• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.38 no.1
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• pp.201-216
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• 2013

Diffusion is a basic mathematical tool for modern financial engineering. The theory of the estimation methods for diffusion models is an important topic of the financial engineering. Many researches have been tried to apply the likelihood estimation method for estimating diffusion models. However, the likelihood estimation method for diffusion is complicated and needs much amount of computing. In this paper we develop the estimation methods which are simple enough to be compared to the Euler approximation method, and efficient enough statistically to be compared to the likelihood estimation method. We devise pseudo-likelihood and propose the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimation methods. The pseudo-likelihoods are obtained by approximating the transition density with normal distributions. The means and the variances of the distributions are obtained from the delta expansion suggested by Lee, Song and Lee (2012). We compare the newly suggested estimators with other existing estimators by simulation study. From the simulation study we find the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator has very similar properties with the maximum likelihood estimator. Also the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator is easy to apply to general diffusion models, and can be obtained by simple numerical steps.

• Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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• v.35 no.7
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• pp.417-423
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• 2008

In this paper we present a probabilistic method for source separation in the case here each source has a certain temporal structure. We tackle the problem of source separation by maximum pseudo-likelihood estimation, representing the latent function which characterizes the temporal structure of each source by a random process with a Gaussian prior. The resulting pseudo-likelihood of the data is Gaussian, determined by a mixing matrix as well as by the predictive mean and covariance matrix that can easily be computed by Gaussian process (GP) regression. Gradient-based optimization is applied to estimate the demixing matrix through maximizing the log-pseudo-likelihood of the data. umerical experiments confirm the useful behavior of our method, compared to existing source separation methods.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics
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• v.26 no.9
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• pp.1436-1443
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• 1989

In this paper, we propose a maximum-likelihood estimation(MLE) method to obtain the location and the amplitude of the pulses in MPE( multi-pulse excitation)-LPC speech synthesis using multi-pulses as excitation source. This MLE method computes the value maximizing the likelihood function with respect to unknown parameters(amplitude and position of the pulses) for the observed data sequence. Thus in the case of overlapped pulses, the method is equivalent to Ozawa's crosscorrelation method, resulting in equal amount of computation and sound quality with the cross-correlation method. We show by computer simulation: the multi-pulses obtained by MLE method are(1) pseudo-periodic in pitch in the case of voicde sound, (2) the pulses are random for unvoiced sound, (3) the pulses change from random to periodic in the interval where the original speech signal changes from unvoiced to voiced. Short time power specta of original speech and syunthesized speech obtained by using multi-pulses as excitation source are quite similar to each other at the formants.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.8
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• pp.807-823
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• 2008

This paper presents a technique for estimating discharge rating curve parameters. In typical practical applications, the original non-linear rating curve is transformed into a simple linear regression model by log-transforming the measurement without examining the effect of log transformation. The model of pseudo-likelihood estimation is developed in this study to deal with heteroscedasticity of residuals in the original non-linear model. The parameters of rating curves and variance functions of errors are simultaneously estimated by the pseudo-likelihood estimation(P-LE) method. Simulated annealing, a global optimization technique, is adapted to minimize the log likelihood of the weighted residuals. The P-LE model was then applied to a hypothetical site where stage-discharge data were generated by incorporating various errors. Results of the P-LE model show reduced error values and narrower confidence intervals than those of the common log-transform linear least squares(LT-LR) model. Also, the limit of water levels for segmentation of discharge rating curve is estimated in the process of P-LE using the Heaviside function. Finally, model performance of the conventional log-transformed linear regression and the developed model, P-LE are computed and compared. After statistical simulation, the developed method is then applied to the real data sets from 5 gauge stations in the Geum River basin. It can be suggested that this developed strategy is applied to real sites to successfully determine weights taking into account error distributions from the observed discharge data.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.30 no.6
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• pp.957-981
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• 2017

A generalized linear mixed model is an extension of a generalized linear model that allows random effect as well as provides flexibility in developing a suitable model when observations are correlated or when there are other underlying phenomena that contribute to resulting variability. We describe maximum likelihood estimation methods for logistic regression models that include random effects - the Laplace approximation, Gauss-Hermite quadrature, adaptive Gauss-Hermite quadrature, and pseudo-likelihood. Applications are provided with social science problems by analyzing the effect of mental health and life satisfaction on volunteer activities from Korean welfare panel data; in addition, we observe that the inclusion of random effects in the model leads to improved analyses with more reasonable inferences.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.143-169
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• 2022

This study investigates the effect of economic factors on immigration using the gravity model of immigration. Cross-sectional regression and panel data analyses are conducted from 2000 to 2019 using the OECD International Migration Database, which consists of 36 destination countries and 201 countries of origin. The Poisson pseudo-maximum-likelihood method, which can effectively correct potential biased estimates caused by zeros in the immigration data, is used for estimation. The results indicate that the economic factors strengthened after the global financial crisis. Additionally, this effect varies depending on the type of immigration (the income level of origin country). The gravity model applied to immigration performs reasonably well, but it is necessary to consider the country-specific and time-varying characteristics.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.217-234
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• 2018

Copulas are a tool for constructing multivariate distributions and formalizing the dependence structure between random variables. From copula literature review, there are a few asymmetric copulas available so far while data collected from the real world often exhibit asymmetric nature. This necessitates developing asymmetric copulas. In this study, we discuss a method to construct a new class of bivariate asymmetric copulas based on products of symmetric (sometimes asymmetric) copulas with powered arguments in order to determine if the proposed construction can offer an added value for modeling asymmetric bivariate data. With these newly constructed copulas, we investigate dependence properties and measure of association between random variables. In addition, the test of symmetry of data and the estimation of hyper-parameters by the maximum likelihood method are discussed. With two real example such as car rental data and economic indicators data, we perform the goodness-of-fit test of our proposed asymmetric copulas. For these data, some of the proposed models turned out to be successful whereas the existing copulas were mostly unsuccessful. The method of presented here can be useful in fields such as finance, climate and social science.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2008.05a
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• pp.1770-1773
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• 2008

수위-유량 관계 곡선식에 포함되어져 있는 매개변수를 추정하기 위해 많이 사용되는 로그선형 회귀분석은 잔차의 비등분산성(heterocesdascity)을 고려하지 못하므로 본 연구에서는 의사우도추정법(Pseudo-likelihood Estimation, P-LE)에 의해 분산함수를 추정하고 이와 함께 회귀계수를 추정할 수 있는 방법을 제시하였다. 이 과정에서 제시된 회귀잔차를 최소화하기 위하여 SA(simulated annealing)이라는 전역 최적화 알고리즘을 적용하였다. 또한 수위-유량 관계 곡선식은 단면 등의 영향으로 인해 구간에 따라 각각 다르게 구축되어져야 하므로 이를 보다 객관적으로 판단하고 분리 위치를 정확히 추정하기 위하여 Heaviside 함수를 의사우도함수에 포함시켜 결과를 추정하도록 하였으며, 2개의 구간을 가지는 유량자료를 이용하여 제시된 방법의 합리성을 통계적으로 실험하였다. 이와 같이 통계적 실험을 통해 제시된 방법들이 기존 방법과 비교하여 가질 수 있는 장점을 파악하였으며, 제시된 방법들을 금강유역 5개 지점에서 대해 수행하여 효율성을 검증하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.381-394
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• 2016

Graphical model represents conditional dependencies between variables as a graph with nodes and edges. It is widely used in various fields including physics, economics, and biology to describe complex association. Conditional dependencies can be estimated from a inverse covariance matrix, where zero off-diagonal elements denote conditional independence of corresponding variables. This paper proposes a efficient BCDR (block coordinate descent with random permutation) algorithm using graphics processing units and random permutation for the CONCORD (convex correlation selection method) based on the BCD (block coordinate descent) algorithm, which estimates a inverse covariance matrix based on pseudo-likelihood. We conduct numerical studies for two network structures to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed algorithm for the CONCORD in terms of computation times.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.253-256
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• 2003

In ecological studies, animal science, or entomology, the variance of count is considered to have the power of the mean relationship with the mean count as Taylor (1961) presented his famous 'Taylor's Power Law'. In this talk, we are going to review the development of TPL and its extension toward pest management sampling scheme. Different estimation methods are compared. Quasilikelihood approach is suggested to incorporate covariate information. Possible extensions will be discussed.