• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistical hypothesis

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Effective Test and Evaluation Approaches for Reliable Defense Systems Development examined through Domestic Defense Cases (국내 사례로 살펴보는 국방체계 개발의 신뢰성을 높이기 위한 시험평가 방안)

  • Seo, Kyung-Min;Lee, Chan Young;Bang, Kyoung Woon;Lee, Dong Chul;Choi, Woo Young;Kim, Tag Gon
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents practical issues for test and evaluation(T&E) methods to develop defense systems. Our argument is motivated by several domestic defense cases and the cases lead us to discuss two main factors for reliable defense systems development: 1) statistical approaches and 2) technical schemes. Specifically, statistical approaches enable to provide credible interpretations about T&E results in the decision-making process. With practical T&E results of the “Red Shark” torpedo, we performed statistical hypothesis tests and suggest a minimum sample size to accept the hypothesis. Next, technical schemes have more direct effects on improving reliability of developed defense systems and we shortly introduce tools development for systems verification that is required to integrate several sub-systems, e.g., combat, sensor, weapon, and communication systems, within a defense system. We additionally summary some domain cases using modeling and simulation techniques for successful T&E. In closing, we expect that the paper shows empirical investigation and lessons learned with these two practical issues, which provides a guide those who desire to make decisions about reliable defense systems development.

The Causality between the Number of Medical Specialists and the Managerial Performance in General Hospitals (종합병원의 전문의 수가 경영성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Ryu, Chung-Kul
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1-26
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    • 2008
  • This study examines the statistical relationship between medical specialists and managerial performance, using regression analysis with the number of medical specialists per 100 beds as the independent variable and the managerial performance index as the dependent variable. Managerial performance index incorporated the number of out-patients per specialist, the number of in-patients per specialist, the volume of revenue per specialist, the number of beds per specialist, and the average length of stay. To compare different groups of hospitals, dummy variable was applied to five groups of hospitals according to size: 100-299 beds, 300-599 beds, 600-899 beds, 900-1199 beds, and more than 1200 beds. The data consisted of 181 general hospitals with more than 100 beds, which included 28 public hospitals, 73 corporate hospitals, 64 university hospitals and 16 private hospitals. Of those, 87 hospitals were located in big cities and 94 hospitals in medium to small cities. This study used hospitals from the Korean Hospital Association, and data published in 2004. The collected data sample was analyzed using the SPSSWIN 12.0 version, and the study hypothesis was tested using regression analysis. The findings of this study are summarized as follows: Hypothesis 1 predicting a negative effect of the number of medical specialists on the number of out-patients per specialist was supported with statistical significance. The analysis of dummy variable showed causality in all the hospital groups larger than the group of 100-299 beds. Hypothesis 2 predicting a negative effect of the number of medical specialists on the number of in-patients per specialist was supported with statistical significance. The analysis of dummy variable showed causality in the hospital group of 300-599 beds when compared to the group of 100-299 beds. Hypothesis 3 predicting a negative effect of the number of medical specialists on the volume of revenue per specialist was not supported. However, the analysis of dummy variable showed that the volume of revenue per specialist increased in the hospital groups of 600-899 beds, 900-1199 beds, and over 1200 beds, when compared to the group of 100-299 beds. Hypothesis 4 predicting a negative effect of the number of medical specialists on the average length of stay was supported with statistical significance. The analysis of dummy variable showed causality in the hospital group of 300-599 beds, when compared to the group of 100-299 beds. Results of this study show that the number of the medical specialists per 100 beds is an important factor in hospital managerial performance. Most hospitals have tried to retain as many medical specialists as possible to keep the number of patients stable, to ensure adequate revenue, and to maintain efficient managerial performance. Especially, the big hospitals with greater number of beds and medical specialists have shown greater revenue per medical specialist despite the smaller number of patients per medical specialist. Findings of this study explains why hospitals in Korea are getting bigger.

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NUMBER OF CYCLES IN EVOLUTIONARY OPERATION

  • Lim, Yong-B.;Park, Sung-H.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.201-208
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    • 2007
  • Evolutionary operation (EVOP) proposed by Box (1957) is a method for continuous monitoring and improvement of a full-scale manufacturing process with the objective of moving the operating conditions toward the better ones. EVOP consists of systematically making small changes in the levels of the two or three process variables under consideration. Data are collected on the response variable at each point of two level factorial design with the center point and a cycle is said to have been completed. The cycles are replicated sequentially until the decision is made on whether further cycle of experiments is needed to conclude the significance of any of main effects or interaction effects or the curvature. In this paper, an improved flow chart of EVOP is proposed and how to determine the number of cycles is studied based on the size of type II error. In order to reject the alternative hypothesis of interests with more confidence and conclude that we believe in the null hypothesis of no effects, we propose a counter measure $p^*-value$ corresponding to the p-value. The relationship of $p^*-value$ to the probability of type II error ${\beta}$ under the alternative hypothesis of interests is analogous to that of p-value to the probability of type I error ${\alpha}$. Also the implementation of EVOP with a mixture experiment is discussed.

The Effect of Adhesive Taping Therapy on the Relieve of Chronic Low Back Pain (만성요통환자의 접착용 테이핑 재활요법의 효과)

  • 최연희;백경신
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.55-66
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to test whether adhesive taping therapy, one of rehabilitation, helps to relieve chronic low back pain. Sample were selected from 35 outpatients at oriental medicine hospital in the period from April 20 to June 20, 1998. The research design was one-group pretest - posttest design. The pretest included measuring discomfort depending on the scope and types of a range of motion, and their pain by their activity of daily living(ADL). In this research design, a treatment was to expose adhesive taping therapy to samples. The posttest included remeasuring of their discomfort and pain by ADL. The results of this study was as follows: Hypothesis I was that the discomfort score of the post-treatment group had lower than does that of the pre-treatment group. This study accepted the hypothesis (t=2.70, p=.015). Hypothesis II was that the post-treatment group had the pain score by ADL lower than does the pre-treatment group. Empirical results showed statistical significance(t=4.53, p=.000). In summary, the effect measured by the discomfort with a visual analog scale was statistically significant. The degree of pain according to postures in ADL also showed statistical significance. Consequently, these findings showed that the adhesive taping therapy was effective to alleviation of chronic low back pain.

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A tutorial on generalizing the default Bayesian t-test via posterior sampling and encompassing priors

  • Faulkenberry, Thomas J.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.217-238
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    • 2019
  • With the advent of so-called "default" Bayesian hypothesis tests, scientists in applied fields have gained access to a powerful and principled method for testing hypotheses. However, such default tests usually come with a compromise, requiring the analyst to accept a one-size-fits-all approach to hypothesis testing. Further, such tests may not have the flexibility to test problems the scientist really cares about. In this tutorial, I demonstrate a flexible approach to generalizing one specific default test (the JZS t-test) (Rouder et al., Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 16, 225-237, 2009) that is becoming increasingly popular in the social and behavioral sciences. The approach uses two results, the Savage-Dickey density ratio (Dickey and Lientz, 1980) and the technique of encompassing priors (Klugkist et al., Statistica Neerlandica, 59, 57-69, 2005) in combination with MCMC sampling via an easy-to-use probabilistic modeling package for R called Greta. Through a comprehensive mathematical description of the techniques as well as illustrative examples, the reader is presented with a general, flexible workflow that can be extended to solve problems relevant to his or her own work.

A Characterization of Negative Binomial Distribution Truncated at Zero

  • Shanmugam, R.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 1982
  • Analogous to Singh's (1978) characterization of positive-Poisson distributioin and Shanmugam and Singh's (1992) characterization of logarithmic series distribution, a characterization and its statistical application of the negative binomial distribution truncated at zero are given in this paper. While it is known that under certain conditions the negative binomial distribution truncted at zero approaches the positive-Poisson and the logarithmic series distributions, we show here that the results of this paper approach in limit the results of Singh, and Shanmugam and Singh, respectively. Using the biologicla data from Sampford (1955), we illusrate our results. Also, expressions are explicitly given to test the hypothesis whether a random sample is indeed from a geometric distribution.

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The likelihood ratio test for detecting the best treatment among several exponential populations (지수분표에 있어서 최우수 처리의 판별을 위한 우도비 검정)

  • 황형태
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 1995
  • The method for detecting the best treatment is considered by means of hypothesis testing in the exponential case. The likelihood ratio test for a given hypothesis is derived to control the error probability, and the minimum powers in the interested regions are calculated to design the sampling plan.

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A Study on Design of Discriminant Classification System for the Automatic Classification of Documents (문헌의 자동분류를 위한 판별분류 시스템 설계)

  • Kim Hyun-Hee;Lee Yong-Rye
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.18
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    • pp.129-155
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    • 1990
  • This study suggests two hypotheses and verifies them. First hypothesis is that discriminant analysis which is a statistical technique can be used to classify documents on the subject of organic chemistry by nine subareas. Second hypothesis is that discriminant analysis is superior to cluster analysis in classifing objects by fixed categories.

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Simple Recursive Approach for Detecting Spatial Clusters

  • Kim Jeongjin;Chung Younshik;Ma Sungjoon;Yang Tae Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.207-216
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    • 2005
  • A binary segmentation procedure is a simple recursive approach to detect clusters and provide inferences for the study space when the shape of the clusters and the number of clusters are unknown. The procedure involves a sequence of nested hypothesis tests of a single cluster versus a pair of distinct clusters. The size and the shape of the clusters evolve as the procedure proceeds. The procedure allows for various growth clusters and for arbitrary baseline densities which govern the form of the hypothesis tests. A real tree data is used to highlight the procedure.

Testing Hypothesis for the Logistic Model with Estimated Parameters : Modified Tables of Cirticla Values for K-S Type Statistic

  • Hwang, Chung-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.48-56
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    • 1984
  • This paper considers one-sample and two-sample test for the logistic function by means of Kolmororov-Smirnov type statistics. The standard tables used for the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test are valid only when the function is completely specified; but they are not valid if the parameters of function are estimated from the sample. This note presents modified tables for the Kolmogorov-Sminov type staistic. These tables can be used to test the hypothesis that a sample comes from a logistic function when shape parameter $(\alpha)$ and location parameter $(\beta)$ must be estimated from the sample by the method of maximum likelihood. Monte Carlo method is employed to calculate the criticla values of the test. The tables of the critical values are provided.

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