• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regression Discontinuity

Search Result 33, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Does the China-Korea Free Trade Area Promote the Green Total Factor Productivity of China's Manufacturing Industry?

  • Liu, Zuan-Kuo;Cao, Fei-Fei;Dennis, Bolayog
    • Journal of Korea Trade
    • /
    • v.23 no.5
    • /
    • pp.27-44
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to analyze the net effect of the green total factor productivity (GTFP) of China's manufacturing industry from the China-Korea Free Trade Area (China-Korea FTA) quantitatively. Design/methodology - Firstly, the Global Malmquist-Luenberger (GML) index based on the SBM directional distance function is used to measure the GTFP of China's manufacturing and analyze the driving force for its growth. Secondly, the regression discontinuity quantitative analysis is used to determine the impact of the China-Korea FTA on China's manufacturing GTFP. Findings - Our main findings can be summarized as follows: the China-Korea FTA has promoted the GTFP of China's manufacturing with an effect evaluation mainly resulting from green technology progress. And there is industry heterogeneity in the policy effect on the manufacturing GTFP due to the China-Korea FTA. Namely, policy promotion from the China-Korea FTA is more effective on the GTFP of equipment manufacturing than it is on those of other industries. Originality/value - First, an evaluation and analysis of the GTFP development of China's manufacturing that employs GML index based on SBM directional distance function. Second, a quantitative estimate of China-Korea FTA's net effect on China's manufacturing industrial GTFP that uses regression discontinuity analysis, which is considered to be the closest method to natural experiments and superior to other causal inference methods. Third, an in-depth discussion of the practical steps that China's manufacturing can take to improve GTFP development and integrate China-Korea FTA construction into economic development.

Nonparametric Estimation of Discontinuous Variance Function in Regression Model

  • Kang, Kee-Hoon;Huh, Jib
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2002.11a
    • /
    • pp.103-108
    • /
    • 2002
  • We consider an estimation of discontinuous variance function in nonparametric heteroscedastic random design regression model. We first propose estimators of a change point and jump size in variance function and then construct an estimator of entire variance function. We examine the rates of convergence of these estimators and give results on their asymptotics. Numerical work reveals that the effectiveness of change point analysis in variance function estimation is quite significant.

  • PDF

Estimation of Jump Points in Nonparametric Regression

  • Park, Dong-Ryeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.15 no.6
    • /
    • pp.899-908
    • /
    • 2008
  • If the regression function has jump points, nonparametric estimation method based on local smoothing is not statistically consistent. Therefore, when we estimate regression function, it is quite important to know whether it is reasonable to assume that regression function is continuous. If the regression function appears to have jump points, then we should estimate first the location of jump points. In this paper, we propose a procedure which can do both the testing hypothesis of discontinuity of regression function and the estimation of the number and the location of jump points simultaneously. The performance of the proposed method is evaluated through a simulation study. We also apply the procedure to real data sets as examples.

NONPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF THE VARIANCE FUNCTION WITH A CHANGE POINT

  • Kang Kee-Hoon;Huh Jib
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-23
    • /
    • 2006
  • In this paper we consider an estimation of the discontinuous variance function in nonparametric heteroscedastic random design regression model. We first propose estimators of the change point in the variance function and then construct an estimator of the entire variance function. We examine the rates of convergence of these estimators and give results for their asymptotics. Numerical work reveals that using the proposed change point analysis in the variance function estimation is quite effective.

Risk Assessment of the Road Cut Slopes in Gyeoungnam based on Multiple Regression Analysis (다중회귀분석을 통한 경남 지방도로 절취사면의 안정성평가)

  • Kang, Tae-Seung;Um, Jeong-Gi
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.393-404
    • /
    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to capture the essentials in survey and evaluation scheme which are able to assess the hazard of a rock slope systematically. Statistical analysis are performed on slope instability parameters related to failure of the rock slope. As the slope instability parameters, twelve survey items are considered such as tension crack, surface deformation, deformation of retaining structures, volume of existing failures, angles between strike of discontinuity and strike of cut slope face, angles between dip of discontinuity and dip of cut slope face, discontinuity condition, cut slope angle, rainfall or ground water level, excavation condition, drainage condition, reinforcement. A total of 233 road cut slopes located in Gyeongnam were considered. The stability of the road cut slopes were evaluated by estimating the slope instability index(SII) and corresponding stability rank. 126 rock slopes were selected to analyze statistical relation between SII and slope instability parameters. The multiple regression analysis was applied to derive statistical models which are able to predict the SII and corresponding slope stability rank. Also, its applicability was explored to predict the slope failures using the variables of slope instability parameters. The results obtained in this study clearly show that the methodology given in this paper have strong capabilities to evaluate the failures of the road cut slope effectively.

Nonlinear Strength Parameters and Failure Characteristics of Anisotropy Rock - Shales (혈암의 이방성을 고려한 비선형 강도정수 및 파괴규준식 산정)

  • 김영수;이재호;허노영;방인호;성언수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2000.11a
    • /
    • pp.713-720
    • /
    • 2000
  • The directional response of strength and deformation on the rocks acting by external loads is called by strength and deformability anisotropy, respectively. Peak strength and its failure criteria of anisotro rocks have been studied and reported. Many authors have investigated in detail the behavior of triaxial peak strength of anisotropic rocks(Jaeger 1960, McLamore & Gray 1967, Hoek & Brown 1980, Ramamurthy & Rao 1985). They concluded that the triaxial strength of anisotropic rocks varies according to the inclination of discontinuity in specimens. And, the minimun triaxial strength occurs in the specmen with 60° of inclination angle ; and specimens with 0° or 90° inclination have maximum triaxial strength. Based on the experimental result, the behavior triaxial strength is investigated. The triaxial compression tests due to the angle bedding plane have been conducted and the material constants, 'm' and 's', cohesion and angle of friction and nonlinear strength parameters to fit for the failure criterion were derived from the regression analysis. And, the experimental date are employed to examine three existing failure criteria for peak strength, provided by Jaeger, McLamore and Hoek & Brown and Ramamurthy & Rao. For a shale, the suitability of the failure criteiria of triaxial peak strength for anisotropic rocks is discussed.

  • PDF

Effects of the 2007 Act on the Protection of Fixed-term and Part-time Employees on Employment Levels (2007년 비정규직법의 고용효과 분석)

  • Yoo, Gyeongjoon;Kang, Changhui
    • Journal of Labour Economics
    • /
    • v.36 no.2
    • /
    • pp.67-94
    • /
    • 2013
  • Using data from the Economically Active Population Survey: Supplement by Employment Type, This paper examines the effects of the 2007 Act on the Protection of Fixed-term and Part-time Employees on employment levels. Since the Act is applied to only individuals below 55 years of age, we restrict the analysis sample to men whose ages are close to 55 at the time of the survey. For such a sample, the empirical analysis combines regression discontinuity design with a difference-in-differences. The results suggest that the employment effect of the 2007 Act takes a U-shape. The results suggest that the employment effect of the 2007 Act takes a U-shape. The negative effect of the Act was largest around August 2008, a year after it took effect. The negative effects on employment faded away toward August 2009.

  • PDF

A Study on the Voice Conversion Algorithm with High Quality (고음질을 갖는 음색변경에 관한 연구)

  • 박형빈;배명진
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
    • /
    • 2000.09a
    • /
    • pp.157-160
    • /
    • 2000
  • In the generally a voice conversion has used VQ(Vector Quantization) for partitioning the spectral feature and has performed by adding an appropriate offset vector to the source speaker's spectral vector. But there is not represented the target speaker's various characteristics because of discrete characteristics of transformed parameter. In this paper, these problems are solved by using the LMR(Linear Multivariate Regression) instead of the mapping codebook which is determined to the relationship of source and target speaker vocal tract characteristics. Also we propose the method for solved the discontinuity which is caused by applying to time aligned parameters using Dynamic Time Warping the time or pitch-scale modified speech. In our proposed algorithm for overcoming the transitional discontinuities, first of all, we don't change time or pitch scale and by using the LMR change a speaker's vocal tract characteristics in speech with non-modified time or pitch. Compared to existed methods based on VQ and LMR, we have much better voice quality in the result of the proposed algorithm.

  • PDF

Religious Participation and Depression among American Older Adults (미국노인의 종교활동참여와 우울증)

  • Jun Hey Jung
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
    • /
    • v.22 no.6 s.72
    • /
    • pp.191-199
    • /
    • 2004
  • The main purpose of this study was to examine the impact of religious participation on the depression of elder adults in USA. Specifically, this study examined how the influence of religious participation varied according to continuity or discontinuity of participation. Data from N=1,658 adults aged 65-90 who were respondents to two waves of the U.S. National survey of Families and Households 1987-1993 were used for these analyses. Depression was measured with a 12-item (of the original 20) modified version of the CES-D (Center for Epidemiological Studies-Depression). Multivariate regression models controlling for several demographic variables were estimated. Some clear evidence was found supporting activity theory and continuity theory That is, participating in a religious organization role at Time 2 but not Time 1 (T1 No - T2 Yes) and being continuously involved in religious organizations both at Time 1 and Time 2 (T1 Yes -T2 Yes) were associated with reduced depression, compared to continuous nonparticipation in religious organizations (71 No -72 No).

The Change of Pillar Strength due to Joint Dip Angles, Total Trace Length and Width-to-Height ratio of a Pillar (절리면의 방향, 절리선 길이 및 광주 형상비가 광주 강도에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Choi, Ji-won;Lee, Yong-Ki;Song, Jae-Joon
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.30 no.3
    • /
    • pp.226-241
    • /
    • 2020
  • The stability of underground mine cavity is closely related with pillar strength. The vulnerability of pillars can be judged and reinforced if the pillar strength is known. The pillar strength is affected by characteristics of discontinuities and shape of a pillar. The change of pillar strength due to a discontinuity passing through the center of a pillar, width-to-height ratio of a pillar and small joints existing within a pillar was analyzed using PFC 3D. The result showed that the pillar strength is influenced by dip angle of a discontinuity and it increases as width-to-height ratio of a pillar increases. The pillar strength decreases as the number of contained joints increases. The relationship between total trace length observable from the pillar surface and the pillar strength was regressed with exponential function. The correlation coefficient of the regression was high enough so that pillar strength can be predicted using total trace length if a joint set exists in a pillar. Lastly, the method to estimate the strength of a pillar that includes two joint sets was proposed if the joint dip angles are 60°, 30°. The method also need total trace lengths of two joint sets.