• Title/Summary/Keyword: Spatial Error Model

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Estimation and assessment of natural drought index using principal component analysis (주성분 분석을 활용한 자연가뭄지수 산정 및 평가)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;Lee, Moon-Hwan;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.565-577
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to propose a method for computing the Natural Drought Index (NDI) that does not consider man-made drought facilities. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used to estimate the NDI. Three monthly moving cumulative runoff, soil moisture and precipitation were selected as input data of the NDI during 1977~2012. Observed precipitation data was collected from KMA ASOS (Korea Meteorological Association Automatic Synoptic Observation System), while model-driven runoff and soil moisture from Variable Infiltration Capacity Model (VIC Model) were used. Time series analysis, drought characteristic analysis and spatial analysis were used to assess the utilization of NDI and compare with existing SPI, SRI and SSI. The NDI precisely reflected onset and termination of past drought events with mean absolute error of 0.85 in time series analysis. It explained well duration and inter-arrival time with 1.3 and 1.0 respectively in drought characteristic analysis. Also, the NDI reflected regional drought condition well in spatial analysis. The accuracy rank of drought onset, termination, duration and inter-arrival time was calculated by using NDI, SPI, SRI and SSI. The result showed that NDI is more precise than the others. The NDI overcomes the limitation of univariate drought indices and can be useful for drought analysis as representative measure of different types of drought such as meteorological, hydrological and agricultural droughts.

Considerations and Alternative Approaches to the Estimation of Local Abundance of Legally Protected Species, the Fiddler Crab, Austruca lactea (법정보호종, 흰발농게(Austruca lactea) 서식 개체수 추정에 대한 검토와 대안)

  • Yoo, Jae-Won;Kim, Chang-Soo;Park, Mi-Ra;Jeong, Su-Young;Lee, Chae-Lin;Kim, Sungtae;Ahn, Dong-Sik;Lee, Chang-Gun;Han, Donguk;Back, Yonghae;Park, Young Cheol
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.122-132
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    • 2021
  • We reviewed the methods employed in Korean tidal flat surveys to measure the local abundance of the endangered wildlife and marine protected species, the fiddler crab, Austruca lactea. A complete census for infinite population is impossible even in a limited habitat within a tidal flat, and density estimates from samples strongly vary due to diverse biological and ecological factors. The habitat boundaries and areas shift with periodicities or rhythmic activities of organisms as well as measurement errors. Hence the local abundance calculated from density and habitat areas should be regarded as transient. This conjecture was valid based on the spatio-temporal variations of the density averages, standard error ranges, and spatial distribution of the crab, A. lactea observed for 3 years (2015-2017) in Songdo tidal flat in Incheon. We proposed the potential habitat areas using the occurrence probability of 50% from logistic regression model, reflecting the importance of habitat conservation value as an alternative to local abundance. The spatial shape of potential habitat predicted from a generalized model would remain constant over time unless the species' critical environmental conditions change rapidly. The species-specific model is expected to be used for the introduction of desired species in future habitat restoration/creation projects.

Development for Prediction Model of Disaster Risk through Try and Error Method : Storm Surge (시행 착오법을 활용한 재난 위험도 예측모델 개발 : 폭풍해일)

  • Kim, Dong Hyun;Yoo, HyungJu;Jeong, SeokIl;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2018
  • The storm surge is caused by an typhoons and it is not easy to predict the location, strength, route of the storm. Therefore, research using a scenario for storms occurrence has been conducted. In Korea, hazard maps for various scenarios were produced using the storm surge numerical simulation. Such a method has a disadvantage in that it is difficult to predict when other scenario occurs, and it is difficult to cope with in real time because the simulation time is long. In order to compensate for this, we developed a method to predict the storm surge damage by using research database. The risk grade prediction for the storm surge was performed predominantly in the study area of the East coast. In order to estimate the equation, COMSOL developed by COMSOL AB Corporation was utilized. Using some assumptions and limitations, the form of the basic equation was derived. the constants and coefficients in the equation were estimated by the trial and error method. Compared with the results, the spatial distribution of risk grade was similar except for the upper part of the map. In the case of the upper part of the map, it was shown that the resistance coefficient, k was calculated due to absence of elevation data. The SIND model is a method for real-time disaster prediction model and it is expected that it will be able to respond quickly to disasters caused by abnormal weather.

Gap-Filling of Sentinel-2 NDVI Using Sentinel-1 Radar Vegetation Indices and AutoML (Sentinel-1 레이더 식생지수와 AutoML을 이용한 Sentinel-2 NDVI 결측화소 복원)

  • Youjeong Youn;Jonggu Kang;Seoyeon Kim;Yemin Jeong;Soyeon Choi;Yungyo Im;Youngmin Seo;Myoungsoo Won;Junghwa Chun;Kyungmin Kim;Keunchang Jang;Joongbin Lim;Yangwon Lee
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.6_1
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    • pp.1341-1352
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    • 2023
  • The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) derived from satellite images is a crucial tool to monitor forests and agriculture for broad areas because the periodic acquisition of the data is ensured. However, optical sensor-based vegetation indices(VI) are not accessible in some areas covered by clouds. This paper presented a synthetic aperture radar (SAR) based approach to retrieval of the optical sensor-based NDVI using machine learning. SAR system can observe the land surface day and night in all weather conditions. Radar vegetation indices (RVI) from the Sentinel-1 vertical-vertical (VV) and vertical-horizontal (VH) polarizations, surface elevation, and air temperature are used as the input features for an automated machine learning (AutoML) model to conduct the gap-filling of the Sentinel-2 NDVI. The mean bias error (MAE) was 7.214E-05, and the correlation coefficient (CC) was 0.878, demonstrating the feasibility of the proposed method. This approach can be applied to gap-free nationwide NDVI construction using Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 images for environmental monitoring and resource management.

A Study on Damage factor Analysis of Slope Anchor based on 3D Numerical Model Combining UAS Image and Terrestrial LiDAR (UAS 영상 및 지상 LiDAR 조합한 3D 수치모형 기반 비탈면 앵커의 손상인자 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chul-Hee;Lee, Jong-Hyun;Kim, Dal-Joo;Kang, Joon-Oh;Kwon, Young-Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.38 no.7
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    • pp.5-24
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    • 2022
  • The current performance evaluation of slope anchors qualitatively determines the physical bonding between the anchor head and ground as well as cracks or breakage of the anchor head. However, such performance evaluation does not measure these primary factors quantitatively. Therefore, the time-dependent management of the anchors is almost impossible. This study is an evaluation of the 3D numerical model by SfM which combines UAS images with terrestrial LiDAR to collect numerical data on the damage factors. It also utilizes the data for the quantitative maintenance of the anchor system once it is installed on slopes. The UAS 3D model, which often shows relatively low precision in the z-coordinate for vertical objects such as slopes, is combined with terrestrial LiDAR scan data to improve the accuracy of the z-coordinate measurement. After validating the system, a field test is conducted with ten anchors installed on a slope with arbitrarily damaged heads. The damages (such as cracks, breakages, and rotational displacements) are detected and numerically evaluated through the orthogonal projection of the measurement system. The results show that the introduced system at the resolution of 8K can detect cracks less than 0.3 mm in any aperture with an error range of 0.05 mm. Also, the system can successfully detect the volume of the damaged part, showing that the maximum damage area of the anchor head was within 3% of the original design guideline. Originally, the ground adhesion to the anchor head, where the z-coordinate is highly relevant, was almost impossible to measure with the UAS 3D numerical model alone because of its blind spots. However, by applying the combined system, elevation differences between the anchor bottom and the irregular ground surface was identified so that the average value at 20 various locations was calculated for the ground adhesion. Additionally, rotation angle and displacement of the anchor head less than 1" were detected. From the observations, the validity of the 3D numerical model can obtain quantitative data on anchor damage. Such data collection can potentially create a database that could be used as a fundamental resource for quantitative anchor damage evaluation in the future.

Ionospheric Modeling using Wavelet for WADGPS (Wavelet을 이용한 광역보정위성항법을 위한 전리층 모델링)

  • Sohn, Kyoung-Ho;Kee, Chang-Don
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.371-377
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    • 2007
  • Ionospheric time delay is one of the main error source for single-frequency DGPS applications, including time transfer and Wide Area Differential GPS (WADGPS). Grid-based algorithm was already developed for WADGPS but that algorithm is not applicable to geomagnetic storm condition in accuracy and management. In geomagnetic storm condition, the spatial distribution of vertical ionospheric delay is noisy and therefore the accuracy of modeling become low in grid-based algorithm. For better accuracy, function based algorithm can be used but the continuity of correction message is not guranteed. In this paper, we propose the ionospheric model using wavelet based algorithm. This algorithm shows better accuracy with the same number of correction message than the existing spherical harmonics algorithm and guarantees the continuity of correction messages when the number of message is expanded for geomagnetic storm condition.

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Sensitivity Analysis of Numerical Weather Prediction Model with Topographic Effect in the Radiative Transfer Process (복사전달과정에서 지형효과에 따른 기상수치모델의 민감도 분석)

  • Jee, Joon-Bum;Min, Jae-Sik;Jang, Min;Kim, Bu-Yo;Zo, Il-Sung;Lee, Kyu-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.385-398
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    • 2017
  • Numerical weather prediction experiments were carried out by applying topographic effects to reduce or enhance the solar radiation by terrain. In this study, x and ${\kappa}({\phi}_o,\;{\theta}_o)$ are precalculated for topographic effect on high resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) with 1 km spatial resolution, and meteorological variables are analyzed through the numerical experiments. For the numerical simulations, cases were selected in winter (CASE 1) and summer (CASE 2). In the CASE 2, topographic effect was observed on the southward surface to enhance the solar energy reaching the surface, and enhance surface temperature and temperature at 2 m. Especially, the surface temperature is changed sensitively due to the change of the solar energy on the surface, but the change of the precipitation is difficult to match of topographic effect. As a result of the verification using Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Automated Weather System (AWS) data on Seoul metropolitan area, the topographic effect is very weak in the winter case. In the CASE 1, the improvement of accuracy was numerically confirmed by decreasing the bias and RMSE (Root mean square error) of temperature at 2 m, wind speed at 10 m and relative humidity. However, the accuracy of rainfall prediction (Threat score (TS), BIAS, equitable threat score (ETS)) with topographic effect is decreased compared to without topographic effect. It is analyzed that the topographic effect improves the solar radiation on surface and affect the enhancements of surface temperature, 2 meter temperature, wind speed, and PBL height.

Implementing the Urban Effect in an Interpolation Scheme for Monthly Normals of Daily Minimum Temperature (도시효과를 고려한 일 최저기온의 월별 평년값 분포 추정)

  • 최재연;윤진일
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to remove the urban heat island effects embedded in the interpolated surfaces of daily minimum temperature in the Korean Peninsula. Fifty six standard weather stations are usually used to generate the gridded temperature surface in South Korea. Since most of the weather stations are located in heavily populated and urbanized areas, the observed minimum temperature data are contaminated with the so-called urban heat island effect. Without an appropriate correction, temperature estimates over rural area or forests might deviate significantly from the actual values. We simulated the spatial pattern of population distribution within any single population reporting district (city or country) by allocating the reported population to the "urban" pixels of a land cover map with a 30 by 30 m spacing. By using this "digital population model" (DPM), we can simulate the horizontal diffusion of urban effect, which is not possible with the spatially discontinuous nature of the population statistics fer each city or county. The temperature estimation error from the existing interpolation scheme, which considers both the distance and the altitude effects, was regressed to the DPMs smoothed at 5 different scales, i.e., the radial extent of 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 and 5.0 km. Optimum regression models were used in conjunction with the distance-altitude interpolation to predict monthly normals of daily minimum temperature in South Korea far 1971-2000 period. Cross validation showed around 50% reduction in terms of RMSE and MAE over all months compared with those by the conventional method.conventional method.

A Study on the World Geodetic System Transformation of Cadastral Record Using by Three parameters (3변수를 이용한 지적공부의 세계측지계 변환 연구)

  • Jung, Wan-Suk;Kang, Sang-Gu
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.139-153
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    • 2014
  • The world geodetic system transformation of cadastral record have to minimize differences of boundary and area being in cadastral record according to transformation for that is direct connected with the land owner and property protection. However it is very difficult to accurately maintain the before and after transformation because coordinate transformation is generally using a mathematical conversion formula. At present, Helmert model by using 4-parameter is official coordinate transformation model for Cadastral Resurvey Project but scale factor is most sensitive to changes of area and relative position in the same parcel. In this study, it was proposed 3-parameter method using by scale factor fixing through the application of a Helmert in order to avoid changing the area difference and keeping the error within the tolerance range of the boundary which is related to the boundary point coordinate region.

Reducing Transmit Power and Extending Network Lifetime via User Cooperation in the Next Generation Wireless Multihop Networks

  • Catovic, Amer;Tekinay, Sirin;Otsu, Toru
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.351-362
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we introduce a new approach to the minimum energy routing (MER) for next generation (NG) multihop wireless networks. We remove the widely used assumption of deterministic, distance-based channel model is removed, and analyze the potentials of MER within the context of the realistic channel model, accounting for shadowing and fading. Rather than adopting the conventional unrealistic assumption of perfect power control in a distributed multihop environment, we propose to exploit inherent spatial diversity of mobile terminals (MT) in NG multihop networks and to combat fading using transmit diversity. We propose the cooperation among MTs, whereby couples of MTs cooperate with each other in order to transmit the signal using two MTs as two transmit antennas. We provide the analytical framework for the performance analysis of this scheme in terms of the feasibility and achievable transmit power reduction. Our simulation result indicate that significant gains can be achieved in terms of the reduction of total transmit power and extension of network lifetime. These gains are in the range of 20-100% for the total transmit power, and 25-90% for the network lifetime, depending on the desired error probability. We show that our analytical results provide excellent match with our simulation results. The messaging load generated by our scheme is moderate, and can be further optimized. Our approach opens the way to a new family of channel-aware routing schemes for multihopNG wireless networks in fading channels. It is particularly suitable for delivering multicast/ geocast services in these networks.