• Title/Summary/Keyword: Random Process

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Analysis of Variance for Using Common Random Numbers When Optimizing a System by Simulation and RSM (시뮬레이션과 RSM을 이용한 시스템 최적화 과정에서 공통난수 활용에 따른 분산 분석)

  • 박진원
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2001
  • When optimizing a complex system by determining the optimum condition of the system parameters of interest, we often employ the process of estimating the unknown objective function, which is assumed to be a second order spline function. In doing so, we normally use common random numbers for different set of the controllable factors resulting in more accurate parameter estimation for the objective function. In this paper, we will show some mathematical result for the analysis of variance when using common random numbers in terms of the regression error, the residual error and the pure error terms. In fact, if we can realize the special structure of the covariance matrix of the error terms, we can use the result of analysis of variance for the uncorrelated experiments only by applying minor changes.

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Designing Statistical Test for Mean of Random Profiles

  • Bahri, Mehrab;Hadi-Vencheh, Abdollah
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.432-445
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    • 2016
  • A random profile is the result of a process, the output of which is a function instead of a scalar or vector quantity. In the nature of these objects, two main dimensions of "functionality" and "randomness" can be recognized. Valuable researches have been conducted to present control charts for monitoring such processes in which a regression approach has been applied by focusing on "randomness" of profiles. Performing other statistical techniques such as hypothesis testing for different parameters, comparing parameters of two populations, ANOVA, DOE, etc. has been postponed thus far, because the "functional" nature of profiles is ignored. In this paper, first, some needed theorems are proven with an applied approach, so that be understandable for an engineer which is unfamiliar with advanced mathematical analysis. Then, as an application of that, a statistical test is designed for mean of continuous random profiles. Finally, using experimental operating characteristic curves obtained in computer simulation, it is demonstrated that the presented tests are properly able to recognize deviations in the null hypothesis.

Optimization of Stochastic System Using Genetic Algorithm and Simulation

  • 유지용
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents a new method to find a optimal solution for stochastic system. This method uses Genetic Algorithm(GA) and simulation. GA is used to search for new alternative and simulation is used to evaluate alternative. The stochastic system has one or more random variables as inputs. Random inputs lead to random outputs. Since the outputs are random, they can be considered only as estimates of the true characteristics of they system. These estimates could greatly differ from the corresponding real characteristics for the system. We need multiple replications to get reliable information on the system. And we have to analyze output data to get a optimal solution. It requires too much computation to be practical. We address the problem of reducing computation. The procedure on this paper use GA character, an iterative process, to reduce the number of replications. The same chromosomes could exit in post and present generation. Computation can be reduced by using the information of the same chromosomes which exist in post and present current generation.

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Security Assessment for Bus Voltages Using Probabilistic Load Flow (PLF(Probabilistic Load Flow)를 이용한 모선 전압 안전도 평가)

  • Lee, Seung-Hyuk;Jung, Chang-Ho;Kim, Jin-O;Kim, Tae-Kyun;Choo, Jin-Bu
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.28-30
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    • 2003
  • Probabilistic Load Flow(PLF) solution based on the method of moments is used for security assessment of bus voltages in power systems. Bus voltages, line currents, line admittances, generated real and reactive power, and bus loads are treated as complex random variables. These complex random variables are known in terms of probability density functions(PDF). Also, expressions for the convolutions of complex random variables in terms of moments and cumulants have been derived. Proposed PLF solution using the method of moments is fast, because the process of convolution of various complex random variables is performed in moment and cumulant domain. Therefore, the method is applied to security assessment of power systems in this paper. Finally, system operator also can be used information of security assessment to improve reliability of power systems.

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Confounding of Time Trend with Dropout Process in Longitudinal Data Analysis

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun;Choi, Hye-Hyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.703-713
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    • 2002
  • In longitudinal studies, outcomes are repeatedly measured over time for each subject. It is common to have missing values or dropouts for longitudinal data. In this study time trend in longitudinal data with dropouts is of concern. The confounding of time trend with dropout process is investigated through simulation studies. Some simulation results are reported for binary responses as well as continuous responses with patterns of dropouts varying. It has been found that time trend is not confounded with random dropout process for binary responses when it is estimated using GEE.

A Note on Exponential Inequalities of ψ-Weakly Dependent Sequences

  • Hwang, Eunju;Shin, Dong Wan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.245-251
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    • 2014
  • Two exponential inequalities are established for a wide class of general weakly dependent sequences of random variables, called ${\psi}$-weakly dependent process which unify weak dependence conditions such as mixing, association, Gaussian sequences and Bernoulli shifts. The ${\psi}$-weakly dependent process includes, for examples, stationary ARMA processes, bilinear processes, and threshold autoregressive processes, and includes essentially all classes of weakly dependent stationary processes of interest in statistics under natural conditions on the process parameters. The two exponential inequalities are established on more general conditions than some existing ones, and are proven in simpler ways.

A Unit Root Test via a Discrete Cosine Transform (이산코사인변환을 이용한 단위근 검정)

  • Lee, Go-Un;Yeo, In-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we introduce a unit root test via discrete cosine transform in the AR(1) process. We first investigate the statistical properties of DCT coefficients under the stationary AR(1) process and the random walk process in order to verify the validity of the proposed method. A bootstrapping approach is proposed to induce the distribution of the test statistic under the unit root. We performed simulation studies for comparing the powers of the Dickey-Fuller test and the proposed test.

FUNCTIONAL CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREMS FOR MULTIVARIATE LINEAR PROCESSES GENERATED BY DEPENDENT RANDOM VECTORS

  • Ko, Mi-Hwa
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.779-786
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    • 2006
  • Let $\mathbb{X}_t$ be an m-dimensional linear process defined by $\mathbb{X}_t=\sum{_{j=0}^\infty}\;A_j\;\mathbb{Z}_{t-j}$, t = 1, 2, $\ldots$, where $\mathbb{Z}_t$ is a sequence of m-dimensional random vectors with mean 0 : $m\times1$ and positive definite covariance matrix $\Gamma:m{\times}m$ and $\{A_j\}$ is a sequence of coefficient matrices. In this paper we give sufficient conditions so that $\sum{_{t=1}^{[ns]}\mathbb{X}_t$ (properly normalized) converges weakly to Wiener measure if the corresponding result for $\sum{_{t=1}^{[ns]}\mathbb{Z}_t$ is true.

The Study on the Cutting Force Prediction in the Ball-End Milling Process at the Random Cutting Area using Z-map (Z-map을 이용한 임의의 절삭영역에서의 볼 엔드밀의 절삭력 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 김규만
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.125-129
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    • 1996
  • In this study, a method is proposed for the cutting force prediction of Ball-end milling process using Z-map is proposed. Any types of cutting area generated from previous cutting process can be expressed in z-map data. Cutting edge of a ball-end mill is divided into a set of finite cutting edges and the position of this edge is projected to the cross-section plane normal to the Z-axis. Comparing this projected position with Z-map data of cutting area and determining whether it is in the cutting region, total cutting force can be calculated by means of numerical integration. A series of experiments such as side cutting and upward/downard cutting was performet to verify the simulated cutting force.

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Mean Square Response Analysis of the Tall Building to Hazard Fluctuating Wind Loads (재난변동풍하중을 받는 고층건물의 평균자승응해석)

  • Oh, Jong Seop;Hwang, Eui Jin;Ryu, Ji Hyeob
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2013
  • Based on random vibration theory, a procedure for calculating the dynamic response of the tall building to time-dependent random excitation is developed. In this paper, the fluctuating along- wind load is assumed as time-dependent random process described by the time-independent random process with deterministic function during a short duration of time. By deterministic function A(t)=1-exp($-{\beta}t$), the absolute value square of oscillatory function is represented from author's studies. The time-dependent random response spectral density is represented by using the absolute value square of oscillatory function and equivalent wind load spectrum of Solari. Especially, dynamic mean square response of the tall building subjected to fluctuating wind loads was derived as analysis function by the Cauchy's Integral Formula and Residue Theorem. As analysis examples, there were compared the numerical integral analytic results with the analysis fun. results by dynamic properties of the tall uilding.