• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistical Results

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PREDICTION OF 23RD SOLAR CYCLE USING THE STATISTICAL AND PRECURSOR METHOD (통계 및 프리커서 방법을 이용한 제23주기 태양활동예보)

  • JANG SE JIN;KIM KAP-SUNG
    • Publications of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 1999
  • We have made intensive calculations on the maximum relative sunspot number and the date of solar maximum of 23rd solar cycle, by using the statistical and precursor methods to predict solar activity cycle. According to our results of solar data processing by statistical method, solar maximum comes at between February and July of 2000 year and at that time, the smoothed sunspot number will reach to $114.3\~122.8$. while precursor method gives rather dispersed value of $118\~17$ maximum sunspot number. It is found that prediction by statistical method using smoothed relative sunspot number is more accurate than by any method to use any data of 10.7cm radio fluxes and geomagnetic aa, Ap indexes, from the full analysis of solar cycle pattern of these data. In fact, current ascending pattern of 23rd solar cycle supports positively our predicted values. Predicted results by precursor method for $Ap_{avg},\;aa_{31-36}$ indexes show similar values to those by statistical method. Therefore, these indexes can be used as new precursors for the prediction of 23rd or next solar cycle.

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Analyzing seventh graders' statistical thinking through statistical processes by phases and instructional settings (통계적 과정의 학습에서 나타난 중학교 1학년 학생들의 단계별·수업 형태별 통계적 사고 분석)

  • Kim, Ga Young;Kim, Rae Young
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.459-481
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to investigate students' statistical thinking through statistical processes in different instructional settings: Teacher-centered instruction vs. student-centered learning. We first developed instructional materials that allowed students to experience all the processes of statistics, including data collection, data analysis, data representation, and interpretation of the results. Using the instructional materials for four classes, we collected and analyzed the data from 57 seventh graders' discourse and artifacts from two different instructional settings using the analytic framework generated on the basis of literature review. The results showed that students felt difficulty particularly in the process of data collection and graph representations. In addition, even though data description has been heavily emphasized for data analysis in statistics education, it is surprisingly discovered that students had a hard time to understand the relationship between data and representations. Also, there were relationships between students' statistical thinking and instructional settings. Even though both groups of students showed difficulty in data collection and graph representations of the data, there were significant differences between the groups in terms of their performance. Whereas students from student-centered learning class outperformed in making decisions considering verification and justification, students from teacher-centered lecture class did better in problems requiring accuracy than the counterpart. The results from the study provide meaningful implications on developing curriculum and instructional methods for statistics education.

An Evaluation of the Statistical Techniques Used in Papers of the Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine (2000-2009) (최근 10년간(2000-2009) 사상체질의학회지 게재논문의 통계분석방법에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Ki-Hyun;Kim, Sang-Hyuk;Kim, Hong-Gie;Lee, Si-Woo
    • Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2010
  • 1. Objectives The purpose of this study is to assess the statistical methods used in the Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine and to identify the types of errors in the statistical analysis. 2. Methods We have reviewed quantitative articles published in the Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine from 2000 to 2009. Except for the case report, a total of 505 articles was reviewed by year. We focused on the methods of statistics in these articles. We have analysed the number of thesis used the statistical methods, the number of the statistical methods, the types of the statistical methods, and the errors of the statistical methods with the object of 202 thesis used the statistical method. 3. Results 1. Of the 370 articles, 202 used inferential statistics. 2. The most dominant was the thesis with one type of the statistical method forming 61.9% (125 thesis) of the total. 3. The ANOVA was the statistic of choice overall (40.1%), followed by the t-test (35.6%). 4. By examining the errors of the statistical methods, there were 49 thesis with errors among 81 thesis using ANOVA, 25 thesis among 72 thesis using t-test, and 18 over 62 thesis using chi-squared test. 4. Conclusions We have found various mistakes or misuses in the applications of statistical methodologies in the articles published in the Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine. It is necessary to present the cases of inappropriate statistical methods in order to improve the quality of academic researches. So long as Sasang constitutional medicine uses the statistical methods, researchers should fully examine and be aware of the statistical methods which they wish to use through other research articles, and statistic publications.

Laplace's Method for General Integrals with Applications to Statistical Mechanics

  • Park, Nae-Hyun;Jeon, Jong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 1985
  • This paper extends the results of Ellis and Rosen (1982 a) to some more general integrals and applies our main theorem to compute the specific free energy of some models in statistical mechanics. The general integrals of this paper mean the integrals with respect to the probability measures induced by the sample mean of n i.i.d. random variables taking values in a separable Banach space.

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Simulation Optimization with Statistical Selection Method

  • Kim, Ju-Mi
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2007
  • I propose new combined randomized methods for global optimization problems. These methods are based on the Nested Partitions(NP) method, a useful method for simulation optimization which guarantees global optimal solution but has several shortcomings. To overcome these shortcomings I hired various statistical selection methods and combined with NP method. I first explain the NP method and statistical selection method. And after that I present a detail description of proposed new combined methods and show the results of an application. As well as, I show how these combined methods can be considered in case of computing budget limit problem.

Edge Detection using Statistical Hypothesis Testing

  • Lim, Dong-Hoon;Sung, Sin-Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.893-900
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    • 1999
  • We use statistical tests which are useful for two-sample problem for detecting edges in gray-level images. An edge is detected by examining changes in gray-level value between adjacent pixel neighborhoods. Some experimental results show that nonparametric detectors such as Mann-Whitney test median test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test perform effectively in both noisy and noise-free images while parametric T test is sensitive to noise.

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ON ASYMPTOTICALLY f-ROUGH STATISTICAL EQUIVALENT OF TRIPLE SEQUENCES

  • SUBRAMANIAN, N.;ESI, A.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.37 no.5_6
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    • pp.459-467
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    • 2019
  • In this work, via Orlicz functions, we have obtained a generalization of rough statistical convergence of asymptotically equivalent triple sequences a new non-matrix convergence method, which is intermediate between the ordinary convergence and the rough statistical convergence. We also have examined some inclusion relations related to this concept. We obtain the results are non negative real numbers with respect to the partial order on the set of real numbers.

LACUNARY STATISTICAL CONVERGENCE FOR SEQUENCE OF SETS IN INTUITIONISTIC FUZZY METRIC SPACE

  • KISI, OMER
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.40 no.1_2
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    • pp.69-83
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    • 2022
  • We investigate the concept of lacunary statistical convergence and lacunary strongly convergence for sequence of sets in intuitionistic fuzzy metric space (IFMS) and examine their characterization. We obtain some inclusion relation relating to these concepts. Further some necessary and sufficient conditions for equality of the sets of statistical convergence and lacunary statistical convergence for sequence of sets in IFMS have been established. The concept of strong Cesàro summability in IFMS has been defined and some results are established.

Present Status of Description and Application of Statistics in Clinical study papers in the Journal of Oriental Neuropsychiatry. (동의신경정신과학회지에 발표된 임상연구논문들의 통계방법 기술 및 적용 현황)

  • Cho, Seung-Hun;Hwang, Wei-wan;Lee, Tae-Rim
    • Journal of Oriental Neuropsychiatry
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2007
  • This study was done to review problems in terms of statistical description and statistical application and analysis. Methods; The authors reviewed 42 statistical clinical study papers excluding 12 Overview papers, 75 Descriptive papers, 48 Animal studies out of 177 papers in the Journal of Oriental Neuropsychiatry in the 5 years from 2002 to 2006. Results : 1) 3 papers(7.1%) had no description of statistical method, only P-values, 25 papaers(59.5%) had tables without description of statistical method, 1 paper (2.3%) had no description of statistical method in study method. 2) 10 papers(23.8%) contained problems in terms of statistical application and analysis. 6papers (6/23, 26.0%) for Student t-test, 2 papers(2/7 28.6%)for $X^2$- test, 1 paper(1/15 6.7%) for the analysis of variance, 1 paper(1/6 16.7%) for Pearson correlation contained statistical problems. Conclusion : It was suggested that consultation of investigators with statisticians and more extensive statistical refereeing, the form of the guidelines for description and application of statistics are needed.

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