• Title/Summary/Keyword: Range of variation

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Comparison Studies of Hybrid and Non-hybrid Forecasting Models for Seasonal and Trend Time Series Data (트렌드와 계절성을 가진 시계열에 대한 순수 모형과 하이브리드 모형의 비교 연구)

  • Jeong, Chulwoo;Kim, Myung Suk
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2013
  • In this article, several types of hybrid forecasting models are suggested. In particular, hybrid models using the generalized additive model (GAM) are newly suggested as an alternative to those using neural networks (NN). The prediction performances of various hybrid and non-hybrid models are evaluated using simulated time series data. Five different types of seasonal time series data related to an additive or multiplicative trend are generated over different levels of noise, and applied to the forecasting evaluation. For the simulated data with only seasonality, the autoregressive (AR) model and the hybrid AR-AR model performed equivalently very well. On the other hand, if the time series data employed a trend, the SARIMA model and some hybrid SARIMA models equivalently outperformed the others. In the comparison of GAMs and NNs, regarding the seasonal additive trend data, the SARIMA-GAM evenly performed well across the full range of noise variation, whereas the SARIMA-NN showed good performance only when the noise level was trivial.

Long Term Flux Variation Analysis on the Boseong Paddy Field (보성 농업지역에서의 장기간 플럭스 특성 분석)

  • Young-Tae Lee;Sung-Eun Hwang;Byeong-Taek Kim;Ki-Hun Kim
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.69-81
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, Annual flux variations in the Boseong Tall Tower (BTT) from 2016 to 2020 were analyzed using data from three levels (2.5 m, 60 m, and 300 m). BTT was installed in Boseong-gun, Jeollanam-do in February 2014 and continued to conduct energy exchange observations such as CO2, sensible heat, and latent heat using the eddy covariance method until March 2023. The BTT was located in a very flat and uniform paddy field, and flux observations were conducted at four levels: 2.5 m, 60 m, 140 m, and 300 m above ground. Surface energy balance was confirmed from observed data of net radiation flux, soil heat flux, sensible heat flux, and latent heat flux. Additionally, 2.5 m height surface fluxes, which are most influenced by agricultural land, were compared with data from Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS) of the Korea Meteorological Administration to evaluate the accuracy of LDAPS flux data. The correlation coefficient between LDAPS flux data and observed values was 0.95 or higher. Excluding summer latent heat flux data, there was a general tendency for LDAPS data to be higher than observed values. The footprint areas estimated below 60 m height mainly covered agricultural land, and flux observations at 2.5 m and 60 m heights showed typical agricultural characteristics. In contrast, the footprint estimated at 300 m height did not show agricultural characteristics, indicating that observations at this height encompassed a wide range, including mountains, sea, and roads. The analysis results of long-term flux observations can contribute to understanding the energy and carbon dioxide fluxes in agricultural fields. Furthermore, these results can be utilized as essential data for validating and improving numerical models related to such fluxes.

Gas Hydrate BSR-derived Heat Flow Variations on the South Shetland Continental Margin, Antarctic Peninsula (가스수화물 BSR을 이용한 남극반도 남쉐틀랜드 대륙주변부의 지열류량 변화)

  • Jin, Young-Keun;Nam, Sang-Heon;Kim, Yea-Dong;Kim, Kyu-Jung;Lee, Joo-Han
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.201-211
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    • 2003
  • Bottom simulating reflectors (BSR), representing the base of the gas hydrate stability field, are widespread on the South Shetland continental margin (SSM), Antarctic Peninsula. With the phase diagram fur the gas hydrate stability field, heat flow can be derived from the BSR depth beneath the seafloor determined on multichannel seismic profiles. The heat flow values in the study area range from $50mW/m^2$ to $85mW/m^2$, averaging to $65mW/m^2$. Small deviation from the average heat flow values suggests that heat flow regime of the study area is relatively stable. The landward decrease of heat flow from the South Shetland Trench to the continental shelf would be attributed to the landward thickening of the accretionary prism and the upward advection of heat associated with fluid expulsion. The continental slope 1500m to 3000m deep, where BSRs are most distinguished in the SSM, shows relatively large variation of heat flow possibly due to complex tectonic activities in the study area. The local high heat flow anomalies observed along the slope may be caused by heat transport mechanisms along a NW-SE trending large-scale fault.

A Digital Automatic Gain Control Circuit for CMOS CCD Camera Interfaces (CMOS CCD 카메라용 디지털 자동 이득 제어 회로)

  • 이진국;차유진;이승훈
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics C
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    • v.36C no.5
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 1999
  • This paper describes automatic gain control circuit (AGC) design techniques for CMOS CCD camera interface systems. The required gain of the AGC in the proposed system is controlled directly by digital bits without conventional extra D/A converters and the signal settling behavior is almost independent of AGC gain variation at video speeds. A capacitor-segment combination technique to obtain large capacitance values considerably improves the effective bandwidth of the AGC based on switched-capacitor techniques. A proposed layout scheme for capacitor implementation shows AGC matching accuracy better than 0.1 %. The outputs from the AGC are transferred to a 10b A/D converter integrated on the same chip. The proposed AGC is implemented as a sub-block of a CCD camera interface system using a 0.5 um n-well CMOS process. The prototype shows the 32-dB AGC dynamic range in 1/8-dB steps with 173 mW at 3 V and 25 MHz.

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An Elasto-Plastic Constitutive Law for Modeling the Shear Behavior of Rough Rock Joints (거친 절리면의 전단거동 해석을 위한 탄소성 구성법칙)

  • 이연규;이정인
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.234-248
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a new constitutive model for numerical modeling the shear behaviour of rough rock joints. The model incorporates the dilatancy of joints on the basis of elasto-plastic theory. Barton's empirical shear strength formular are adopted in the formulation process. The mobilized JRC concept is evoked to address the shear strength hardening and sofrening phenomena. The mobilized JRC in the pre- and post-peak range is approximated by assuming that the variation of JRC is a function of tangential plastic work. Discrete finite joint element is used to implement the proposed constitutive model. The model is validated by the numerical direct shear test on a single joint which is subjected to different boundary conditions. The test results are in good agreement with the experimental observations reported by other authors. The numerical tests also exhibit that the proposed model can simulate the salient features envisaged in the behaviour of rough rock joints.

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The Analysis of Hydrological Response Structure Based on Spatial Correlation of Extracted Geomorphic Variables by Using DEM (DEM에 의해 추출된 지형인자의 공간상관성을 기반으로 한 수문학적 응답구조의 해석)

  • Kim, Joo-Cheol;Choi, Yong-Joon;Kim, Jae-Han
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2010
  • The hydrological-geomorphic character is closely related with runoff in basin. A development of GIS greatly helps investigating about mechanism between theirs. We analyze local slope and hillslope length which are related with hydrological response. But variation of these geomorphic variables has very wide range at each pixel. So there's a limit as to use directly. Therefore we investigate a relation between hydrological response and distributed geomorphic variables according to statistical character of distributed map considering spatial correlation. As a result, the local slope affects peak discharge, and the hillslope length affects peak discharge and time, mean and variance of hydrological response. Henceforth these hydrological-geomorphic analyze methods can be improved that hydrology response is directly analogized with DEM data.

Application of Adaptive Control Theory to Nuclear Reactor Power Control (적응제어 기법을 이용한 원자로 출력제어)

  • Ha, Man-Gyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.336-343
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    • 1995
  • The Self Tuning Regulator(STR) method which is an approach of adaptive control theory, is ap-plied to design the fully automatic power controller of the nonlinear reactor model. The adaptive control represent a proper approach to design the suboptimal controller for nonlinear, time-varying stochastic systems. The control system is based on a third­order linear model with unknown, time-varying parameters. The updating of the parameter estimates is achieved by the recursive extended least square method with a variable forgetting factor. Based on the estimated parameters, the output (average coolant temperature) is predicted one-step ahead. And then, a weighted one-step ahead controller is designed so that the difference between the output and the desired output is minimized and the variation of the control rod position is small. Also, an integral action is added in order to remove the steady­state error. A nonlinear M plant model was used to simulate the proposed controller of reactor power which covers a wide operating range. From the simulation result, the performances of this controller for ramp input (increase or decrease) are proved to be successful. However, for step input this controller leaves something to be desired.

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An Improved Voltage Regulation Method in Power Distribution System Interconnected Multiple PV Systems (다수 PV 시스템 배전계통 연계 시 개선된 전압조정 방법)

  • Kang, Chul;Shin, Hee-Sang;Moon, Jong-Fil;Choe, Gyu-Ha;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents the improved voltage regulation method in power distribution system with multiple PV systems. At present, Line Drop Compensator (LDC) method has been used as voltage regulation method of power distribution system, which regulates the voltage using Under Load Tap Changer (ULTC), regarding the power flow of distribution system as one way. However, the method may be not able to regulate the voltage in a permissible range when the power flow is two ways. Thus, in this paper, we present the improved voltage regulation method of power distribution system using the voltage data of the point connected PV systems.

Stability of $Pr_{6}O_{11}$-Based ZnO Varistors Doped with $Y_{2}O_{3}$ under d.c. Stresses ($Y_{2}O_{3}$가 첨가된 $Pr_{6}O_{11}$계 ZnO 바리스터의 d.c. 스트레스에 따른 안정성)

  • 윤한수;류정선;남춘우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.551-554
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    • 2000
  • The stability of $Pr_6$$O_{11}$-based ZnO varistors doped with $Y_2$$O_3$ was investigated under various d.c. stresses. The varistors were sintered at $1350^{\circ}C$ for 1h in the addition range of 0.0 to 4.0 mol% $Y_2$$O_3$. The varistors doped with $Y_2$$O_3$ exhibited much higher nonlinearity than that without $Y_2$$O_3$. In Particular, the varistors containing 0.5 mol% $Y_2$$O_3$ showed very excellent V-I characteristics, which the nonlinear exponent was 51.19 and the leakage current was 1.32 $\mu\textrm{A}$. And these varistors also showed an excellent stability, which the variation rate of the varistor voltage and the nonlinear exponent were -0.80% and -2.17%, respectively, under 4th d.c. stress, such as (0.80 $V_ {1mA}$/$90^{\circ}C$/12h)+(0.85 $V_{1mA}$/$115^{\circ}C$/12h)+(0.90 $V_{1mA}$/$120^{\circ}C$/12h)+(0.95 $V_{1mA}$/$125^{\circ}C$/12h). Consequently, since $Pr_ 6$$O_{11}$-based ZnO varistors doped with 0.5 mol% $Y_2$$O_3$ have an excellent stability as well as good nonlinearity, it is expected to be usefully used to develop the superior varistors in future.

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A Process Detection Circuit using Self-biased Super MOS composit Circuit (자기-바이어스 슈퍼 MOS 복합회로를 이용한 공정 검출회로)

  • Suh Benjamin;Cho Hyun-Mook
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.81-86
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, a new process detection circuit is proposed. The proposed process detection circuit compares a long channel MOS transistor (L > 0.4um) to a short channel MOS transistor which uses lowest feature size of the process. The circuit generates the differential current proportional to the deviation of carrier mobilities according to the process variation. This method keep the two transistor's drain voltage same by implementing the feedback using a high gain OPAMP. This paper also shows the new design of the simple high gam self-biased rail-to-rail OPAMP using a proposed self-biased super MOS composite circuit. The gain of designed OPAMP is measured over 100dB with $0.2{\sim}1.6V$ wide range CMR in single stage. Finally, the proposed process detection circuit is applied to a differential VCO and the VCO showed that the proposed process detection circuit compensates the process corners successfully and ensures the wide rage operation.

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