• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk 분석

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Risk Value Calculation Method for Moderate Risk Concentration Type at Qualitative Risk Analysis Phase (정성적 위험분석 단계에서 중간위험 집중형 위험도 산정 방법)

  • Kim, Seon-Gyoo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.38-45
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    • 2015
  • The risk analysis phase of construction risk management process is subdivided into the qualitative risk analysis that plays a major role, and the quantitative risk analysis acting as a supportive role. The traditional calculation method for quantifying a risk value that has been applied so far is an equation to multiply a probability by an impact simply, but its result shows the low risk value biased distribution. Although another equation that shows the high risk biased distribution as an alternative of traditional method was proposed, both of the low or high risk biased equations do not match with the statistical general knowledge that most natural phenomenons are close to the normal distribution. This study proposes a new risk value calculation method that is concentrated to the moderate risk value. Because the risk value distribution by a new method shows a normal shape similar to natural phenomenon, it helps to choose a middle level not biased to the low or high levels when choosing the level of risk response. Furthermore, it could contribute to improve the flexibility and rationality of risk analysis method by providing additional options for the risk value calculation.

A Study of Qualitative and Quantitative Risk Assessment for Highway Safety Facilities (고속도로 교통안전시설물의 정성적 및 정량적 위험도분석 연구)

  • Ji, Dong-Han;O, Yeong-Tae;Choi, Hyun-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2007
  • Risk elements of highway safety facilities are affected by complex environments. Thus, risk-based approach for traffic safety facilities is needed. For this, in this study, qualitative and quantitative risk assessment methodology and procedure for highway safety facilities is proposed, which can be used as risk-based approach incorporating VE process. Also, for the quantitative risk assessment, event tree using EPDO(Equivalent Property Damage Only) with respect to frequency and magnitude of risk events is introduced. As a result, risk index of alternative 1(140cm) and 2(127(cm) which can be used as performance factor in VE approach are estimated.

Developing Risk Analysis Methods for Realtime RiskMAP System (실시간 위험지도 시스템을 위한 위험분석 기법 개발)

  • Park, Sang Bae;Lee, Chang Jun;Joo, Yu Kyoung;Oh, Jeong Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2020
  • For preventing accident, the risk analysis about gas facilities has been more important since many gas facilities be superannuated. Especially, deriving and simulating risk is very important for preventing and corresponding accidents by means of specific analysis method in complex gas facilities. However, many studies have been not enough not yet in order to derive and simulate risk considering various situations. This paper aims to propose deriving and analyzing risk method around limited area of complex gas facilities. Our study proposes total risk analysis that is composed four methods with individual point of view. The risk analysis system based on RiskMAP immediately informs users changes of e risk in zones according to the status, work and surrounding conditions of the facility. The proposed methods in this research are implemented as software algorithm and applied to risk analysis system using RiskMAP in conjunction with IoT and GPS.

Vehicular Collision Risk Assessment on the Highway Bridges in South Korea (국내 고속도로 교량의 차량 충돌 위험도 평가)

  • Min, Geun-Hyung;Kim, Woo-Seok;Cho, Jun-Sang;Gil, Heung-Bae
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2016
  • Vehicle collision to bridges has been known as one of the causes of bridge collapse, and the emergency plans and disaster management has been recently emphasized to secure public safety. This study conducted risk assessment of vehicular collision to bridges for highway bridges in Korea. Risk assessment consists of three steps; preliminary risk analysis(PRA), simplified risk analysis(SRA) and detailed risk analysis(DRA). The PRA firstly screens out the possibility of occurrence of the event. The SRA identifies influencial factors to risk of the event and evaluates risk scores to determine risk levels and necessity of DRA that investigates the risk of the bridge in detail. This study focuses on the methodology of the risk assessment, especially the SRA, and the stratification methods which evaluate risk levels of vehicular collision. The analysis results were compared to the reported vehicular collision accidents. The proposed method can be utilized in similar disaster management area.

Risk Analysis Based on Accident-Category for Railway Work Zones (철도건설현장의 사고유형기반 위험도 분석)

  • Park, Mi-Yun;Choi, Eun-Soo;Park, Joo-Nam;Choi, Seung-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.260-266
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    • 2009
  • The theory of risk is applied frequently in analysis of railway accidents. The aim of risk analysis is to search potential causes and contribution factors of accidents by checking the total system of construction field. This paper analyze a pattern and a cause of accident occupied in construction field, calculate risk index considering accident frequency and severity, and then provide the relative risk assessment. Based on this, this paper will provide the methodology of qualitative risk assessment guiding to reach a consistency of risk index with risk assessment.

Development of Fuzzy Model for Analyzing Construction Risk Factors (건설공사의 리스크분석을 위한 퍼지평가모형 개발)

  • Park Seo-Young;Kang Leen-Seok;Kim Chang-Hak;Son Chang-Bak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.519-524
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    • 2001
  • Recently, our construction market recognizes the necessity of risk management, however the application of practical system is still limited on the construction site because the methodology for analyzing and quantifying construction risk and for building actual risk factors is not easy. This study suggests a risk management method by fuzzy theory, which is using subjective knowledge of an expert and linguistic value, to analyze and Quantify risk. The result of study is expected to improve the accuracy of risk analysis because three factors, such as probability, impact and frequency, for estimating membership function are introduced to quantify each risk factor.

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A Development of Integrated Risk Management Model of Large Construction Projects (건설분야 통합 리스크관리에 관한 구성 모델)

  • Kim Chang-Hak;Park Seo-Young;Kang In-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2004
  • The results of the study include a computerized system and a systematic Process model for risk management and analysis. This study analyzes the present status of risk management in the construction industry, and then suggests reasonable methods for improved risk management plans. This study defines risk management procedures as preparation, identification, analysis, response and management to manage potential risks In the construction project. The modules for computerizing this system consist of planning, construction, application of WBS (Work Breakdown Structure) and RBS (Risk Breakdown Structure), and risk analysis. The method logy for analyzing construction risk uses fuzzy theory, and the scope of developed system is focused to the contractors. The risk management system suggested in this study operates on the Internet, for providing contractors with a useful risk management tool by online system, with web-based menus that is helpful for practical application.

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A Development of Integrated Prototype Model for Risk Management of Construction Projects (건설공사의 리스크관리를 위한 통합전산모형 구축)

  • Kim, Chang-Hak;Park, Seo-Young;Kang, In-Seok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.3D
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    • pp.469-480
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    • 2006
  • The results of the study include a computerized system and a systematic process model for risk management and analysis. This study analyzes the present status of risk management in the construction industry, and then suggests reasonable methods for improved risk management plans. This study defines risk management procedures as preparation, identification, analysis, response and management to manage potential risks in the construction project. The modules for computerizing in this system consist of planning, construction, application of WBS (Work Breakdown Structure) and RBS (Risk Breakdown Structure), and risk analysis. The methodology for analyzing construction risk uses fuzzy theory, and the scope of developed system is focused to the contractors. The risk management system suggested in this study operates on the Internet, for providing contractors with a useful risk management tool by online system, with web-based menus that is helpful for practical application.

The Impact of BCMS Risk Assessment on Business Performance (BCMS의 위험평가가 경영성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Jang, Geun-Young;Kim, Deok-ho;Cheung, Chong-Soo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: Based on the preceding studies in supply chain management, factors were analyzed to verify the effect of risk assessment and risk management factors of the business continuity management system (BCMS) on management performance. The purpose of this study is to establish a systematic risk management plan by deriving the risk factors of BCMS and evaluating unpredictable risks, and at the same time, contributing to a company's competitive advantage without interruption of work. Method: The structural relationship between risk assessment, risk management and management performance of BCMS was derived. To this end, a questionnaire survey was conducted of 124 managers and managers in Korean companies. Frequency analysis, validity analysis, reliability analysis, correlation analysis, and simple regression analysis were performed. Result: First, risk assessment had a positive (+) effect on risk management. Second, risk management had a positive (+) effect on management performance. Finally, risk assessment had a positive (+) effect on management performance. Conclusion: BCMS's risk assessment and risk management capabilities should be managed through financial performance, and risk management activities should be managed through non-financial performance.

Methodology of Analyze the Risk Using Method of Determinated Quantity (정량적 방법을 이용한 위험분석 방법론 연구)

  • Park, Joong-Gil
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.13C no.7 s.110
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    • pp.851-858
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    • 2006
  • The risk analysis's aim is analyze the risk for the asset of organization with asset assessment, vulnerability assessment, threat assessment. existing TTA risk analysis methodology model propose to overall flow, but can not propose to detail behavior or each level. That is, step of risk analysis is insufficient in classification of threat and detail proposal of considered the risk with classified threat. So this paper propose that analysis and evaluate the vulnerability and threat assessment with determinated quantity. this paper consider current national information system and threat of environment and technology. So can estimate the risk with determinated quantity. Finally, analyze the asset risk of organization.