• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quadratic Regression Model

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Introduction of TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) Model for Short-Term Load Forecasting including Temperature Variable (온도를 변수로 갖는 단기부하예측에서의 TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) 모델 도입)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hun;Lee, Yun-Ho;Kim, Jin-O
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.184-186
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes the introduction of TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) model for short-term load forecasting including temperature variable. TAR model is a piecewise linear autoregressive model. In the scatter diagram of daily peak load versus daily maximum or minimum temperature, we can find out that the load-temperature relationship has a negative slope in lower regime and a positive slope in upper regime due to the heating and cooling load, respectively. In this paper, daily peak load was forecasted by applying TAR model using this load-temperature characteristic in these regimes. The results are compared with those of linear and quadratic regression models.

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Approximate Optimization of High-speed Train Shape and Tunnel Condition to Reduce the Micro-pressure Wave (미기압파 저감을 위한 고속전철 열차-터널 조건의 근사최적설계)

  • Kim, Jung-Hui;Lee, Jong-Soo;Kwon, Hyeok-Bin
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.1023-1028
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    • 2004
  • A micro-pressure wave is generated by the high-speed train which enters a tunnel, and it causes explosive noise and vibration at the exit. It is known that train speed, train-tunnel area ratio, nose slenderness and nose shape mainly influence on generating micro-pressure wave. So it is required to minimize it by searching optimal values of such train shape factors and tunnel condition. In this study, response surface model, one of approximation models, is used to perform optimization effectively and analyze sensitivity of design variables. Owen's randomized orthogonal array and D-optimal Design are used to construct response surface model. In order to increase accuracy of model, stepwise regression is selected. Finally SQP(Sequential Quadratic Programming) optimization algorithm is used to minimize the maximum micro-pressure wave by using built approximation model.

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An Alternative Model for Determining the Optimal Fertilizer Level (수도(水稻) 적정시비량(適正施肥量) 결정(決定)에 대한 대체모형(代替模型))

  • Chang, Suk-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 1980
  • Linear models, with and without site variables, have been investigated in order to develop an alternative methodology for determining optimal fertilizer levels. The resultant models are : (1) Model I is an ordinary quadratic response function formed by combining the simple response function estimated at each site in block diagonal form, and has parameters [${\gamma}^{(1)}_{m{\ell}}$], for m=1, 2, ${\cdots}$, n sites and degrees of polynomial, ${\ell}$=0, 1, 2. (2) Mode II is a multiple regression model with a set of site variables (including an intercept) repeated for each fertilizer level and the linear and quadratic terms of the fertilizer variables arranged in block diagonal form as in Model I. The parameters are equal to [${\beta}_h\;{\gamma}^{(2)}_{m{\ell}}$] for h=0, 1, 2, ${\cdots}$, k site variable, m=1, 2, ${\cdots}$ and ${\ell}$=1, 2. (3) Model III is a classical response surface model, I. e., a common quadratic polynomial model for the fertilizer variables augmented with site variables and interactions between site variables and the linear fertilizer terms. The parameters are equal to [${\beta}_h\;{\gamma}_{\ell}\;{\theta}_h$], for h=0, 1, ${\cdots}$, k, ${\ell}$=1, 2, and h'=1, 2, ${\cdots}$, k. (4) Model IV has the same basic structure as Mode I, but estimation procedure involves two stages. In stage 1, yields for each fertilizer level are regressed on the site variables and the resulting predicted yields for each site are then regressed on the fertilizer variables in stage 2. Each model has been evaluated under the assumption that Model III is the postulated true response function. Under this assumption, Models I, II and IV give biased estimators of the linear fertilizer response parameter which depend on the interaction between site variables and applied fertilizer variables. When the interaction is significant, Model III is the most efficient for calculation of optimal fertilizer level. It has been found that Model IV is always more efficient than Models I and II, with efficiency depending on the magnitude of ${\lambda}m$, the mth diagonal element of X (X' X)' X' where X is the site variable matrix. When the site variable by linear fertilizer interaction parameters are zero or when the estimated interactions are not important, it is demonstrated that Model IV can be a reasonable alternative model for calculation of optimal fertilizer level. The efficiencies of the models are compared us ing data from 256 fertilizer trials on rice conducted in Korea. Although Model III is usually preferred, the empirical results from the data analysis support the feasibility of using Model IV in practice when the estimated interaction term between measured soil organic matter and applied nitrogen is not important.

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MLR & ANN approaches for prediction of compressive strength of alkali activated EAFS

  • Ozturk, Murat;Cansiz, Omer F.;Sevim, Umur K.;Bankir, Muzeyyen Balcikanli
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.559-567
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    • 2018
  • In this study alkali activation of Electric Arc Furnace Slag (EAFS) is studied with a comprehensive test program. Three different silicate moduli (1-1,5-2), three different sodium concentrations (4%-6%-8%) for each silicate module, two different curing conditions (45%-98% relative humidity) for each sodium concentration, two different curing temperatures ($400^{\circ}C-800^{\circ}C$) for each relative humidity condition and two different curing time (6h-12h) for each curing temperature variables are selected and their effects on compressive strength was evaluated then regression equations using multiple linear regressions methods are fitted. And then to select the best regression models confirm with using the variables, the regression models compared between itself. An Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models that use silicate moduli, sodium concentration, relative humidity, curing temperature and curing time variables, are formed. After the investigation of these ANN models' results, ANN and multiple linear regressions based models are compared with each other. After that, an explicit formula is developed with values of the ANN model. As a result of this study, the fluctuations of data set of the compressive strength were very well reflected using both of the methods, multiple linear regression with quadratic terms and ANN.

Longitudinal Analysis of Body Weight and Feed Intake in Selection Lines for Residual Feed Intake in Pigs

  • Cai, W.;Wu, H.;Dekkers, J.C.M.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2011
  • A selection experiment for reduced residual feed intake (RFI) in Yorkshire pigs consisted of a line selected for lower RFI (LRFI) and a random control line (CTRL). Longitudinal measurements of daily feed intake (DFI) and body weight (BW) from generation 5 of this experiment were used. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the use of random regression (RR) and nonlinear mixed models to predict DFI and BW for individual pigs, accounting for the substantial missing information that characterizes these data, and to evaluate the effect of selection for RFI on BW and DFI curves. Forty RR models with different-order polynomials of age as fixed and random effects, and with homogeneous or heterogeneous residual variance by month of age, were fitted for both DFI and BW. Based on predicted residual sum of squares (PRESS) and residual diagnostics, the quadratic polynomial RR model was identified to be best, but with heterogeneous residual variance for DFI and homogeneous residual variance for BW. Compared to the simple quadratic and linear regression models for individual pigs, these RR models decreased PRESS by 1% and 2% for DFI and by 42% and 36% for BW on boars and gilts, respectively. Given the same number of random effects as the polynomial RR models, i.e., two for BW and one for DFI, the non-linear Gompertz model predicted better than the polynomial RR models but not as good as higher order polynomial RR models. After five generations of selection for reduced RFI, the LRFI line had a lower population curve for DFI and BW than the CTRL line, especially towards the end of the growth period.

Effects of Light Intensity and Temperature on Growth and Root Yield of Valeriana fauriei var. dasycarpa HARA (쥐오줌풀의 생육 및 뿌리수량에 미치는 광도와 온도의 영향)

  • Lee, Jong-Chul;Cho, Chang-Hwan;Ahn, Tae-Jin;Choi, Young-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Medicinal Crop Science
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.7-11
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    • 1996
  • This study was conducted to know the effects of light intensity and temperature on growth of V. fauriei plants. Photosynthesis of V. fauriei had highly significant relations to light intensity and temperature in a quadratic regression model, from which the optimum light intensity and temperature for the plant growth were estimated to be 40,000lux and $17.7^{\circ}C.$ Root was produced less by shading at Jinbu where is located in alpine region, but root yield is increased by shading at Umsong where is located in plane region. Roots were produced more in Jinbu than in Umsong. A highly significant quadratic regression was noted between temperature and leaf width or root weight of V. fauriei. It was estimated from the regression equation that the optimum temperature for root growth was $20.3^{\circ}C.$

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Semiparametric support vector machine for accelerated failure time model

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha;Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.765-775
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    • 2010
  • For the accelerated failure time (AFT) model a lot of effort has been devoted to develop effective estimation methods. AFT model assumes a linear relationship between the logarithm of event time and covariates. In this paper we propose a semiparametric support vector machine to consider situations where the functional form of the effect of one or more covariates is unknown. The proposed estimating equation can be computed by a quadratic programming and a linear equation. We study the effect of several covariates on a censored response variable with an unknown probability distribution. We also provide a generalized approximate cross-validation method for choosing the hyper-parameters which affect the performance of the proposed approach. The proposed method is evaluated through simulations using the artificial example.

Determination of Nitrogen in Fresh and Dry Leaf of Apple by Near Infrared Technology (근적외 분석법을 응용한 사과의 생잎과 건조잎의 질소분석)

  • Zhang, Guang-Cai;Seo, Sang-Hyun;Kang, Yeon-Bok;Han, Xiao-Ri;Park, Woo-Churl
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.259-265
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    • 2004
  • A quicker method was developed for foliar analysis in diagnosis of nitrogen in apple trees based on multivariate calibration procedure using partial least squares regression (PLSR) and principal component regression (PCR) to establish the relationship between reflectance spectra in the near infrared region and nitrogen content of fresh- and dry-leaf. Several spectral pre-processing methods such as smoothing, mean normalization, multiplicative scatter correction (MSC) and derivatives were used to improve the robustness and performance of the calibration models. Norris first derivative with a seven point segment and a gap of six points on MSC gave the best result of partial least squares-1 PLS-1) model for dry-leaf samples with root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) equal to $0.699g\;kg^{-1}$, and that the Savitzky-Golay first derivate with a seven point convolution and a quadratic polynomial on MSC gave the best results of PLS-1 model for fresh-samples with RMSEP of $1.202g\;kg^{-1}$. The best PCR model was obtained with Savitzky-Golay first derivative using a seven point convolution and a quadratic polynomial on mean normalization for dry leaf samples with RMSEP of $0.553g\;kg^{-1}$, and obtained with the Savitzky-Golay first derivate using a seven point convolution and a quadratic polynomial for fresh samples with RMSEP of $1.047g\;kg^{-1}$. The results indicate that nitrogen can be determined by the near infrared reflectance (NIR) technology for fresh- and dry-leaf of apple.

Experimental analysis and modeling of steel fiber reinforced SCC using central composite design

  • Kandasamy, S.;Akila, P.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.215-229
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    • 2015
  • The emerging technology of self compacting concrete, fiber reinforcement together reduces vibration and substitute conventional reinforcement which help in improving the economic efficiency of the construction. The objective of this work is to find the regression model to determine the response surface of mix proportioning Steel Fiber Reinforced Self Compacting Concrete (SFSCC) using statistical investigation. A total of 30 mixtures were designed and analyzed based on Design of Experiment (DOE). The fresh properties of SCC and mechanical properties of concrete were studied using Response Surface Methodology (RSM). The results were analyzed by limited proportion of fly ash, fiber, volume combination ratio of two steel fibers with aspect ratio of 50/35: 60/30 and super plasticizer (SP) dosage. The center composite designs (CCD) have selected to produce the response in quadratic equation. The model responses included in the primary stage were flowing ability, filling ability, passing ability and segregation index whereas in harden stage of concrete, compressive strength, split tensile strength and flexural strength at 28 days were tested. In this paper, the regression model and the response surface plots have been discussed, and optimal results were found for all the responses.

Selection of Optimal Vegetation Indices and Regression Model for Estimation of Rice Growth Using UAV Aerial Images

  • Lee, Kyung-Do;Park, Chan-Won;So, Kyu-Ho;Na, Sang-Il
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.409-421
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    • 2017
  • Recently Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) technology offers new opportunities for assessing crop growth condition using UAV imagery. The objective of this study was to select optimal vegetation indices and regression model for estimating of rice growth using UAV images. This study was conducted using a fixed-wing UAV (Model : Ebee) with Cannon S110 and Cannon IXUS camera during farming season in 2016 on the experiment field of National Institute of Crop Science. Before heading stage of rice, there were strong relationships between rice growth parameters (plant height, dry weight and LAI (Leaf Area Index)) and NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) using natural exponential function ($R{\geq}0.97$). After heading stage, there were strong relationships between rice dry weight and NDVI, gNDVI (green NDVI), RVI (Ratio Vegetation Index), CI-G (Chlorophyll Index-Green) using quadratic function ($R{\leq}-0.98$). There were no apparent relationships between rice growth parameters and vegetation indices using only Red-Green-Blue band images.