• Title/Summary/Keyword: Random Model

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Correlation Analysis of Airline Customer Satisfaction using Random Forest with Deep Neural Network and Support Vector Machine Model

  • Hong, Sang Hoon;Kim, Bumsu;Jung, Yong Gyu
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2020
  • There are many airline customer evaluation data, but they are insufficient in terms of predicting customer satisfaction in practice. In particular, they are generally insufficient in case of verification of data value and development of a customer satisfaction prediction model based on customer evaluation data. In this paper, airline customer satisfaction analysis is conducted through an experiment of correlation analysis between customer evaluation data provided by Google's Kaggle. The difference in accuracy varied according to the three types, which are the overall variables, the top 4 and top 8 variables with the highest correlation. To build an airline customer satisfaction prediction model, they are applied to three classification algorithms of Random Forest, SVM, DNN and conduct a classification experiment. They are divided into training data and verification data by 7:3. As a result, the DNN model showed the lowest accuracy at 86.4%, while the SVM model at 89% and the Random Forest model at 95.7% showed the highest accuracy and performance.

The Effect of Highland Weather and Soil Information on the Prediction of Chinese Cabbage Weight (기상 및 토양정보가 고랭지배추 단수예측에 미치는 영향)

  • Kwon, Taeyong;Kim, Rae Yong;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.701-707
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    • 2019
  • Highland farming is agriculture that takes place 400 m above sea level and typically involves both low temperatures and long sunshine hours. Most highland Chinese cabbages are harvested in the Gangwon province. The Ubiquitous Sensor Network (USN) has been deployed to observe Chinese cabbages growth because of the lack of installed weather stations in the highlands. Five representative Chinese cabbage cultivation spots were selected for USN and meteorological data collection between 2015 and 2017. The purpose of this study is to develop a weight prediction model for Chinese cabbages using the meteorological and growth data that were collected one week prior. Both a regression and random forest model were considered for this study, with the regression assumptions being satisfied. The Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) was used to evaluate the predictive performance of the models. The variables influencing the weight of cabbage were the number of cabbage leaves, wind speed, precipitation and soil electrical conductivity in the regression model. In the random forest model, cabbage width, the number of cabbage leaves, soil temperature, precipitation, temperature, soil moisture at a depth of 30 cm, cabbage leaf width, soil electrical conductivity, humidity, and cabbage leaf length were screened. The RMSE of the random forest model was 265.478, a value that was relatively lower than that of the regression model (404.493); this is because the random forest model could explain nonlinearity.

Study of Virtual Goods Purchase Model Applying Dynamic Social Network Structure Variables (동적 소셜네트워크 구조 변수를 적용한 가상 재화 구매 모형 연구)

  • Lee, Hee-Tae;Bae, Jungho
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - The existing marketing studies using Social Network Analysis have assumed that network structure variables are time-invariant. However, a node's network position can fluctuate considerably over time and the node's network structure can be changed dynamically. Hence, if such a dynamic structural network characteristics are not specified for virtual goods purchase model, estimated parameters can be biased. In this paper, by comparing a time-invariant network structure specification model(base model) and time-varying network specification model(proposed model), the authors intend to prove whether the proposed model is superior to the base model. In addition, the authors also intend to investigate whether coefficients of network structure variables are random over time. Research design, data, and methodology - The data of this study are obtained from a Korean social network provider. The authors construct a monthly panel data by calculating the raw data. To fit the panel data, the authors derive random effects panel tobit model and multi-level mixed effects model. Results - First, the proposed model is better than that of the base model in terms of performance. Second, except for constraint, multi-level mixed effects models with random coefficient of every network structure variable(in-degree, out-degree, in-closeness centrality, out-closeness centrality, clustering coefficient) perform better than not random coefficient specification model. Conclusion - The size and importance of virtual goods market has been dramatically increasing. Notwithstanding such a strategic importance of virtual goods, there is little research on social influential factors which impact the intention of virtual good purchase. Even studies which investigated social influence factors have assumed that social network structure variables are time-invariant. However, the authors show that network structure variables are time-variant and coefficients of network structure variables are random over time. Thus, virtual goods purchase model with dynamic network structure variables performs better than that with static network structure model. Hence, if marketing practitioners intend to use social influences to sell virtual goods in social media, they had better consider time-varying social influences of network members. In addition, this study can be also differentiated from other related researches using survey data in that this study deals with actual field data.

Basic Study on Safety Accident Prediction Model Using Random Forest in Construction Field (랜덤 포레스트 기법을 이용한 건설현장 안전재해 예측 모형 기초 연구)

  • Kang, Kyung-Su;Ryu, Han-Guk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2018.11a
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    • pp.59-60
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to predict and classify the accident types based on the KOSHA (Korea Occupational Safety & Health Agency) and weather data. We also have an effort to suggest an important management method according to accident types by deriving feature importance. We designed two models based on accident data and weather data (model(a)) and only weather data (model(b)). As a result of random forest method, the model(b) showed a lack of accuracy in prediction. However, the model(a) presented more accurate prediction results than the model(b). Thus we presented safety management plan based on the results. In the future, this study will continue to carry out real time prediction to occurrence types to prevent safety accidents by supplementing the real time accident data and weather data.

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Applicability Evaluation of a Mixed Model for the Analysis of Repeated Inventory Data : A Case Study on Quercus variabilis Stands in Gangwon Region (반복측정자료 분석을 위한 혼합모형의 적용성 검토: 강원지역 굴참나무 임분을 대상으로)

  • Pyo, Jungkee;Lee, Sangtae;Seo, Kyungwon;Lee, Kyungjae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.104 no.1
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate mixed model of dbh-height relation containing random effect. Data were obtained from a survey site for Quercus variabilis in Gangwon region and remeasured the same site after three years. The mixed model were used to fixed effect in the dbh-height relation for Quercus variabilis, with random effect representing correlation of survey period were obtained. To verify the evaluation of the model for random effect, the akaike information criterion (abbreviated as, AIC) was used to calculate the variance-covariance matrix, and residual of repeated data. The estimated variance-covariance matrix, and residual were -0.0291, 0.1007, respectively. The model with random effect (AIC = -215.5) has low AIC value, comparison with model with fixed effect (AIC = -154.4). It is for this reason that random effect associated with categorical data is used in the data fitting process, the model can be calibrated to fit repeated site by obtaining measurements. Therefore, the results of this study could be useful method for developing model using repeated measurement.

Bayesian Test for the Intraclass Correlation Coefficient in the One-Way Random Effect Model

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Hee-Choon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.645-654
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we develop the Bayesian test procedure for the intraclass correlation coefficient in the unbalanced one-way random effect model based on the reference priors. That is, the objective is to compare two nested model such as the independent and intraclass models using the factional Bayes factor. Thus the model comparison problem in this case amounts to testing the hypotheses $H_1:\rho=0$ versus $H_2:{\rho}{\neq}0$. Some real data examples are provided.

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Macro-Model of Magnetic Tunnel Junction for STT-MRAM including Dynamic Behavior

  • Kim, Kyungmin;Yoo, Changsik
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.728-732
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    • 2014
  • Macro-model of magnetic tunnel junction (MTJ) for spin transfer torque magnetic random access memory (STT-MRAM) has been developed. The macro-model can describe the dynamic behavior such as the state change of MTJ as a function of the pulse width of driving current and voltage. The statistical behavior has been included in the model to represent the variation of the MTJ characteristic due to process variation. The macro-model has been developed in Verilog-A.

Korean Welfare Panel Data: A Computational Bayesian Method for Ordered Probit Random Effects Models

  • Lee, Hyejin;Kyung, Minjung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.45-60
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    • 2014
  • We introduce a MCMC sampling for a generalized linear normal random effects model with the ordered probit link function based on latent variables from suitable truncated normal distribution. Such models have proven useful in practice and we have observed numerically reasonable results in the estimation of fixed effects when the random effect term is provided. Applications that utilize Korean Welfare Panel Study data can be difficult to model; subsequently, we find that an ordered probit model with the random effects leads to an improved analyses with more accurate and precise inferences.

Bayesian analysis of random partition models with Laplace distribution

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.457-480
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    • 2017
  • We develop a random partition procedure based on a Dirichlet process prior with Laplace distribution. Gibbs sampling of a Laplace mixture of linear mixed regressions with a Dirichlet process is implemented as a random partition model when the number of clusters is unknown. Our approach provides simultaneous partitioning and parameter estimation with the computation of classification probabilities, unlike its counterparts. A full Gibbs-sampling algorithm is developed for an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo posterior computation. The proposed method is illustrated with simulated data and one real data of the energy efficiency of Tsanas and Xifara (Energy and Buildings, 49, 560-567, 2012).

Evaluation of the Performance and Reliability of a Real-Time System Using Fuzzy-Random Variables (퍼지-랜덤 변수를 이용한 실시간 제어 시스템의 성능 및 신뢰도 평가기법 연구)

  • 민병조;이석주;김학배
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.433-440
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    • 2000
  • To flexibly evaluate performance and reliability of a real-time system which is intrinsically characterized by stringent timing constraints to generate correct responses, we propose fuzzyrandom variables and build a discrete event model embedded with fuzzy-random variables. Also, we adapt fuzzy-variables to a path-space approach, which derives the upper and lower bounds of reliability by using a semi-Markov model that explicitly contains the deadline information. Consequently, we propose certain formulas of state automata properly transformed by fuzzy-random variables, and present numerical examples applying the formulas to RTP(Rapid Thermal Process) to show that a complex system can be properly evaluated based on this model by computer simulation.

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