzing the economic efficiency of an investment in wind power to explicitly address those uncertainties or risks. A probability distribution is assigned to each variable to generate a probability distribution of the economic value of an investment through a Monte-Carlo simulation

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다변수 비선형 확률 시스템에 대한 극점배치 제어기 설계 (Pole Placement Controller Design for Multivariable Nonlinear Stochastic Systems)

  • 김종식
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 1989
  • A controller disign method is proposed for multivariable nonlinear stochastic systems with hard nonlinearities such as Coulomb friction, backlash and saturation. In order to take the nonlinearities into account statistical linearization techniques are used. And multi- variable pole placement techniques are applied to design controller for the statistically linearized multivariable systems. The basic concept of the controller design method is to solve two coupled equations, characteristic equation and Lyapunov equation, simultaneously and iteratively for statistically linearized multivariable stochastic systems. An aircraft with saturation serves as a design example. The design example illustrates the influence of nonlinear effects. The results of the analysis are compared to Monte Carlo simulation to test their accuracy.

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균일진폭 하중하에서의 확률론적 균열진전 수명해석 (A Stochastic Analysis of Crack Propagation Life under Constant Amplitude Loading)

  • 윤한용;양영순;윤장호
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제16권9호
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    • pp.1691-1699
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    • 1992
  • The experimental results of fatigue crack propagation under constant amplitude loading show that intra-and inter-specimen variability exist. In this paper, a stochastic model for the estimation of mean and variance of crack propagation life is presented To take into account the intra-specimen variability, the material resistance against crack propagation is treated as an 1-dimensional spatial stochastic process, i. e. random field, varying along the propagation path. For the inter-specimen variability, C in paris equation is assumed to be a random variable. Compared with experimental results reported, the present method well estimate the variation in fatigue crack propagation life. And it is confirmed that the thicker the specimen thickness is, the less the variation of propagation life is.

Min-Max Stochastic Optimization with Applications to the Single-Period Inventory Control Problem

  • Park, Kyungchul
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2015
  • Min-max stochastic optimization is an approach to address the distribution ambiguity of the underlying random variable. We present a unified approach to the problem which utilizes the theory of convex order on the random variables. First, we consider a general framework for the problem and give a condition under which the convex order can be utilized to transform the min-max optimization problem into a simple minimization problem. Then extremal distributions are presented for some interesting classes of distributions. Finally, applications to the single-period inventory control problems are given.

Setup cost와 Backorder rate를 고려한 확률적 재고모형에 관한 연구 (The study of stochastic inventory model with setup cost and backorder rate)

  • 유승우;서창현;김경섭
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시뮬레이션학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we determine optimal reduction in the lead time and setup cost for some stochastic inventory models. And we propose more general model that allow the backorder rate as a control variable. We first assume that the lead time demand follows a normal distribution. And we assume that the backorder rate is dependent on the length of lead time through the amount of shortages. The stochastic models analyzed in this paper are the classical continuous and periodic review policy models with a mixture of backorders and lost sales. For each of these models, we provide a sufficient conditions for the uniqueness of the optimal operating policy. We also develop algorithms for solving these models and provide illustrative numerical examples.

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