• 제목/요약/키워드: Stochastic optimal control

검색결과 130건 처리시간 0.025초

ON STOCHASTIC OPTIMAL REINSURANCE AND INVESTMENT STRATEGIES FOR THE SURPLUS

  • Kim, Jai Heui;Lee, Eun Sun
    • Korean Journal of Mathematics
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 2008
  • When we consider a life insurance company that sells a large number of continuous T-year term life insurance policies, it is important to find an optimal strategy which maximizes the surplus of the insurance company at time T. The purpose of this paper is to give an explicit expression for the optimal reinsurance and investment strategy which maximizes the expected exponential utility of the final value of the surplus at the end of T-th year. To do this we solve the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation.

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확률적 확산모형을 이용한 외래종과 전염성 질병의 최적제어에 관한 연구 (Study on Optimal Control of Stochastic Invasive Species and Infectious Disease)

  • 박호정
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.357-379
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    • 2011
  • 경제환경의 글로벌화로 인해 외래종의 유입에 대한 관심이 증가하고 있다. 외래종은 동식물 개체 내지 미생물 수준에서 토착환경에 유입되어 침입종으로서의 유해한 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 본 논문은 확률적 확산과정을 이용하여 외래질병의 팬데믹 확률을 최소화하기 위한 최적제어 모형을 제시하며, 사회적 비용최소화 모형과 비교하였다. 실험적인 수치해석의 사례로 최근의 H1N1을 데이터를 이용하여 최적수준에 대한 비교정태 분석결과를 소개한다. 외래질병의 증가율이 높은 초기 시점부터 완전제어노력을 기울이는 것이 바람직하며, 사회적 비용을 최소화하는 접근방식보다는 보다 적극적인 초동대응 노력이 필요한 것으로 나타났다.

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Aircraft wings dynamics suppression by optimal NESs designed through an Efficient stochastic linearisation approach

  • Navarra, Giacomo;Iacono, Francesco Lo;Oliva, Maria;Esposito, Antonio
    • Advances in aircraft and spacecraft science
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.405-423
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    • 2020
  • Non-linear energy sink (NES) is an emerging passive absorber able to mitigate the dynamic response of structures without any external energy supply, resonating with all the modes of the primary structure to control. However, its inherent non-linearities hinder its large-scale use and leads to complicated design procedures. For this purpose, an approximate design approach is herein proposed in a stochastic framework. Since loads are random in nature, the stochastic analysis of non-linear systems may be performed by means of computational intensive techniques such as Monte Carlo simulations (MCS). Alternatively, the Stochastic Linearisation (SL) technique has proven to be an effective tool to investigate the performance of different passive control systems under random loads. Since controlled systems are generally non-classically damped and most of SL algorithms operate recursively, the computational burden required is still large for those problems that make intensive use of SL technique, as optimal design procedures. Herein, a procedure to speed up the Stochastic Linearisation technique is proposed by avoiding or strongly reducing numerical evaluations of response statistics. The ability of the proposed procedure to effectively reduce the computational effort and to reliably design the NES is showed through an application on a well-known case study related to the vibrations mitigation of an aircraft wing.

여러 시간스케일로 분리 가능한 대규모 스토캐스틱 시스템의 준 최적 조정기의 설계 (Design of sub-optimal regulators for the large-scale stochastic system with time-scale separation properties)

  • 이종효;전기준
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1986년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; 한국과학기술대학, 충남; 17-18 Oct. 1986
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    • pp.550-553
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    • 1986
  • This paper presents a procedure for the time-scale separation and a design method for the sub-optimal composite regulator and Kalman filter of the large-scale discrete stochastic system with two time-scale properties. Provided that the fast sub-system is asymptotically stable, the reduced-order regulator and Kalman filter for the slow sub-system with dominant modes is designed as a sub-optimal regulator for the system.

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선형계통의 파라미터 추정을 위한 최적 확률 입력신호의 설계 (Design of the optimal stochastic inputs for linear system parameter estimation)

  • 양흥석;이석원
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1987년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; 한국과학기술대학, 충남; 16-17 Oct. 1987
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    • pp.168-173
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    • 1987
  • The optimal Input design problem for linear system Which have the common parameters in the system and noise transfer functions. Exploiting the assumed Model structure and deriving the information matrix structure in detail, D-optimal open-loop stochastic input can be realized as an ARMA process under the Input or output variance constraints. In spite of the reduced order, It Is necessary to develop an efficient algorithms for the optimation with respect to the .rho..

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(s, S) 재고관리 시스템에 대한 확률최적화 기법의 응용 (Application of Stochastic Optimization Method to (s, S) Inventory System)

  • Chimyung Kwon
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we focus an optimal policy focus optimal class of (s, S) inventory control systems. To this end, we use the perturbation analysis and apply a stochastic optimization algorithm to minimize the average cost over a period. We obtain the gradients of objective function with respect to ordering amount S and reorder point s via a combined perturbation method. This method uses the infinitesimal perturbation analysis and the smoothed perturbation analysis alternatively according to occurrences of ordering event changes. Our simulation results indicate that the optimal estimates of s and S obtained from a stochastic optimization algorithm are quite accurate. We consider that this may be due to the estimated gradients of little noise from the regenerative system simulation, and their effect on search procedure when we apply the stochastic optimization algorithm. The directions for future study stemming from this research pertain to extension to the more general inventory system with regard to demand distribution, backlogging policy, lead time, and review period. Another directions involves the efficiency of stochastic optimization algorithm related to searching procedure for an improving point of (s, S).

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추계적 EVMS 기반 예비비 산정 방법론 (Contingency Estimation Method based on Stochastic Earned Value Management System)

  • 곽한성;최병윤;이창용;이동은
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2018년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.72-73
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    • 2018
  • The accuracy of contingency estimation plays an important role for dealing with the uncertainty of the financial success of construction project. Its' estimation may be used for various purposes such as schedule control, emergency resolve, and quality expense, etc. This paper presents a contingency estimation method which is schedule control specific. The method 1) implements stochastic EVMS, 2) detects a specific timing for schedule compression, 3) identifies an optimal strategy for shortening planned schedule, 4) finds a probability density function (PDF) of project cost overrun, and 5) estimates the optimal contingency cost based on the level of confidence. The method facilitates expeditious decisions involved in project budgeting. The validity of the method is confirmed by performing test case.

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Experimental and analytical studies on stochastic seismic response control of structures with MR dampers

  • Mei, Zhen;Peng, Yongbo;Li, Jie
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.395-416
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    • 2013
  • The magneto-rheological (MR) damper contributes to the new technology of structural vibration control. Its developments and applications have been paid significant attentions in earthquake engineering in recent years. Due to the shortages, however, inherent in deterministic control schemes where only several observed seismic accelerations are used as the trivial input and in classical stochastic optimal control theory with assumption of white noise process, the derived control policy cannot effectively accommodate the performance of randomly base-excited engineering structures. In this paper, the experimental and analytical studies on stochastic seismic response control of structures with specifically designed MR dampers are carried out. The random ground motion, as the base excitation posing upon the shaking table and the design load used for structural control system, is represented by the physically based stochastic ground motion model. Stochastic response analysis and reliability assessment of the tested structure are performed using the probability density evolution method and the theory of extreme value distribution. It is shown that the seismic response of the controlled structure with MR dampers gain a significant reduction compared with that of the uncontrolled structure, and the structural reliability is obviously strengthened as well.

Receding Horizon Finite Memory Controls for Output Feedback Controls of Discrete-Time State Space Models

  • Han, Soo-Hee;Kwon, Wook-Hyun
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.1896-1900
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, a new type of output feedback control, called a receding horizon finite memory control (RHFMC), is proposed for stochastic discrete-time state space systems. Constraints such as linearity and finite memory structure with respect to an input and an output, and unbiasedness from the optimal state feedback control are required in advance. The proposed RHFMC is chosen to minimize an optimal criterion with these constraints. The RHFMC is obtained in an explicit closed form using the output and input information on the recent time interval. It is shown that the RHFMC consists of a receding horizon control and an FIR filter. The stability of the RHFMC is investigated for stochastic systems.

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선형계통의 파라미터 추정을 위한 최적 입력의 설계 (Design of the optimal inputs for parameter estimation in linear dynamic systems)

  • 양흥석;이석원;정찬수
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1986년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; 한국과학기술대학, 충남; 17-18 Oct. 1986
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    • pp.73-77
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    • 1986
  • Optimal input design problem for linear regression model with constrained output variance has been considered. It is shown that the optimal input signal for the linear regression model can also be realized as an ARMA process. Monte-Carlo simulation results show that the optimal stochastic input leads to comparatively better estimation accuracy than white input signal.

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