• 제목/요약/키워드: Reference prior.

검색결과 366건 처리시간 0.02초

Bayesian Analysis for Multiple Capture-Recapture Models using Reference Priors

  • Younshik;Pongsu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.165-178
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    • 2000
  • Bayesian methods are considered for the multiple caputure-recapture data. Reference priors are developed for such model and sampling-based approach through Gibbs sampler is used for inference from posterior distributions. Furthermore approximate Bayes factors are obtained for model selection between trap and nontrap response models. Finally one methodology is implemented for a capture-recapture model in generated data and real data.

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Noninformative Priors for the Power Law Process

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 2002
  • This paper considers noninformative priors for the power law process under failure truncation. Jeffreys'priors as well as reference priors are found when one or both parameters are of interest. These priors are compared in the light of how accurately the coverage probabilities of Bayesian credible intervals match the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. It is found that the reference priors have a definite edge over Jeffreys'prior in this respect.

Noninformative Priors for Stress-Strength System in the Burr-Type X Model

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors that are used for estimating the reliability of stress-strength system under the Burr-type X model. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Bayesian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. It turns out that the reference prior as well as the Jeffreys prior are the second order matching prior. The propriety of posterior under the noninformative priors is proved. The frequentist coverage probabilities are investigated for samll samples via simulation study.

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무정보 사전분포를 이용한 이원배치 혼합효과 분산분석모형에서 오차분산에 대한 베이지안 분석 (Bayesian Analysis for the Error Variance in a Two-Way Mixed-Effects ANOVA Model Using Noninformative Priors)

  • 장인홍;김병휘
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2002
  • 반복이 같은 이원배치 혼합효과 분산분석모형에서 무정보 사전분포를 이용하여 오차분산을 추정하는 문제를 생각하고자 한다. 먼저 무정보 사전분포로 제프리스사전분포, 준거 사전분포 그리고 확률일치 사전분포를 유도하고 이들 각각의 사전분포들에 대하여 주변사후분포를 제시하였다. 끝으로 실제 자료를 근거로 오차분산의 주변사후밀도함수에 대한 그래프와 오차분산에 대한 신용구간들을 구하고 이 구간들을 비교한다.

An objective Bayesian analysis for multiple step stress accelerated life tests

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.601-614
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    • 2009
  • This paper derives noninformative priors for scale parameter of exponential distribution when the data are collected in multiple step stress accelerated life tests. We nd the objective priors for this model and show that the reference prior satisfies first order matching criterion. Also, we show that there exists no second order matching prior. Some simulation results are given and using artificial data, we perform Bayesian analysis for proposed priors.

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Detecting the Influential Observation Using Intrinsic Bayes Factors

  • Chung, Younshik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2000
  • For the balanced variance component model, sometimes intraclass correlation coefficient is of interest. If there is little information about the parameter, then the reference prior(Berger and Bernardo, 1992) is widely used. Pettit nd Young(1990) considered a measrue of the effect of a single observation on a logarithmic Bayes factor. However, under such a reference prior, the Bayes factor depends on the ratio of unspecified constants. In order to discard this problem, influence diagnostic measures using the intrinsic Bayes factor(Berger and Pericchi, 1996) is presented. Finally, one simulated dataset is provided which illustrates the methodology with appropriate simulation based computational formulas. In order to overcome the difficult Bayesian computation, MCMC methods, such as Gibbs sampler(Gelfand and Smith, 1990) and Metropolis algorithm, are empolyed.

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BAYESIAN TEST FOR THE EQUALITY OF THE MEANS AND VARIANCES OF THE TWO NORMAL POPULATIONS WITH VARIANCES RELATED TO THE MEANS USING NONINFORMATIVE PRIORS

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.271-288
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, when the variance of the normal distribution is related to the mean, we develop noninformative priors such as matching priors and reference priors. We prove that the second order matching prior matches alternative coverage probabilities up to the same order and also it is a HPD matching prior. It turns out that one-at-a-time reference prior satisfies a second order matching criterion. Then using these noninformative priors, we develop a Bayesian test procedure for the equality of the means and variances of two independent normal distributions using fractional Bayes factor. Some simulation study is performed, and a real data example is also provided.

Reference priors for two parameter exponential stress-strength model

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Le, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.935-944
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the reliability in a stress-strength model where a strength X and a stress Y have independent exponential distributions with different scale parameters and a common location parameter. We derive the reference priors and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the general prior including the reference priors. Through the simulation study, we show that the proposed reference priors match the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense.

NONINFORMATIVE PRIORS FOR PARETO DISTRIBUTION : REGULAR CASE

  • 김달호;이우동;강상길
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors for two parameter Pareto distribution. Specially, we derive Jeffrey's prior, probability matching prior and reference prior for the parameter of interest. In our case, the probability matching prior is only a first order and there does not exist a second order matching prior. Some simulation reveals that the matching prior performs better to achieve the coverage probability. And a real example will be given.

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Bayesian Model Selection for Inverse Gaussian Populations with Heterogeneity

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.621-634
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    • 2008
  • This paper addresses the problem of testing whether the means in several inverse Gaussian populations with heterogeneity are equal. The analysis of reciprocals for the equality of inverse Gaussian means needs the assumption of equal scale parameters. We propose Bayesian model selection procedures for testing equality of the inverse Gaussian means under the noninformative prior without the assumption of equal scale parameters. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the objective Bayesian model selection procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference prior. Simulation study and real data analysis are provided.

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