• 제목/요약/키워드: Random forest models

검색결과 358건 처리시간 0.024초

Performance Comparison Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Models for Estimating Remaining Capacity of Lithium-Ion Batteries

  • Kyu-Ha Kim;Byeong-Soo Jung;Sang-Hyun Lee
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
    • /
    • 제11권3호
    • /
    • pp.310-314
    • /
    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to predict the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries and evaluate their performance using five artificial intelligence models, including linear regression analysis, decision tree, random forest, neural network, and ensemble model. We is in the study, measured Excel data from the CS2 lithium-ion battery was used, and the prediction accuracy of the model was measured using evaluation indicators such as mean square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and root mean square error. As a result of this study, the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of the linear regression model was 0.045, the decision tree model was 0.038, the random forest model was 0.034, the neural network model was 0.032, and the ensemble model was 0.030. The ensemble model had the best prediction performance, with the neural network model taking second place. The decision tree model and random forest model also performed quite well, and the linear regression model showed poor prediction performance compared to other models. Therefore, through this study, ensemble models and neural network models are most suitable for predicting the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries, and decision tree and random forest models also showed good performance. Linear regression models showed relatively poor predictive performance. Therefore, it was concluded that it is appropriate to prioritize ensemble models and neural network models in order to improve the efficiency of battery management and energy systems.

제주 실시간 일사량의 기계학습 예측 기법 연구 (A Study on Prediction Techniques through Machine Learning of Real-time Solar Radiation in Jeju)

  • 이영미;배주현;박정근
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제26권4호
    • /
    • pp.521-527
    • /
    • 2017
  • Solar radiation forecasts are important for predicting the amount of ice on road and the potential solar energy. In an attempt to improve solar radiation predictability in Jeju, we conducted machine learning with various data mining techniques such as tree models, conditional inference tree, random forest, support vector machines and logistic regression. To validate machine learning models, the results from the simulation was compared with the solar radiation data observed over Jeju observation site. According to the model assesment, it can be seen that the solar radiation prediction using random forest is the most effective method. The error rate proposed by random forest data mining is 17%.

Default Prediction of Automobile Credit Based on Support Vector Machine

  • Chen, Ying;Zhang, Ruirui
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
    • /
    • 제17권1호
    • /
    • pp.75-88
    • /
    • 2021
  • Automobile credit business has developed rapidly in recent years, and corresponding default phenomena occur frequently. Credit default will bring great losses to automobile financial institutions. Therefore, the successful prediction of automobile credit default is of great significance. Firstly, the missing values are deleted, then the random forest is used for feature selection, and then the sample data are randomly grouped. Finally, six prediction models of support vector machine (SVM), random forest and k-nearest neighbor (KNN), logistic, decision tree, and artificial neural network (ANN) are constructed. The results show that these six machine learning models can be used to predict the default of automobile credit. Among these six models, the accuracy of decision tree is 0.79, which is the highest, but the comprehensive performance of SVM is the best. And random grouping can improve the efficiency of model operation to a certain extent, especially SVM.

Application and evaluation of machine-learning model for fire accelerant classification from GC-MS data of fire residue

  • Park, Chihyun;Park, Wooyong;Jeon, Sookyung;Lee, Sumin;Lee, Joon-Bae
    • 분석과학
    • /
    • 제34권5호
    • /
    • pp.231-239
    • /
    • 2021
  • Detection of fire accelerants from fire residues is critical to determine whether the case was arson or accidental fire. However, to develop a standardized model for determining the presence or absence of fire accelerants was not easy because of high temperature which cause disappearance or combustion of components of fire accelerants. In this study, logistic regression, random forest, and support vector machine models were trained and evaluated from a total of 728 GC-MS analysis data obtained from actual fire residues. Mean classification accuracies of the three models were 63 %, 81 %, and 84 %, respectively, and in particular, mean AU-PR values of the three models were evaluated as 0.68, 0.86, and 0.86, respectively, showing fine performances of random forest and support vector machine models.

투자와 수출 및 환율의 고용에 대한 의사결정 나무, 랜덤 포레스트와 그래디언트 부스팅 머신러닝 모형 예측 (Investment, Export, and Exchange Rate on Prediction of Employment with Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting Machine Learning Models)

  • 이재득
    • 무역학회지
    • /
    • 제46권2호
    • /
    • pp.281-299
    • /
    • 2021
  • This paper analyzes the feasibility of using machine learning methods to forecast the employment. The machine learning methods, such as decision tree, artificial neural network, and ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree were used to forecast the employment in Busan regional economy. The following were the main findings of the comparison of their predictive abilities. First, the forecasting power of machine learning methods can predict the employment well. Second, the forecasting values for the employment by decision tree models appeared somewhat differently according to the depth of decision trees. Third, the predictive power of artificial neural network model, however, does not show the high predictive power. Fourth, the ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree model show the higher predictive power. Thus, since the machine learning method can accurately predict the employment, we need to improve the accuracy of forecasting employment with the use of machine learning methods.

다중 선형 회귀와 랜덤 포레스트 기반의 코로나19 신규 확진자 예측 (Prediction of New Confirmed Cases of COVID-19 based on Multiple Linear Regression and Random Forest)

  • 김준수;최병재
    • 대한임베디드공학회논문지
    • /
    • 제17권4호
    • /
    • pp.249-255
    • /
    • 2022
  • The COVID-19 virus appeared in 2019 and is extremely contagious. Because it is very infectious and has a huge impact on people's mobility. In this paper, multiple linear regression and random forest models are used to predict the number of COVID-19 cases using COVID-19 infection status data (open source data provided by the Ministry of health and welfare) and Google Mobility Data, which can check the liquidity of various categories. The data has been divided into two sets. The first dataset is COVID-19 infection status data and all six variables of Google Mobility Data. The second dataset is COVID-19 infection status data and only two variables of Google Mobility Data: (1) Retail stores and leisure facilities (2) Grocery stores and pharmacies. The models' performance has been compared using the mean absolute error indicator. We also a correlation analysis of the random forest model and the multiple linear regression model.

GeoAI-Based Forest Fire Susceptibility Assessment with Integration of Forest and Soil Digital Map Data

  • Kounghoon Nam;Jong-Tae Kim;Chang-Ju Lee;Gyo-Cheol Jeong
    • 지질공학
    • /
    • 제34권1호
    • /
    • pp.107-115
    • /
    • 2024
  • This study assesses forest fire susceptibility in Gangwon-do, South Korea, which hosts the largest forested area in the nation and constitutes ~21% of the country's forested land. With 81% of its terrain forested, Gangwon-do is particularly susceptible to wildfires, as evidenced by the fact that seven out of the ten most extensive wildfires in Korea have occurred in this region, with significant ecological and economic implications. Here, we analyze 480 historical wildfire occurrences in Gangwon-do between 2003 and 2019 using 17 predictor variables of wildfire occurrence. We utilized three machine learning algorithms—random forest, logistic regression, and support vector machine—to construct wildfire susceptibility prediction models and identify the best-performing model for Gangwon-do. Forest and soil map data were integrated as important indicators of wildfire susceptibility and enhanced the precision of the three models in identifying areas at high risk of wildfires. Of the three models examined, the random forest model showed the best predictive performance, with an area-under-the-curve value of 0.936. The findings of this study, especially the maps generated by the models, are expected to offer important guidance to local governments in formulating effective management and conservation strategies. These strategies aim to ensure the sustainable preservation of forest resources and to enhance the well-being of communities situated in areas adjacent to forests. Furthermore, the outcomes of this study are anticipated to contribute to the safeguarding of forest resources and biodiversity and to the development of comprehensive plans for forest resource protection, biodiversity conservation, and environmental management.

기계학습을 이용한 한국어 대화시스템 도메인 분류 (Machine Learning Based Domain Classification for Korean Dialog System)

  • 정영섭
    • 융합정보논문지
    • /
    • 제9권8호
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 2019
  • 대화시스템은 인간과 컴퓨터의 상호작용에 새로운 패러다임이 되고 있다. 자연어로써 상호작용함으로써 인간은 보다 자연스럽고 편리하게 각종 서비스를 누릴 수 있게 되었다. 대화시스템의 구조는 일반적으로 음성 인식, 자연어 이해, 문맥 파악 등의 여러 모듈의 파이프라인으로 이뤄지는데, 본 연구에서는 자연어 이해 모듈의 도메인 분류 문제를 풀기 위해 convolutional neural network, random forest 등의 기계학습 모델을 비교하였다. 사람이 직접 태깅한 총 7개 서비스 도메인 데이터에 대하여 각 문장의 도메인을 분류하는 실험을 수행하였고 random forest 모델이 F1 score 0.97 이상으로 가장 높은 성능을 달성한 것을 보였다. 향후 다른 기계학습 모델들을 추가 실험함으로써 도메인 분류 성능 개선을 지속할 계획이다.

기계학습 알고리즘을 이용한 보행만족도 예측모형 개발 (Developing a Pedestrian Satisfaction Prediction Model Based on Machine Learning Algorithms)

  • 이제승;이현희
    • 국토계획
    • /
    • 제54권3호
    • /
    • pp.106-118
    • /
    • 2019
  • In order to develop pedestrian navigation service that provides optimal pedestrian routes based on pedestrian satisfaction levels, it is required to develop a prediction model that can estimate a pedestrian's satisfaction level given a certain condition. Thus, the aim of the present study is to develop a pedestrian satisfaction prediction model based on three machine learning algorithms: Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and Artificial Neural Network models. The 2009, 2012, 2013, 2014, and 2015 Pedestrian Satisfaction Survey Data in Seoul, Korea are used to train and test the machine learning models. As a result, the Random Forest model shows the best prediction performance among the three (Accuracy: 0.798, Recall: 0.906, Precision: 0.842, F1 Score: 0.873, AUC: 0.795). The performance of Artificial Neural Network is the second (Accuracy: 0.773, Recall: 0.917, Precision: 0.811, F1 Score: 0.868, AUC: 0.738) and Logistic Regression model's performance follows the second (Accuracy: 0.764, Recall: 1.000, Precision: 0.764, F1 Score: 0.868, AUC: 0.575). The precision score of the Random Forest model implies that approximately 84.2% of pedestrians may be satisfied if they walk the areas, suggested by the Random Forest model.

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS ON MACHINE LEARNING MODELS FOR PREDICTING KOSPI200 INDEX RETURNS

  • Gu, Bonsang;Song, Joonhyuk
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈B:순수및응용수학
    • /
    • 제24권4호
    • /
    • pp.211-226
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this paper, machine learning models employed in various fields are discussed and applied to KOSPI200 stock index return forecasting. The results of hyperparameter analysis of the machine learning models are also reported and practical methods for each model are presented. As a result of the analysis, Support Vector Machine and Artificial Neural Network showed a better performance than k-Nearest Neighbor and Random Forest.