• Title/Summary/Keyword: Robust 모형

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A Stochastic Model for Optimizing Offshore Oil Production Under Uncertainty (불확실성하의 해양석유생산 최적화를 위한 추계적 모형)

  • Ku, Ji-Hye;Kim, Si-Hwa
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.462-468
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    • 2019
  • Offshore oil production faces several difficulties caused by oil price decline and unexpected changes in the global petroleum logistics. This paper suggests a stochastic model for optimizing the offshore oil production under uncertainty. The proposed model incorporates robust optimization and restricted recourse framework, and uses the lower partial mean as the measure of variability of the recourse profit. Some computational experiments and results based on the proposed model using scenario-based data on the crude oil price and demand under uncertainty are examined and presented. This study would be meaningful in decision-making for the offshore oil production problem considering risks under uncertainty.

A Criterion for the Selection of Principal Components in the Robust Principal Component Regression (로버스트주성분회귀에서 최적의 주성분선정을 위한 기준)

  • Kim, Bu-Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.761-770
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    • 2011
  • Robust principal components regression is suggested to deal with both the multicollinearity and outlier problem. A main aspect of the robust principal components regression is the selection of an optimal set of principal components. Instead of the eigenvalue of the sample covariance matrix, a selection criterion is developed based on the condition index of the minimum volume ellipsoid estimator which is highly robust against leverage points. In addition, the least trimmed squares estimation is employed to cope with regression outliers. Monte Carlo simulation results indicate that the proposed criterion is superior to existing ones.

Robust EOQ Models with Decreasing Cost Functions (감소하는 비용함수를 가진 Robust EOQ 모형)

  • Lim, Sung-Mook
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2007
  • We consider (worst-case) robust optimization versions of the Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) model with decreasing cost functions. Two variants of the EOQ model are discussed, in which the purchasing costs are decreasing power functions in either the order quantity or demand rate. We develop the corresponding worst-case robust optimization models of the two variants, where the parameters in the purchasing cost function of each model are uncertain but known to lie in an ellipsoid. For the robust EOQ model with the purchasing cost being a decreasing function of the demand rate, we derive the analytical optimal solution. For the robust EOQ model with the purchasing cost being a decreasing function of the order quantity, we prove that it is a convex optimization problem, and thus lends itself to efficient numerical algorithms.

On Confidence Intervals of Robust Regression Estimators (로버스트 회귀추정에 의한 신뢰구간 구축)

  • Lee Dong-Hee;Park You-Sung;Kim Kee-Whan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.97-110
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    • 2006
  • Since it is well-established that even high quality data tend to contain outliers, one would expect fat? greater reliance on robust regression techniques than is actually observed. But most of all robust regression estimators suffers from the computational difficulties and the lower efficiency than the least squares under the normal error model. The weighted self-tuning estimator (WSTE) recently suggested by Lee (2004) has no more computational difficulty and it has the asymptotic normality and the high break-down point simultaneously. Although it has better properties than the other robust estimators, WSTE does not have full efficiency under the normal error model through the weighted least squares which is widely used. This paper introduces a new approach as called the reweighted WSTE (RWSTE), whose scale estimator is adaptively estimated by the self-tuning constant. A Monte Carlo study shows that new approach has better behavior than the general weighted least squares method under the normal model and the large data.

Korean women wage analysis using selection models (표본 선택 모형을 이용한 국내 여성 임금 데이터 분석)

  • Jeong, Mi Ryang;Kim, Mijeong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.1077-1085
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we have found the major factors which affect Korean women's wage analysing the data provided by 2015 Korea Labor Panel Survey (KLIPS). In general, wage data is difficult to analyze because random sampling is infeasible. Heckman sample selection model is the most widely used method for analysing the data with sample selection. Heckman proposed two kinds of selection models: the one is the model with maximum likelihood method and the other is the Heckman two stage model. Heckman two stage model is known to be robust to the normal assumption of bivariate error terms. Recently, Marchenko and Genton (2012) proposed the Heckman selectiont model which generalizes the Heckman two stage model and concluded that Heckman selection-t model is more robust to the error assumptions. Employing the two models, we carried out the analysis of the data and we compared those results.

Robust production and transportation planning for TFT-LCD industry under demand and price uncertainties using scenario model (시나리오 모델을 활용한 수요 및 가격 불확실성이 존재하는 TFT-LCD 산업에서의 robust 생산 및 수송계획)

  • Shin, Hyun-Joon;Ru, Jae-Pil
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2010.05b
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    • pp.923-927
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 가격 및 수요 불확실성하의 강건한 (robust) 생산 및 수송 전략을 수립함으로써 수요 및 가격 불확실성이 존재하는 TFT-LCD 제조업 공급사슬망의 의사결정 문제를 해결하고자 한다. 품질로 구분되는 제품들의 생산, 재고 및 물류에 관한 의사결정을 조정하기 위해, 본 연구에서는 생산용량 제약, 해상/항공 수송 리드타임 및 용량 제약 등의 현실적인 제약조건들 이외에 시나리오 모델을 이용하여 수요 및 가격 불확실성을 함께 반영하는 확률적 혼합정수선형계획법모형들을 개발한다. 또한 이들 모형들의 효율적 솔루션을 위해 제안한 휴리스틱 알고리즘의 성능을 평가하도록 한다.

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Robust parameter set selection of unsteady flow model using Pareto optimums and minimax regret approach (파레토 최적화와 최소최대 후회도 방법을 이용한 부정류 계산모형의 안정적인 매개변수 추정)

  • Li, Li;Chung, Eun-Sung;Jun, Kyung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.191-200
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    • 2017
  • A robust parameter set (ROPS) selection framework for an unsteady flow model was developed by combining Pareto optimums obtained by outcomes of model calibration using multi-site observations with the minimax regret approach (MRA). The multi-site calibration problem which is a multi-objective problem was solved by using an aggregation approach which aggregates the weighted criteria related to different sites into one measure, and then performs a large number of individual optimization runs with different weight combinations to obtain Pareto solutions. Roughness parameter structure which can describe the variation of Manning's n with discharges and sub-reaches was proposed and the related coefficients were optimized as model parameters. By applying the MRA which is a decision criterion, the Pareto solutions were ranked based on the obtained regrets related to each Pareto solution, and the top-rated one due to the lowest aggregated regrets of both calibration and validation was determined as the only ROPS. It was found that the determination of variable roughness and the corresponding standardized RMSEs at the two gauging stations varies considerably depending on the combinations of weights on the two sites. This method can provide the robust parameter set for the multi-site calibration problems in hydrologic and hydraulic models.

Doubly Robust Imputation Using Auxiliary Information (보조 정보에 의한 이중적 로버스트 대체법)

  • Park, Hyeon-Ah;Jeon, Jong-Woo;Na, Seong-Ryong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2011
  • Ratio and regression imputations depend on the model of a survey variable and the relation between the survey variable and auxiliary variables. If the model is not true, the unbiasedness of the estimator using the ratio or regression imputation cannot be guaranteed. In this paper, we develop the doubly robust imputation, which satisfies the approximate unbiasedness of the estimator, whether the model assumption is valid or not. The proposed imputation increases the efficiency of estimation by using the population information of the auxiliary variables. The simulation study establishes the theoretical results of this paper.

A Robust Heteroscadastic Test for ARCH Models

  • Kim, Sahm-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.441-447
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    • 2004
  • Li and Mak (1994) developed a test statistic for detecting the non-linearity and the heteroscedasticity of the time series data. But it is well known that the test statistic may be very sensitive in case of heavy-tailed distributions of the errors. Jiang et al.(2001) suggested the robust method for ARCH models but the calculation procedures for the estimation are very complicated. We suggested the robust method based on Huber's function and our method works quite well rater than the Li and Mak(1994). Also our method is relatively easy to calculate the test statistic.

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Fast robust variable selection using VIF regression in large datasets (대형 데이터에서 VIF회귀를 이용한 신속 강건 변수선택법)

  • Seo, Han Son
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.463-473
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    • 2018
  • Variable selection algorithms for linear regression models of large data are considered. Many algorithms are proposed focusing on the speed and the robustness of algorithms. Among them variance inflation factor (VIF) regression is fast and accurate due to the use of a streamwise regression approach. But a VIF regression is susceptible to outliers because it estimates a model by a least-square method. A robust criterion using a weighted estimator has been proposed for the robustness of algorithm; in addition, a robust VIF regression has also been proposed for the same purpose. In this article a fast and robust variable selection method is suggested via a VIF regression with detecting and removing potential outliers. A simulation study and an analysis of a dataset are conducted to compare the suggested method with other methods.