• Title/Summary/Keyword: Sales Estimation

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A Study on the Estimation of the Proper Price of Weapon System by Performance Factors: Focused on Heli-Launched Anti-Tank Guided Missiles (성능요인에 따른 무기체계 적정가격 추정방안 연구: 헬기발사형 대전차 유도무기를 중심으로)

  • Park, Sanghyun;Kang, Eonbi;Jeon, Jeonghwan
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2021
  • In government procurement programs, cost estimation and analysis support funding decisions and are the basis for other major decisions, too. Such estimating and analyzing the cost of the weapon systems are crucial in execution of the defense budget. However, existing cost estimations and analyses have focused on domestic R&D projects, thus those are not valid in application to foreign weapon acquisitions. This study aims at foreign weapon systems that are acquired from Direct Commercial Sales. Because the data for price estimation of a foreign weapon is usually not available, we suggest a price estimation model based on performance factors of the weapon. In this study, the proper price of the weapon system is estimated using the parametric cost estimating model. Using the data of helicopter-launched anti-tank guided missiles worldwide, we analyze the effect of each performance factor on the weapon system price by regression analysis, and use step-wise and ridge regression analysis to remove multi-collinearity. This study hopefully contributes to more reasonable decision making on proper price of weapons.

A Study on the Sale Estimate Model of a Large-Scale Store in Korea (국내 대형점의 매출추정모델 설정 방안 연구)

  • Youn, Myoung-Kil;Kim, Jong-Jin;Park, Chul-Ju;Shim, Kyu-Yeol
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.5-11
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study was to construct a turnover estimation model by investigating research by Park et al. (2006) on the market area of domestic distribution. The study investigated distribution by using a new tool for the turnover estimation technique. This study developed and discussed the turnover estimation technique of Park et al. (2006), applying it to a large-scale retailer in "D"city that was suitable for on-the-spot distribution. It constructed the new model in accordance with test procedures keeping to this retail business location, to apply its procedures to a specific situation and improve the turn over estimation process. Further, it investigated the analysis and procedures of existing turnover estimation cases to provide problems and alternatives for turnover estimation for a large-scale retailer in "D"city. Finally, it also discussed problems and scope for further research. Research design, data, and methodology - This study was conducted on the basis of "virtue" studies. In other words, it took into account the special quality of the structure of Korea's trade zones. The researcher sought to verify a sale estimate model for use in a distribution industry's location. The main purpose was to enable the sale estimate model (that is, the individual model's presentation) to be practically used in real situations in Korea by supplementing processes and variables. Results - The sale estimate model is constructed, first, by conducting a data survey of the general trading area. Second, staying within the city's census of company operating areas, the city's total consumption expenditure is derived by applying the large-scale store index. Third, the probability of shopping is investigated. Fourth, the scale of sales is estimated using the process of singularity. The correct details need to be verified for the model construction and the new model will need to be a distinct sale estimate model, with this being a special quality for business conditions. This will need to be a subsequent research task. Conclusions - The study investigated, tested, and supplemented the turnover estimation model of Park et al. (2006) in a market area in South Korea. Supplementation of some procedures and variables could provide a turnover estimation model in South Korea that would be an independent model. The turnover estimation model is applied, first, by undertaking an investigation of the market area. Second, a census of the intercity market area is carried out to estimate the total consumption of the specific city. Consumption is estimated by applying indexes of large-scale retailers. Third, an investigation is undertaken on the probability of shopping. Fourth, the scale of turnover is estimated. Further studies should investigate each department as well as direct and indirect variables. The turnover estimation model should be tested to construct new models depending on the type of region and business. In-depth and careful discussion by researchers is also needed. An upgraded turnover estimation model could be developed for Korea's on-the-spot distribution.

Analysis of market share attraction data using LS-SVM (최소제곱 서포트벡터기계를 이용한 시장점유율 자료 분석)

  • Park, Hye-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.879-886
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this article is to present the application of Least Squares Support Vector Machine in analyzing the existing structure of brand. We estimate the parameters of the Market Share Attraction Model using a non-parametric technique for function estimation called Least Squares Support Vector Machine, which allows us to perform even nonlinear regression by constructing a linear regression function in a high dimensional feature space. Estimation by Least Squares Support Vector Machine technique makes it a good candidate for solving the Market Share Attraction Model. To illustrate the performance of the proposed method, we use the car sales data in South Korea's car market.

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The Financing Decision, Investment Decision, and Profitability for Fisheries Corporations (어업의 자본조달결정, 투자결정과 경영성과)

  • 강석규
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate empirically interaction among the financing decision, investment decision, and profitability by using 41 fisheries corporations in Korea, and to suggest implications of the empirical results for government's financial policy for fisheries corporations. Sample period is 19 years from 1982 till 2000. This analysis method employs the two stage least squares(2SLS) estimation method. From the results of regression analysis by 2SLS estimation method, the adjusted $R^2$ values were high and the overall F values indicated significant. The empirical results of this study are as follows; (1) determinant factors of capital structure model for fisheries are profitability, firm-size, fisheries investment of total asset, and business risk. As pecking order theory explains, the higher is profitability the lower is debt ratio. The larger firm-size, the higher is debt ratio. The higher is fisheries investment of total asset and business risk, the higher is debt ratio. (2) determinant factors of investment model for fisheries are the change of sales, business risk, and debt ratio. These factors have positive relation to fisheries investment of total asset (3) determinant factors of profitability model for fisheries are fisheries investment of total asset and debt ratio. These factors have negative relation to profitability. On the basis of analysis results, on the government's financial policy for fisheries corporations, I suggests that with interest rate reduction, the government should lend more funds to solve the crisis in the financial structure of the fisheries firms

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Analysis of Management Production Efficiency for Abalone Aquaculture in Wando Area (완도지역 전복 양식어가 생산의 경영효율성 분석)

  • KANG, Han-Ae;PARK, Cheol-Hyung
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1629-1639
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    • 2016
  • This study is to estimate the production efficiency of abalone aquaculture and to find its determinants utilizing the survey data of operating expenses in 2015. The first part of the analysis applied both DEA and Super-DEA for the estimation of efficiency of each aquaculture household as DMU. We used wages, feeding costs and area as inputs and annual profits and sales as outputs of the model. The second part of the study applied both Tobit and OLS for the identification of determinants of the efficiency. We investigated cost-ratio, depreciation costs, careers, value of living seeds, cleaning costs of farming ground and a ratio of 1 and 2 year-old abalone at shipment as potential determinants. The estimation results show us that the average technical efficiency, pure technical efficiency, and scale efficiency score turn out to be 72%, 81% and 85% respectively. The Super-BCC and Super-CCR models reveal their average efficiency scores as 81% and 80%. All of the variables used to identify the determinants of the efficiency. The study results suggests that the production efficiency can be improved by cleaning farming ground and hence lowering the death rate of seeds.

A Study on Estimation of Consumption of Mink Clothes (밍크 모피 제품의 소모량(consumption)산출에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Fashion and Costume Design Association
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.177-188
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    • 2014
  • A fur has emerged as one of fashion staples. there has been a rising interest in fur industry. Therefore, this study investigated how to estimate the amount of raw materials consumed at the production of fur clothes, and the scope of the study was limited to mink clothes. For an empirical study, in addition, Koreans' favorable mink design was chosen based on previous studies and sales of fur clothes, and its consumption was estimated. The consumption of mink clothes depends on the special feature of natural resources such as place of origin, gender and variety. Therefore the method of consumption for mink clothes is inevitably different from it of fiber clothes. Considering the procedure of mink clothe's production as collect same kind of a fur and process though pattern placement, first is outfut work for consumption. At estimation of the consumption of mink clothes, the number of minks was counted by matching the area of mink skin with that of the mink cloth patterns. Then, the usable area of the patterns was calculated after splitting them into diverse figures such as triangle, quadrangle and trapezoid. If we divide area by using the similar in shape of pattern and calculate, We can find high efficiency by reducing extra space. Specially we can expect more efficient work system when we use computers for efficient division of area.

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Estimating the Function Point for the Object Oriented Information Systems (객체지향 기반의 정보시스템 개발 프로젝트에서의 기능점수 예측 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Seung-Ryul;Lee, Suk-Joon
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.111-133
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to present a new function point estimation approach for the Object-Oriented information systems. In order to fulfill this purpose, we first review the literature on Function Point Analysis of IFPUG, Unified Modeling Language, and Unified Process. Then, we derive a method and rules for estimating Function Points based on Use Cases and Class Diagrams. To analyze the appropriateness of the proposed approach, we conduct the empirical testing. 143 use cases are collected from production, marketing, distribution, sales, and other areas from the Object-Oriented systems development projects. We compare our new approach with the existing methods that are usually used for traditional systems development projects. The results show that our proposed approach is more appropriate for the Object-Oriented environment.

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Economic Evaluation of the IT SoC Industry Infrastructure Program

  • Oh, Wan-Keun;Min, Wan-Kee
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.79-99
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    • 2007
  • This paper evaluates the economic effect of the IT SoC Industrial Foundation Composition Project. The evaluation was done in three steps. The first step was to estimate the contribution effect of the fabless small and medium venture business' sales. The step includes interview with all the CEOs of the firms under the support of the Enterprise Incubation System, The second step was to apply input-output analysis and then estimate the production inducement effect. The last step was to compare the results of estimation with the costs of the project. We have concluded this project had achieved 6.3 times greater economic effect compared to the budget. The reason for the large economic effect is that the project provided various infrastructures to the small and medium venture businesses.

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A Correlation Analysis Between Firms' Physical Distribution Costs and Financial Structures (기업(企業) 물류비(物流費)와 재무구조(財務構造)의 상관관계(相關關係) 분석(分析))

  • Ha, Yeong-Seok;Shin, Sang-Heun
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.14
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    • pp.219-233
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    • 2000
  • Korea has been faced a difficult situation with regard to the cost of physical distribution(PD). The problem have arisen from the fact that Korean firms have far different cost structures of the PD according to its industry or business. High PD costs sometimes reduce firms' operating income and perceived competitive disadvantages not only in domestic but in world-wide business. In this research, we examine the factors affecting firm's PD cost by investigating financial and non-financial variables such as variable cost to sales ratio and number of employee of a firm. Analyses are performed to construct research models with t-test and the logistic regression estimation.

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Measuring the Weather Risk in Manufacturing and Service Sectors in Korea (제조업과 서비스 부문 기후 리스크 측정)

  • Oh, Hyungna
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.551-572
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    • 2015
  • Given the presence of global warming, the economic impact of climate changes on output sales has been discussed in the literature, but rarely with empirical evidences. In this present study, a simple log-model was employed to identify the economic impacts of weather changes in manufacturing and service sectors in Korea. For this empirical exercise, weather variables including the CDD (cooling degree days) and HDD (heating degree days) were computed using the Korea's meteorological records covering the period 1970-2012. According to estimation results, 26.7% (144 over 539) and 27.9% (64 over 229) of the manufacturing and service sectors, respectively, are found to be weather-sensitive.