• 제목/요약/키워드: Reliability index method

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송전요율 결정을 위한 새로운 신뢰도 지수 산정에 관한 연구 (Application of a New Reliability Index in Transmission Pricing)

  • 이원구;김발호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부 A
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    • pp.213-215
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents a transmission cost allocation through application of a new reliability index in transmission pricing in competitive electric industry. The proposed method allocates a fair use of transmission system charge given separately to individual generator by capacity usage, based on the contribution of individual generator considering N-1 contingency in reliability margin of transmission capacity, and offers more alternatives of pricing in using transmission capacity and transmission margin.

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일차근사신뢰도법을 이용한 초전도 자기에너지 저장장치 권선 최적설계 (Optimization of SMES Windings Utilizing the First-Order Reliability Method)

  • 김동욱;정상식;성영화;김동훈
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제60권7호
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    • pp.1354-1359
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents a novel methodology for improving the reliability of electromagnetic devices and machines based on the reliability-based design optimization method. To achieve this, the method includes reliability analysis and optimization process taking into account uncertainties of design variables. One of the first-order reliability analysis techniques, called reliability index approach, is adopted to evaluate the reliability of performance functions with respect to probabilistic design variables. The proposed method has been successfully applied to designing a superconducting magnetic energy storage system. For verifying the efficiency and accuracy of the method, the results are compared with those of conventional optimization methods.

A New Sensitivity-Based Reliability Calculation Algorithm in the Optimal Design of Electromagnetic Devices

  • Ren, Ziyan;Zhang, Dianhai;Koh, Chang Seop
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.331-338
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    • 2013
  • A new reliability calculation method is proposed based on design sensitivity analysis by the finite element method for nonlinear performance constraints in the optimal design of electromagnetic devices. In the proposed method, the reliability of a given design is calculated by using the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method after approximating a constraint function to a linear one in the confidence interval with the help of its sensitivity information. The validity and numerical efficiency of the proposed sensitivity-assisted MCS method are investigated by comparing its numerical results with those obtained by using the conventional MCS method and the first-order reliability method for analytic functions and the TEAM Workshop Problem 22.

Application of inverse reliability method to estimation of cable safety factors of long span suspension bridges

  • Cheng, Jin;Xiao, Ru-Cheng
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.195-207
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    • 2006
  • An efficient and accurate algorithm is proposed to estimate cable safety factor of suspension bridges satisfying prescribed reliability levels. Uncertainties in the structure and load parameters are incorporated. The proposed algorithm integrates the concepts of the inverse reliability method and deterministic method for assessing cable safety factors of suspension bridges. The unique feature of the proposed method is that it offers a tool for cable safety assessment of suspension bridges, when the reliability level is specified as a target to be satisfied by the designer. After the accuracy and efficiency of the method are demonstrated through two numerical examples, the method is used to estimate cable safety factors of suspension bridges with span length ranging from 2000 to 5000 m. The results show that the deterministic method overestimates cable safety factor of suspension bridges because of neglecting the parameter uncertainty effects. The actual cable safety factor of suspension bridges should be estimated based on the proposed method.

Seismic reliability analysis of structures based on cumulative damage failure mechanism

  • Liu, Qiang;Wang, Miaofang
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.519-526
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    • 2020
  • Non-stationary random seismic response and reliability of multi-degree of freedom hysteretic structure system are studied based on the cumulative damage failure mechanism. First, dynamic Eqs. of multi-degree of freedom hysteretic structure system under earthquake action are established. Secondly, the random seismic response of a multi-degree freedom hysteretic structure system is investigated by the combination of virtual excitation and precise integration. Finally, according to the damage state level of structural, the different damage state probability of high-rise frame structure is calculated based on the boundary value of the cumulative damage index in the seismic intensity earthquake area. The results show that under the same earthquake intensity and the same floor quality and stiffness, the lower the floor is, the greater the damage probability of the building structure is; if the structural floor stiffness changes abruptly, the weak layer will be formed, and the cumulative damage probability will be the largest, and the reliability index will be relatively small. Meanwhile, with the increase of fortification intensity, the reliability of three-level structure fortification is also significantly reduced. This method can solve the problem of non-stationary random seismic response and reliability of high-rise buildings, and it has high efficiency and practicability. It is instructive for structural performance design and estimating the age of the structure.

Application of inverse reliability method to estimation of flutter safety factors of suspension bridges

  • Cheng, Jin;Dong, Fenghui
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.249-265
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    • 2017
  • An efficient and accurate algorithm is proposed to estimate flutter safety factor of suspension bridges satisfying prescribed reliability levels. Uncertainties which arise from the basic wind speed at the bridge deck location, critical flutter velocity, the wind conversion factor from a scaled model to the prototype structure and the gust speed factor are incorporated. The proposed algorithm integrates the concepts of the inverse reliability method and the calculation method of the critical flutter velocity of suspension bridges. The unique feature of the proposed method is that it offers a tool for flutter safety assessment of suspension bridges, when the reliability level is specified as a target to be satisfied by the designer. Accuracy and efficiency of this method with reference to three example suspension bridges is studied and numerical results validate its superiority over conventional deterministic method. Finally, the effects of various parameters on the flutter safety factor of suspension bridges are also investigated.

신뢰성지수를 고려한 합성 뼈대구조물의 최적설계에 관한 연구 (Optimum Design of Composite Framed Structures Based Reliability Index)

  • 정영채;김종길
    • 한국강구조학회 논문집
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    • 제15권4호통권65호
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    • pp.389-401
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구의 목적은 H형강 단면과 콘크리트의 합성단면으로 구성된 보와 기둥의 합성 뼈대구조물에 대해 신뢰성지수를 고려한 최적 단면을 설계할 수 있는 알고리즘을 개발하는데 있다. 합성 뼈대구조물의 최적화 문제는 단면 치수를 설계변수로 취하고 목적함수와 제약조건을 형성한다. 목적함수는 구조물의 총 경비로 형성하고, 제약조건식은 단면응력과 허용응력의 신뢰성지수를 고려하여 유도한다. 합성 뼈대구조물의 단문을 최적화하는 알고리즘은 수정 Newton-Raphson 탐사법을 사용하는 SUMT기법을 사용한다. 본 연구에서 개발된 최적화 알고리즘은 1층 1경간 합성 뼈대구조물과 5층 1경간 합성 뼈대구조물의 수치예에 신뢰성지수(${\beta}=3.0$, ${\beta}=0.0$)를 고려한 합성 뼈대구조물 설계의 실용화를 위하여 적용된다. 제안된 알고리즘의 최적화 가능성과 적용성 그리고 수렴성 등을 살펴보기 위하여 수치결과들을 비교 분석한다.

판 구조물의 감도해석 및 신뢰성해석 (Sensitivity and Reliability Analysis of Elate)

  • 김지호;양영순
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1991년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 1991
  • For the purpose of developing the method for efficiently calculating the design sensitivity and the reliability for the complicated structure such as ship structure, the probabilistic finite element method is introduced to formulate the deterministic design sensitivity analysis method and incorporated with the second moment reliability methods such as MVFOSM, AFOSM and SORM. Also, the probabilistic design sensitivity analysis needed in the reliability-based design is performed. The reliability analysis is carried out for the initial yielding failure, in which the derivative derived in the deterministic desin sensitivity is used. The present PFEM-based reliability method shows good agreement with Monte Carlo method in terms with the variance of response and the associated probability of failure even at the first or first few iteration steps. The probabilistic design sensitivity analysis evaluates explicitly the contribution of each random variable to probability of failure. Further, the reliability index variation can be easily predicted by the variation of the mean and the variance of the random variables.

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Reliability analysis of steel cable-stayed bridges including soil-pile interaction

  • Cheng, Jin;Liu, Xiao-luan
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.109-122
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    • 2012
  • An efficient and accurate algorithm is proposed to evaluate the reliability of cable-stayed bridges accounting for soil-pile interaction. The proposed algorithm integrates the finite-element method and the response surface method. The finite-element method is used to model the cable-stayed bridge including soil-pile interaction. The reliability index is evaluated based on the response surface method. Uncertainties in the superstructure, the substructure and load parameters are incorporated in the proposed algorithm. A long span steel cable-stayed bridge with a main span length of 1088 m built in China is considered as an illustrative example. The reliability of the bridge is evaluated for the strength and serviceability performance functions. Results of the study show that when strength limit states for both girder and tower are considered, soil-pile interaction has significant effects on the reliability of steel cable-stayed bridges. Further, a detailed sensitivity study shows that the modulus of subgrade reaction is the most important soil-pile interaction-related parameter influencing the reliability of steel cable-stayed bridges.

기하학적 초기형상결함을 갖는 보강 원통의 충격좌굴 신뢰성 해석 (Impact Buckling Reliability Analysis of Stiffened Cylinder With Initial Geometric Imperfection)

  • 김두기
    • 소음진동
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    • 제6권6호
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    • pp.735-747
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, buckling reliability analyses of stiffened cylinder with random initial geometric imperfection under axial impact load are performed by the combined response surface method. The effect of random geometric imperfection on the failure probability and reliability is recognized quantitatively. Buckling reliability decreases with the increase of mean value, cov of initial geometric imperfection under the same external load. Buckling probability under impact load is greater than those under static load with the same condition. From the probabilistic characteristics of imapct buckling load, relation between reliability index and safety parameter can be obtained in addition to the relation between load and reliability index. And those results can be used to determine the range of required safety parameter and acceptable imperfaction.

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