• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability and statistics

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Ruin Probability on Insurance Risk Models (보험위험 확률모형에서의 파산확률)

  • Park, Hyun-Suk;Choi, Jeong-Kyu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.575-586
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we study an asymptotic behavior of the finite-time ruin probability of the compound Poisson model in the case that the initial surplus is large. To compare an exact ruin probability with an approximate one, we place the focus on the exact calculation for the ruin probability when the claim size distribution is regularly varying tailed (i.e. exponential claims and inverse Gaussian claims). We estimate an adjustment coefficient in these examples and show the relationship between the adjustment coefficient and the safety premium. The illustration study shows that as the safety premium increases so does the adjustment coefficient. Larger safety premium means lower "long-term risk", which only stands to reason since higher safety premium means a faster rate of safety premium income to offset claims.

Convergence rate of a test statistics observed by the longitudinal data with long memory

  • Kim, Yoon Tae;Park, Hyun Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.481-492
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    • 2017
  • This paper investigates a convergence rate of a test statistics given by two scale sampling method based on $A\ddot{i}t$-Sahalia and Jacod (Annals of Statistics, 37, 184-222, 2009). This statistics tests for longitudinal data having the existence of long memory dependence driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H{\in}(1/2,\;1)$. We obtain an upper bound in the Kolmogorov distance for normal approximation of this test statistic. As a main tool for our works, the recent results in Nourdin and Peccati (Probability Theory and Related Fields, 145, 75-118, 2009; Annals of Probability, 37, 2231-2261, 2009) will be used. These results are obtained by employing techniques based on the combination between Malliavin calculus and Stein's method for normal approximation.

Relative Frequency of Order Statistics in Independent and Identically Distributed Random Vectors

  • Park, So-Ryoung;Kwon, Hyoung-Moon;Kim, Sun-Yong;Song, Iick-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 2006
  • The relative frequency of order statistics is investigated for independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables. Specifically, it is shown that the probability $Pr\{X_{[s]}=x\}$ is no less than the probability $Pr\{X_{[r]}=x\}$ at any point $x{\geqq}x_0$ when r$X_{[r]}$ denotes the r-th order statistic of an i.i.d. discrete random vector and $x_0$ depends on the population probability distribution. A similar result for i.i.d. continuous random vectors is also presented.

UNIFORM ASYMPTOTICS FOR THE FINITE-TIME RUIN PROBABILITY IN A GENERAL RISK MODEL WITH PAIRWISE QUASI-ASYMPTOTICALLY INDEPENDENT CLAIMS AND CONSTANT INTEREST FORCE

  • Gao, Qingwu;Yang, Yang
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.611-626
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    • 2013
  • In the paper we study the finite-time ruin probability in a general risk model with constant interest force, in which the claim sizes are pairwise quasi-asymptotically independent and arrive according to an arbitrary counting process, and the premium process is a general stochastic process. For the case that the claim-size distribution belongs to the consistent variation class, we obtain an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability, which holds uniformly for all time horizons varying in a relevant infinite interval. The obtained result also includes an asymptotic formula for the infinite-time ruin probability.

A response probability estimation for non-ignorable non-response

  • Chung, Hee Young;Shin, Key-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.263-275
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    • 2022
  • Use of appropriate technique for non-response occurring in sample survey improves the accuracy of the estimation. Many studies have been conducted for handling non-ignorable non-response and commonly the response probability is estimated using the propensity score method. Recently, post-stratification method to obtain the response probability proposed by Chung and Shin (2017) reduces the effect of bias and gives a good performance in terms of the MSE. In this study, we propose a new response probability estimation method by combining the propensity score adjustment method using the logistic regression model with post-stratification method used in Chung and Shin (2017). The superiority of the proposed method is confirmed through simulation.

Bounds on the Overflow Probability in Jackson Networks

  • Lee Jiyeon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.109-113
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    • 2000
  • We consider the probability that the total population of a Jackson network exceeds a given large value. By using the relation to the stationary distribution, we derive upper and lower bounds on this probability. These bounds imply the stronger logarithmic limit than that in Glasserman and Kou(1995) when several nodes have the same maximal load.

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SOME PROPERTIES OF BIVARIATE GENERALIZED HYPERGEOMETRIC PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

  • Kumar, C. Satheesh
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.349-355
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    • 2007
  • In this paper we study some important properties of the bivariate generalized hypergeometric probability (BGHP) distribution by establishing the existence of all the moments of the distribution and by deriving recurrence relations for raw moments. It is shown that certain mixtures of BGHP distributions are again BGHP distributions and a limiting case of the distribution is considered.

Probability and statistics curriculum in school (초.중등학교의 확률과 통계 교육과정)

  • Oh, Kwan-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1097-1103
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    • 2011
  • The Ministry of Education Science, and Technology proclamated the school curriculum of the republic of Korea at 9 August 2011. The characteristics of this curriculum are as follows; effective learning of student-centered, group of grade, group of category, concentration study, reduction of study subjects, extension of school autonomy, elective curriculum in high school. We investigate the modification of probability and statistics curriculum. And we discuss statistics education in university.

ON THE EXISTENCE OF THE TWEEDIE POWER PARAMETER IMPLICIT ESTIMATOR

  • Ghribi, Abdelaziz;Hassin, Aymen;Masmoudi, Afif
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.59 no.4
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    • pp.979-991
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    • 2022
  • A special class of exponential dispersion models is the class of Tweedie distributions. This class is very significant in statistical modeling as it includes a number of familiar distributions such as Gaussian, Gamma and compound Poisson. A Tweedie distribution has a power parameter p, a mean m and a dispersion parameter 𝜙. The value of the power parameter lies in identifying the corresponding distribution of the Tweedie family. The basic objective of this research work resides in investigating the existence of the implicit estimator of the power parameter of the Tweedie distribution. A necessary and sufficient condition on the mean parameter m, suggesting that the implicit estimator of the power parameter p exists, was established and we provided some asymptotic properties of this estimator.

Probability Sampling Using Nonlinear Programming : a Feasibility Study

  • Kim, Sun-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.201-205
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    • 2003
  • We show how some probability nonreplacement sampling designs can be implemented using nonlinear programming, The efficiency of the proposed approach is compared with selected probability sampling schemes in the literature. The approach is simple to use and appears to have reasonable variance.

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