• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic Analysis

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Enhancing Network Service Survivability in Large-Scale Failure Scenarios

  • Izaddoost, Alireza;Heydari, Shahram Shah
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.534-547
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    • 2014
  • Large-scale failures resulting from natural disasters or intentional attacks are now causing serious concerns for communication network infrastructure, as the impact of large-scale network connection disruptions may cause significant costs for service providers and subscribers. In this paper, we propose a new framework for the analysis and prevention of network service disruptions in large-scale failure scenarios. We build dynamic deterministic and probabilistic models to capture the impact of regional failures as they evolve with time. A probabilistic failure model is proposed based on wave energy behaviour. Then, we develop a novel approach for preventive protection of the network in such probabilistic large-scale failure scenarios. We show that our method significantly improves uninterrupted delivery of data in the network and reduces service disruption times in large-scale regional failure scenarios.

A method for ultrasound image edge enhancement by using Probabilistic edge map (초음파 진단영상 대조도 개선을 위한 확률 경계 맵을 이용한 연구)

  • Choi, Woo-hyuk;Park, Won-hwan;Park, Sungyun
    • The Journal of the Society of Korean Medicine Diagnostics
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2016
  • Ultrasonic imaging is the most widely modality among modern imaging device for medical diagnosis. Nevertheless, medical ultrasound images suffer from speckle noise and low contrast. In this paper, we propose probabilistic edge map for ultrasound image edge enhancement using automatic alien algorithm. The proposed method used applied speckle reduced ultrasound imaging for edge improvement using sequentially acquired ultrasound imaging. To evaluate the performance of method, the similarity between the reference and edge enhanced image was measured by quantity analysis. The experimental results show that the proposed method considerably improves the image quality with region edge enhancement.

Application of Probabilistic Technique for the Development of Fire Accident Scenarios in Railway Tunnel (확률론적 기법을 활용한 철도터널의 화재사고 시나리오의 구성)

  • 곽상록;홍선호;왕종배;조연옥
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.302-306
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    • 2004
  • Many long railway tunnels without emergency evacuation system or ventilation system are under construction or in-use in Korea. In the case of tunnel-fire, many fatalities are occur in current condition. Current safety level is estimated in this study, for the efficient investment on safety. But so many uncertainties in major input parameters make the safety estimation difficult. In this study, probabilistic techniques are applied for the consideration of uncertainties in major input parameters. As results of this study, accident scenarios and survival ratio under tunnel fire accident are determined for various conditions.

Probabilistic Analysis of Design Live Loads on A Refrigeration Store (냉동 창고 상시 적재하중에 관한 확률론적 연구)

  • Kim, Dai-Ho;Jeong, Jae-Hun;Won, Young-SuI;Joo, Kyung-Jai
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2001
  • Live load data were collected with a systematic manner from a survey of a refrigeration stores. Using the collected floor live load survey data, the basic statistics, a histogram of the uniformly distributed loads, and the equivalent uniformly distributed loads are computed for various structural members. Based on the above results, the maximum values of a combined live loads during the design life have been estimated and compared with current design live loads. The ultimate goals of this study are to develop probabilistic live load models to analyze survey data of domestic refrigeration stores, and to propose design live loads for structural types.

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Information Theoretic Approach to Middle Korean [ß] (정보이론 기반 중세국어 'ㅸ'의 음운론적 대립에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Sunwoo
    • Korean Linguistics
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    • v.79
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    • pp.63-89
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    • 2018
  • This study explores contrastive relation among voiced bilabial fricative [${\ss}$], voiceless bilabial stop [p] and glide [w] in Middle Korean consonant system based on Probabilistic Model. Preceding researches about voiced bilabial fricative [${\ss}$] proposed two influential arguments. One is voiced bilabial fricative [${\ss}$] was an independent phoneme, the other is it was not an independent phoneme but an allophone of voiceless bilabial stop [p] in Middle Korean. This study applies Probabilistic Phonological Relationship Model (PPRM) for solving the problem of dichotomy about contrastive and allophonic relations. The analysis result of the contrastive entropy by PPRM suggests that voiced bilabial fricative [${\ss}$] was just an allophone of voiceless bilabial stop [p] or glide [w] in Middle Korean. Comparing the entropies between [p] and other consonants with the entropies between [${\ss}$] and other consonants, a continuum defined in terms of entropy reveals that [${\ss}$] in Middle Korean was more allophonic than phonemic.

Hybrid parallel smooth particle hydrodynamic for probabilistic tsunami risk assessment and inland inundation

  • Sihombing, Fritz;Torbol, Marco
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2019
  • The probabilistic tsunami risk assessment of large coastal areas is challenging because the inland propagation of a tsunami wave requires an accurate numerical model that takes into account the interaction between the ground, the infrastructures, and the wave itself. Classic mesh-based methods face many challenges in the propagation of a tsunami wave inland due to their ever-moving boundary conditions. In alternative, mesh-less based methods can be used, but they require too much computational power in the far-field. This study proposes a hybrid approach. A mesh-based method propagates the tsunami wave from the far-field to the near-field, where the influence of the sea floor is negligible, and a mesh-less based method, smooth particle hydrodynamic, propagates the wave onto the coast and inland, and takes into account the wave structure interaction. Nowadays, this can be done because the advent of general purpose GPUs made mesh-less methods computationally affordable. The method is used to simulate the inland propagation of the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami off the coast of Indonesia.

A Probabilistic Test based Detection Scheme against Automated Attacks on Android In-app Billing Service

  • Kim, Heeyoul
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.1659-1673
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    • 2019
  • Android platform provides In-app Billing service for purchasing valuable items inside mobile applications. However, it has become a major target for attackers to achieve valuable items without actual payment. Especially, application developers suffer from automated attacks targeting all the applications in the device, not a specific application. In this paper, we propose a novel scheme detecting automated attacks with probabilistic tests. The scheme tests the signature verification method in a non-deterministic way, and if the method was replaced by the automated attack, the scheme detects it with very high probability. Both the analysis and the experiment result show that the developers can prevent their applications from automated attacks securely and efficiently by using of the proposed scheme.

The Reliability-Based Probabilistic Structural Analysis for the Composite Tail Plane Structures (복합재 미익 구조의 신뢰성 기반 확률론적 구조해석)

  • Lee, Seok-Je;Kim, In-Gul
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, the deterministic optimal design for the tail plane made of composite materials is conducted under the deterministic loading condition and compared with that of the metallic materials. Next, the reliability analysis with five random variables such as loading and material properties of unidirectional prepreg is conducted to examine the probability of failure for the deterministic optimal design results. The MATLAB programing is used for reliability analysis combined with FEA S/W(COMSOL) for structural analysis. The laminated composite is assumed to the equivalent orthotropic material using classical laminated plate theory. The response surface methodology and importance sampling technique are adopted to reduce computational cost with satisfying the accuracy in reliability analysis. As a result, structural weight of composite materials is lighter than that of metals in deterministic optimal design. However, the probability of failure for the deterministic optimal design of the tail plane structures is too high to be neglected. The sensitivity of each variable is also estimated using probabilistic sensitivity analysis to figure out which variables are sensitive to failure. The computational cost is considerably reduced when response surface methodology and importance sampling technique are used. The study of the computationally inexpensive method for reliability-based design optimization will be necessary in further work.

Impact of Sensing Models on Probabilistic Blanket Coverage in Wireless Sensor Network (무선 센서 네트워크에서 Probabilistic Blanket Coverage에 대한 센싱 모델의 영향)

  • Pudasaini, Subodh;Kang, Moon-Soo;Shin, Seok-Joo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.35 no.7A
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    • pp.697-705
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    • 2010
  • In Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs), blanket (area) coverage analysis is generally carried to find the minimum number of active sensor nodes required to cover a monitoring interest area with the desired fractional coverage-threshold. Normally, the coverage analysis is performed using the stochastic geometry as a tool. The major component of such coverage analysis is the assumed sensing model. Hence, the accuracy of such analysis depends on the underlying assumption of the sensing model: how well the assumed sensing model characterizes the real sensing phenomenon. In this paper, we review the coverage analysis for different deterministic and probabilistic sensing models like Boolean and Shadow-fading model; and extend the analysis for Exponential and hybrid Boolean-Exponential model. From the analytical performance comparison, we demonstrate the redundancy (in terms of number of sensors) that could be resulted due to the coverage analysis based on the detection capability mal-characterizing sensing models.

The Development and Application of Policy Formulation Methodology Using Probabilistic System Dynamics (확률적 시스템 다이나믹스를 이용한 정책구조 수립 방법론과 그 응용)

  • 조형래;이진주
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.9-25
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    • 1983
  • A new approach to cross impact analysis using probabilistic system dynamics(PSD) is presented in this article. The previous models using PSD consist of system dynamics models as a basis which are interacting with cross impact analysis (CIA) sectors. In this model, the policy impact analysis part is separated from the CIA sectors and is constituted an independent subsectors of the model. The policy subsector is designed to separate the policy impact and provide feedback both to the system dynamics base model and cross impact analysis sectors. The new technique is applied to the forecasting, assessment and policy formulation of air pollution in Seoul metropolitan area in 2,000. The results show that the new tool consider policy effects more effectively than the previous PSD models.

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