• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability Estimation

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Software Fault Detection and Removal Effort-based Reliability Estimation Model (소프트웨어 결함 발견 및 제거 노력 기반 신뢰성 추정 모델)

  • Kang, Myung-Muk;Gu, Tae-Wan;Baik, Jong-Moon
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.37 no.7
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    • pp.536-547
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    • 2010
  • Relative importance and complexity of recent software is getting increased because the software is needed to provide considerable amount of functions and high performance. Therefore, developing reliable software is importantly issued. In order to develop reliable software, it is necessary to manage software reliability at the early phases, but most reliability estimation models are used at system or operational test phases. In order to develop highly reliable software, it is necessary to manage software reliability at the early test phases based on characteristic of the phases that is developers and testers are not separated and developers perform test and debug activities together. Therefore, a new reliability estimation model considering test and debug time together is necessarily needed. In this paper, we propose a new reliability estimation model to manage reliability of individual units from the early test phases and in order to show how to fit the model to actual data and usefulness, we collected industrial data and used it for the experiment.

RELIABILITY ESTIMATION AND RBDO USING KRIGING METAMODEL AND GENETIC ALGORITHM

  • Cho, Tae-Min;Lee, Byung-Chai
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.1016-1021
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    • 2008
  • In this study, effective methods for reliability estimation and reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) are proposed using kriging metamodel and genetic algorithm. In our previous study, we proposed the accurate method for reliability estimation using two-staged kriging metamodel and genetic algorithm. In this study, the possibility of applying the previously proposed method to RBDO is examined. The accuracy of that method is much improved than the first order reliability method with similar efficiency. Finally, the effective method for RBDO is proposed and applied to numerical examples. The results are compared to the existing RBDO methods and shown to be very effective and accurate.

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Reliability Estimation of Generalized Geometric Distribution

  • Abouammoh, A.M.;Alshangiti, A.M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.31-52
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    • 2008
  • In this paper generalized version of the geometric distribution is introduced. This distribution can be considered as a two-parameter generalization of the discrete geometric distribution. The main statistical and reliability properties of this distribution are discussed. Two methods of estimation, namely maximum likelihood method and the method of moments are used to estimate the parameters of this distribution. Simulation is utilized to calculate these estimates and to study some of their properties. Also, asymptotic confidence limits are established for the maximum likelihood estimates. Finally, the appropriateness of this new distribution for a set of real data, compared with the geometric distribution, is shown by using the likelihood ratio test and the Kolmogorove-Smirnove test.

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Reliability Analysis on the Decision Method of Lateral Flow of Foundation Piles for Abutment (교대 기초말뚝의 측방유동 판정식에 관한 신뢰성 해석)

  • Ahn, Jong-Pil;Kim, Gyu-Deok;Kim, Il-Goo;Choi, Jin-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.1090-1097
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    • 2008
  • This study conducted the decision method of lateral flow in abutment structures founded on the soft soils and the reliability analysis on the foundation pile for abutment. On the basis of the results, this study proposed the reliability design model. Reliability analysis was conducted by applying second moment method, point estimation method, and expected total cost minimization to lateral movement index, lateral movement decision index, modified lateral movement decision index, and circular failure safety factor for the decision criteria of lateral flow. The reliability index by analysis method had a similar tendency each other. Point estimation method was found as a practical method in the aspect of convenience because it could conduct the analysis only by mean and standard deviation as well as the partial derivative on random variables was not necessary. Optimum reliability index and optimum safety according to increasing in failure factors and load ratio were analyzed and loads and resistance factors of the design criteria of optimum reliability were estimated. It presented rational design model which can consider construction level and stability and economical efficiency overall.

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Estimation of Mean Life and Reliability of Highway Pavement Based on Reliability Theory (신뢰성 개념을 이용한 포장의 평균수명 및 신뢰도 예측)

  • Do, Myung-Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5D
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    • pp.497-504
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, the author presents a reliability estimation technique to analyze the effects of traffic loads on pavement mean life based on the national highway database of Suwon and Uijeongbu region from 1999 to 2008. The estimation of the mean life, its standard deviation and reliability for pavement sections are calculated by using an appropriate distribution, Lognormal distribution, based on reliability theory. Furthermore, the probability paper method and Maximum likelihood estimation are both used to estimate parameters. The author found that mean life of newly constructed sections and over-layed sections is about 6.5 to 7.9 years and 7.3 to 9.1 years, respectively. The author also ascertained that the results of cumulative failure probability for pavement life between the proposed methods and observed data are similar. Such an assessment methodology and measures based on reliability theory can provide useful information for maintenance plans in pavement management systems as long as additional life data on pavement sections are accumulated.

A Comparative Study on Nonparametric Reliability Estimation for Koziol-Green Model with Random Censorship

  • Cha, Young-Joon;Lee, Jae-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.231-237
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    • 1997
  • The Koziol-Green(KG) model has become an important topic in industrial life testing. In this paper we suggest MLE of the reliability function for the Weibull distribution under the KG model. Futhermore, we compare Kaplan-Meier estimator, Nelson estimator, Cheng & Chang estimator, and Ebrahimi estimator with proposed estimator for the reliability function under the KG model.

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Bayes Estimation of a Reliability Function for Rayleigh Model

  • Kim, Yeung-Hoon;Sohn, Joong-Kweon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.445-461
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    • 1994
  • This paper deals with the problem of obtaining some Bayes estimators and Bayesian credible regions of a reliability function for the Rayleigh distribution. Using several priors for a reliability function some Bayes estimators and Bayes credible sets are proposed and studied under squared error loss and Harris loss. Also the performances and behaviors of the proposed Bayes estimators are examined via Monte Carlo simulations and some numericla examples are given.

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Reliability Estimation for a Shared-Load System Based on Freund Model

  • Hong, Yeon-Woong;Lee, Jae-Man;Cha, Young-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1995
  • This paper considers the reliability estimation of a two-component shared-load system based on Freund model. Maximum likelihood estimator, order restricted maximum likelihood estimator and uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator of the reliability function for the system are obtained. Performance of three estimators for moderate sample sizes is studied by simulation.

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Interval estimation of mean value function using fuzzy approach

  • Kim, Daekyung
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.175-181
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    • 2001
  • Recently, the quality of software has become a major issue. The statistical models used in making predictions about the quality of software are termed software reliability growth models (SRGM). However, the existing SRGMs have not been satisfactory in predicting software reliability behavior (Keiller and Miller(1991), Keiller and Littlewood(1984), Musa(1987)). In this paper, we present a fuzzy-based interval estimation of software errors (failures).

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An Application of Software Reliability Estimation Model on Weapon System (국내 무기체계 분야의 소프트웨어 신뢰성 추정 모델 적용 사례)

  • Bak, Da-Un
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.178-186
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    • 2020
  • In the domain of Korean weapon system development, issues about software reliability have become crucial factors when developing a weapon system. There is a process required for weapon system software development and management that includes certain activities required to improve the reliability of software. However, these activities are biased toward static and dynamic analyses of source code and do not include activities necessarily required by the international standard. IEEE std. 1633-2016 defines a process for software reliability engineering and describes software reliability estimation as an essential activity in the process. Software reliability estimation means that collecting defective data during the test and estimating software reliability by using the statistical model. Based on the estimated model, developers could estimate the failure rate and make comparisons with the objective failure rate to determine termination of the test. In this study, we collected defective data and applied reliability estimation models to analyze software reliability in the development of a weapon system. To achieve objective software reliability, we continuously tested our software and quantitatively calculated software reliability. Through the research, we hope that efforts to include activities described by the international standard will be carried out in the domain of Korean weapon system development.