• 제목/요약/키워드: Reliability Theory

검색결과 965건 처리시간 0.025초

Reliability analysis of laminated composite shells by response surface method based on HSDT

  • Thakur, Sandipan N.;Chakraborty, Subrata;Ray, Chaitali
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제72권2호
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    • pp.203-216
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    • 2019
  • Reliability analysis of composite structures considering random variation of involved parameters is quite important as composite materials revealed large statistical variations in their mechanical properties. The reliability analysis of such structures by the first order reliability method (FORM) and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) based approach involves repetitive evaluations of performance function. The response surface method (RSM) based metamodeling technique has emerged as an effective solution to such problems. In the application of metamodeling for uncertainty quantification and reliability analysis of composite structures; the finite element model is usually formulated by either classical laminate theory or first order shear deformation theory. But such theories show significant error in calculating the structural responses of composite structures. The present study attempted to apply the RSM based MCS for reliability analysis of composite shell structures where the surrogate model is constructed using higher order shear deformation theory (HSDT) of composite structures considering the uncertainties in the material properties, load, ply thickness and radius of curvature of the shell structure. The sensitivity of responses of the shell is also obtained by RSM and finite element method based direct approach to elucidate the advantages of RSM for response sensitivity analysis. The reliability results obtained by the proposed RSM based MCS and FORM are compared with the accurate reliability analysis results obtained by the direct MCS by considering two numerical examples.

최근 국내 신뢰성 공학의 발전과 연구 동향 및 분석 (Recent Development of Reliability Engineering and Research Trend Analysis in Korea)

  • 임익성
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.253-271
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    • 2013
  • Since The Korean Reliability Society had been founded in 1999, development history of reliability engineering in Korea is reviewed and research outputs and papers from 2008 to current are analyzed in terms of types of industry, product life cycle, hardware vs software, and theory vs application. The purpose of this research is to review the recent reliability engineering research conducted in Korea including development history as well as published papers to identify the weakness and/or deficiencies in order to suggest the future research directions, which would contribute the development of industries in Korea.

신뢰성 이론을 이용한 고강도콘크리트 구조물의 축력-모멘트관계에 있어서의 해석방법에 대한 평가 (The Estimation of Analytical Method for Axial Force-Moment Relationships of High-Strength Concrete Structures using Reliability Theory)

  • 최광진;장일영;송재호;홍원기
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 1998년도 봄 학술발표회논문집(II)
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    • pp.447-454
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    • 1998
  • The main object of the study is that axial force-moment relationships for high strength concrete structures using reliability theory(Linear statstical method, Monte Carlo Simulation) including probability conception. And mean stress factors and centroid factors proposed to high strength concrete structures using reliability theory(Linear statstical method, Monte Carlo Simulation). Finally, The established experimental data for axial force-moment relationships are compared to the analytical data(data for Linear statstical method and Monte Carlo Simulation) for axial force-moment relationships in this analytical method.

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신뢰성이론을 이용한 고강도콘크리트 구조물의 축력-모멘트관계에 관한 해석적인 연구 (The Analytical Study of Axial Force-Moment Relationships for High Strength Concrete Structures using Reliability Theory)

  • 최광진;홍원기;장일영;송재호
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 1997년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.500-506
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    • 1997
  • The main object of the study is that axial force-moment relationships for high strength concrete structures using reliability theory probability conception. And mean stress factors and centroid factors proposed to high strength concrete structures using reliability theory. Finally, the established experimental data for axial force-moment relationships are compared to the analytical data for the axial force-moment relationships in this analytical method.

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가정간호에 대한 돌봄만족도 측정도구 개발 - Watson의 돌봄개념을 중심으로 - (Development of the Tool for Measuring the Care Satisfaction of Home Health Nursing based on Watson's Theory of Human Caring)

  • 전연숙;강경아
    • 한국보건간호학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: This study is a methodological research study for development of a tool for measurement of care satisfaction of home health nursing in patients who have received care through home health nursing and to test the validity and reliability of the tool. Method: Based on Watson's theory of caring and its constituent factors, the literature related to home health nursing was reviewed, and the standard of home health nursing was compared and analyzed. For verification of the validation and reliability of the final tool which has been developed, data were collected from 166 people who were receiving home health nursing care. Result: According to results of analysis of the factors based on Kaiser and scree test, 10 factors with an eigenvalue greater than 1.0 were extracted, and they explained 72.26% of the total variance. In addition, the factor loadings of 56 questions were greater than .30. For verification of reliability, Cronbach's alpha for all 56 items was .98 and Guttman split half reliability coefficient was .90. Conclusion: This tool based on Watson's theory of caring contributed to development and application of the nursing theory through verification of the theory.

Degradation reliability modeling of plain concrete for pavement under flexural fatigue loading

  • Jia, Yanshun;Liu, Guoqiang;Yang, Yunmeng;Gao, Ying;Yang, Tao;Tang, Fanlong
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.469-478
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to establish a new methodological framework for the evaluation of the evolution of the reliability of plain concrete for pavement vs number of cycles under flexural fatigue loading. According to the framework, a new method calculating the reliability was proposed through probability simulation in order to describe a random accumulation of fatigue damage, which combines reliability theory, one-to-one probability density functions transformation technique, cumulative fatigue damage theory and Weibull distribution theory. Then the statistical analysis of flexural fatigue performance of cement concrete tested was carried out utilizing Weibull distribution. Ultimately, the reliability for the tested cement concrete was obtained by the proposed method. Results indicate that the stochastic evolution behavior of concrete materials under fatigue loading can be captured by the established framework. The flexural fatigue life data of concrete at different stress levels is well described utilizing the two-parameter Weibull distribution. The evolution of reliability for concrete materials tested in this study develops by three stages and may corresponds to develop stages of cracking. The proposed method may also be available for the analysis of degradation behaviors under non-fatigue conditions.

주파수 영역에서의 성능 신뢰도 향상을 위한 메타 모델을 이용한 설계 방법 (Meta-model-based Design Method for Frequency-domain Performance Reliability Improvement)

  • 손영갑
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문은 변량 및 열화를 가지는 부품들로 구성된 동적 시스템에 대하여 주파수 영역에서 성능 신뢰도를 향상시키기 위한 설계방법을 제안한다. 제안하는 설계방법은 이산화한 주파수로 주파수 범위를 표현하고 각 주파수에서 응답의 규격 대비 순응도를 이용하여 주파수 영역에서의 성능 신뢰도를 모델링한다. 성능 신뢰도 추정시 계산 시간의 효율성을 높이기 위하여 주파수 응답에 대한 메타 모델과 극치값, 그리고 Set-theory를 적용한다. 또한 표본추출기법을 이용하여 추정한 성능 신뢰도를 평가하고 최적화할 수 있는 방법을 제시하였다. 진동저감 시스템의 설계에 적용하여 제안한 설계방법의 응용성을 나타낸다.

검증용 정재하시험 자료를 이용한 항타강관말뚝의 신뢰성 평가 (Reliability Updates of Driven Piles Using Proof Pile Load Test Results)

  • 박재현;김동욱;곽기석;정문경;김준영;정충기
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술발표회
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    • pp.324-337
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    • 2010
  • For the development of load and resistance factor design, reliability analysis is required to calibrate resistance factors in the framework of reliability theory. The distribution of measured-to-predicted pile resistance ratio was constructed based on only the results of load tests conducted to failure for the assessment of uncertainty regarding pile resistance and used in the conventional reliability analysis. In other words, successful pile load test (piles resisted twice their design loads without failure) results were discarded, and therefore, were not reflected in the reliability analysis. In this paper, a new systematic method based on Bayesian theory is used to update reliability index of driven steel pile piles by adding more pile load test results, even not conducted to failure, into the prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. Fifty seven static pile load tests performed to failure in Korea were compiled for the construction of prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. Reliability analyses were performed using the updated distribution of pile resistance ratio and the total load distribution using First-order Reliability Method (FORM). The challenge of this study is that the distribution updates of pile resistance ratio are possible using the load test results even not conducted to failure, and that Bayesian update are most effective when limited data are available for reliability analysis or resistance factors calibration.

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신뢰성 개념을 이용한 포장의 평균수명 및 신뢰도 예측 (Estimation of Mean Life and Reliability of Highway Pavement Based on Reliability Theory)

  • 도명식
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제30권5D호
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    • pp.497-504
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 최근 10년간의 수원과 의정부지역의 국도 포장구간의 수명 데이터를 기반으로 신뢰성 개념을 도입하여 포장 수명의 고장확률, 신뢰도, 평균 수명 등의 정보를 산정하는 방안을 제시하였다. 모수적 추론 방법인 최우추정법과 확률지를 이용하여 최적 수명분포형태가 대수정규분포임을 확인하였으며, 본 연구에서 제안한 대수정규수명분포에 의해 추정된 누적 고장확률이 실제 관측값과 차이가 거의 없음도 확인하였다. 나아가 추정된 모수를 기반으로 신설 포장과 덧씌우기 포장의 하중별 평균 수명을 산정한 결과, 각각 6.5년~7.9년과 7.3년~9.1년으로 추정되었으며 상대적으로 덧씌우기 구간의 평균수명이 더 길게 추정되었다. 본 연구에서 제안한 신뢰성 개념을 이용한 분석 방법은 포장관리 및 유지보수 데이터가 축적되어감에 따라 비교적 용이하게 계속 보완이 가능하며 보다 정확한 포장수명에 대한 신뢰도 값에 접근해 갈 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

신뢰성이론의 필요성과 효과적인 교육시스템 구축 (Necessity of Reliability Theory and Establishment of Effective Education System)

  • 박동호
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.257-262
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the subject of reliability attracts a great deal of domestic and international attentions and the extensive research activities are being conducted as well. Such trend exists mainly due to the fact that the research on the subject of reliability not only contributes to the theoretical developments, but also may find a wide range of applications in practice over several fields. In particular, the research regarding the maintenance policy incorporating certain types of warranty for repairable system and its application is being performed extensively by many researchers, and their efforts seem more concentrated on developing new maintenance policies which minimize the expected operating cost incurred for replacement and repair of the system, while keeping the system at high reliability. Effective maintenance policy may reduce the operating cost and decrease the downtime of the system during its mission period and consequently, increase the productivity of the system. In this article, the major areas of interest in the field of reliability and its historic perspectives are given briefly and the theoretical aspects in several fields of reliability including the maintenance and warranty policies is also discussed. Furthermore, the current domestic situation regarding the education and research on reliability is presented, along with the importance of reliability theory and the difficulty of training reliability personnel. Finally, the author's opinion for effective education system is proposed.