• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability of Error

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Tests of Factor Effect Using Saturated Design in $K^n$ Factorial Design ($K^n$ 요인배치법에서 포화실험에 의한 요인효과의 검정)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.295-299
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    • 2008
  • This paper discusses tests of factor effect or contrast by the use of saturated design $k^n$ factorial design. The nine nonparametric rank measures in normality test using normal probability pot are proposed. Length's PSE(Pseduo Standard Error) test [4] which relies on the concept of effect sparsity is also introduced and extended to the margin of error(ME) and Simultaneous margin of error(SME).

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Recursive Probability Estimation of Decision Feedback Equalizers based on Constant Modulus Errors (상수 모듈러스 오차의 반복적 확률추정에 기반한 결정궤환 등화)

  • Kim, Namyong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.2172-2177
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    • 2015
  • The DF-MZEP-CME (decision feedback - maximum zero-error probability for constant modulus errors) algorithm that makes the probability for constant modulus error (CME) close to zero and employs decision feedback (DF) structures shows more improved performance in channel distortion compensation. However the DF-MZEP-CME algorithm has a computational complexity proportional to a sample size for probability estimation and this property plays a role of an obstacle in practical implementation. In this paper, the gradient of DF-MZEP-CME is proposed to be estimated recursively and shown to solve the computational problem by making the algorithm independent of the sample size. For a sample size N, the conventional method has 10N multiplications but the proposed has only 20 regardless of N. Also the recursive gradient estimation for weight update is kept in continuity from the initial state to the steady state without any error propagation.

Analysis and Probability of Overestimation by an Imperfect Inspector with Errors of Triangular Distributions (삼각 과오 분포를 가진 불완전한 검사원의 과대 추정 확률과 분석)

  • Yang, Moon Hee;Cho, Jae Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.117-132
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    • 2018
  • There always exist nonzero inspection errors whether inspectors are humans or automatic inspection machines. Inspection errors can be categorized by two types, type I error and type II error, and they can be regarded as either a constant or a random variable. Under the assumption that two types of random inspection errors are distributed with the "uniform" distribution on a half-open interval starting from zero, it was proved that inspectors overestimate any given fraction defective with the probability more than 50%, if and only if the given fraction defective is smaller than a critical value, which depends upon only the ratio of a type II error over a type I error. In addition, it was also proved that the probability of overestimation approaches one hundred percent as a given fraction defective approaches zero. If these critical phenomena hold true for any error distribution, then it might have great economic impact on commercial inspection plans due to the unfair overestimation and the recent trend of decreasing fraction defectives in industry. In this paper, we deal with the same overestimation problem, but assume a "symmetrical triangular" distribution expecting better results since our triangular distribution is closer to a normal distribution than the uniform distribution. It turns out that the overestimation phenomenon still holds true even for the triangular error distribution.

A Study on the Circular Error Probability of Short-Range Rocket with Parachute (낙하산을 갖는 단거리 발사체의 오차분석)

  • 김찬수;조요한
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.218-225
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    • 1999
  • This paper contains the computational simulation of a free rocket with a parachute and the development of a firing table for each range. To obtain the trajectory of the rocket, 6 DOF model of rocket with parachute was generated and the wind tunnel test was done for the input parameters. Good agreement was obtained between the analysis of trajectory and the flight test result. Also the trajectory error analysis was performed by the Monte Carlo simulation. As a result of simulation, the CEP(Circular Error Probability) of the firing table was calculated.

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Encoder Design for the Multiple Symbol Trellis Coded Modulation Applied to Noncoherent CPFSK on the Interleaved Rician Fading Channel

  • Kim, Chang-Joong;Lee, Ho-Kyoung
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2002.07a
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    • pp.421-424
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we introduce an encoder design technique of multiple symbol trellis coded modulation for noncoherent continuous phase frequency shift keying (MTCM/NCPFSK) on the interleaved Rician fading channel. To find dominant factors which affects the error probability of MTCM/NCPFSK, we derive the pairwise error probability (PEP) of MTCM/NCPFSK and find that the error probability mainly depends on the effective length of error event and the corresponding squared product distance (SPD) for the small value of Rician parameter K. Using this performance criteria, we search for the optimal encoder of MTCM/NCPFSK for the interleaved Rician fading channel. We also compare that encoder with the encoder designed for additive white Gaussian noise channel.

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Bit Error Probability of $\pi$/4-DQPSK with Stepped Phase over a Frequency Selective Fading Channel (주파수선택성 페이딩전송로에서 스텝형 위상을 갖는 $\pi$/4-DQPSK의 비트오율)

  • 이철성;이재홍
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics A
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    • v.32A no.9
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    • pp.1177-1183
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    • 1995
  • This paper proposes a new modulation scheme of $\pi$/4-DQPSK with stepped phase for a frequency selective fading channel. In the proposed modulation scheme, the phase of transmitted signal is shifted in the mid of a symbol duration in order to reduce the effect of multipath delay spread. It reduces the irreducible error of $\pi$/4-DQPSK over a frequency selective fading channel. It is shown that $\pi$/4-DQPSK with stepped phase achieves smaller average bit error probability than regular $\pi$/4- DQPSK by simulation. The former achieves much smaller average bit error probability than the latter for small TEX>${\tau}/T_{s}$.

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Symbol Timing & Carrier Frequency Offset Estimation Method for UWB MB-OFDM System (UWB MB-OFDM 시스템을 위한 심볼 타이밍 및 반송파 주파수 오프셋 추정 기법)

  • Kim Jung-Ju;Wang Yu-Peng;Chang Kyung-Hi
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.3A
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    • pp.232-239
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we analyze the preamble model for Wireless PAN(WPAN) in proposed Ultra WideBand(UWB) Multi-Band OFDM(MB-OFDM) system of IEEE 802.15.3a standard. Besides, we propose effective Carrier Frequency Offset and Symbol Timing Offset Estimation algorithm which offers enhanced performance, and analyze its performance using Detection Probability, False Alarm Probability, Missing Probability, Mean Acquisition Time and MSE(Mean Square Error) through simulation in AWGN and UWB channel environments.

Forecasting Probability of Precipitation Using Morkov Logistic Regression Model

  • Park, Jeong-Soo;Kim, Yun-Seon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2007
  • A three-state Markov logistic regression model is suggested to forecast the probability of tomorrow's precipitation based on the current meteorological situation. The suggested model turns out to be better than Markov regression model in the sense of the mean squared error of forecasting for the rainfall data of Seoul area.

Performance of Selective Decode-and-Forward Relay Networks with Partial Channel Information

  • Rui, Xianyi
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.139-141
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    • 2010
  • In this letter, closed-form approximations for outage probability and symbol error rate are presented for a selective decode-and-forward relay network with partial channel information. An independent but not identically distributed Rayleigh fading environment is considered. Numerical and simulated results demonstrate the validity of the analytical results.

The Binomial Distribution with Fuzzy Valued Probability (퍼지 확률에 의한 이항분포)

  • Gang, Man-Gi;Seo, Hyeon-A;Park, Yeong-Rae;Choe, Gyu-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.33-36
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    • 2008
  • We introduce some properties for fuzzy binomial distributions with fuzzy valued probability. First we define fuzzy type I error and type II error for fuzzy relative frequency and agreement index. And we show that an fuzzy power function and fuzzy binomial frequency function for binomial proportion test.

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