• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk-based Test

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A goodness-of-fit test based on Martinale residuals for the additive risk model (마팅게일잔차에 기초한 가산위험모형의 적합도검정법)

  • 김진흠;이승연
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 1996
  • This paper proposes a goodness-of-fit test for checking the adequacy of the additive risk model with a binary covariate. The test statistic is based on martingale residuals, which is the extended form of Wei(1984)'s test. The proposed test is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normally distributed under the regularity conditions. Furthermore, the test procedure is illustrated with two set of real data and the results are discussed.

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Risk Assessment for Abolition of Gross Containment Leak Monitoring System Test in CANDU Design Plant (중수로 원자로건물 총누설감시계통 시험 중지에 따른 리스크 영향 평가)

  • Bae, Yeon-Kyoung;Na, Jang-Hwan;Bahng, Ki-In
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2015
  • Wolsong Unit 2,3&4 has been performing a containment integrity test during power operation. This test could impact to the safe operation during test. If an accident occurs during pressure dropping phase, reactor trip can be delayed because of the increased pressure difference which causes a time delay to reach the trip set-point. On the contrary, if an accident occurs during pressure increasing phase, reactor trip could be accelerated because the pressure difference to the trip set-point decrease. Point Lepreau nuclear power plant, which installed GCLMS (Gross Containment Leakage Monitoring System) in 1990, has discontinued the test since 1992 due to these adverse effects. Therefore, we evaluated the risk to obviate the GCLMS test based on PWR's ILRT (Integrated Leak Rate Test) extension methodologies. The results demonstrate that risk increase rate is not high in case of performing only ILRT test at every 5 years instead of doing GCLMS test at every 1.5 years. In addition, the result shows that GCLMS test can be removed on a risk-informed perspective since risk increasement is in acceptable area of regulatory acceptance criteria.

Sampling Plans Based on Truncated Life Test for a Generalized Inverted Exponential Distribution

  • Singh, Sukhdev;Tripathi, Yogesh Mani;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.183-195
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we propose a two-stage group acceptance sampling plan for generalized inverted exponential distribution under truncated life test. Median life is considered as a quality parameter. Design parameters are obtained to ensure that true median life is longer than a given specified life at certain level of consumer's risk and producer's risk. We also explore situations under which design parameters based on median lifetime can be used for other percentile points. Tables and specific examples are reported to explain the proposed plans. Finally a real data set is analyzed to implement the plans in practical situations and some suggestions are given.

Effects of Team Based Learning on Academic Achievement, Problem Solving Skill and Communication Ability in High Risk Pregnant Nursing (고위험 임부간호교육에 적용한 팀 기반 학습이 학업성취도, 문제해결능력 및 의사소통능력에 미치는 효과)

  • Kim, Su-Mi
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.556-564
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of team based learning on academic achievement, problem solving skill, and communication ability in high risk pregnant nursing. This experimental study is designed for a equivalent control group. The program was put into practice 1 times a week for 8 weeks. The number of subjects in this research consists of 120, where 60 of the experimental group participated in team based learning program and 60 of the control group didn't do. The data was analyzed by ${\chi}^2-test$, Fisher's exact test, independent t-test, and paired t-test. The effects of team based learning approaches on learning outcomes in high risk pregnant nursing are as follows: The problem solving skill of the experimental group has been significantly more elevated than that of the control group. The experimental group has made increase in communication ability. This study has significance in that it identified the availability of the team based learning program and that it would be useful teaching and learning method to achieve learning outcomes.

CONFLICT AMONG THE SHRINKAGE ESTIMATORS INDUCED BY W, LR AND LM TESTS UNDER A STUDENT'S t REGRESSION MODEL

  • Kibria, B.M.-Golam
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.411-433
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    • 2004
  • The shrinkage preliminary test ridge regression estimators (SPTRRE) based on Wald (W), Likelihood Ratio (LR) and Lagrangian Multiplier (LM) tests for estimating the regression parameters of the multiple linear regression model with multivariate Student's t error distribution are considered in this paper. The quadratic biases and risks of the proposed estimators are compared under both null and alternative hypotheses. It is observed that there is conflict among the three estimators with respect to their risks because of certain inequalities that exist among the test statistics. In the neighborhood of the restriction, the SPTRRE based on LM test has the smallest risk followed by the estimators based on LR and W tests. However, the SPTRRE based on W test performs the best followed by the LR and LM based estimators when the parameters move away from the subspace of the restrictions. Some tables for the maximum and minimum guaranteed efficiency of the proposed estimators have been given, which allow us to determine the optimum level of significance corresponding to the optimum estimator among proposed estimators. It is evident that in the choice of the smallest significance level to yield the best estimator the SPTRRE based on Wald test dominates the other two estimators.

On Enhancing Test and Evaluation Process of Weapon Systems Development using DSM-Based Risk and Safety Management (DSM기법에 의한 위험 및 안전 관리를 통해 무기체계 시험평가 프로세스의 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Sim, Sang Hyun;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2015
  • The weapon systems development has some distinct characteristics in that a big size of government budget (derived from national tax) has been expended frequently and the completion of the development projects seems to take long. Thus, the impact of the potential changes in the required operational capability on the development activities can induce some type of project risks. As such, proper management of project risk has been one of crucial subjects in the weapon systems development. Although a variety of methods can be considered, an approach based on the test and evaluation (T&E) process has been selected in this paper in order to appropriately handle those potential risks. In the study of the underlying T&E process, the safety consideration (for instance, explosiveness) of weapon systems is also included. To achieve the objective of the paper, a step-by-step procedure is first presented in the analysis of the T&E process. Then, to pursue some enhancement on the process, a set of necessary and useful activities are added in terms of risk and safety management. The resultant process is further analyzed and tailored based on a design structure matrix method. The case study of a tank development is also discussed.

Risk-based Design of On-board Facility for Lifting System Field Test of Deep-sea Mining System (심해저 광물자원 양광시스템 실증 시험을 위한 위험도 기반 선상 설비 설계)

  • Cho, Su-gil;Park, Sanghyun;Oh, Jaewon;Min, Cheonhong;Kim, Seongsoon;Kim, Hyung-Woo;Yeu, Tae Kyung;Jung, Jung Yeul;Bae, Jaeil;Hong, Sup
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.526-534
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    • 2016
  • This study had the goal of designing onboard structures for a pre-pilot mining test (PPMT), which is required for the commercialization of the deep-sea mining industry. This PPMT is planned to validate the performance of a hydraulic lifting system and verify the concept of operating through a moon-pool in the east sea, Korea. All of the onboard equipment and facility were designed by KRISO. Because the test was performed at the first development, it is difficult to determine what risk will occur in the facility. Therefore, risk-based design is required in the facility for the PPMT, which includes the facility layout, failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA), and risk reduction plan. All of the expected performances of the lifting system itself and the onboard facilities were qualitatively validated using the risk-based design.

Effects of Competency Model Based Education Program on Risk Behavior and Competences for Preventing Adolescents' Risk Behavior for Adolescents (역량모델 중심 교육프로그램이 청소년의 위험행동과 위험행동 예방 역량에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Hyun Sook;Jung, Sun Young;Kim, Eun Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1799-1809
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effects of competency model based education program on risk behavior and competences for preventing adolescents' risk behavior in adolescents. A quasi-experimental design was employed in this study. Participants for the study were middle school students, 30 in the experimental group and 30 in the control group. A study was also done between September and December 2010. Data were analyzed using the SPSS/WIN. 15.0 program with ${\chi}^2$ test, t-test and two-way ANOVA. Participants in the competency model based education program reported significantly different both the competency for prevention of risk behavior scores (F=11.25, p=.001) and the risk behavior scores (F=16.01, p<.001) from those in the control group. The competency model based education program was effective in increasing competency for prevention of risk behavior and in decreasing risk behavior for adolescents. Therefore, this approach is recommended as a risk behavior prevention strategy for adolescents.

Prediction of Coronary Heart Disease Risk in Korean Patients with Diabetes Mellitus

  • Koo, Bo Kyung;Oh, Sohee;Kim, Yoon Ji;Moon, Min Kyong
    • Journal of Lipid and Atherosclerosis
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.110-121
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    • 2018
  • Objective: We developed a new equation for predicting coronary heart disease (CHD) risk in Korean diabetic patients using a hospital-based cohort and compared it with a UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) risk engine. Methods: By considering patients with type 2 diabetes aged ${\geq}30years$ visiting the diabetic center in Boramae hospital in 2006, we developed a multivariable equation for predicting CHD events using the Cox proportional hazard model. Those with CHD were excluded. The predictability of CHD events over 6 years was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves, which were compared using the DeLong test. Results: A total of 732 participants (304 males and 428 females; mean age, $60{\pm}10years$; mean duration of diabetes, $10{\pm}7years$) were followed up for 76 months (range, 1-99 month). During the study period, 48 patients (6.6%) experienced CHD events. The AUROC of the proposed equation for predicting 6-year CHD events was 0.721 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.641-0.800), which is significantly larger than that of the UKPDS risk engine (0.578; 95% CI, 0.482-0.675; p from DeLong test=0.001). Among the subjects with <5% of risk based on the proposed equation, 30.6% (121 out of 396) were classified as ${\geq}10%$ of risk based on the UKPDS risk engine, and their event rate was only 3.3% over 6 years. Conclusion: The UKPDS risk engine overestimated CHD risk in type 2 diabetic patients in this cohort, and the proposed equation has superior predictability for CHD risk compared to the UKPDS risk engine.

Data Mining Approach for Real-Time Processing of Large Data Using Case-Based Reasoning : High-Risk Group Detection Data Warehouse for Patients with High Blood Pressure (사례기반추론을 이용한 대용량 데이터의 실시간 처리 방법론 : 고혈압 고위험군 관리를 위한 자기학습 시스템 프레임워크)

  • Park, Sung-Hyuk;Yang, Kun-Woo
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.135-149
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we propose the high-risk group detection model for patients with high blood pressure using case-based reasoning. The proposed model can be applied for public health maintenance organizations to effectively manage knowledge related to high blood pressure and efficiently allocate limited health care resources. Especially, the focus is on the development of the model that can handle constraints such as managing large volume of data, enabling the automatic learning to adapt to external environmental changes and operating the system on a real-time basis. Using real data collected from local public health centers, the optimal high-risk group detection model was derived incorporating optimal parameter sets. The results of the performance test for the model using test data show that the prediction accuracy of the proposed model is two times better than the natural risk of high blood pressure.