• Title/Summary/Keyword: Project duration

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Predicting Construction Project Cost using Sensitivity Analysis in Stochastic Project Scheduling Simulation (SPSS) (확률 통계적 일정 시뮬레이선 - 민감도 분석을 이용한 최종 공사비 예측)

  • Lee Dong-Eun;Park Chan-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.6 no.4 s.26
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    • pp.80-90
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    • 2005
  • Activity durations retain probabilistic and stochastic natures due to diverse factors causing the delay or acceleration of activity completion. These natures make the final project duration to be a random variable. These factors are the major source of financial risk. Extending the Stochastic Project Scheduling Simulation system (SPSS) developed in previous research; this research presents a method to estimate how the final project duration behaves when activity durations change randomly. The final project cost is estimated by considering the fluctuation of indirect cost, which occurs due to the delay or acceleration of activity completion, along with direct cost assigned to an activity. The final project cost is estimated by considering how indirect cost behaves when activity duration change. The method quantifies the amount of contingency to cover the expected delay of project delivery. It is based on the quantitative analysis to obtain the descriptive statistics from the simulation outputs (final project durations). Existing deterministic scheduling method apply an arbitrary figures to the amount of delay contingency with uncertainty. However, the stochastic method developed in this research allows computing the amount of delay contingency with certainty and certain degree of confidence. An example project is used to illustrate the quantitative analysis method using simulation. When the statistical location and shape of probability distribution functions defining activity durations change, how the final project duration and cost behave are ascertained using automated sensitivity analysis method

NEW INTELLIGENT APPROACH FOR PROJECT MANAGEMENT IN CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY

  • D. Aparna;D. Sridhar;J. Rajani;B. Sravani;V.S.S. Kumar
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.366-370
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    • 2005
  • The construction environment is dynamic in nature and is characterized by various degrees of uncertainties. The uncertainties such as lack of coordination, non availability of resources, condition of temporary structures and varying weather conditions have a significant impact on estimating the duration of activities. These are subjective, vague and imprecisely defined and are expressed in subjective measures rather than mathematical terms. Conventionally, various quantitative techniques such as CPM and PERT have emerged in construction industry. These techniques cannot solve the above problems and rely on human experts which may not always be possible. In such situations Artificial Intelligence tools such as fuzzy sets and neural networks handle such variables and provide global strategies. The present paper evaluates the effect of qualitative factors to identify the activity duration using new intelligent approach. The results are compared with conventional methods for effective project management. A case study is considered to demonstrate the applicability of fuzzy logic for project scheduling.

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An Analysis of the Duration of the Construction Document Phase of Large Public Building Projects Delivered by the Total Solution Service from 2009 to 2014 (공공기관 발주 대형건축공사 실시설계 기간에 대한 분석 및 개선방안 -2009년부터 2014년까지 공공발주 맞춤형 서비스 프로젝트를 중심으로 -)

  • Jung, Wooyoung;Lee, Taewon;Rhee, Pung-wook;Lee, Ghang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2015
  • This paper analyzes the duration of the construction document (CD) phase of 42 large public building projects delivered by the total solution service of Public Procurement Services in Korea from 2009 to 2014. The quality of construction documents significantly affects the quality of construction and facility management. Thus, securing appropriate time for the CD phase during project planning is important for the quality of a project. Currently, the duration of the CD phase is planned based on the construction costs of a project following a notice of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport. However, our analysis results showed that the correlation between the actual duration of the CD phase and construction costs is very weak. The actual CD phase takes 1.33-1.79 times longer than the planned duration. The practitioners who were interviewed, were already aware that the correlation between the duration of the CD phase and the construction costs is weak. They identified the complexity of the project, the extent of the design changes, project type, client characteristics, and others as more influential factors on the CD phase than the construction costs. To improve the quality of CDs, a new guideline for determining an adequate CD phase duration should be studied and developed.

A Study on Estimating Normal Project Duration of Apartment Remodeling Project (공동주택 리모델링공사 표준공기 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Jongsik;Yu, Ilhan
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.12-20
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    • 2017
  • The biggest reason to prefer the remodeling is a relatively short period of time (5~6 years) compared to the reconstruction work that takes 8~9 years. In addition, from the perspective that the period of temporary residence is usually 24 months, the necessity of shortening is greater. Also, since the remodeling construction period is approximately 28~35 months on average, the strategies and efforts are needed to make up for the shortening the remodeling construction period. For these reasons, this paper is to develop an estimating model for normal project duration of apartment remodeling project. This model is reflected in the remodeling properties thorugh difference analysis of the new apartment construction project. Demolition works, reinforcement works, extension works are different, so this paper newly defines these construction work's duration in normal project duraion of remodeling. Case study and experts interviews are used to validate normal project duration. This model can be used to calculate rough construction period each alternatives, and will help a strategic decision making among the stakeholders.

Resource Leveling using Genetic Algorithm (유전알고리즘을 활용한 자원평준화 방법론)

  • Gwak, Han-Seong;Bea, Sang-Hee;Lee, Dong-Eun
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2018
  • Resource leveling minimizes resource fluctuations by deferring the earliest start times (ESTs) of non-critical activities within their corresponding total float. The intentional float-consumption for resource leveling purpose reduces the schedule delay contingency. This paper presents a method called Genetic Algorithm based Resource Leveling (GARL) that minimizes resource fluctuations and float-consumption impact over project duration. It identifies activities that are less sensitive to float-consumption and performs resource leveling using those activities. The study is of value to project scheduler because GARL identifies the set of activities to be deferred and the number of shift day(s) of each and every activities in the set within its total float expeditiously. It contributes to establish a baseline schedule which implements an optimal resource leveling plan. A case study is presented to verify the validity and usability of the method. It was confirmed that GARL satisfies the project duration constraint by considering resource fluctuations and float-consumption over project duration.

Optimal Project Duration Estimation Through Enhanced Resource Leveling Technique (개선된 자원 평준화 기법을 활용한 적정 공기산정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon Yung-Sang;Kim Kyung-Hwan;Kim Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.575-578
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    • 2004
  • Since a construction project is a series of works that utilizes resources to accomplish the project goal for a given time period, efficient resource management is a prerequisite for the success of the project. Two major areas of resource management are resource constrained scheduling focusing on the limited resource availability and resource leveling focusing on smoothing resource usage pattern on the fixed project completion time. It is not available, however, to apply both techniques to a project at the same time. This paper proposes a model to enhance the minimum moment algorithm of resource leveling, aiming to find an efficient usage of resources and an appropriate project completion time. A survey is performed to evaluate the major five factors using the AHP.

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Fuzzy-MOEH : Resource Constraints Project Scheduling Algorithm with Fuzzy Concept (Fuzzy-MOEH : 퍼지 개념을 이용한 자원제약 프로젝트 스케줄링 알고리즘)

  • Koh, Jang-Kwon;Shin, Ye-Ho;Ryu, Keun-Ho;Kim, Hong-Gi
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.359-371
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    • 2001
  • Project scheduling under resource constraint conditions have contained to many uncertain factors and it is perfonned by human experts. The expert identifies the activities of the project, decides the precedent relationships between these activities, and then construct the schedule using expected activity's duration. At this time, most of the scheduling methods concentrate on one of scheduling factor between activity duration and cost. And the activity duration, which is the most important factor in scheduling, is decided by heuristic of expert. Therefore it may cause uncertainty of activity duration decision and the use of this activity duration may increase the uncertainty of constructed schedule. This paper proposes Fuzzy-MOEH scheduling algorithm, which is the aggregation of the fuzzy number for deciding activity duration and applies the cost function for solving the problems of previous scheduling methods. This paper also analyze the utility and property of Fuzzy-MEOH algorithm through the comparison between Fuzzy-MEOH algorithm and existing MEOH algorithm.

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Framework for Estimating Appropriate Construction Duration of CFRD in the Planning Phase

  • Kim, In Kyum;Kim, Kyong Ju;Yun, Won Gun
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.604-605
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    • 2015
  • To secure quality of dam construction needs appropriate construction duration. Tight construction schedule may have negative influence on infrastructure quality, work safety and maintenance cost. It is necessary to reflect proper construction duration in the planning phase. There have been standards for estimating construction duration of building and industrial complex development but dam construction have not. In order to estimate construction duration of CFRD, feasible study reports and design reports were analyzed to acquire available information. After that, considering on construction duration methods such as comparison with similar cases, approximate estimating formula, approximate quantity assumption were adapted to Critical Path items. Hence, this study present framework for construction duration estimating of CFRD in the planning phase. This framework can be applied other types of dam along the same line.

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Ontology for estimating excavation duration for smart construction of hard rock tunnel projects under resource constraint

  • Yang, Shuhan;Ren, Zhihao;Kim, Jung In
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.222-229
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    • 2022
  • Although stochastic programming and feedback control approaches could efficiently mitigate the overdue risks caused by inherent uncertainties in ground conditions, the lack of formal representations of planners' rationales for resource allocation still prevents planners from applying these approaches due to the inability to consider comprehensive resource allocation policies for hard rock tunnel projects. To overcome the limitations, the authors developed an ontology that represents the project duration estimation rationales, considering the impacts of ground conditions, excavation methods, project states, resources (i.e., given equipment fleet), and resource allocation policies (RAPs). This ontology consists of 5 main classes with 22 subclasses. It enables planners to explicitly and comprehensively represent the necessary information to rapidly and consistently estimate the excavation durations during construction. 10 rule sets (i.e., policies) are considered and categorized into two types: non-progress-related and progress-related policies. In order to provide simplified information about the remaining durations of phases for progress-related policies, the ontology also represents encoding principles. The estimation of excavation schedules is carried out based on a hypothetical example considering two types of policies. The estimation results reveal the feasibility, potential for flexibility, and comprehensiveness of the developed ontology. Further research to improve the duration estimation methodology is warranted.

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A New Approach for Resource Allocation in Project Scheduling with Variable-Duration Activities

  • Kim, Soo-Young;Leachman, Robert C.
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.139-149
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    • 1994
  • In many project-oriented production systems, e. g., shipyards or large-scale steel products manufacturing, resource loading by an activity is flexible, and the activity duration is a function of resource allocation. For example, if one doubles the size of the crew assigned to perform an activity, it may be feasible to complete the activity in half the duration. Such flexibility has been modeled by Weglarz [13] and by Leachman, Dincerler, and Kim [7[ in extended formulations of the resource-constrained poject scheduling problem. This paper presents a new algorithmic approach to the problem that combines the ideas proposed by the aforementioned authors. The method we propose involves a two-step approach : (1) solve the resource-constrained scheduling problem using a heuristic, and (2) using this schedule as an initial feasible solution, find improved resource allocations by solving a linear programming model. We provide computational results indicating the superiority of this approach to previous methodology for the resource-constrained scheduling problem. Extensions to the model to admit overlap relationship of the activities also are presented.

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